Core Viewpoint - The report outlines an optimistic economic outlook for 2026, emphasizing a proactive and expansionary policy stance to ensure a strong start to the "15th Five-Year Plan" with a GDP growth target around 5% [1][4][41] Policy Perspective - The main policy tone for 2026 is set to be positive and expansionary, with a focus on ensuring a good start to the "15th Five-Year Plan" [1][4] - Key strategies include promoting domestic demand, stabilizing real estate, and planning new major infrastructure projects [1][5] Monetary Policy - Monetary policy is expected to remain accommodative, with potential interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions anticipated in 2026 [2][12] - It is projected that there may be 1-2 reserve requirement ratio cuts of 50-100 basis points and 1-2 interest rate cuts of 10-20 basis points [12][15] Fiscal Policy - Fiscal policy is anticipated to be proactive and expansionary, with a projected fiscal deficit rate around 4% and special bonds reaching approximately 5 trillion [2][30] - The total fiscal expenditure is expected to reach 43 trillion, reflecting an increase of 1.13 trillion year-on-year [30][29] Economic Growth Targets - The GDP growth target for 2026 is likely to remain around 5%, with quarterly growth rates projected at 5.2%, 5.0%, 5.1%, and 4.9% respectively [4][41] - Inflation is expected to remain low, with a projected annual deflation index of around 0.1% [4] Investment Focus - The focus will be on expanding domestic demand, particularly through consumer spending, real estate stabilization, and infrastructure investment [5][29] - Specific measures to boost consumption include extending the "old-for-new" policy and enhancing service consumption [5][29] Structural Reforms - Structural reforms will continue to be emphasized, particularly in enhancing the quality of life and addressing demographic challenges [8][41] - The government aims to optimize the allocation of resources towards human investment and social welfare [8][29] Key Events Timeline - A series of important economic meetings and reports are scheduled throughout 2026, including the Central Economic Work Conference and the National People's Congress [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security has issued a notice to promote the integration of human resources services with the manufacturing industry, with Xi'an being the only city in Shaanxi province selected for the pilot program [1] Group 1: Pilot Program Overview - A total of 39 cities, including Xi'an, will focus on key areas of manufacturing, leveraging local industrial foundations and resources to explore innovative paths for industrial upgrading and employment promotion [1] - The pilot cities aim to address the human resources supply constraints that hinder manufacturing development and enhance the level of human resources development and utilization in the manufacturing sector [1] Group 2: Focus Areas and Initiatives - Xi'an will concentrate on key manufacturing sectors such as intelligent manufacturing, electronic information, new materials and new energy, aerospace, and biotechnology [1] - The city plans to cultivate specialized human resources service institutions dedicated to the manufacturing industry and establish integrated development parks and public service platforms [1] Group 3: Future Goals and Expectations - By the end of 2027, Xi'an aims to form a human resources service alliance targeting 19 key industrial chains in the manufacturing sector and establish over five "advanced manufacturing recruitment unions" covering key industries [2] - The city will set up human resources service liaison stations in more than three key industrial parks to facilitate the efficient integration of resources [2]

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant transformation in local fiscal revenue patterns in China as of the third quarter of 2025, with cities like Shanghai, Beijing, and Shenzhen leading in fiscal income, reflecting the country's shift towards high-quality economic development [1][10]. Group 1: Fiscal Revenue Rankings - Shanghai ranks first with a fiscal revenue of 655.57 billion, followed by Beijing at 503.99 billion and Shenzhen at 313.21 billion [6]. - Hangzhou maintains the fourth position with 220 billion, while Tianjin surpasses Guangzhou with 167.8 billion compared to Guangzhou's 163.21 billion [6][10]. - Hefei enters the top twenty for the first time with a notable performance of 74.58 billion [1][6]. Group 2: Economic Drivers - Hangzhou's fiscal resilience is attributed to its strong digital economy, with a slight increase in public budget revenue and significant contributions from tech giants like Ant Group and Alibaba Cloud [3]. - Tianjin's growth is driven by the implementation of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei coordinated development strategy, with new projects in aerospace and petrochemicals boosting tax revenue [5][10]. - Hefei's remarkable growth in the new energy vehicle sector, with a 42% increase in tax revenue, showcases its successful long-term investment strategy in technology and innovation [7]. Group 3: Insights Beyond the Data - The article emphasizes that fiscal health should be assessed through various dimensions, including industrial structure and innovation concentration, rather than solely relying on revenue rankings [9]. - Cities like Ningbo and Xi'an demonstrate strong potential despite their current rankings, indicating that future market dynamics may shift based on emerging industries [9][10]. - Guangzhou's growth in the new generation information technology service sector, with a 24% tax revenue increase, suggests a possible future reshaping of the economic landscape [9].

