Group 1 - Recent economic data has been leaning dovish, paving the way for the Federal Reserve to initiate a rate cut cycle, with significant signals from Powell and a historic downward revision of non-farm employment by 910,000 [1] - The expectation of rate cuts is enhancing the attractiveness of precious metals by suppressing the dollar and real interest rates, leading to a strong performance in silver, which has seen a notable increase due to both gold's rise and a correction in the gold-silver ratio [1] - As of September 12, gold futures rose by 0.58% to $3,694.8 per ounce, while silver increased by 1.37% to $42.730 per ounce, with domestic silver prices breaking the 10,000 yuan per kilogram mark, reaching a historical high [1] Group 2 - The latest data shows that the U.S. August CPI rose by 2.9% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month, with core CPI at 3.1% year-on-year and 0.3% month-on-month, indicating persistent inflation without deterioration [2] - Initial jobless claims surged to 263,000, the highest in nearly four years, signaling a slowdown in the labor market, which reinforces expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week and supports the potential for three cumulative cuts by year-end [2] - Treasury Secretary Becerra is engaging with potential Federal Reserve chair candidates and is advocating for a "organic" approach to reducing the balance sheet, aiming to carefully cut the Fed's substantial bond holdings and lessen economic intervention [2] Group 3 - Precious metals are expected to continue a volatile upward trend in the medium to long term, with short-term gold prices projected to fluctuate between $3,550 and $3,730 per ounce, corresponding to domestic gold prices between 790 and 845 yuan per gram [3] - Silver prices are closely monitored around the $43 per ounce resistance level, with a potential target of $45 per ounce if a breakthrough occurs, translating to approximately 10,150 yuan per kilogram domestically [3] - The suggested strategy is to gradually accumulate positions on dips in the market [3]

Group 1: U.S. Economic Data Interpretation - U.S. CPI data exceeded expectations, with August's adjusted monthly CPI at 0.4%, the highest since January, and annual CPI at 2.9%, up from 2.7% [1] - Initial jobless claims rose to 263,000, the highest since October 2021, indicating a potential weakening in the U.S. job market [1] Group 2: Major Asset Price Trends - Gold prices rebounded after initial declines, closing at $3633.75 per ounce, while silver showed stronger performance with a 0.96% increase [2] - The U.S. dollar index fell to 97.47, supporting the rebound in precious metals, while U.S. Treasury yields reflected cautious economic outlook [2] Group 3: Energy Market - International oil prices declined, with WTI crude down 2.28% to $61.73 per barrel, amid concerns over demand [3] Group 4: Global Policy Movements and Market Events - The European Central Bank maintained interest rates at 2%, adjusting inflation forecasts for 2025 and 2026, indicating short-term inflation pressures [5] - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower rates by 25 basis points in September, influenced by rising jobless claims and stable core PCE inflation [6] Group 5: International Trade and Economic Cooperation - The U.S. and Japan agreed to enhance economic cooperation and maintain discussions on macroeconomic and foreign exchange market dynamics [7] - Switzerland is exploring options to mitigate the impact of U.S. tariffs on its gold industry by potentially establishing local processing facilities [8]

Fundamental Analysis - Gold prices have shown strong performance, rebounding to around $3,646 after a slight decline to $3,632.49, following a record high of $3,674.36 earlier in the week, marking a 38% increase year-to-date, driven by geopolitical risks, inflation pressures, and U.S. economic data expectations [1] - The U.S. bond and stock markets have reacted positively, reinforcing the expectation of interest rate cuts, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping to a five-month low of 3.994% and closing at 4.015%, while the two-year yield fell to 3.531% [1] - The market anticipates an average inflation rate of 2.4% over the next decade, slightly above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, providing a favorable environment for gold as an inflation hedge [1] Economic Data - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August rose 2.9% year-over-year, the highest in seven months, while initial jobless claims surged to 263,000, indicating a weakening labor market [3] - The CPI's month-over-month increase of 0.4% exceeded expectations, and the core CPI remained at a high of 0.3%, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures despite signs of economic slowdown [3] - The significant rise in jobless claims and the lower-than-expected non-farm payroll increase of 22,000 jobs highlight a cooling economic momentum, which has overshadowed inflation concerns and supported gold prices [3] Federal Reserve Policy - The consensus in the market indicates a 100% probability of a rate cut at the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, with a 91% chance of a 25 basis point cut [4] - The European Central Bank's decision to maintain interest rates and positive outlook on the Eurozone economy has weakened the dollar, making gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies [4] - Overall, the gold market demonstrates resilience amid economic data and policy expectations, with soft labor market data, a weaker dollar, and optimistic responses from the bond and stock markets providing solid support for gold prices [4] Technical Analysis - On the daily chart, gold prices showed a small entity close, indicating strength, with a potential continuation of upward momentum if the price breaks above $3,660 [7] - Short-term movements suggest a recovery from a high of $3,675, with indications of stability and potential upward movement in the current trading session [7] - Traders are advised to monitor key levels around $3,638/$3,630 for potential long positions, with targets set at $3,660 and $3,690 [7]

