Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Views - In May 2025, the overall economy stabilized. Industrial production maintained steady growth, with the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increasing by 6.3% year-on-year. However, Sino-US tariff friction pressured downstream and midstream enterprises. The PPI decreased by 3.3% year-on-year, and the CPI slightly decreased by 0.1% year-on-year. Investment growth slowed marginally, while consumption rebounded, and the real estate sector remained under pressure [3][4]. - Domestic demand showed resilience, but external uncertainties increased. The overall domestic demand in May demonstrated resilience, with consumption reaching a new high for the year. High-end manufacturing led industrial upgrading, and the optimization of the foreign trade structure hedged external risks. However, global differentiation intensified, and the impact of the Israel-Palestine war on upstream raw materials needed further attention [5]. Summary by Directory Growth: Steady Growth - In Q1 2025, China's GDP reached 31.88 trillion yuan, growing by 5.4% year-on-year. The proportion of the tertiary industry increased to 61.2%. In May, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 6.3% year-on-year, with high-tech and equipment manufacturing industries maintaining rapid growth. However, Sino-US tariff conflicts affected the growth of private, foreign, and state-owned enterprises [10][11]. Inflation: Continued Pressure - In May 2025, the PPI decreased by 3.3% year-on-year, mainly due to increased international input pressure and loose supply and demand of energy and raw materials. The CPI slightly decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, with significant structural differentiation. Energy and food prices declined, while service prices increased. Future risks included international commodity price fluctuations and geopolitical risks [22][45]. Investment: Marginal Slowdown - From January to May 2025, national fixed - asset investment increased by 3.7% year-on-year, with a marginal slowdown in growth. Manufacturing investment maintained rapid growth, especially in high - tech fields. Infrastructure investment growth slowed, and private investment excluding real estate showed vitality in the service industry [60]. Production: Intensified Differentiation - From January to May 2025, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 6.3% year-on-year, with significant industry differentiation. High - tech industries such as the automobile and computer equipment manufacturing industries had high capacity utilization rates, while the upstream raw material industry was weak, and exports were under pressure [65]. Consumption: Policy Effectiveness - In May 2025, the consumer market rebounded strongly, with the total retail sales of consumer goods reaching 4132.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.4%. The "trade - in" policy was effective, and service consumption and new consumption became new drivers. However, consumer confidence needed to be strengthened [78]. Real Estate: Weak and Differentiated - The real estate market continued its weak recovery and deep differentiation. In May 2025, the real estate development climate index was 93.72. Real estate investment decreased by 10.7% year-on-year, and the sales side showed regional differentiation and year-on-year improvement. Policy - driven market structure optimization was underway, but real estate enterprises still faced financial pressure [89]. Appendix - In May 2025, the national economy ran smoothly under pressure, with stable growth in production and demand, stable employment, and the growth of new drivers. Industrial production, service industry growth, market sales, fixed - asset investment, foreign trade, employment, and consumer prices all showed certain characteristics [112].

Group 1 - The core idea of the news is the launch of a consumption promotion activity in Xi'an, themed "One Ticket to Enjoy Chang'an: Experience 'West' and Delight in Shopping," aimed at stimulating local consumption through a "ticket root economy" [1][2] - The initiative is a collaboration between Xi'an's Business Bureau, Cultural and Tourism Bureau, and Sports Bureau, and will run until December 31, 2025, covering large concerts and sports events organized in the city [1][2] - Consumers can enjoy tiered discounts when spending at participating accommodation and dining businesses, with the opportunity to receive consumption vouchers by scanning a QR code at event venues [1][2] Group 2 - The promotion also includes special discount vouchers for cultural, tourism, and sports activities, extending the consumption chain and linking various consumption scenarios from historical sites to modern shopping districts [2] - This innovative model not only provides benefits to consumers but also attracts targeted customer traffic for businesses, enhancing the night economy and promoting the integration of culture, commerce, and tourism [2] - The Xi'an Business Bureau views the "ticket root economy" as a proactive attempt to innovate consumption scenarios in response to the rising "performance economy," with plans to continue developing the "consumption+" model leveraging the city's rich cultural resources [2]

