机构：交银国际 研究员：陈庆/李柳晓 定价超预期，顶配版本不超30 万元。乐道L90 正式登陆市场，整车起售价为26.58 万元（Pro 版；人民 币，下同），而Max 与Ultra 版则分别为27.98万元与29.98 万元；七座车型在此基础上加价6000 元（即 27.18 万元起）。BaaS（电池租赁）方案的起步价为17.98 万元（Pro 版），Max 与Ultra 版分别是19.38 万元及21.38 万元，七座版BaaS 方案则从18.58 万元起售。相较于7 月10 日公布的预售价（整车购买 27.99 万元起，BaaS 方案19.39 万元起），正式售价降低了约1.41 万元。在权益方面，新车全系标配 85kWh 电池、L2 级别智能驾驶辅助系统以及Orin-X 芯片等高端配置，并推出2000 元预订金抵扣5000 元购车款及5000 元选装基金的优惠，复购用户还可享受积分奖励。总体来看，即便是顶配的Ultra 版 （相较于Pro、Max 版，其核心亮点在于"四驱性能+零重力座椅+全套空气悬挂系统"）也未突破30 万元 大关，这反映出管理层背水一战的决心。综合考虑定价策略和渠道反馈，预计每月稳 ...

Company Overview - On July 31, NIO's sub-brand, Ladao Auto, held a product launch for the Ladao L90, which offers configurations for six and seven seats, with a starting price of 265,800 yuan for the vehicle and 179,800 yuan for the BaaS battery rental option [1] - The L90's pricing exceeds market expectations, and its product capabilities are considered industry-leading [1] Product Delivery and Market Strategy - The company plans to officially start deliveries on August 1, addressing previous market concerns regarding the ramp-up of new product deliveries [1] - Based on pre-sale order numbers, the company is expected to deliver over 10,000 units in September, capitalizing on the initial buzz surrounding the new product launch [1] Product Highlights - The L90 features significant competitive advantages in space, energy consumption, and safety [1] - It offers a spacious interior, which is a core demand for large three-row SUV users, achieved through 36 technical innovations in lightweight design and high integration [1] - Safety features include 45 active and intelligent safety assistance functions, with a focus on reducing accidents and enhancing user experience [1] Future Product Pipeline - The company plans to launch the Ladao L80 and a new ES8 in the second half of the year, with expectations for monthly deliveries to gradually exceed 30,000 to 40,000 units in Q3 and Q4 [2] - The new models are priced competitively, and shared technology from the NIO NT3.0 platform is expected to drive cost reductions [2] Financial Outlook - The company anticipates achieving a gross margin of over 15% for the NIO brand and 10% for the Ladao brand, supported by overall sales growth [2] - In Q2, the company incurred one-time expenses due to personnel adjustments, but these are expected to diminish in Q3 and Q4, leading to a decrease in quarterly Non-GAAP R&D expenses to around 2 billion yuan [2] - The company aims for profitability and positive free cash flow in Q4 2025 [2] Smart Driving Developments - The company continues to invest in smart driving technology, with the first version of the NIO World Model (NWM) launched on May 30 [2] - The focus remains on safety, with upgrades in four key scenarios: active safety, highway navigation, urban navigation, and smart parking [2] - The company has ensured sufficient space for updates and iterations in its smart driving technology architecture, allowing all vehicle owners to benefit from the latest advancements [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Current valuations for U.S. and Hong Kong stocks correspond to 0.8x P/S for 2025, with Non-GAAP net profit estimates maintained [3] - The company has raised target prices for Hong Kong and U.S. stocks by 10% and 9% to 45 HKD and 5.8 USD, respectively, indicating a potential upside of 29% for both markets [3]

Core Viewpoint - Chongqing Qianli Technology Co., Ltd. reported significant growth in production and sales of new energy vehicles for July 2025, indicating a strong performance in the market [1]. Production and Sales Data Summary - Total production for July 2025 reached 9,172 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 392.85% [1]. - Cumulative production for the year reached 35,578 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 109.99% [1]. - Total sales for July 2025 amounted to 10,222 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 142.34% [1]. - Cumulative sales for the year reached 48,950 units, with a year-on-year increase of 73.70% [1].