Market Overview - International gold prices experienced a rebound on September 10, opening at $3645.53 per ounce, reaching a high of $3657.50, a low of $3618.74, and closing at $3644.43 [1] Economic Data - The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for August recorded a month-on-month decrease of 0.1%, below the market expectation of 0.3%, and a previous value of 0.7% [2] - The year-on-year PPI for August was 2.6%, also below the market expectation of 3.3% and the previous value of 3.1% [2] - The data indicates a significant reduction in inflationary pressures, leading traders to speculate on potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [4] Federal Reserve Insights - Following the lower-than-expected PPI, market expectations have shifted towards the Federal Reserve initiating a series of interest rate cuts, starting with a 25 basis point reduction in the upcoming meeting [4] - The market is pricing in a 92% probability of a 25 basis point cut in September, with an 8% chance of a 50 basis point cut [10] - The core PPI, excluding food and energy, saw its largest month-on-month decline in a decade [4] Inventory Data - The U.S. wholesale inventory for July increased by 0.1%, revised from a previous value of 0.2%, while durable goods inventories fell by 0.2% [5] - Non-durable goods inventories rose significantly by 0.7%, with notable increases in pharmaceuticals (1.8%), clothing (1.9%), and grocery items (2.0%) [5] - The inventory-to-sales ratio decreased to 1.28 from 1.29 in June, indicating a healthier sales environment [5] Political Developments - The Trump administration is appealing a federal judge's ruling that temporarily blocks the dismissal of Federal Reserve Governor Cook, which could impact the Fed's independence in setting interest rates [6] - The Senate Banking Committee has voted along party lines to support the nomination of Stephen Milan as a short-term Federal Reserve governor, aiming for confirmation before the next interest rate decision [7] Trade and Geopolitical Issues - President Trump has reportedly requested the EU to impose tariffs of up to 100% on India and China as a strategy to pressure Russia regarding the Ukraine conflict [8] - Tensions between the U.S. and Israel have surfaced, with Trump expressing disappointment over Israel's actions against Hamas in Qatar, indicating potential strains in U.S.-Israel relations [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the volatility of gold prices during the non-farm payroll (NFP) data release, highlighting the dual nature of opportunities and risks for investors in this context [3]. Group 1: Impact of Non-Farm Data on Gold Prices - Non-farm data directly reflects the U.S. economic situation and influences gold price movements: positive data increases expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, strengthening the dollar and suppressing gold prices; negative data raises risk aversion, providing an opportunity for gold to rise [3]. - The upcoming non-farm data is particularly sensitive as it relates to the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rate cuts in September, potentially triggering significant price movements in gold [3]. Group 2: Advantages of Leading Global Platform - Leading Global offers three core advantages that create a "safety barrier" for non-farm investment: 1. Rapid trading response to lock in key price points, utilizing the MT5 trading system for efficient order execution and 24/7 trading support [4]. 2. Comprehensive strategy support throughout the trading cycle, including pre-release reports on ADP data and unemployment claims, real-time expert analysis during the data release, and post-event summaries to help investors learn from their experiences [5]. 3. Low entry barriers for investment, allowing individuals to start trading gold with as little as 70 yuan, catering to various investment scales, and offering demo accounts for beginners to familiarize themselves with the trading process [6]. Group 3: Trust in Leading Global - A professional gold trading platform is essential for investors to navigate market volatility and achieve returns, with Leading Global's over ten years of experience in precious metals trading providing a stable trading system, professional strategy support, and comprehensive risk control [7].

