Core Insights - The article highlights that certain cyclical and consumer sectors have underperformed the market for three consecutive years, indicating potential investment opportunities in these areas [1][6]. Industry Analysis - The sectors with the highest expected net profit growth for next year include: - Agriculture (planting, breeding, feed) - Internet e-commerce - Leisure food - Beauty care (personal care products, cosmetics) - Light manufacturing (household goods, entertainment products) - Automotive services - Social services (hotel catering, tourist attractions) - Cement [1][6]. - Historical data since 2010 shows that industries that have underperformed for three consecutive years and then outperformed in the fourth year include: - Food and beverage (leisure food, food processing, seasoning and fermentation products, non-brewed beverages) - Agriculture (breeding, feed, planting) - Beauty care (cosmetics, personal care products) - Infrastructure - Tourist attractions [1][6]. Financial Metrics - Expected net profit growth rates for various sectors by 2026 are as follows: - Planting: 41% - Breeding: 32% - Chemical fiber: 42% - Chemical raw materials: 24% - Automotive services: 24% - Internet e-commerce: 44% - Cement: 22% [2][7]. - The PE (Price to Earnings) ratios over the past three years indicate reasonable valuation levels for several sectors, with notable figures such as: - Planting at 75% - Chemical fiber at 94% - Internet e-commerce at 69% [2][7].

Macro Economic Outlook - In 2026, the U.S. midterm elections, Japan and Europe’s defense spending demands, and China's growth stabilization will lead to continued policy easing in the first half of the year. However, the actual space for macro policy is limited due to high inflation, rising government debt, and previous policy overreach [7] - The AI boom is expected to enhance efficiency and market valuations but may also exacerbate job losses and economic K-shaped divergence. Global liquidity easing and a weaker dollar may lead to rising inflation in the second half of the year, potentially causing volatility in high-valuation assets [7] Chinese Internet Software Sector - 2026 is seen as a critical year for capturing user mindshare in the AI era, focusing on lowering usage barriers and enhancing decision-making efficiency. Companies with stable cash flows supporting AI investments and strong operational capabilities are expected to have higher long-term investment value [8] - Recommended stocks include Tencent, Alibaba, and Kuaishou for AI-driven growth, and NetEase and Trip.com for stable earnings growth [8] Overseas Internet Software Sector - The competition in the large model industry is expected to intensify, with AI application monetization continuing to grow. Companies like Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Palantir are recommended for their potential in AI revenue generation [9] Chinese Semiconductor Sector - The sector is expected to focus on AI-driven structural growth, self-sufficiency trends, high-yield defensive allocations, and industry consolidation. The global semiconductor market is projected to grow by 26% to $975 billion in 2026, with AI-related segments leading the growth [10] Chinese Technology Sector - The global tech industry will experience demand differentiation and accelerated AI innovation. The expansion of computing power and the introduction of AI products are expected to drive growth, with a focus on AI infrastructure and end-user AI products [11] Chinese Essential Consumer Sector - The core constraint on consumer spending in 2026 is expected to be asset shrinkage and slow income recovery. Investment themes include the deepening of consumer stratification and a focus on essential survival needs [12] Chinese Discretionary Consumer Sector - The overall retail sales growth is projected to slow to about 3.5% in 2026. Investment strategies should focus on survival-type consumption, compensatory consumption, and defensive stocks [13] Chinese Automotive Sector - Despite pressures from subsidy reductions, the automotive industry is expected to show resilience, with retail sales of passenger vehicles projected to remain stable. Key trends include intensified competition and the growth of plug-in hybrid vehicles [14] Chinese Pharmaceutical Sector - The innovative drug sector has seen significant growth driven by overseas licensing deals. Future catalysts are expected to shift from upfront payments to milestone payments as clinical progress is made [15] Chinese Equipment Manufacturing Sector - The mining machinery sector is anticipated to be a major growth area, driven by high capital expenditures from global mining companies. Companies like Zoomlion and Sany Heavy Industry are expected to benefit [16] Natural Uranium Sector - The global supply of natural uranium is expected to remain tight, supporting a rising price trend. Demand may exceed expectations due to the recovery of U.S. nuclear power plants [17] Chinese Insurance Sector - The life insurance sector is undergoing a transformation towards dividend insurance, with expectations of improved profitability and valuation recovery. Companies like Ping An and China Life are recommended for their strong growth potential [18] Chinese Real Estate and Property Management Sector - The real estate market is expected to face continued sales declines, with a focus on stock market-related opportunities and resilient property management companies. Recommendations include China Resources and Beike [19]

人民财讯12月18日电，鹭燕医药（002788）12月18日发布股票交易异常波动的公告，近期公司经营情况 正常，内外部经营环境未发生重大变化。公司、控股股东和实际控制人不存在关于本公司的应披露而未 披露的重大事项，或处于筹划阶段的重大事项。股票异常波动期间，控股股东、实际控制人不存在买卖 公司股票的情形。 ...

