在当前"低利率、低利差、高波动"的环境下，近30万亿存续规模的银行理财市场正迎接着新趋势和新挑 战。 "今年一季度理财规模下降符合季节性规律。从季度来看，全年理财规模的增量主要来自于二三季度， 一季度理财规模增长的时候不多。银行普遍有存款开门红的习惯，在一季度对于存款的需求会更多一 些。"华源证券研究所所长助理、首席分析师廖志明在接受《金融时报》记者时还提到，今年理财市场 收益表现不及往年，"市场波动降低了理财产品对老百姓的吸引力，特别是2月份到3月份上旬债市波动 对理财净值产生了一定影响"。 银行业理财登记托管中心近日发布的《中国银行业理财市场季度报告(2025年一季度)》(以下简称《报 告》)显示，截至今年一季度末，全市场存续规模29.14万亿元，同比增加9.41%。不过，受季末回表、 理财产品收益率下行等多重因素影响，一季度末银行理财市场存续规模较2024年末相比下降0.81万亿 元。 2025年，银行理财存续规模仍有望突破30万亿元关口。然而也要看到，规模变化的背后，理财市场长期 赖以生存的"高收益、不波动"商业模式迎接巨大挑战，银行理财面临着稳规模、稳净值的压力。面对这 一问题，理财公司不约而同给出 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent strategy meeting highlighted the investment opportunities in the banking wealth management market amidst high volatility, emphasizing the importance of rational investment strategies and asset allocation [1][6]. Group 1: Investment Strategies - Wang Dong from Huayin Wealth Management suggests that investors should rationally view short-term market fluctuations and focus on assets with stable cash flows [1][7]. - The necessity of equity investment in wealth management products is emphasized, as pure fixed-income products fail to capture the benefits of corporate asset appreciation [2][4]. - A diversified investment portfolio should include both linear and non-linear tools to balance risk and return, adapting to the high volatility of financial assets [7]. Group 2: Asset Allocation - Wang Dong identifies three key considerations for equity investment: ensuring options are not overly expensive, avoiding valuation traps by selecting high-quality companies, and frequently rebalancing equity positions due to the short duration of wealth management products [4][6]. - Multi-asset and multi-strategy approaches are recommended to enhance portfolio robustness and achieve long-term compounding advantages [5][6]. - The importance of matching client profiles with product positioning is highlighted, ensuring that investment strategies align with individual risk preferences and market conditions [7]. Group 3: Market Analysis - The global market has experienced significant turbulence, with a notable decline in U.S. stocks and bonds, while Chinese assets have remained stable, indicating a shift in macroeconomic narratives [6][7]. - The current environment is characterized by rising geopolitical risks and a potential historical turning point, necessitating a cautious approach to investment [6][7]. - Investors are encouraged to embrace stable cash flow assets and consider long-term strategies that capitalize on structural opportunities amidst uncertainty [7].

文 ｜ 闻天 王亦琛 唐栋国 赵文荣 何旺岚 郭佳昕 张子辰 2 0 2 5年一季度公募"固收+"基金规模回升至1 . 6 1万亿元。从发行情况来看，"固收+"基金平均募集 规模亦有回暖，其中混合债券型二级基金平均募集规模由1 5 . 2 2亿元上升至2 0 . 6 4亿元。配置方 面，"固收+"基金股票仓位无明显变化，转债仓位稍有下降，二级债基与偏债混合型基金均大幅加 仓有色行业。公募固收与混合类FOF开始转向发挥FOF投资的优势，利用商品基金、QDII基金、 长久期债券ETF等工具构建多资产配置策略。 ▍ 行业格局及发展：公募固收产品总规模小幅回落，"固收+"基金规模回升。 一季度公募固收类基金管理规模与管理份额分别为1 0 . 3 7万亿元和9 . 2 7万亿份，相较2 0 2 4年末规 模小幅回落。其中，主动纯债型基金总规模约为7 . 5 2万亿元，相较2 0 2 4年末减少5 5 6 0亿元，环 比下滑6 . 8 8%。"固收+"基金管理总规模为1 . 6 1万亿元，相较2 0 2 4年末增加1 5 1 4亿元。从细分品 类上看，混合债券型二级基金、混合债券型一级基金（固收+）和可转换债券型基金规模 ...