8月1日，国家发展改革委举行新闻发布会，解读当前经济形势和经济工作。 今年上半年，消费数据明显回升。国家发展改革委国民经济综合司司长周陈介绍，国家发展改革委统筹 惠民生和促消费，推动出台实施提振消费专项行动，坚持在保障改善民生中扩大消费需求，上下协同形 成扩消费有力"组合拳"。上半年消费有三个主要特点： 一是增速加快。今年上半年社会消费品零售总额累计增长5%，增速较一季度提高0.4个百分点，较去年 同期提高1.3个百分点；上半年最终消费对经济增长的贡献率达52%，其中二季度贡献率为52.3%，较一 季度又提高0.6个百分点，较去年同期提高4.4个百分点。这两组数据说明，消费对经济发展的基础性作 用进一步显现。 二是亮点增多。重点商品消费升温，今年以旧换新已带动商品销售额超过1.7万亿元，上半年限额以上 家电、通讯器材零售额同比增长30.7%、24.1%，新能源汽车销量同比增长40.3%，各项扩内需政策正在 落地显效。服务消费持续走旺，年初《哪吒之魔童闹海》和人形机器人强势出圈，"假日经济"也带火了 研学旅游、国潮服饰等。 三是环境更优。各部门围绕落实提振消费专项行动，出台了多项重大政策，举办形式多样的促消费活 ...

文 | 赵伟、贾东旭、侯倩楠 联系人 | 侯倩楠 报告正文 一、 李强总理：高质量建设雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程 7月18日至19日，李强总理在西藏调研。他强调，雅下水电工程体量大、周期长、影响远，堪称世纪工 程。要积极应用先进技术、装备、工艺、材料等，为高质量建设提供有力支撑，并引领相关领域科技创新和 产业创新。7月20日至22日，刘国中副总理前往广西调研，并强调要不误农时抓紧抓好农业生产工作，毫不 懈怠巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果。7月21日至23日，国务委员谌贻琴到内蒙古自治区调研，她强调，要持续铸牢 中华民族共同体意识，推动退役军人工作高质量发展。 | 时间 | 事件 | 主要内容 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/7/18-19 | 李强总理在西藏调研 | 李强总理强调，雅下水电工程体量大、周期长、影响远，堪称世纪工程。要 | | | | 积极应用先进技术、装备、工艺、材料等，为高质量建设提供有力支撑，并 | | | | 引领相关领域科技创新和产业创新。要格外重视生态保护，确保生态环境不 | | | | 受损害。要细致做好移民搬迁安置工作，把推进工程建设和促进当地群众就 | | | | ...

Group 1 - Agricultural Bank of China has signed loan contracts exceeding 315 billion yuan and disbursed over 115 billion yuan for technology renovation and equipment update projects, leading the industry [1] - In Anhui, Agricultural Bank provided 600 million yuan in loans to a company focused on high-end bearings for robots, enabling the upgrade of production lines and enhancing the company's international competitiveness [1] - In Zhejiang, the bank has supported a graphene innovation center with over 150 member units, facilitating the development of new materials [2] Group 2 - In Jiangsu, Agricultural Bank issued a specialized loan of 90 million yuan to a company in the new energy vehicle sector, assisting in the upgrade of production lines and improving production capacity [2] - The bank's equipment update loans offer low interest rates and can be combined with government subsidies, addressing funding challenges for companies [2]

Core Viewpoint - The new energy vehicle market is experiencing a significant differentiation among brands, with some achieving record sales while others face declines, indicating the start of a competitive elimination phase in the industry [3][7]. Sales Performance Summary - Leap Motor achieved a sales milestone of over 50,000 units, becoming the first new energy brand to surpass this threshold in a month, with a month-on-month increase of 4.42% [4][5]. - Xiaopeng Motors also reached a historical high with sales of 36,717 units, reflecting a 6.08% increase from the previous month, driven by the performance of the MONA M03 and the newly launched G7 [5][6]. - Xiaomi's sales exceeded 30,000 units for the first time, marking a 20% month-on-month increase, with expectations for continued growth due to the delivery of the YU7 model [5][6]. - Zeekr (including Lynk & Co) sold 44,193 units, achieving both year-on-year and month-on-month growth, maintaining sales above 40,000 for five consecutive months [5][6]. - In contrast, Li Auto and NIO reported significant declines, with Li Auto's sales dropping by 15.29% to 30,731 units, and NIO's sales falling by 15.68% to just over 21,000 units [5][6]. Market Trends and Challenges - The overall sales for the ten brands remained stable compared to the previous month, totaling 309,905 units, but the market is increasingly competitive as brands strive to maintain and grow their market share [4][7]. - The industry is shifting towards a "stock restructuring" phase as the penetration rate of new energy vehicles exceeds 50%, emphasizing the need for brands to scale effectively and innovate continuously to survive [7][8].

