雪佛龙正为其在新加坡炼油厂50%股权寻找买家。（路透社） ...

Group 1 - Chevron (CVX.N) has engaged Morgan Stanley to explore the potential sale of refinery stakes and other assets in Asia [1] - The company is also considering the sale of additional assets in the Asia-Pacific region, including terminal and storage facilities in Australia and the Philippines [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent tariff policy implemented by the Trump administration, imposing a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico and an additional 10% on Chinese goods, has led to a significant decline in the U.S. stock market, erasing all gains since the last presidential election [1][3]. Economic Impact - The overall earnings of S&P 500 companies may decline by 2.8% due to the tariff policy, with Barclays analysts indicating that the market had not fully assessed the potential risks associated with import tariffs [3]. - Goldman Sachs economists predict that the implementation of tariffs on Canada and Mexico could lead to a 0.7% increase in core inflation and a 0.4% contraction in GDP [3]. - Nomura Securities forecasts that the U.S. GDP growth rate could drop to 0.6% by 2025, while Barclays' model suggests a potential negative growth of 0.1% [3]. Trade Relations - Canada and Mexico are crucial suppliers of agricultural products to the U.S., with significant reliance on U.S. markets for their exports (80% for Canada and 84% for Mexico) [3]. - The Midwest U.S. refineries heavily depend on Canadian crude oil, and the tariffs could lead to a rapid increase in gasoline prices in that region [3]. - Mexico, as the largest buyer of U.S. diesel and gasoline, may seek alternative suppliers from Europe and Asia, potentially disrupting the North American energy system [3]. Consumer Confidence and Market Reactions - Consumer confidence has sharply declined, with the index dropping to 98.3 in February, marking the largest monthly decline since August 2021 [5]. - A survey indicates that 57.1% of U.S. investors hold a pessimistic view of the stock market for the next six months, with bearish sentiment at historical highs [5]. - Job creation in the non-farm sector has slowed significantly, with only 151,000 new jobs added in February, falling short of market expectations [5]. Policy Instability - The Trump administration's tariff policy has faced rapid changes, including exemptions for major automakers and delays in implementation, highlighting the uncertainty in policy-making [7]. - The tariffs are harming U.S. manufacturers that produce in Canada and Mexico, affecting their ability to sell goods to American consumers [7]. - The overall economic environment is described as a "perfect storm," making it difficult for businesses to plan long-term strategies [5][7].

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports a significant divergence in the performance of the 23 energy stocks within the S&P 500 index in 2025, with an overall trend that remains roughly in line with the broader market, which is up approximately 3% year-to-date [1][3]. Energy Sector Performance - The S&P 500 energy sector has shown a stark divergence, with the top five performing stocks outperforming the bottom five by nearly 29% [1][3]. - As of June 16, 2025, ten energy components have outperformed the S&P 500, while thirteen have lagged behind [4][3]. - The worst-performing stock, OKE, has seen a decline of nearly 18% year-to-date [3][6]. Strong Segments - Natural gas and refining sectors are leading the momentum, with strong performance driven by solid underlying factors [5][1]. - Natural gas prices, despite recent volatility, remain robust in the long term, supporting the performance of natural gas stocks [5][9]. - Refining profits are high due to strong demand and limited capacity increases, particularly benefiting refiners along the U.S. Gulf Coast [5][9]. Underperforming Segments - Oilfield services and upstream exploration sectors have lagged significantly, attributed to lowered earnings expectations amid a persistent oversupply in the crude oil market [7][8]. - Companies like Halliburton are expected to see a decline in earnings per share (EPS) by approximately 21% in 2025 compared to 2024, reflecting negative sentiment in the market [8][11]. Future Outlook - Goldman Sachs maintains a positive outlook on strong natural gas and refining stocks, expecting continued momentum in these segments [9][10]. - The firm identifies potential mean reversion opportunities in underperforming stocks, particularly in the upstream shale oil sector, with companies like Diamondback Energy and Halliburton showing promise for recovery [10][11]. - The financial health of companies like EQT and Valero is highlighted, with expectations for continued strong performance supported by favorable market conditions [9][10].

