Group 1 - Company Hengda New Materials announced on January 5 that it has repurchased approximately 370,000 shares, accounting for 0.4109% of its total share capital, through a centralized bidding transaction [1] - The maximum transaction price for the repurchased shares was 32.66 yuan per share, while the minimum price was 26.35 yuan per share [1] - The total amount spent on the share repurchase was approximately 10.19 million yuan [1] Group 2 - The iMoutai App saw a surge in popularity, reaching the top of the Apple shopping chart, with 100,000 users placing orders for the product [1] - The limited stock of 1,499 yuan Flying Moutai sold out quickly, with distributors offering the same price as a promotional gesture, leading to the rapid sale of 1,000 boxes [1]

Group 1 - The State Council issued the "Solid Waste Comprehensive Governance Action Plan" to strengthen environmental law enforcement and supervision, aiming to combat illegal activities related to solid waste [1] - The plan emphasizes strict enforcement of laws and regulations regarding solid waste pollution prevention and establishes a cross-departmental regulatory mechanism to address illegal dumping across provinces [1] Group 2 - ByteDance reported internal violations for Q3 2025, with 120 employees dismissed for breaching company policies, including 14 individuals referred to judicial authorities for criminal offenses [1] - The company has communicated the information to industry alliances and revoked stock options for the involved employees [1] Group 3 - 25 A-share listed companies, including Shunxin Agriculture and CITIC Securities, revised their ESG guidelines or management measures during the specified period [2] - Companies like Dongsheng Technology and Crystal Optoelectronics have set clear responsibilities for ESG management and accountability for failing to meet ESG targets [2] Group 4 - Yibin Paper announced plans to appeal a criminal judgment regarding its subsidiary Huijie Environmental Protection, which was fined 100,000 RMB for environmental pollution [3] - The company believes there were errors in the judgment and intends to seek a retrial [3] Group 5 - A total of 3,767 A-share listed companies distributed cash dividends amounting to 2.6 trillion RMB in 2025 [5] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China led the dividend payouts with 160.169 billion RMB, followed by China Construction Bank with 149.359 billion RMB and Agricultural Bank of China with 126.484 billion RMB [5]

商 品 研 究 2026 年 01 月 05 日 纸浆：宽幅震荡 20260105 | | | 表 1：基本面数据 | 项目 | | 项目名称 | 昨日数据 | 前日数据 | 变动幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 纸浆主力 | 日盘收盘价(元/吨) | 5.532 | 5. 568 | -36 | | | | 夜盘收盘价(元/吨) | - | 5, 554 | | | | | 成交量(手) | 258. 678 | 301. 862 | -43. 184 | | | (05合约) | 持仓量 (手) | 206. 636 | 218, 046 | -11. 410 | | | | 仓单数量(吨) | 104. 487 | 103.990 | +497 | | | | 前20名会员净持仓(手) | -23, 481 | -23, 560 | +79 | | 价差数据 | 基差 | 银星-期货主力 | ୧୫ | 32 | +36 | | | | 金鱼-期货主力(非标) | -832 | -898 | +66 | | | 月差 | SP03-SP ...