Group 1 - The major indices mostly rose in early trading on November 26, with the commercial aerospace concept experiencing a peak and subsequent pullback [1] - The Aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) recorded a trading volume exceeding 49 million yuan, with Guangqi Technology leading the gains among its constituent stocks [1] - As of November 25, the Aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) has attracted over 140 million yuan in capital since the beginning of November [1] - The ETF tracks the Guozheng Aerospace Index, which covers the aerospace industry chain, with a combined weight of over 68% in aerospace and aviation equipment [1] - The top ten holdings include leading state-owned enterprises such as Aero Engine Corporation of China, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, and AVIC Chengfei, providing both stability from core assets and growth potential from smaller market cap companies [1] Group 2 - The 2025 Asia General Aviation Exhibition is set to open on November 27 in Zhuhai, featuring 381 companies from 22 countries and regions [1] - On November 23, various performance teams conducted their first adaptive flight training after transitioning to Zhuhai, with the "Red Star" flight demonstration team showcasing maneuvers such as ultra-low altitude vertical climbs and half-roll landings for the first time to the public [1] - Zhuhai has established a "dual exhibition" pattern with the biennial "China Airshow" and the annual "Asia General Aviation Exhibition," aiming to deepen low-altitude economic applications and stimulate greater potential for the "Sky City" [2] Group 3 - Guotai Junan Securities believes that the Chinese aviation industry is entering a "super cycle" and suggests seizing the opportunity during this counter-cyclical period, emphasizing the long-term logic of the Chinese aviation industry [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market - A" [1] Core Insights - The year 2026 marks the first year of the "14th Five-Year Plan" implementation, characterized by frequent mergers and acquisitions among state-owned enterprises and stronger stock performance of private enterprises compared to state-owned ones [4][11] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has a unique aspect with the 2027 centenary of the military, potentially leading to order front-loading and structural changes [4][24] - The overall industry is returning to a value investment focus, prioritizing orders and performance, with upstream sectors expected to outperform downstream [4][23] Summary by Sections Section 1: Characteristics of the First Year of the Industry Cycle and "14th Five-Year Plan" Outlook - The first year of the five-year plan typically sees strong industry development certainty but limited stock price surprises due to prior expectations [8] - Historical data shows significant fluctuations in index performance, with the first year often experiencing a decline in EPS growth [7][9] Section 2: Outlook for Subsequent Supply and Demand - Demand is expected to show marginal improvement, while supply-side capacity is significantly increasing, indicating potential marginal shocks in certain industry segments [22] - The industry is expected to experience a recovery in sectors that underperformed during the latter half of the "14th Five-Year Plan," such as aerospace and aviation engine sectors [4][24] Section 3: Key Tracks and Structural Focus - Recommended focus areas include intelligent grouping, aerospace industry (including both aviation and commercial aerospace), and carrier-based aircraft [4][23] - Structural focus should be on aviation engines and the demand expansion and industrialization of PEEK materials [4][35]

钱塘区第八期"博士入企"项目对接会。 企业师傅"师带徒"指导学生进行产品试验。 每年联合培养复合型人才4200余人。 新引进35周岁以下大学生3万余名。 高校技术合同成交额每年增幅达20%以上。 …… 来自杭职大的"科技副总"杨爱喜在吉利汽车车间进行测试。 来自浙江方圆检测集团有限公司的"产业教授"盛华栋在浙江经贸职业技术学院食品健康学院的实验室里 为学生讲解。 杭州市钱塘区这张亮眼的"成绩单"，源自成立仅三年的杭州经济技术开发区（钱塘科学城）产教联 合体——由杭州职业技术大学（下文简称"杭职大"）、杭州经济技术开发区和钱塘区产业集团牵头共建 的首批国家级市域产教联合体（下文简称"联合体"）的强势助力。 时间不长，成绩很亮，它是如何做到的？ 今年，杭职大顺利升格为本科院校，为联合体注入新一轮强劲动能。记者跟踪观察，尝试从职业教 育视角，梳理出一套联合体高质量发展的"杭州经验"。 如何破题"联而不合"困境？ 党建引领下的"政行校企"一体深融 "出师就被'秒光'！都是各个基地争抢的'班组长'人选！"说起爱徒们，吉利汽车研究院试制中心主 管张争光满面笑容。他口中的这些"香饽饽"，正是参与"汽车设计验证师培养计划"的 ...