x 大大基金 链接您与财富 B a - BB ex 2 = 2 E F.F III 概念股+利好塞道梳理 12月18日,海南自由贸易港正式启动全岛封关。海南岛将建成 一个海关监管特殊区域,实施"一线放开、二线管住、岛内自由" 的基本政策。 海南概念股 | 矿产/能源 | 高端制造 | | --- | --- | | 中钨高新 广晟有色 海南矿业 洲际油气 | 金盘科技 海马汽车 | | 新大洲A | 农林牧渔 | | | 神农种业 京粮控股 | | 医药健康 | 海南橡胶 罗 牛 山 | | 海南海药 康芝药业 | | | ST葫芦娃 | 免税概念 | | | 中国中免 凯撒旅业 | | 交通运输 | | | 海峡股份 海汽集团 | 基建建设 | 12月18日，海南自由贸易港全岛封关运作正式启动。 中信证券研报认为，封关最大意义在于贸易端，同时有助于海南加快建设国际旅游消费中心，岛内旅游产业链相关经营主体（景区、酒店、旅游零售商、 出行服务商等）将长期受益。 西南证券则表示，海南自贸港封关之后，免税购物、跨境金融、国际航运等领域有望迎来投资机遇。 免责声明 文章封面图来源于AI， 以上观点来自相关机构，不代表 ...

我们做基金投资，一般是低估买入，正常估值坚定持有，等到高估时再止盈卖出。 有朋友问，之前低估买入的品种，如果一轮牛市走完也没能涨到高估，是不是就白折腾了，还会有收益吗？ 牛市里，也不是所有品种都能到高估 其实，每一轮牛市都会必然遇到有品种到不了高估的情况。 文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 像2021年初，市场涨到了3点几星，当时估值表里，就有不少品种仍然处于正常估值，没到高估。 | 螺丝钉星级 | ★★★ | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 20210219 | | 射坡益率 市盈率 市净架 股息率 | | | ROE | 场内基金 | 场外交流 | | 上证红利 | 9.99% | 10.01 | 1.05 | 4.53% | 10.45% | 510880 | | | 中川名城河 | 9.58% | 10.43 | 1.12 | 4.25% | 10.75% | 515180 | 030010 | | 中加程家行 | | | 0.98 | 3.27% | | 512800 | 001594 | | 基本 ...

Group 1 - The core message of the news release is the introduction of the "15th Five-Year Plan" for the development of Fangchenggang City, emphasizing the city's commitment to high-quality development and modernization as a coastal industrial city [3][4]. - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is structured into three main sections: achievements and situation analysis, ten key areas for task deployment, and strengthening party construction and social mobilization [3][4]. - The city aims to achieve significant economic growth through eight key areas, including the establishment of a modern coastal industrial system and the development of international cooperation platforms [4][5]. Group 2 - Fangchenggang has successfully secured the hosting rights for the 2027 Guangxi Cultural Tourism Development Conference, which will be leveraged to create a unique coastal tourism brand [5]. - The city is focused on enhancing its security and stability through a comprehensive mechanism involving various sectors, ensuring a higher level of safety for Fangchenggang [5]. - The port of Fangchenggang has achieved a significant milestone, with cargo throughput surpassing 200 million tons, indicating a new level of port capacity [4].

加快建设健康中国(学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神) 雷海潮 人民健康是社会主义现代化的重要标志，也是广大人民群众的共同追求。党的二十届四中全会通过的 《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》(以下简称《建议》)，作出"加快 建设健康中国"的重大决策部署，对增进人民健康福祉、推进中国式现代化将产生深远影响，要深刻领 会精神实质，准确把握原则要求，认真落实各项任务。 (三)牢牢把握夯实基础、全面发力的阶段要求。从现在到2035年建成健康中国还有10年时间。要抓住卫 生健康服务发展不平衡不充分的主要矛盾，坚持有效市场和有为政府相结合，坚持尽力而为、量力而 行，坚持先立后破、不立不破，不断夯实中国特色基本医疗卫生制度基础，在缩小城乡间、区域间、人 群间服务差距上全面发力，在健全维护公益性的医疗卫生服务体系及其运行保障、监督管理机制上下功 夫，筑牢全方位全周期保障人民生命健康防线。 一、深刻认识加快建设健康中国的重大战略意义 党的十八大以来，习近平总书记就建设健康中国作出一系列重要论述和重要指示批示，为推进健康中国 建设指明了方向，提供了根本遵循。以习近平同志为核心的党中央作出实施健康中国战略部署， ...