Core Insights - The "Inclusive Finance - Micro and Small Enterprises Index" published by Xinhua Index Research Institute indicates an improvement in the development expectations for micro and small enterprises in Q1 2025, with a significant increase in financing demand and a decrease in financing costs and risks [1][2] - The financing demand index reached 136.67 points, a month-on-month increase of 22.52%, while the financing supply index remained stable at 198.3 points, reflecting a steady rise in financing demand among small enterprises [1] Financing Demand and Supply - The primary financing demand for micro and small enterprises is for liquidity supplementation ranging from 100,000 to 500,000 yuan, with over half of the surveyed enterprises indicating a need for financing [1] - The financing demand index for various industries showed a robust increase, particularly in the scientific research and technical services sector, which saw a 30.45% month-on-month rise [2] Sector and Regional Performance - The hospitality and tourism sectors are experiencing a recovery, leading to increased orders and short-term turnover demand in procurement, inventory, and labor [1] - Among the seven sample regions, Guangdong exhibited the highest increase in financing demand index, rising by 25.22% month-on-month, while Hebei showed the greatest improvement in financing efficiency, increasing by 1.34% [2] Overall Index Performance - The Inclusive Finance - Micro and Small Enterprises Development Index for Q1 2025 reached 52.11 points, indicating a positive trend above the neutral line, with the vitality index at 55.06 points and the confidence index at 57.13 points [2]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China has established a 500 billion yuan "Service Consumption and Elderly Refinance" initiative to encourage commercial banks to increase credit support for service consumption and the elderly care industry [1][2] Group 1: Financial Support for Service Consumption - The initiative aims to direct funds towards key service consumption sectors such as accommodation, catering, cultural and entertainment, and education, addressing financing difficulties and stimulating industry vitality [2][3] - Financial institutions have actively responded to the policy, with banks quickly approving loans to support relevant sectors, demonstrating a commitment to enhancing credit supply [1][2] Group 2: Impact on Employment and Economic Growth - The policy is expected to not only boost economic growth but also improve social welfare by enhancing service quality and expanding service consumption supply, directly benefiting the public [3][4] - The accommodation and catering industry is highlighted as a significant contributor to job creation and economic activity, with a strong potential to drive related sectors such as agriculture and logistics [2][4] Group 3: Support for Cultural and Entertainment Industries - The cultural and entertainment sector is recognized as a vital area for high-quality service consumption growth, with increasing demand for diverse recreational activities among consumers, particularly the younger demographic [4][5] - Financial institutions are focusing on promoting consumption through targeted loans to businesses in the cultural and entertainment sectors, enhancing their operational capabilities [5] Group 4: Education and Elderly Care Financing - The initiative includes substantial financial support for the education sector, exemplified by a 126 million yuan loan to a new research-oriented university, aimed at enhancing research and talent development [6][7] - The elderly care industry is also prioritized, with long-term, low-cost funding provided to meet the diverse needs of the aging population, exemplified by a 19 million yuan loan to a smart elderly care technology company [7]

新订单指数暴跌5.9点至46.4，创近一年最大降幅；反映业务活跃度的指标骤降3.7点至50，为五年最低 美国服务业活动近一年来首次陷入萎缩区间，需求突然回落的同时，价格压力加速攀升——新一轮对等关税的冲击波正在全美经济中扩散。 美国供应管理协会（ISM）周三表示，美国非制造业PMI降至49.9，跌破50大关，也是自2024年6月以来的最低水平。这一数值弱于彭博调查中除两位经济学 家外的所有预测，新订单指标创下2024年6月以来最大跌幅，而支付价格指数则飙升至2022年末以来的最高水平。 数据显示，需求"急冻"与通胀"高烧"并存： 数据公布后，美国2年期至10年期国债收益率跌至5月9日以来的最低水平。标普500指数涨幅收窄。 ISM调查委员会主席史蒂夫·米勒（Steve Miller）表示："当前指数并非严重萎缩的信号，而是反映了企业对长期关税不确定性的普遍焦虑。受访者持续抱怨 难以制定计划，许多公司正推迟或减少订单，直至政策影响明朗化。" 随着企业重构供应链，供应商交货时间延长，但库存情绪指数却飙升至62.9（近11个月高点），预示未来数月制造业可能承压。就业指数微升1.7点至50.7， 显示招聘近乎停滞。" ...