Core Viewpoint - Yueyang Lin Paper has entered the bio-based new materials sector by signing a sales contract for 1,500 absolute dry tons of needle solid lignin, which is expected to positively impact the company's annual operating performance [2][3][6]. Group 1: Contract and Production Capacity - The contract with Hunan Green Jun New Materials is set to supply the lignin by the end of 2026, and it is classified as a routine operational contract with no related party transactions involved [3][4]. - Currently, the production capacity of the subsidiary, Jun Tai Technology, has reached 20,000 tons of needle high-purity lignin, with a utilization rate of 100% [6]. Group 2: Production Process and Applications - Jun Tai Technology utilizes agricultural and forestry residues and black liquor from pulping as raw materials, adopting a green production model that emphasizes waste reuse [5]. - The primary application of the sold lignin is in non-ferrous metal smelting, with future plans to expand into high-end functional materials and dispersants [5][6]. Group 3: Market Context and Challenges - The bio-based new materials sector, particularly lignin, is gaining attention due to favorable policies under the "14th Five-Year Plan," which includes new materials as a strategic emerging industry [2][12]. - Despite the potential, the lignin market has not yet formed a significant scale, and there are existing technological bottlenecks in high-value lignin applications that need to be addressed [2][12]. - The global industrial lignin production is currently around 5 million tons annually, with lignin often being a byproduct in industrial processes [7].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the release of the "Recycled Materials Application Promotion Action Plan," which aims to enhance the supply capacity, application intensity, management systems, and promotion policies for recycled materials, establishing a clear roadmap for increasing the application ratio of recycled materials [1][2] - The plan emphasizes the importance of promoting recycled materials as a key pathway for achieving green and low-carbon transformation, resource security, and carbon peak and neutrality goals [1][2] - China has established the world's largest and most comprehensive resource recycling and reuse system, with significant annual processing capacities for various recycled materials, including 180 million tons of scrap steel, 63 million tons of recycled pulp, 16.4 million tons of recycled plastics, and 19.15 million tons of major recycled non-ferrous metals [1][2] Group 2 - The "Action Plan" focuses on key sectors such as steel, non-ferrous metals, plastics, and paper, with targets set for 2030, including recycling volumes of over 300 million tons of scrap steel and 8 million tons of waste paper, and annual production of over 25 million tons of recycled non-ferrous metals and 19.5 million tons of recycled plastics [2] - The plan identifies specific industries, including automobiles, electronics, textiles, and packaging, as priorities for the application of recycled materials, encouraging leading enterprises to develop implementation plans for promoting recycled materials [2][3] - The initiative aims to provide new directions for developing new productive forces, align with international trade trends, and create new scenarios for promoting a green and low-carbon lifestyle [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content 2. Report's Core View - The paper pulp market is expected to continue a wide - range oscillatory trend in the short term, with supply pressure from high port inventories and weak demand in the downstream raw paper market. The market lacks a breakthrough driver, and a weak balance has formed between long and short factors. Attention should be paid to the update of foreign offers and the post - holiday start - up and raw material replenishment plans of large downstream paper mills [93]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Industry News - As of January 4, 2026, the pulp inventory in Changshu Port was 548,000 tons, an increase of 80,000 tons from the previous period, a 17.1% month - on - month increase; the pulp inventory in Qingdao Port was 1.339 million tons, an increase of 14,000 tons from the previous week, a 1.1% month - on - month increase; the pulp inventory in Gaolan Port was 21,000 tons, a decrease of 12,000 tons from the previous week, a 36.4% month - on - month decrease [5][6]. - In November 2025, the European port pulp inventory decreased by 1.07% month - on - month and 2.80% year - on - year; the global pulp outbound volume decreased by 3.61% month - on - month and 6.90% year - on - year [48]. - In late December 2025, domestic white cardboard and food packaging paper industries started a price - repair process. Leading paper enterprises such as Bohui and APP announced price increases starting from January 2026, with the main product of white cardboard increasing by 200 yuan/ton [7]. 3.2 Market Data 3.2.1 Basis and Spread - On December 31, 2025, the basis of silver star pulp was 68 yuan/ton, a 326.67% month - on - month increase and an 85.09% year - on - year decrease; the basis of Russian needle pulp was - 132 yuan/ton, a 42.61% month - on - month increase and a 200.00% year - on - year decrease; the silver star - Russian needle spread was 200 yuan/ton, with no month - on - month change and a 60.00% year - on - year decrease [14]. - On December 31, 2025, the 01 - 03 spread was - 40 yuan/ton, a 25.00% month - on - month decrease; the 03 - 05 spread was - 32 yuan/ton, a 5.88% month - on - month increase [19]. 