Core Viewpoint - The bond market experienced a significant adjustment in the first quarter of this year, with the China Bond Index falling by 0.79%. However, it began to stabilize towards the end of March, impacting the performance of various financial products [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The average net value growth rate for RMB fixed-income financial products in Q1 was 0.51%, translating to an annualized rate of only 2.04% [1]. - Foreign currency fixed-income products maintained relatively higher returns, with an average net value growth rate of 1.04% in Q1, equating to an annualized rate of approximately 4.16% [1]. - Equity products outperformed others, achieving an average net value growth rate of 2.81% in Q1 [1]. Group 2: Break-even Rates - As of the end of March, there were 22,169 public financial products, with 237 products having a cumulative net value below 1, resulting in a break-even ratio of 1.07%, which is an increase of 0.17 percentage points from the end of 2024 [1][3]. - The break-even rate for public financial products showed a trend of rising in January and February, followed by a decline in March, likely due to the stabilization of the bond market [1]. Group 3: Company-Specific Performance - Companies with higher break-even rates for public financial products included ICBC Wealth Management, BlackRock CCB Wealth Management, and Schroder Jiao Yin Wealth Management, with ICBC primarily having mixed financial products [3]. - Seven financial companies reported a break-even rate of 0, including Bank of China Wealth Management and Goldman Sachs ICBC Wealth Management, indicating strong performance in their public financial products [5]. - Companies like Agricultural Bank of China Wealth Management and CCB Wealth Management had lower average net value growth rates for their RMB fixed-income products in Q1 [9].

上市银行年报季收官，银行理财子公司2024年经营业绩"浮出水面"。据梳理，2024年，理财公司业绩普遍回暖，已披 露数据的24家理财公司合计实现净利润282.48亿元，同比增长8.56%，其中半数以上理财公司净利润增速超过10%，7 家增速超20%。 股份行理财子公司继续稳居首位，2024年招银理财、兴银理财、信银理财包揽净利润前三名，净利润均超过20亿元， 分别为27.39亿元、26.94亿元、24.92亿元，此外浦银理财净利润增速领先，全年实现净利润11.61亿元，同比增长 158.57%。 同时，2024年理财产品管理规模也显著提升，据企业预警通梳理，当前已有31家理财公司披露数据，合计管理的理财 产品余额达26.38万亿元，同比增幅达16.77%，其中25家理财规模增速均超10%，10家增速超过30%。理财规模"万 亿"阵容迎新，由2023年的11家增至13家，新成员分别是中邮理财、民生理财。 净利润普涨：股份行理财子领跑，国有行理财子发力 在理财规模回升及债市行情推动等因素影响下，理财公司2024年业绩普遍呈现回暖态势。据梳理，随着母行年报的发 布，目前已有24家理财公司披露主要业绩指标，合计净利润 ...

Core Insights - In Q1 2025, the issuance of net value-based wealth management products increased significantly, with 31 companies issuing 5,148 products, a year-on-year increase of over 30% compared to 3,931 products in Q1 2024 [1][3] - The proportion of open-ended net value products rose to 38.4%, an increase of 12.39 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a shift towards more flexible investment options [1][3] - The average fundraising scale per product decreased by over 25% to 215 million yuan, down from 293 million yuan in Q1 2024, reflecting a challenging fundraising environment [7][8] Product Structure - The investment nature of newly issued products shows that fixed-income products accounted for 97.8%, a slight decrease of 0.95 percentage points, while mixed products increased to 1.6% [3] - The duration of new products has become shorter, with products under one month now representing the second-largest investment period type at 21.2%, up 3.33 percentage points year-on-year [1][3] - Closed-end net value products have seen a significant decline, dropping below 70% to 61.6%, compared to 73.99% in the same period last year [3] Pricing Trends - The performance benchmark for wealth management products continues to decline, with short-term product pricing dropping by over 10 basis points compared to the end of 2024 [5] - By March 2025, the pricing for products with durations of one month or less, one to three months, and one to two years reached their lowest points, reflecting a challenging market environment [5] Fundraising Scale - The total fundraising scale for newly issued products in Q1 2025 was approximately 887.46 billion yuan, with the average fundraising scale per product at 215 million yuan, indicating a significant decrease from the previous year [7][8] - The "An Ying Xiang Fixed Income Stable Profit 14-Month Closed-End 134" product from Xinyin Wealth Management became the first product in 2025 to exceed 10 billion yuan in fundraising, showcasing strong market demand [8][9]