Core Viewpoint - Japan's exports in November increased by 6.1% year-on-year, surpassing market expectations, with exports to the U.S. turning positive for the first time in eight months, indicating a recovery from the impact of U.S. tariffs [1] Group 1: Export Performance - Japan's exports to the U.S. grew by 8.8% year-on-year in November, reversing a previous downward trend [1] - The recovery in exports was driven primarily by a rebound in automotive and pharmaceutical shipments, with automotive exports to the U.S. increasing by 1.5% and pharmaceutical exports more than doubling compared to the same month last year [3] - Japan recorded a trade surplus of 322.2 billion yen (approximately 2.08 billion USD) in November, significantly exceeding the market expectation of 71.2 billion yen, marking the first trade surplus in five months [1] Group 2: Economic Implications - The improvement in export performance has strengthened market expectations for monetary policy tightening, with predictions that the Bank of Japan may raise the short-term policy interest rate from 0.5% to 0.75% [1] - The decline in tariff rates and a weaker yen have enhanced the price competitiveness of Japanese automakers, contributing to a faster-than-expected recovery in automotive exports [2] Group 3: Regional Export Trends - Japan's overall export growth of 6.1% in November continued from October's 3.6% increase and was significantly higher than the 4.8% market forecast [3] - Exports to Asia grew by 4.5%, while exports to Europe surged by 19.6%, indicating strong demand outside the U.S. market [3]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a rebound in the afternoon, with significant gains in the AI industry chain and new consumption stocks, as evidenced by various indices rising, including the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumption Theme Index by 1.3% and the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet Index by 1.2% [1] - Since December, the total inflow into ETFs related to the Hang Seng Technology Index has exceeded 8 billion yuan, with the E Fund Hang Seng Technology ETF (513010) alone attracting over 2 billion yuan, ranking among the top in its category [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng New Economy ETF (513320) tracks the Hang Seng Stock Connect New Economy Index, which consists of the 50 largest stocks in the "new economy" sector, primarily including information technology, consumer discretionary, and healthcare, with a rolling P/E ratio of 24.3 times and a valuation percentile of 51.2% since its inception in 2018 [2] - The E Fund Hang Seng Technology ETF (513010) tracks the Hang Seng Technology Index, composed of the 30 largest stocks highly related to technology themes, with over 90% of its composition from information technology and consumer discretionary sectors, showing a rolling P/E ratio of 22.7 times and a valuation percentile of 28.4% since its launch in 2020 [2] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Medical ETF (513200) tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Medical and Health Comprehensive Index, consisting of 50 liquid and large-cap stocks in the healthcare sector, which accounts for over 90% of the index, with a rolling P/E ratio of 31.6 times and a valuation percentile of 49.9% since its inception in 2017 [2] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet ETF (513040) tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet Index, made up of 30 leading internet companies, primarily in information technology and consumer discretionary, with a rolling P/E ratio of 24.5 times and a valuation percentile of 25.2% since its launch in 2021 [2] Group 3 - The E Fund Hong Kong Consumption ETF (513070) tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumption Theme Index, which includes 50 liquid and large-cap consumption stocks, with nearly 60% in consumer discretionary, showing a rise of 1.3% and a rolling P/E ratio of 17.2 times since its launch in 2020 [3]

Group 1: Military Industry ETF (512710.SH) - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes high-quality advancement of national defense and military modernization, with a projected defense budget of 1.81 trillion yuan for 2025, a 7.2% increase year-on-year, marking a historical high [3][4] - The defense budget as a percentage of GDP remains below 1.3%, significantly lower than the US (3.5%) and Russia (6.3%), indicating potential for future increases in defense spending [3] - The ETF tracks the China Securities Military Leading Index, focusing on leading companies in aerospace equipment, military electronics, missiles, and drones, which are expected to benefit from a new round of military procurement cycles [4] Group 2: Healthcare Industry ETF (159892.SZ) - Domestic policies are increasingly supportive of innovative drug development, including a multi-tiered payment system and improved commercialization mechanisms, facilitating the transition from generic to innovative drugs [6][7] - As of January 2025, China has 7,041 drug pipelines under research, accounting for 29.5% of the global total, with a year-on-year growth of 15.1%, outpacing the global average [7] - The ETF tracks the Hang Seng Biotechnology Index, focusing on 30 biotech companies listed in Hong Kong, which are well-positioned to capture opportunities in the rapid development and globalization of Chinese innovative drugs [7] Group 3: Automotive Industry ETF (520600.SH) - Recent policies such as vehicle purchase tax exemptions and subsidies for electric vehicles have effectively boosted domestic demand for new energy vehicles, with cumulative domestic sales reaching 10.929 million units by October 2025, a 25.7% increase year-on-year [11] - Exports of new energy vehicles have also surged, with 2.014 million units exported by October 2025, reflecting a 90.4% year-on-year growth [11] - The Ministry of Commerce has introduced measures to regulate the export of second-hand cars, aiming to promote healthy and orderly development of the automotive industry [11] Group 4: Gaming Industry ETF (159869.SZ) - In November 2025, a record number of 178 domestic online games and 6 imported games were approved, with a total of 1,624 game licenses issued from January to November, indicating a stable foundation for industry growth [13] - Chinese self-developed games generated actual sales revenue of $9.501 billion in overseas markets in the first half of 2025, reflecting an 11.07% year-on-year increase, showcasing strong international competitiveness [13] - The application of AI technology in game development is expected to lower costs and enhance efficiency, potentially leading to innovative gameplay [13]