【导读】 最新"战报"来了！新能源汽车大变局： 7 月销量数据 凸显纯电趋势加快！李斌称纯电是新能源汽车终极路线 中国基金报记者 邱德坤 8 月 1 日，新能源车企集中发布 7 月 " 战报 " ，凸显了纯电时代正在加速到来。 7 月销售数据显示，比亚迪、吉利汽车的纯电车型销量与增速均超过插混车型，而此前加码增程车型的理想，又出现交付量同比、环比均下 降的情况。 新能源汽车的技术路线有三种，分别是纯电、插混、增程，但前几年插混与增程车型的销量总体好于纯电车型。 据一位新能源车企人士介绍，这主要是受充换电设施布局不完善、补能效率较低，以及纯电车型续航较短等因素影响， " 但现在这些问题 基本上都解决了 " 。 零跑、小米的 7 月交付量，分别首次站上 5 万辆、 3 万辆大关 ，并且理想、小鹏、蔚来、零跑等新势力车企均加码纯电 SUV 市场。 8 月 1 日，蔚来董事长李斌向记者表示： " 无论是增程还是插混，在新能源汽车发展过程中都只是过渡产品，终极技术路线是纯电。 " | 品牌 | 7月销量或交付量(辆) | 同比 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 比亚迪 | 34429 ...

Core Insights - The market for new energy vehicles is experiencing a rapid pace of differentiation, indicating the beginning of a competitive elimination phase in the second half of the year [1] Company Performance - Leap Motor has become the first new energy brand to surpass 50,000 monthly sales, achieving 50,129 units in July, marking a 4.42% increase from June [2] - Xiaopeng Motors also reached a historical high with sales of 36,717 units, reflecting a 6.08% month-on-month growth, with the MONA M03 contributing over 15,000 units [3] - Xiaomi's sales exceeded 30,000 units for the first time, showing an approximate 20% increase from the previous month [3] - Zeekr and Lynk & Co combined sold 44,193 units, achieving growth in both year-on-year and month-on-month comparisons [3] - Ideal and NIO reported significant declines, with Ideal's sales dropping to 30,731 units, a 15.29% decrease, and NIO selling just over 21,000 units, down 15.68% [3][4] Market Trends - The overall sales for the ten new energy brands remained stable month-on-month, totaling 309,905 units in July, slightly down from 314,649 units in June [2] - The industry is shifting towards a "stock restructuring" logic as the penetration rate of new energy vehicles exceeds 50%, emphasizing the need for companies to maintain sufficient scale and continuously innovate to capture market share [6]

Core Insights - Multiple companies reported significant growth in electric vehicle (EV) sales for July, indicating a robust market performance in the EV sector. Group 1: Sales Performance - BYD achieved sales of 344,296 units in July, a slight increase from 342,383 units year-on-year, with overseas sales of passenger cars and pickups reaching 80,178 units, up 159.5% [9] - SAIC-GM-Wuling reported total global sales of 123,341 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.7%, with new energy vehicle sales at 73,901 units, up 50.9% [11] - Leap Motor's sales reached 50,129 units, marking its first month surpassing 50,000 units, with a year-on-year growth exceeding 126% [15] - Xpeng Motors delivered 36,717 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 229% and a month-on-month increase of 6%, achieving a historical high for monthly deliveries [18] - Li Auto delivered 30,731 vehicles, showing a year-on-year decline of 40% and a month-on-month decline of 15.3% [21] - Xiaomi's deliveries exceeded 30,000 units, driven by the launch of its first electric SUV, YU7 [23] - Deep Blue's sales reached 27,169 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 62% [28] - GAC Aion sold 26,557 units, with a strong charging infrastructure supporting its growth [32] - NIO delivered 21,017 vehicles, with a year-to-date growth of 25.2% [36] - Zeekr sold 16,977 units, maintaining a consistent monthly sales performance [38] - Lantu achieved sales of 12,135 units, with a year-on-year increase of 102% [40] - Avita's sales reached 10,062 units, marking a year-on-year growth of 178% [41] - ARCFOX delivered 9,436 units, with a year-on-year increase of 50.35% [45] - Zhiji delivered 7,027 units, with a month-on-month increase of 16.6% [47] - Hongmeng Zhixing's total sales reached 47,752 units, maintaining a leading position among new energy and luxury brands [51] Group 2: Market Trends and Developments - The overall performance of the EV market in July indicates strong consumer demand and competitive dynamics among various manufacturers [2][3] - The introduction of new models and expansion of sales channels, including international markets, are key strategies driving growth for several companies [15][23][28] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with some companies facing challenges in maintaining growth rates amid increasing market competition [21]