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破解“风格漂移”!大动作来了,最新解读
中国基金报· 2025-11-16 13:03
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the introduction of the "Guidelines for the Management of Theme Investment Styles in Publicly Raised Securities Investment Funds" aimed at addressing issues of "style drift" and "misleading themes" in theme funds, promoting high-quality development in the public fund industry [3][10][11]. Group 1: Guidelines and Implementation - The guidelines set clear requirements for theme investment funds regarding contract stipulations, management style, and supervision by custodians, including the establishment of a "style library" [5][30]. - Several institutions have begun adjusting their systems, processes, and personnel in response to the guidelines, with a focus on compliance and risk management [6][8]. - The guidelines are seen as a significant step towards correcting the "pseudo-theme" phenomenon in the industry, enhancing regulatory compliance, and protecting investor interests [10][11]. Group 2: Impact on Industry Practices - The guidelines aim to systematically address long-standing issues of style drift and misleading themes, pushing the public fund industry towards high-quality development [10][19]. - The introduction of a style library and clear investment direction requirements is expected to enhance the stability and transparency of fund operations, thereby improving investor trust [11][29]. - The guidelines encourage a shift from a scale-driven approach to one that prioritizes quality and compliance, fostering a culture focused on long-term value creation [14][20]. Group 3: Investor Benefits - The emphasis on "name matching reality" and clear definitions will significantly improve investors' decision-making efficiency, allowing for better identification of fund investment directions [22][26]. - The guidelines are designed to reduce information asymmetry, enabling investors to make more informed choices and enhancing their overall investment experience [23][24]. - By ensuring that funds adhere to their stated themes, the guidelines help mitigate risks associated with style drift, promoting a more stable investment environment [28][29]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The guidelines are expected to lead to a more standardized and transparent investment process, ultimately benefiting the long-term health of the capital market [14][30]. - The establishment of a style library with defined update frequencies will encourage fund managers to focus on long-term strategies rather than short-term market trends [31][33]. - Overall, the guidelines represent a foundational shift towards a more disciplined and research-driven investment culture within the public fund industry [19][20].
最牛大赚184%!
中国基金报· 2025-11-16 13:03
Core Viewpoint - The recent style switch in the A-share market has added uncertainty to the annual performance competition among public funds, with the technology sector experiencing high-level consolidation and cyclical sectors gaining strength [2][4]. Fund Performance Overview - As of November 14, 2023, 103 active equity funds (including QDII funds) have achieved a unit net value growth rate exceeding 80%, with Yongying Technology Select Mixed Fund leading at 184.04% [6][7]. - The leading fund's advantage has decreased from nearly 100 percentage points to less than 40 percentage points due to recent market fluctuations [6][3]. - Other notable funds include Hengyue Advantage Select at 146.88% and GF Growth Navigation at 140.60%, with significant movements in rankings observed [6][7]. Market Dynamics - The market is currently characterized by increased volatility, particularly as the Shanghai Composite Index hovers around 4000 points, impacting fund performance and rankings [10]. - Factors influencing fund performance include the fund manager's active management ability, market environment, and the performance of key holdings [10][11]. Investment Strategy Insights - Fund managers emphasize a long-term perspective over short-term performance, focusing on structural opportunities rather than chasing trends [11]. - The technology sector remains a mid-term focus, with ongoing investment opportunities in hardware, semiconductors, and storage, despite recent market corrections [12][15]. Future Outlook - The global wave of technological innovation is expected to continue, with a shift in market focus anticipated towards balancing valuation and profit quality [14]. - The AI sector is projected to present significant investment opportunities, particularly in infrastructure and application development, as the market evolves through 2026 [14][15].
基金适当性管理新规来了,风险测评不能再“走过场”
第一财经· 2025-11-16 12:51
2025.11. 16 本文字数:3093,阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 | 第一财经 曹璐 买基金总被推荐"看着热闹但不太懂"的产品?老年人被推销高波动基金没人多提醒?直播里听几 句"稳赚"就下手?就这些让基民头疼的问题,监管层在基金业绩基准规范、主题基金纠偏等政策基 础上,再度发布基民适当性管理新规! 日前,中国证券投资基金业协会发布《公开募集证券投资基金投资者适当性管理细则(征求意见 稿)》(下称《细则》),向社会公开征求意见,意见反馈截止时间为11月26日。 这份新规从风险测评、基金风险评级、老年群体要"特别关照"到直播卖基金规范等,都一一划了重 点。在业内人士看来,随着政策持续落地,基金销售"把合适产品卖给合适的人"不再是一句口号, 而是嵌入流程的硬约束,进一步体现"卖者尽责、买者自负"的监管导向。 风险测评管理被纳入严格规范 为进一步规范公募基金销售行为,强化投资者适当性管理义务,切实保护投资者合法权益,监管再次 下发规范性文件。此次《细则》从基金销售行为出发,进一步细化并规范基金管理人及销售机构的适 当性管理行为,涉及多项重点环节的管理要求。 在产品端,基金风险等级划分标准同步升级。新规要求管理人、 ...