Industrial Production - Industrial production remains stable, with a slight year-on-year decrease in blast furnace operating rates by 0.4 percentage points to 2.1% [1][4] - Chemical production shows marginal recovery, with soda ash, PTA, and polyester filament operating rates increasing by 0.1, 0.7, and 0.8 percentage points respectively [1][17] - The operating rate of automotive semi-steel tires has slightly decreased by 0.2 percentage points to -2.6% [1][17] Construction Industry - Construction activity has weakened, with significant declines in grinding and cement shipment rates, down 1.1 percentage points to -4.6% and 1 percentage point to -8% respectively [1][29] - The asphalt operating rate has notably decreased by 8.8 percentage points to -2% [1][41] - Cement average prices continue to decline [1][29] Downstream Demand - New housing transactions show marginal improvement, with average daily transaction area increasing by 14.2% year-on-year to 0.9%, particularly in first and second-tier cities [2][53] - Automotive sales remain strong, with retail and wholesale volumes increasing by 15.4% to 28.5% and 21.4% to 22.1% respectively [2][80] - Port cargo throughput related to exports has improved, while container shipping prices show mixed performance [2][89] Price Trends - Prices of agricultural and industrial products have generally declined, with pork, vegetables, fruits, and eggs decreasing by 0.2%, 1.1%, 1.5%, and 1.3% respectively [2][99] - The South China industrial product price index has decreased by 1%, with energy and chemical prices down by 1.3% and metal prices down by 0.6% [2][111]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the new trends in employment and wage data for urban employees in 2024, highlighting shifts from high salary pursuits to a focus on reducing work intensity and improving work-life balance [1]. Group 1: Employment Trends - Employment is shifting from a focus on high salaries to a trend of "anti-involution," where workers prefer industries with shorter working hours and higher hourly wages. This change has been observed since 2021, contrasting with the pre-2019 trend of concentrating on high-paying sectors [2][9]. - The average annual wage growth for urban non-private sector employees has slowed to 2.8% in 2024, down from a peak in 2021, with significant declines in sectors like information technology and finance [2][9]. - Industries such as transportation and light manufacturing have shown resilience in wage growth due to direct revenue increases, with transportation revenue growth exceeding 8% in 2024 [2][21]. Group 2: Regional Wage Convergence and Employment Shifts - There is a convergence in wage growth between eastern and western regions of China, with the wage growth gap narrowing from 0.8 percentage points in 2019 to 0.5 percentage points in 2024 [4][53]. - Employment in the service sector is increasingly migrating to the central and western regions, while production-related jobs continue to flow into the eastern regions. This trend is supported by stronger wage growth in the service sector in these areas [4][75]. - The service consumption pattern is shifting from local to cross-province, further concentrating service sector employment in the central and western regions, driven by faster consumption growth in these areas [5][80]. Group 3: Wage Growth in Private and Flexible Employment - Wages in the private sector have generally lagged behind those in the non-private sector, but certain industries within the private sector, such as education and retail, have experienced higher wage growth [6][96]. - New forms of flexible employment, such as ride-hailing and delivery services, have seen significant wage increases, with average monthly salaries for these roles reaching 10,506 yuan, surpassing traditional employment salaries [7][114]. - The work intensity for new flexible employment roles is higher, with average weekly working hours for platform workers reaching 54.3 hours, indicating a trade-off between higher pay and increased workload [7][122].