Market Overview - The US dollar index is trading around 98.17, while spot silver opened at $40.66/oz and is currently around $40.72/oz. The silver T+D is trading at approximately 9752 CNY/kg, and the main Shanghai silver contract is at 9767 CNY/kg. Key focus today includes the US unemployment rate for August, adjusted non-farm payrolls, and average hourly wage changes [1] - On September 4, the dollar index rose by 0.13% to close at 98.27. Spot silver closed at $40.62/oz, down 1.38%, as the August "small non-farm" data fell short of expectations, causing silver to drop below $41/oz. Spot gold also saw a decline of 0.38% to $3545.53/oz, ending a seven-day rally [1] Silver Market Data - The SLV silver ETF holdings decreased by 50.83 tons to 15230.57 tons compared to the previous trading day [2] - On September 4, the payment direction for deferred compensation fees was Ag(T+D)—short paying long [2] Economic Indicators - The US August "small non-farm" payrolls recorded an increase of 54,000, below the expected 65,000, with the previous value revised from 104,000 to 106,000. Initial jobless claims rose to 237,000, the highest level since June [3] - The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage in the US fell to 6.5%, the lowest since October 17 of the previous year, down from 6.56% the previous week. This decline may attract hesitant homebuyers, although many are still waiting for more significant rate cuts [4] Silver Price Analysis - The silver market opened at 41.191, experienced a slight rise to 41.221, and then saw a strong pullback, reaching a low of 40.387 before closing at 40.658. The market is currently awaiting non-farm payroll results, with suggested trading positions around 39.5 and targets set at 40.5, 40.7, and 41-41.2 [4]

Group 1: Market Overview - The international spot gold market is experiencing a strong volatile pattern in 2025, with the latest data showing London gold at $3557.54 per ounce as of September 4, reflecting a 5.7% increase from $3364.82 on August 25, 2025, with an intraday fluctuation of $28, indicating high market activity [1] - A joint report from Wall Street and Bybit indicates that London gold has reached a new record high of $3508 per ounce in 2025, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut on September 17, with predictions that prices may approach $4000 by year-end [1] - The World Gold Council reported that global central banks purchased a net 24 tons of gold in February 2025, with Poland and China continuing to increase their holdings, providing medium to long-term support for gold prices [1] Group 2: Trading Platforms and Compliance - In light of high volatility in international spot gold, selecting compliant trading channels is crucial for risk management, with Gold盛贵金属 being a member of the Hong Kong Gold Exchange, allowing verification through a compliance query tool [3] - Gold盛贵金属's platform ensures customer funds are independently stored in licensed banks in Hong Kong, utilizing SSL encryption technology, which serves as a "double insurance" for funds, distinguishing between compliant and non-compliant channels [3] Group 3: Trading Tools and Cost Management - In Q2 2025, the global average daily trading volume of gold reached $329 billion, with compliant platforms accounting for 79% of spot trading volume, making a compliant trading app essential for investors [4] - Gold盛贵金属's mobile app supports flexible trading from 0.01 to 20 lots, allowing beginners to start with small amounts, and includes a price alert feature to help investors adjust strategies during high volatility periods [4] - The trading cost directly impacts profitability, with Gold盛贵金属 offering a $30 per lot spread discount and zero commission policy, potentially saving about $50 per standard lot based on recent price fluctuations [5] Group 4: Investment Risks and Strategies - New investors in London gold should be aware of three main traps: avoiding unregulated platforms, understanding leverage risks, and being mindful of hidden costs such as overnight interest [6] - It is recommended to use compliant platforms and scientific strategies as the core for profitability during the high volatility period of gold prices in 2025 [6]

Core Insights - The price of London gold has surged to $3,390.91 per ounce as of August 28, 2025, marking a 26.9% increase since the beginning of the year, with 21 new historical highs reached within the year [1] - The rise in gold prices is primarily driven by two factors: the Federal Reserve's dovish signals indicating an 85% probability of a rate cut in September and ongoing global geopolitical risks that have led to increased safe-haven investments in gold [3] - The demand for regulated trading platforms has significantly increased due to the high volatility in gold prices, as investors seek to avoid risks associated with unregulated platforms [3] Industry Trends - The Hong Kong Gold and Silver Exchange's AA Class member, Gold盛贵金属有限公司, is highlighted as a reputable trading platform, providing a secure trading environment with transaction codes for verification [4] - The importance of regulatory qualifications for trading platforms is emphasized as a critical safety measure for investors, especially in a volatile market [4] - New investors are advised to prioritize platforms with authoritative regulatory qualifications, manage their positions scientifically, and maintain a habit of continuous learning to navigate the gold market effectively [6]

