Group 1 - Zhongyuan Environmental Protection Co., Ltd. focuses on major strategic opportunities such as the Belt and Road Initiative and carbon neutrality goals, committing to an innovative, green, low-carbon, and high-quality development path [1][2] - The company has established a full industrial chain service capability in wastewater treatment, sludge treatment, and reclaimed water utilization, aiming for a development pattern that is rooted in Henan, covers the whole country, and extends to the world [1] - Zhongyuan Environmental actively responds to the Belt and Road Initiative by promoting advanced technologies and "one-stop" environmental service models in water treatment, solid waste disposal, and watershed management, with operations in countries like Thailand, Egypt, and the UAE [1][2] Group 2 - The company integrates digital technology with ecological protection, exploring areas such as smart water management and low-carbon parks, thereby supporting high-quality development in the ecological and environmental industry [2] - Zhongyuan Environmental emphasizes international cooperation, having engaged in technical exchanges with global partners like Veolia Environment Group, to strengthen international collaboration for a greener future [2] Group 3 - China National Nuclear Corporation's subsidiary, China Tongru, focuses on nuclear technology applications in medicine and industry, establishing a "6+N" industrial system that covers key areas such as nuclear medicine and radiation applications [3][4] - The company has developed a comprehensive solution for radioactive drugs and has built a delivery system that supplies nearly 60% of the national demand, while also maintaining a leading position in the domestic radiation source industry [3] Group 4 - China Tongru has engaged in extensive international cooperation with over 30 countries, exporting products to more than 80 nations, thereby enhancing its global presence [4] Group 5 - Yunnan Energy Investment Group leverages green energy to contribute to regional energy security and sustainable development [5][6] - The company has initiated several projects in Laos and Myanmar, including solar power and hydropower projects, significantly improving local energy supply and stability [6] Group 6 - China Copper actively responds to the Belt and Road Initiative, deepening international cooperation in resource development and supply chain security, with significant investments in Peru and Africa [8][9] - The company has established stable procurement channels with over 20 Belt and Road countries, enhancing resource security and creating numerous job opportunities [9] Group 7 - The Cuba Latin America News Agency emphasizes the importance of media cooperation in combating misinformation and promoting dialogue among nations, supporting initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative [10][11] Group 8 - Fudan University highlights the significance of the Belt and Road Initiative in addressing regional economic governance challenges, promoting a community of shared future and regional public goods [12][13] Group 9 - Chongqing High-tech Zone has become a hub for international cooperation and technological innovation, facilitating the export of scientific achievements and enhancing trade networks [14][15] - The zone has attracted numerous semiconductor companies and developed a comprehensive service platform for enterprises looking to expand internationally [15][16]

铜产业链周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·季先飞·首席分析师/有色及贵金属 组联席行政负责人 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0012691 日期：2025年09月28日 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 1 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint 铜：原料供应扰动增强，具备长期多配价值 资料来源： SMM，同花顺iFinD，国泰君安期货研究 2 资料来源 SMM ，iFinD同花顺 国泰君安期货研究 ： ◆ 铜矿供应扰动增强，铜价快速上涨。自由港就先前报告的印尼Grasberg Block Cave矿泥石流事件状况提供最新信息，主要包含以下几个 方面：（1）如先前报告，为优先进行搜救，Grasberg矿区的采矿作业自9月8日起已暂停；（2）PTFI已开始调查事件起因，预计调查将 在2025年底前完成；（3）维修工作可能导致2025年第四季度和2026年的生产出现重大推迟，预计在2027年恢复至事件前的运营水平； （4）PTFI在2026年的产量可能较事件前预估低约35%；（5）受事件影响，P ...

相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2025-2031年中国电解铜箔行业市场现状分析及投资前景评估报告》 2019-2025年9月中旬电解铜（1#）市场价格变动统计图 数据来源：国家统计局 根据国家统计局公布的数据，有色金属类别下的电解铜（1#）2025年9月中旬市场价格为80550.7元/ 吨，同比上涨8.9%，环比上涨0.65%，纵观近5年同时期其价格，2025年9月中旬达到最大值，有80550.7 元/吨。 ...

铜精矿加工费是指将铜精矿加工成铜金属所需的费用，包括铜的粗炼费（TC）和精炼费（RC）及副产 品金和银的精炼费。粗炼费是指从铜精矿到粗铜（或阳极铜）的冶炼费用，精炼费指从粗铜到电解铜 （阴极铜）的精炼费用。 今年以来，铜精矿加工费持续低位运行，长单与现货价格均处历史低位水平，冶炼环节利润承压严重。 华北最大阴极铜供应商北方铜业（000737.SZ）在半年报中称，上半年铜精矿加工费持续走低，现货加 工费从1月份在个位数中低位附近一路下滑至6月底-40美元/吨中位；6月27日，智利矿业公司安托法加 斯塔和中国冶炼厂年中谈判结果TC/RC敲定为0美元/干吨及0美分/磅。加工费跌入负值区间，意味着冶 炼厂需倒贴钱获取原料。 从光伏到风电，再到石化与钢铁，"反内卷"风又吹向铜冶炼行业。 中国有色金属工业协会铜业分会第三届理事会第五次会议近日在河北雄安新区召开。铜冶炼行业"内卷 式"竞争导致铜精矿加工费持续低位的问题是此次会议讨论重点。 中国有色金属工业协会副会长陈学森在会上表示，铜冶炼行业"内卷式"竞争对行业影响大，协会已向国 家相关部门报送材料，提出严控铜冶炼产能扩张的具体措施建议。国家有关部门正加快研究如何加强对 ...