航空航天ETF（159227）紧密跟踪国证航天指数，申万一级军工行业占比高达98.2%，堪称全市场"军工 纯度"最高的指数，覆盖航空装备、航天装备、卫星导航、新材料等关键产业链环节，成分股精选军工 领域头部企业，涵盖大飞机研制、低空经济、商业航天等新兴领域，商业航天概念权重占比高达54%。 11月26日，A股三大指数低开高走，先后翻红，航空航天ETF（159227）再度调整，截止9点48分，跌幅 1.75%，成交额已达6222万元，持仓股中仅光启技术、纳睿雷达上涨，长城军工、航天发展、中国海 防、天和防务等跌幅居前。 消息面上，国家航天局印发《国家航天局推进商业航天高质量安全发展行动计划（2025—2027年）》。 行动计划指出，扩大政府采购。加大力度推动政府部门公益需求统筹，完善政府采购服务机制，推动商 业运载火箭、商业卫星、商业发射场、商业测运控设施等商业能力参与国家航天任务，鼓励各级政府部 门扩大商业航天服务采购。 中泰证券表示，商业航天产业正进入新一轮高速发展期，我国商业航天企业数量已超过600家，商业航 天发射工位合计25个（在运营18个、在建7个），GW星座组网发射明显提速，可回收火箭技术即将进 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China has announced the creation of national emerging industry development demonstration bases, aiming to establish around 100 demonstration parks and 1,000 demonstration enterprises by 2035 to promote the healthy and orderly development of emerging industries [1][2]. Group 1: Demonstration Bases - The demonstration bases will include both parks and enterprises, focusing on key emerging industries such as new generation information technology, new energy, new materials, biotechnology, high-end equipment, intelligent connected vehicles, green environmental protection, low-altitude equipment, and aerospace [1]. - The initiative aims to create benchmarks in emerging industries, providing a robust support system for the development of new productive forces [1]. Group 2: Industry Insights - Various parks have already established strong clusters in specific sectors, such as advanced manufacturing, industrial internet, and new energy vehicles, indicating a growing specialization in these areas [2]. - To ensure the demonstration bases serve their intended purpose, it is crucial to select the right leading industries, provide solid public services, and implement strict assessment and evaluation measures [2]. Group 3: Long-term Impact - The demonstration bases are expected to gather innovative resources and industrial elements, promoting collaboration in tackling key core technologies and enhancing the security of industrial supply chains [3]. - Over time, as these bases develop and mature, they will foster a tiered industrial cluster pattern across the country, nurturing globally competitive leading enterprises and specialized small and medium-sized enterprises, thus transforming China from an industrial power to an industrial stronghold [3].

截至2025年11月25日收盘，航空航天ETF天弘(159241)换手18.14%，位居深市同类产品第一，成交9732.01 万元，市场交投活跃。跟踪的国证航天航空行业指数(CN5082)下跌0.46%。成分股方面涨跌互现，航天发 展(000547)领涨3.37%，国博电子(688375)上涨3.16%，上海瀚讯(300762)上涨2.70%。 3、天弘基金直击亚洲通航展！ 拉长时间看，截至11月25日，航空航天ETF天弘(159241)近17个交易日合计"吸金"4402.10万元。 【产品亮点】 航空航天ETF天弘(159241)跟踪的国证航天指数精准覆盖了空天产业链。其中，航空装备与航天装备的权 重合计超过73%，是全市场"含航量"最高的军工指数。其前十大重仓股包括航发动力、中航沈飞、中航成 飞等央企龙头企业，既具备核心资产的稳定性，又拥有中小市值的成长弹性。 【热点事件】 1、国家新兴产业发展示范基地创建工作启动，聚焦低空装备、航空航天等领域 近日，工业和信息化部印发通知，启动国家新兴产业发展示范基地创建工作。示范基地面向2035年和"十 五五"时期国家发展战略，聚焦新一代信息技术、新能源、新材料、生物 ...

Core Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has initiated the creation of national emerging industry development demonstration bases, focusing on key sectors such as new generation information technology, new energy, new materials, and high-end equipment [1] - In October, high-tech industry sales revenue in China grew by 13.6% year-on-year, with both high-tech service and manufacturing sectors maintaining double-digit growth [1] - The State Council's recent policy aims for deep integration of artificial intelligence with six key sectors by 2027, positioning the digital economy as a significant growth driver by 2030 [1] Industry Performance - High-tech service industry sales revenue increased by over 10% year-on-year [1] - High-tech manufacturing sales revenue also saw a similar growth rate, indicating robust performance across these sectors [1] - Specific sectors such as integrated circuits, industrial robots, and drone manufacturing reported significant year-on-year sales growth of 32.5%, 41.7%, and 38.4% respectively [1] Policy and Strategic Direction - The State Council's "Artificial Intelligence +" action plan outlines measures to enhance foundational capabilities, aiming for extensive integration of AI into key sectors by 2027 [1] - By 2030, the digital economy is expected to become a crucial growth engine for economic development, with a vision for a fully digital economy and smart society by 2035 [1] - There is a recognized need to enhance self-sufficiency in areas potentially subject to foreign control, such as advanced computing chips and large-scale computing facilities [4]