2026年公募REITs首发及扩募市场策略展望:洞悉分化常态,深耕价值本源
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-11-16 12:15
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, the public - offering REITs market expanded in quality under normal - state issuance. With the dual - wheel drive of "first - offering + expansion - offering", the total market capitalization exceeded 220 billion yuan, and the market ecosystem became more mature. In 2026, it is expected to issue 20 - 30 projects, and the differentiation among projects will intensify [3][11]. - Expansion - offering is an inevitable path for the development of China's public - offering REITs market. In 2025, the expansion - offering channel reopened, and in 2026, with policy implementation and process optimization, it may become another main line in the market [3]. - The secondary market of REITs in 2025 showed a "rising first and then falling" trend. To improve liquidity, policy support is expected, such as including REITs in the Shanghai - Hong Kong and Shenzhen - Hong Kong Stock Connect, launching REITs - ETF and index fund products, and guiding long - term funds like annuities and pensions to enter the market [3]. - The fundamentals of different asset types of REITs have shown different trends. Investors should select Alpha assets to make investment decisions [3]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1.审度首发新常态,洞见估值新平衡 - **2025 First - offering Situation** - From January to October 2025, 19 REITs started the recruitment process, with an average of 2 per month, slower than in Q4 2024. The total first - offering scale was 38.7 billion yuan, about 40% less than in 2024. Two new IDC - REITs were added, enriching the asset types [3][11]. - The net - underwriting and online subscription yields of REITs were calculated. The net - underwriting yield was significantly higher than the online yield. The net - underwriting yield of 10 - 200 million yuan of funds was the highest, reaching 3.50% [13][15]. - The strategic placement of REITs in 2025 had a 100% winning rate and an average floating profit of 35%. The number of strategic investment institutions increased to 275, a 6% increase from 2024 [3]. - The number of new - offering products increased to nearly a thousand, and the winning rate dropped below 1%. In October, due to limited initial listing gains and overlapping fundraising periods, the enthusiasm for new - offering decreased, and the winning rate rebounded [20][22]. - In terms of institutional participation, 270 institutions participated in the net - underwriting inquiry, a 69% increase from 2024. Among them, the number of securities firms, insurance funds, private funds, and public funds increased significantly. Insurance funds led in terms of the proposed subscription amount, followed by securities firms [28]. - The strategic placement became more difficult for institutions to obtain. The number of strategic placement institutions per REIT reached a new high, indicating increased scarcity [34]. - **Valuation and Pricing** - From January to October 2025, the first - day and first - four - day closing cumulative increases of REITs reached new highs. However, since September and October, as the first - offering valuation increased, the initial listing gains narrowed, and the net - underwriting quotation became more cautious [39]. - From January to September 2025, the first - offering valuation had an average discount of 25%. Since October, the discount rate has significantly narrowed to less than 10%, and even less than 5% for some projects [40]. - **2026 First - offering Expectations** - Policy support is expected to expand the market and increase the number of asset types. The approval efficiency will be improved, and the average time from acceptance to registration will be shortened to 100 days [45][57]. - The expected number of first - offerings in 2026 is 20 - 30, with a relatively small average fundraising scale. The differentiation among projects will intensify, and the initial listing gains are expected to narrow to 5% - 10% [64][71]. - Under the neutral scenario, the net - underwriting and online new - offering yields of 10 - million - 100 - million - yuan funds are expected to be 3.21% and 0.61% respectively [75]. 3.2.