2025.09. 26 本文字数：1753，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 郭霁莹 从光伏到风电，再到石化与钢铁，"反内卷"风又吹向铜冶炼行业。 中国有色金属工业协会铜业分会第三届理事会第五次会议近日在河北雄安新区召开。 铜冶炼行业"内 卷式"竞争导致铜精矿加工费持续低位 的问题是此次会议讨论重点。 中国有色金属工业协会副会长陈学森在会上表示，铜冶炼行业"内卷式"竞争对行业影响大，协会已 向国家相关部门报送材料，提出严控铜冶炼产能扩张的具体措施建议。国家有关部门正加快研究如何 加强对铜冶炼产能建设规范化管理具体措施，相信很快会有结果。 铜精矿加工费是指将铜精矿加工成铜金属所需的费用，包括铜的粗炼费（TC）和精炼费（RC）及副 产品金和银的精炼费。粗炼费是指从铜精矿到粗铜（或阳极铜）的冶炼费用，精炼费指从粗铜到电解 铜（阴极铜）的精炼费用。 今年以来，铜精矿加工费持续低位运行，长单与现货价格均处历史低位水平，冶炼环节利润承压严 重。 华北最大阴极铜供应商北方铜业（000737.SZ）在半年报中称，上半年铜精矿加工费持续走低，现 货加工费从1月份在个位数中低位附近一路下滑至6月底-40美元/吨中位；6月2 ...

Industry Overview - The copper smelting industry in China is experiencing "involution" competition, leading to persistently low copper concentrate processing fees, which are a focus of recent discussions by the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association [1] - The association has proposed measures to control the expansion of copper smelting capacity to address the significant impact of this competition on the industry [1] Processing Fees and Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, the processing fees for copper concentrates have continued to decline, with spot processing fees dropping to a median of -40 USD/ton by the end of June [2] - Major companies like Tongling Nonferrous Metals and Northern Copper reported significant declines in net profits, with Tongling's net profit down 33.94% to 1.441 billion CNY, marking its first decline in five years [2] - The gross profit margins for copper products among leading companies have decreased, with margins ranging from 1.9% to 8.2%, significantly impacting overall revenue as this segment accounts for over 70% of total income [2] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The decline in processing fees is primarily attributed to tightening copper concentrate supply, as the supply-demand relationship is crucial for determining processing fees [3] - China's copper smelting capacity has grown significantly over the past two decades, outpacing the growth of raw material supply, leading to a shift from surplus to shortage in copper concentrate supply [3] - The reliance on imported copper ore, which constitutes over 80% of the supply structure, exacerbates the supply-demand imbalance, especially as domestic smelting capacity continues to expand [3] Market Trends and Strategies - Analysts note that the tightening supply of copper due to production cuts at major mines is contributing to the pressure on processing fees [4] - Companies are adopting strategies to mitigate the impact of low processing fees, such as cost reduction and increasing the profitability of by-products [4] - For instance, Yunnan Copper reported a net profit increase of over 24% to 1.317 billion CNY by focusing on operational efficiency and enhancing the contribution of by-products like sulfuric acid, which saw a gross margin increase of 35.41 percentage points [4]

这一局面拖累行业龙头企业业绩表现。国内阴极铜产能第一的铜陵有色（000630.SZ）上半年增收不增 利，公司归母净利润同比下滑33.94%至14.41亿元，近五年来首次同期净利润下滑；北方铜业归母净利 润增幅陷入个位数，上半年盈利4.87亿元，同比增长5.85%，远低于2024年同期近54%增幅。 从光伏到风电，再到石化与钢铁，"反内卷"风又吹向铜冶炼行业。 中国有色金属工业协会铜业分会第三届理事会第五次会议近日在河北雄安新区召开。铜冶炼行业"内卷 式"竞争导致铜精矿加工费持续低位的问题是此次会议讨论重点。 中国有色金属工业协会副会长陈学森在会上表示，铜冶炼行业"内卷式"竞争对行业影响大，协会已向国 家相关部门报送材料，提出严控铜冶炼产能扩张的具体措施建议。国家有关部门正加快研究如何加强对 铜冶炼产能建设规范化管理具体措施，相信很快会有结果。 铜精矿加工费是指将铜精矿加工成铜金属所需的费用，包括铜的粗炼费（TC）和精炼费（RC）及副产 品金和银的精炼费。粗炼费是指从铜精矿到粗铜（或阳极铜）的冶炼费用，精炼费指从粗铜到电解铜 （阴极铜）的精炼费用。 今年以来，铜精矿加工费持续低位运行，长单与现货价格均处历史低位 ...