3.3 Fundamental Data 3.3.1 Price - On December 31, 2025, the silver star - goldfish spread was 900 yuan/ton, a 3.23% month - on - month decrease and a 45.45% year - on - year decrease; the Russian needle - goldfish spread was 700 yuan/ton, a 4.11% month - on - month decrease and a 39.13% year - on - year decrease [25]. - On December 31, 2025, the import profit of silver star pulp was - 39.78 yuan/ton, a 12.22% month - on - month increase and a 29.55% year - on - year increase; the import profit of star pulp was 92.75 yuan/ton, a 59.25% month - on - month increase and a 39.14% year - on - year decrease [28]. - The price of domestic coniferous pulp remained stable last week, with weak demand and light actual - order transactions. The price of imported broad - leaf pulp was supported by tight supply and cost, and traders were holding prices [30][32]. 3.3.2 Supply - The purchase price of wood chips by paper enterprises in East China remained stable last week [39]. - The price of domestic broad - leaf pulp increased this period. In November 2025, the European paper pulp port inventory and the global pulp outbound volume continued to decline [43][48]. - In October 2025, the W20 coniferous pulp shipment was at a low level with high inventory; the broad - leaf pulp inventory was at a high level, but the shipment decreased, and the inventory days returned to a year - on - year high [50]. - In November 2025, the export volume of Chilean coniferous pulp to China decreased significantly month - on - month and was at a low level year - on - year. In September 2025, the export volume of coniferous pulp from four countries (Canada, Chile, Finland, and the United States) to China increased month - on - month and year - on - year [53][56]. - In November 2025, the export volume of Brazilian broad - leaf pulp to China decreased significantly month - on - month, and the export volumes of Uruguay and Chile decreased both month - on - month and year - on - year [59]. - In November 2025, China's pulp imports increased, with coniferous pulp increasing by 4.93% month - on - month and broad - leaf pulp increasing by 33.85% month - on - month [62]. 3.3.3 Demand - The price of domestic offset paper remained stable last week, with stable production by large - scale paper enterprises, limited enthusiasm of dealers for purchasing, and weak social demand [66]. - The domestic coated paper market was mainly in a narrow - range adjustment last period, with poor order - receiving by paper mills, some reducing production, and weak social demand [70]. - The price of white cardboard remained stable last period, with increased production. Large - scale paper mills supported the market, and terminal orders were scattered [74]. - The price increase of the household paper market slowed down last week, with stable supply, downstream processing plants purchasing on demand, and raw material price fluctuations slowing down [78]. - In November 2025, the retail sales of books, newspapers, magazines, catering revenue, and Chinese and Western medicines increased significantly month - on - month, while the retail sales of cosmetics decreased significantly month - on - month [82]. 3.3.4 Inventory - As of December 26, 2025, the total inventory of five ports (Qingdao, Changshu, Gaolan, Tianjin, and Rizhao) was 1.906 million tons, a 4.37% month - on - month decrease and a 2.64% year - on - year increase. The inventory in Qingdao Port and Changshu Port increased during the holiday as of January 4, 2026 [90][93].

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the biggest expected divergence in 2026 will stem from the balance between external and internal demand, with a trend towards imposing tariffs on external demand and subsidizing internal demand, marking an important beginning this year [1][7]. Market Overview - The market is expected to experience a higher probability of upward movement after the New Year, given the relatively low funding enthusiasm at the end of last year and the prevailing sentiment of wanting to see market growth [1][8]. - The overall market sentiment is currently restrained, with many investors waiting for the right entry point, suggesting limited potential for significant market corrections in the absence of major unexpected risks [8]. Investment Strategy - The company recommends adopting a mindset focused on "earning performance money rather than expecting valuation money" for mid-term investments, favoring sectors with lower heat and concentration but increasing attention and catalysts, such as chemicals, engineering machinery, electric power equipment, and new energy [1][10]. - There is a cautious approach towards high prosperity and high heat sectors that have seen stagnant stock prices, while new industry themes like commercial aerospace are expected to continue to evolve and warrant ongoing attention [1][10]. Performance Analysis - In 2025, the median return for actively managed public funds tracked by CITIC Securities was 28.2%, ranking third over the past decade, with a significant disparity in returns between the top and bottom deciles [2]. - The overall performance of the A-share and Hong Kong stock markets in 2025 can be divided into five phases, with notable fluctuations driven by external factors such as tariff impacts and AI application narratives [3][4]. Structural Market Dynamics - The significant money in the structural bull market in 2025 primarily came from the correction of expected divergences and performance growth, particularly in the context of external and internal demand dynamics [4]. - The report highlights that the market's perception of external demand has shifted from optimism to caution, with geopolitical factors influencing expectations throughout the year [7]. Future Outlook - The anticipated structural adjustments in trade policies, including increased tariffs and stricter export controls, indicate a shift in China's approach to external trade, aiming to balance external and internal demand [7]. - The report emphasizes that the market may struggle to quickly price in these significant structural changes, which could serve as both a source of expected divergence and potential performance growth [7].