昨天说过，今晚要继续加更一篇，主要是想解读一下本周三个很有热度的新闻。 一是周五晚上，金融监管总局发布的通知， 允许保险公司对万能险产品，调整最低保证利率 ，这对保险行业，有很深远的影响； 二是上周，交易商协会发布的， 债券估值业务自律指引 ，对银行理财、信用债、以及整个资管市场，都会有很明确的连锁反应； 三是这两天，媒体在炒的，全球最大的主权基金—— 挪威养老基金，一季度炒股"巨亏"的消息 ，我们还原一下新闻背后的实际逻辑，并谈谈对 投资的启发。 废话不多说，直接步入主题。 另外，提醒一下， 昨晚的文章里有抽奖 ，抽价值200多块的星巴克杯子，一共20个，现在是600多条评论，中奖概率在3%左右，明天一早9点截止，现在 还能去留个言，做大分母。 ...... 一、保险行业要变天了吗？ 新闻是这样的，我直接贴一下图。 我们不是专门聊保险的账号，之前也说过，这个账号不会向大家推销任何的保险产品，所以，这个通知，对大家销售或者购买具体的保险，有什么影响， 不是我们要聊的重点， 主要和大家谈一些，更加宏观的事实 ，分以下几点。 1、"万能险"这个名字，一开始就是翻译错的 。万能险的英文名，叫"Universal L ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 光大研究一周热榜，精选"光溯" 小程序本周阅读量前十研报。 No.1 FEEE 聆听光的声音/洞悉光的观察/了解光的态度 以LED照明驱动为基，外延并购打造增长新动能一 -晶丰明源（688368.SH）跟踪报告之六 朱宇澍,刘凯 公司动态 2025-04-20 我们维持公司25-27年归母净利润预测为1.17/2.05/3.09亿元, 营收为19.12/23.11/26.03亿元，25-27年对应PS分别为5.2/4.3 /3.8X。考虑到①公司通过内生外延打开成长空间：；②在A股 模拟公司中市销率较低；③当前关税战背景下，公司产品国产 化替代进程有望加速。综合以上因素，上调公司评级至"买入"。 长按识别小程序码进入 光大证券小程序 ...

受债市阶段性调整、季末理财回表等多因素叠加影响，银行理财一季度末规模较年初明显回落。 日前，银行业理财登记托管中心发布的《中国银行业理财市场季度报告（2025年一季度）》（以下简称 《理财市场一季报》）显示，截至2025年一季度末，全市场银行理财存续规模为29.14万亿元，较年初 下降约8100亿元，其中理财公司规模较年初减少约5700亿元。此外，证券时报记者此前获得的数据显 示，规模排名前14的理财公司及其母行存续产品规模，仅今年3月单月的存续余额就减少逾1万亿元。 值得注意的是，进入4月，银行理财规模强势回升。同时，存款搬家现象有望进一步为银行理财带来增 量资金。 规模回落约8100亿元 《理财市场一季报》显示，截至今年一季度末，全市场共有存续产品4.06万只，同比增加0.67%；存续 规模为29.14万亿元，同比增加9.41%。其中，理财公司旗下理财产品存续规模占全市场的比重达 88.33%。 从环比数据来看，今年3月末全市场存续产品规模较年初有较大回落，下降约8100亿元。其中，理财公 司规模环比下降约5700亿元，合计存续余额为25.74万亿元。 事实上，今年一季度规模的回落主要来自3月份：受降准降 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the current state and trends in the banking wealth management industry, emphasizing the performance of various financial products and the ongoing transformation within the sector [1]. Market Review - The bond market shows a balanced and slightly loose pricing environment, with the DR007 weighted average at 1.69% and the 10-year government bond yield at 1.65%. The equity market remains resilient, with the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index increasing by 1.19% and 0.59% respectively [2]. Break-even Situation - The break-even rate for fixed-income wealth management products continues to decline, with a comprehensive break-even rate of 0.93%. The break-even rates for equity and mixed products slightly decreased to 60.53% and 9.03%, while fixed-income public products maintained a low break-even rate of 0.35% [3]. New Issuance Situation - In the week from April 14 to April 20, 31 wealth management companies issued a total of 447 products, with the top three issuers being Ping An Bank Wealth Management, Huaxia Wealth Management, and Minsheng Wealth Management [4]. Product Structure - The newly issued products are primarily R2 (medium-low risk), closed-end net value type, and fixed-income public products. There were no new equity products issued, but a noteworthy "fixed income + equity" product series was launched by Bank of China Wealth Management [6]. Yield Situation - The average net value growth rate for fixed-income wealth management products was 0.0709%, while mixed and equity products saw average growth rates of 0.2379% and 1.6342% respectively. The highest growth rate among fixed-income products was 0.1231% for those with a maturity of over three years [9]. Cash Products - The average annualized yield for cash products in RMB, USD, and AUD was 1.523%, 3.964%, and 3.24% respectively [10]. Negative Yield Situation - Approximately 4.99% of RMB public wealth management products experienced negative returns in the past week, with the highest negative yield observed in financial derivatives at 66.67% [13]. Industry Hotspots - 28 wealth management companies reported an equity investment scale slightly exceeding 500 billion, with over one-third of institutions having zero scale in existing equity products. The total scale of mixed and equity products was 4493.37 billion, with equity products only accounting for 267.75 billion [16]. Industry Scale - As of the end of Q1 2025, the total scale of bank wealth management products reached 29.14 trillion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.41%. There were 215 banking institutions and 31 wealth management companies with active products [17]. Participation in Capital Market - Everbright Wealth Management participated in a directed issuance project for a listed company, marking the first instance of bank wealth management funds directly investing in such projects. This move is expected to enhance investor confidence and promote stable long-term development in the capital market [18].