Market Overview - The three major indices experienced a collective pullback, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.65%, the Shenzhen Component down 1.76%, and the ChiNext Index down 2.60% [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets exceeded 2.1 trillion, a decrease of over 200 billion compared to the previous day [2] - The market is showing increased divergence as the holiday approaches, with trading volume relatively dull compared to last week, but volatility is on the rise [3] Sector Performance - The market saw a broad adjustment, with most industry sectors declining. Wind power equipment, chemical fiber, fertilizer, and insurance sectors showed gains, while technology sectors such as gaming, consumer electronics, electronic components, internet services, communication equipment, and software development faced significant declines [6] - Technology stocks experienced a widespread retreat, particularly in computing power sectors, with companies like Zhongheng Electric, Lianang Micro, and Qingshan Paper hitting their daily limit down. Major stocks like Inspur Information and Industrial Fulian also saw substantial drops [8] - Copper-related stocks performed well against the trend, with companies like Jingyi Co. achieving three consecutive limit-up days, and Jiangxi Copper and Tongling Nonferrous Metals also rising. This was influenced by supply concerns following a landslide at the Grasberg mine in Indonesia, which announced "force majeure" due to production stoppage [9] Investment Sentiment - As the National Day holiday approaches, investors face a classic dilemma of whether to hold stocks or cash. The market is experiencing increased volatility and accelerated sector rotation [19] - The market's profitability is declining, with only 32% of stocks rising this week, marking a low point in the current uptrend [21] - Historical data indicates that the probability of index declines in the five trading days leading up to the National Day holiday is 60%, suggesting a cautious outlook for the near term [21] Future Outlook - The technology sector has been a major contributor to the recent index gains, but the current crowded positioning indicates a demand for adjustment. The TMT sector has contributed 42% to the overall A-share index increase since June 23, with a trading volume share of 37% [25] - Given the historical trend of poor performance before the National Day holiday, there is a likelihood of profit-taking, and sectors with strong bottom support signals, such as banking and insurance, may be more favorable [26] - The market is expected to remain in a downward trend with a solid base, and while the medium to long-term upward momentum is still sufficient, more definitive trends may emerge post-October [27]

转自：智通财经 注：智通财经VIP为内容资讯产品，并非投资建议。以下内容仅为资讯价值展示非对相关公 司的推荐建议，非未来走势预测。投资有风险，入市需谨慎。 喜迎国庆，智通财经VIP两大惊喜活动邀请您参与，9月22日-9月30日享福利+欢乐超一周！ 活动一：猜9月30日收盘沪指点位，参与即可0元体验VIP，更有机会赢订制"牛运"摆件。 活动二：《九点特供》VS《智通财经早知道》，留言票选你心仪的资讯内参，与主编交流互动领文章 解锁券，人气栏目国庆享8折低价购。 市场热点一 有色金属 消息面上，中国有色金属工业协会铜业分会表示坚决反对铜冶炼行业"内卷式"竞争。此外，全球第二大 铜矿——印尼格拉斯伯格矿区因泥石流事故宣布"不可抗力"而停产。 《九点特供》：盘前必读的特供早报。 9月26日08:12《九点特供》 解读龙头板块金属铜，指出自由港麦克莫兰公司旗下的印尼 GrasbergBlockCave铜矿发生了泥石流事故，该矿属于世界第二大铜矿，2024年占全球供应量的4%，此 调整可能导致2026年全球铜供需短缺扩大至72.5万吨，约占总供给的2.6%，并提及精艺股份，其在9月 26日收获涨停。 中信证券表示，从产能 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The market experienced a volatile upward trend with a total trading volume of 2.37 trillion yuan, an increase of 44.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Various sectors showed rapid rotation, with gaming, AI applications, and controllable nuclear fusion leading in gains, while port shipping, precious metals, and oil and gas sectors faced declines [1] Group 2: Monetary Policy and Fund Management - The People's Bank of China plans to support foreign institutional investors in engaging in bond repurchase transactions in the Chinese bond market to enhance the efficiency of RMB bonds [1] - The total scale of public funds has surpassed 36 trillion yuan, marking the fifth historical high this year, with significant growth in stock and mixed funds [1] Group 3: Industry Insights - The copper smelting industry is expected to implement strict measures to control capacity expansion, addressing the "involution" issue highlighted by the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association [2] - The focus on optimizing capacity in the copper smelting sector includes phasing out outdated capacities and enhancing efficiency through advanced smelting technologies [2] - The copper industry is anticipated to return to profitability, with expectations for improved capacity layout and operational efficiency due to ongoing state-owned enterprise reforms [2] Group 4: Investment Trends - The market is currently characterized by a divergence in performance among major indices, with the ChiNext index reaching a multi-year high while the Shanghai Composite Index remains relatively weak [3] - Investment focus is advised to remain on popular sectors, particularly in technology and new energy, with strong performance in the AI industry chain, semiconductors, and new energy core stocks [3]