国泰君安期货·能源化工 胶版印刷纸周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·石忆宁 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0022533 日期：2026年1月4日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint CONTENTS 行业资讯 01 行情走势 02 供需数据 03 行情研判 04 行业资讯 现货价格 成本利润 季节性特征 供给 需求 库存 进出口 行情研判 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 行业资讯 1 行情走势 02 双胶纸价格走势 资料来源：同花顺iFinD，卓创资讯，国泰君安期货研究 日期 12-31 70g高白均价 4459.38 昨日 4459.38 上周 4459.38 环比 0 周同比 0 价格数据 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200 5400 5600 2025-01 2025-01 2025-01 2025-01 2025-01 2025-02 2025-02 2025-02 2025-02 2025-03 2025-03 20 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document 2. Core View of the Report - The pulp market is expected to continue a wide - range oscillatory trend in the short - term, with a weak balance formed by multi - and short - factors at the current position. It's recommended to pay attention to the update of foreign market quotes and the post - holiday start - up and raw material replenishment plans of large downstream paper mills [96]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Industry News - As of January 4, 2026, the pulp inventory in Changshu Port reached 548,000 tons, an increase of 80,000 tons from the previous period, a 17.1% month - on - month increase; the pulp inventory in Qingdao Port was 1.339 million tons, an increase of 14,000 tons from the previous week, a 1.1% month - on - month increase; the pulp inventory in Gaolan Port was 21,000 tons, a decrease of 12,000 tons from the previous week, a 36.4% month - on - month decrease [5][6]. - In November 2025, the month - end inventory of European port pulp decreased by 1.1% month - on - month and 2.7% year - on - year, with the total inventory dropping from 1.404 million tons at the end of October to 1.389 million tons [6]. - In November 2025, the inventory of 20 major global commodity pulp suppliers was 46 days (standard calculation method). The total shipment volume decreased by 6.9% year - on - year [7]. - In late December 2025, domestic white cardboard and food packaging paper industries started a price repair process. Leading paper enterprises such as Bohui and APP announced price increase plans, and Wuzhou Special Paper also followed suit [7]. 3.2 Market Data - As of December 31, 2025, the basis of silver star pulp was 68 yuan/ton, a 326.67% increase from the previous period; the basis of Russian needle pulp was - 132 yuan/ton, a 42.61% increase from the previous period; the price difference between silver star and Russian needle pulp was 200 yuan/ton, with no change from the previous period [14]. - As of December 31, 2025, the 01 - 03 month - spread was - 40 yuan/ton, a 25% decrease from the previous period; the 03 - 05 month - spread was - 32 yuan/ton, a 5.88% increase from the previous period [19]. 3.3 Fundamental Data 3.3.1 Price - The price difference between needle and broadleaf pulp narrowed, and the import profit rebounded. In January 2026, the FOB prices of broadleaf pulp from Brazil and Indonesia increased by $20/ton [23][29]. - The price of imported needle pulp in the domestic market remained stable, and the price of imported broadleaf pulp was supported by cost and supply, with traders holding prices and waiting for real orders [31][33]. - The price of domestic broadleaf pulp increased, and the price of domestic chemical mechanical pulp remained stable [44][46]. 3.3.2 Supply - The wood chip purchase price of paper enterprises in East China remained stable this week [40]. - In November 2025, the inventory of European port pulp continued to decline, and the global pulp shipping volume also continued to decline [49]. - In October 2025, the shipment volume of W20 needle pulp was at a low level with high inventory; the inventory of broadleaf pulp was at a high level, but the shipment volume decreased, and the inventory days returned to a year - on - year high [51]. - In November 2025, the export volume of Chilean needle pulp to China decreased significantly month - on - month and was at a low level year - on - year; the export volume of four - country (Brazil, Indonesia, Uruguay, Chile) broadleaf pulp to China decreased both month - on - month and year - on - year [54][61]. - In November 2025, China's pulp imports increased, with needle pulp increasing by 4.93% month - on - month and broadleaf pulp increasing by 33.85% month - on - month [63]. 