Group 1: Employment Trends - In 2024, the average annual salary for urban non-private sector employees is 124,000 yuan, reflecting a decrease of 6.8 percentage points since 2021, now at a growth rate of 2.8%[3] - Employment is shifting from high-salary industries to sectors with shorter working hours and higher hourly wages, indicating a trend towards "anti-involution" since 2021[4] - The transportation and service industries have seen a reduction in weekly working hours by 4.2 and 3.6 hours respectively, while hourly wages increased by 3.9 and 3.6 yuan/hour, suggesting improved job attractiveness[4] Group 2: Regional Wage Convergence - From 2019 to 2023, the wage growth in the eastern region was 7.5%, compared to 7.1% in the central and western regions, with the gap narrowing from 0.8 percentage points in 2019 to 0.5 percentage points in 2023[5] - The wage growth in the central and western regions has shown resilience, with the central region's wage growth remaining stable at around 7.1%[5] - Employment in the service sector is increasingly migrating to the central and western regions, with the proportion of employees in accommodation and retail sectors decreasing from 20.8 and 10.1 percentage points below the eastern region to 18.2 and 9 percentage points respectively[6] Group 3: Private and Flexible Employment - The average salary growth for private sector employees is lower than that of non-private sector employees, but certain sectors like education and retail services have seen higher growth rates of 8.9% and 5.3% respectively[7] - The concentration of small and medium enterprises in the service sector has led to better salary growth in private units compared to non-private units[10] - New flexible employment roles, such as ride-hailing drivers and delivery personnel, have higher average monthly salaries of 10,506 yuan, significantly above traditional employees' 8,910 yuan, despite longer working hours[10]

四川绵阳近日抛出一份提振消费方案，其中"2.5天休假模式"的提法颇引人注目，还上了热搜。 这一设想说新不新，说旧不旧。十年前国务院就曾为这类探索开过口子，如今十余省份文件里都嵌着类 似表述。 政策初衷不难理解：多放半天假，人们多消费，市场添活力。可细究起来，这道政策裂缝里透出的光， 终究没能照进现实土壤。 作为灵活就业者，"2.5天休假模式"于我而言确如隔岸观花。想休便休，休足七日亦无不可，但用粤语 来说，这叫"手停口停"，手头一停，嘴巴就得挨饿。 可看着这看似美好的政策，仍忍不住要唠叨两句：任何标榜进步的工作制改革，若沦为少数人的专享， 终究不过是绣花枕头。 改革成败不在概念新奇，而要看绝大多数劳动者能否真正触到政策温度。 一个不容忽视的事实是：即便在美国这样的发达国家，对4.5天工作制也选择敬而远之。从全球实践版 图看，4.5天工作制始终未能突破"局部试点"的桎梏。 英国部分企业尝试四天工作制，但尚未上升为国家法定制度；冰岛虽在试点中观察到员工幸福感提升， 却并没有急于大规模推广。 西班牙政府的试点计划运行了多年，还是停留在"计划"层面；新西兰企业的尝试局限于特定行业；再看 看日本部分试行的企业多以"周五 ...

Industrial Performance - Jiangsu's industrial economy showed strong performance from January to April, with a year-on-year increase of 8.1% in industrial added value for large-scale industries [1] - In April, the industrial added value for large-scale industries grew by 8%, with significant growth in equipment manufacturing (10.9%), high-tech manufacturing (12.9%), and core digital product manufacturing (11.4%) [1] - Key industries such as computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing, electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing, and automobile manufacturing saw growth rates of 14.7%, 11.5%, and 11.6% respectively [1] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment in Jiangsu decreased by 0.2% from January to April, but infrastructure investment increased by 10.9% and manufacturing investment rose by 4.7% [1] - Investment in the purchase of large-scale equipment and tools increased by 11.1% year-on-year during the same period [1] Consumer Market Insights - The total retail sales of social consumer goods in Jiangsu reached 15,991.9 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 5.5% from January to April [2] - The "old-for-new" policy boosted retail sales in April, with household appliances and audio-visual equipment sales increasing by 13.2% and automotive sales by 9.1%; new energy vehicle sales surged by 59.7% [2] - Year-on-year sales growth in wholesale and retail sectors was 8.5% and 11.3% respectively, while accommodation and catering sectors saw increases of 6.6% and 9.3% [2] Price Trends - In the industrial producer price sector, both the producer's ex-factory prices and purchase prices decreased by 2.5% and 2.3% respectively from January to April [2] - In April, the ex-factory prices and purchase prices fell by 2.8% and 2.7% year-on-year [2]