Core Points - The auction for the shares of Citgo Petroleum, a subsidiary of Venezuela's state-owned oil company PDVSA, has entered its final stage, with bidders submitting improved offers as creditors seek to recover some of their funds [1][4]. - The auction stems from an eight-year legal case initiated by Canadian mining company Crystallex in 2017, which resulted in a court ruling that PDV Holding, Citgo's parent company, is liable for Venezuela's debts and expropriation actions [4]. - Citgo Petroleum is considered Venezuela's most valuable overseas asset, playing a significant role in the U.S. energy market with multiple refineries and gas stations, impacting both U.S. energy supply and the local economy [4]. - The ongoing auction has heightened interest from various parties, with bidders striving to enhance their offers in a competitive environment, while creditors closely monitor the proceedings to recover losses [4]. - The fate of Citgo Petroleum is crucial for Venezuela, as losing this subsidiary would mean a significant loss of overseas assets and revenue, potentially harming its position in the international energy market [4][5]. - The outcome of the auction remains uncertain, with implications not only for Venezuela and U.S. companies but also potential ripple effects on the global energy market [5].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly focusing on the military actions between Israel and Iran, and the implications for international relations and oil prices. Group 1: Military Actions - On June 16, Israeli forces launched significant airstrikes on Tehran, targeting the Iranian national television building, resulting in one death and multiple injuries [2][5][6] - The Israeli military confirmed the attack, stating the building was used for military purposes by Iranian armed forces [8] - In response, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard announced the initiation of the ninth round of their "Real Commitment-3" operation, involving missile and drone strikes against various Israeli targets [9][10] Group 2: Impact on Oil Prices - Following the escalation of conflict, international oil prices surged, with WTI crude oil rising over 2% at one point, and closing at $70.48 per barrel, while Brent crude oil increased by 0.33% to $73.46 per barrel [4] Group 3: International Reactions - U.S. President Trump announced he would leave the G7 summit early due to the escalating situation in the Middle East, emphasizing the urgency of the matter [3][14] - A joint statement from 21 Arab and Islamic countries condemned Israel's actions against Iran, calling for respect for sovereignty and peaceful resolution of disputes [23][24]

针对以色列持续的空袭，伊朗也继续向以色列发动报复袭击。从15日晚间持续到16日凌晨，伊朗总计发 射了百余枚弹道导弹和100多架无人机，目标仍然是瞄准以色列中部和北部的军事、经济和工业核心区 域，多枚来袭导弹突破以军的防空系统，击中多栋住宅楼和基础设施，造成至少8人死亡，百余人受 伤。除此之外，袭击还给以色列海法炼油厂和中部的一座发电厂造成破坏，引发长时间断电和火灾。 (央视新闻) ...

当地时间16日晚，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队发言人纳伊尼表示，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队"真实承诺-3"行动的第 九轮攻击已经开始。纳伊尼称，这是一次导弹与无人机的联合打击。截至目前，伊朗已针对以色列不同 目标发起545次无人机行动。以色列最大的炼油厂运营商巴赞集团表示，因伊朗对其位于海法湾的炼油 厂发动导弹袭击，炼油厂及其子公司所有设施已全部关闭。据悉，伊朗对海法炼油厂发起的袭击共造成 3人死亡。(央视新闻) ...

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing drone warfare between Ukraine and Russia has intensified, with Ukraine targeting critical Russian military infrastructure, including drone production facilities [1] Group 1: Military Actions - On June 15, Ukrainian forces launched a drone attack on a Russian drone production base located in Tatarstan, aiming to weaken Russia's capability to produce attack drones [1] - The same day, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported that Russian forces conducted a coordinated strike using air and sea-based precision weapons against a fuel supply facility in Ukraine's Poltava region, which supports Ukrainian military operations in the Donbas area [1] Group 2: Strategic Implications - The increase in drone attacks by Ukraine signifies a strategic shift in the conflict, focusing on disrupting Russian military production capabilities [1] - The targeting of deep Russian military assets indicates a potential escalation in the conflict, as both sides adapt their strategies to leverage drone technology [1]

智通财经6月17日电，据央视新闻，当地时间16日，以色列最大的炼油厂运营商巴赞集团表示，因伊朗 对其位于海法湾的炼油厂发动导弹袭击，目前工厂所有设施已被迫关闭。巴赞集团在向特拉维夫证券交 易所发布的声明中表示，由于设施受损，发电厂遭到严重破坏，炼油厂及其子公司所有设施已全部关 闭。巴赞集团还表示，公司正与以色列电力公司合作，努力恢复对炼油厂设施的电力供应。据悉，伊朗 于16日凌晨对海法炼油厂发起的袭击共造成3人死亡。 受袭击影响 以色列海法炼油厂所有设施已被关闭 ...