3.3.3 Demand - This week, the price of domestic offset paper remained stable, the price of copperplate paper was slightly adjusted, the price of white cardboard was stable with increased production, the price increase of household paper slowed down, and the terminal demand showed different trends in November [67][71][75][79][83]. 3.3.4 Inventory - As of December 31, 2025, the total warehouse receipt quantity of pulp was 104,500 tons, a 3.69% increase from the previous period [86]. - Overall, the port inventory was at a relatively low level within the year, and the sample inventory of domestic mainstream ports showed a destocking trend last week [93]. 3.4 This Week's View Summary - Supply: Port inventory remained at a high level, and supply pressure persisted. As of January 4, 2026, Qingdao Port and Changshu Port had inventory accumulation during the holiday [96]. - Demand: In the downstream base paper market, the price of household paper was mainly range - bound, the overall trading atmosphere improved little, and market sentiment was cautious [96]. - View: It is expected that the market will lack a breakthrough driver in the short - term, and a weak balance will be formed by long and short factors at the current position. The market is predicted to continue a wide - range oscillatory trend within the range. Attention should be paid to the update of foreign market quotes and the post - holiday start - up and raw material replenishment plans of large downstream paper mills [96]. - Valuation: From the perspective of basis, on the 31st, the basis of silver star needle pulp in Shandong was 68 yuan/ton, an increase of 36 yuan/ton [96]. - Strategy: 1) Unilateral: Adopt an interval operation idea [5200 - 5860]; 2) Inter - period: Observe; 3) Inter - variety: Observe [96].

Core Viewpoint - Chengdu is actively promoting the elimination of outdated production capacity, with a target of completing the exit of 72 enterprises by 2025, covering various industries and regions [1][2] Group 1: Elimination of Outdated Capacity - By 2025, Chengdu will complete the elimination of outdated production capacity from 72 enterprises across nine districts and counties, including Jin Niu District, Pi Du District, and Da Yi County [1] - The industries affected include machinery manufacturing, casting, furniture, automotive parts, rubber, building materials, paper, biopharmaceuticals, and food and beverage [1] - The methods of exit include the elimination of process equipment and the closure of facilities [1] Group 2: Industrial Structure Adjustment - Chengdu is accelerating industrial structure adjustment by fostering advanced production capacity while eliminating outdated capacity [1] - The city aims to build a modern industrial system, consolidating its advantageous industries and nurturing emerging sectors [1] - Efforts are being made to enhance energy efficiency in key industries and encourage the upgrade of inefficient energy-consuming equipment [1] Group 3: Achievements During the 14th Five-Year Plan - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, Chengdu has successfully facilitated the orderly exit of 163 enterprises with outdated capacity and cleaned up 16,000 "scattered, chaotic, and polluting" industrial enterprises [2] - These actions have significantly contributed to the improvement of the ecological environment and provided necessary resources and environmental capacity for the construction of a new industrialization system [2] - From January to November last year, the industrial added value of Chengdu's large-scale industries grew by 7.2% year-on-year, while the energy consumption per unit of industrial added value decreased by 7.2% during the same period [2]