Group 1: Impact of Non-Farm Data on Gold Prices - Non-farm data releases can cause significant volatility in the gold market, with a negative correlation between gold and the US dollar [1] - Strong non-farm data typically leads to a decline in gold prices as it suggests a healthy economic recovery and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve [1] - Conversely, weak non-farm data indicates economic slowdown, leading to expectations of monetary easing and a rise in gold prices as it becomes a safe-haven asset [1] Group 2: Market Reactions to Non-Farm Data - If non-farm data falls short of expectations but is not entirely weak, the gold market may experience a choppy trading environment, resulting in unclear price direction [2] Group 3: Company Support for Investors - The company, Lingsheng Precious Metals, offers a reliable trading platform that allows investors to quickly observe gold price fluctuations and achieve significant investment results in a short time [3] - As a member of the Hong Kong Gold Exchange, Lingsheng has maintained a leading position for 14 years, providing timely market information and real-time analysis during non-farm data releases [4] - The platform utilizes the globally recognized MT4 trading system, ensuring stability and rapid order execution during volatile market conditions [5] Group 4: Trading Strategies and Risk Management - Lingsheng Precious Metals provides a variety of trading strategies and risk management tools, enabling investors to respond swiftly to market changes following non-farm data releases [6] - The platform supports flexible risk control measures, allowing for low-threshold trading starting from 0.01 lots, which helps investors seize more profit opportunities [6] Group 5: Summary of Non-Farm Trading Insights - Non-farm data not only triggers short-term volatility in gold prices but also influences long-term interest rate decisions, providing directional clues for future price movements [7] - The company emphasizes the importance of making decisive actions in a rapidly changing market, supported by its precise market analysis and advanced trading technology [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant impact of the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll data on the gold market, with gold prices recently breaking the $3500 mark, indicating a potential for further volatility and investment opportunities [1][2][3]. Group 2 - Non-farm payroll data is considered a key economic indicator that reflects the vitality of the U.S. economy, influencing both the dollar and gold prices. A strong report typically boosts the dollar and suppresses gold, while a weak report increases demand for gold as a safe haven [2][3]. - The non-farm payroll data set to be released on September 5 is crucial, with expectations of around 75,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate potentially rising to 4.3%, indicating a cooling job market. This data will significantly affect market sentiment and the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision [2][3]. - Since August, gold prices have risen sharply, with spot gold climbing from $3281 to over $3500, marking a nearly 5% increase for the month, driven by multiple factors including shifts in Federal Reserve policy expectations and geopolitical risks [3]. Group 3 - Three potential scenarios for the gold market following the non-farm payroll data release are outlined: 1. Strong data (over 100,000 new jobs, unemployment rate ≤ 4.1%) could strengthen the dollar and pressure gold prices, although limited downside is expected due to global risk factors [4]. 2. Weak data (fewer than 75,000 new jobs, unemployment rate ≥ 4.3%) would likely lead to a weaker dollar and a surge in gold prices, potentially breaking historical highs [5]. 3. Data in line with expectations (around 75,000 new jobs) may result in market fluctuations, with investors focusing on additional indicators to gauge future interest rate directions [6]. Group 4 - The company provides four strategic recommendations for investors navigating the volatile non-farm payroll data release: 1. Track expectations ahead of the data release to formulate operational strategies based on market consensus [7]. 2. Prioritize risk management by establishing clear stop-loss and take-profit strategies, adjusting positions based on risk tolerance [8]. 3. Monitor Federal Reserve movements closely, as non-farm data can influence monetary policy and long-term gold price support [9]. 4. Adjust investment strategies flexibly post-data release, avoiding impulsive trading decisions during high volatility [10]. Group 5 - The company, Huangyu Precious Metals, is a registered dealer in the Hong Kong Gold Exchange, holding the highest AA trading license, and has established itself as a trusted platform for gold trading through over a decade of stable operations [11].