扩募潮起谋新篇,资产混装开新局 - **Importance of Expansion - offering** - Due to high - dividend requirements and leverage limitations, expansion - offering is an important way for the external expansion of public - offering REITs. It can optimize the asset portfolio and improve the anti - risk ability [81]. - **Policy Changes** - In September 2025, the 782nd document shortened the expansion - offering threshold from 12 months to 6 months and supported cross - industry asset mixing, which is expected to shorten the expansion - offering cycle and enrich the asset types [86]. - **2025 Expansion - offering Situation** - After the first four REITs' expansion - offerings in 2023, the expansion - offering channel reopened in 2025. By October, 2 REITs' expansion - offering shares were listed, 3 were in the process, and 3 were under review. The issuance methods were diversified, including private placement and rights offering [90]. - The returns of investors participating in the expansion - offering mainly come from the market discount at the time of issuance and the increase in the dividend rate. The initial batch of expansion - offering projects had losses in the bidding and strategic placement, but 2 projects still had floating profits by the end of October [93][94]. - **Potential Expansion - offering Projects** - Many original equity holders of listed REITs hold potential expansion - offering assets. There are currently 5 expansion - offering projects in progress, and the AVIC Jingneng Photovoltaic REIT is the first project with mixed - asset expansion (photovoltaic + hydropower) [100][101]. - **Case Studies of Expansion - offering Projects** - The Beijing Affordable Housing REIT's expansion - offering assets are slightly inferior in quality to the first - offering assets, but the overall dividend rate is expected to increase [109]. - The AVIC Jingneng Photovoltaic REIT's expansion - offering of "photovoltaic + hydropower" is expected to significantly increase the net profit, EBITDA, and distributable amount in 2026, and the cash distribution rate will also increase [117]. - The Huaxia China Resources Commercial REIT plans to expand by purchasing the Suzhou Kunshan Mixc project. After the expansion, the 2026 combined predicted dividend rate is expected to increase by 0.23 pct [119]. 3.3.长钱定盘亦凝滞,活水破局方致远 - **2025 Market Review** - In 2025, the REITs market showed a "rising first and then falling" trend. The first half was supported by the low - interest rate environment, while the second half was affected by factors such as stock market diversion, rising interest rates, unlocking pressure, and weakening fundamentals. In Q4, some defensive assets' performance was excellent, and some configuration funds began to enter the market [122][124]. - **Investor Structure** - As of the first half of 2025, securities firms and insurance companies dominated the REITs market. Their "heavy - configuration, light - trading" strategy restricted the secondary - market liquidity. Different types of institutions had different configuration preferences [128]. - **Measures to Improve Liquidity** - Including REITs in the Shanghai - Hong Kong and Shenzhen - Hong Kong Stock Connect, launching REITs - ETF and index fund products, and guiding long - term funds like annuities and pensions to enter the market are expected to improve the market liquidity [131]. 3.4.基本面殊途已现,精选Alpha定乾坤 - **Affordable Housing REITs** - In the past five quarters, the affordable housing REITs showed a pattern of "stable quantity and differentiated price". In 2026, the rental market will be affected by factors such as supply and tenant preferences in different regions. Rents in first - tier cities are expected to decline slightly, while those in core second - tier cities may stabilize or rise slightly [137]. - **Consumption REITs** - In 2025, the consumption REITs' operation was stable. The rental rate and collection rate remained high, and the rental efficiency fluctuated seasonally. With the adjustment of the supply - demand relationship and the release of new consumption demands, the asset managers of REITs adjusted the tenant mix. The increase in CPI in October is expected to support the valuation of consumption REITs [140].
规模飙升超200%,这类基金火了
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-11-16 12:14
今年以来,商品ETF市场迎来"双丰收":规模较年初增长超200%,达到2300亿元;业绩表现可圈可点, 最高超53%。 业内人士表示,商品ETF的规模和业绩实现双增长,是避险需求、政策预期与资金虹吸共同作用的结 果。 年内规模增长205% 数据显示,截至11月13日,今年以来,17只商品ETF资金合计净流入966.24亿元,总规模达到2314亿 元,较年初增长205.79%。其中,华安黄金ETF以878.37亿元规模领先;博时、易方达旗下黄金ETF规模 也较大,分别为390.71亿元、338.66亿元。 汇成基金研究中心表示,商品基金规模增长主要源于三大核心驱动:其一,避险需求集中爆发,地缘冲 突与经济不确定性推动黄金ETF规模大幅增长,占商品ETF总增量的约70%,因其优化资产配置、对冲 权益风险的功能凸显;其二,政策与市场环境优化,证监会推动指数化投资高质量发展,叠加养老金、 保险等中长期资金加速入市,个人投资者占比持续提升,被动投资理念普及;其三,ETF产品优势契合 当前投资者需求,低费率、高透明和交易便捷性比较符合分散化配置诉求。 晨星(中国)基金研究中心分析师崔悦表示,商品ETF以黄金ETF为主,黄 ...
债基大额赎回压力未消,“股债跷跷板”为何难停歇?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-16 12:05
"股债跷跷板"玩了一年,何时换剧本? "'股债跷跷板'这一格局大概率将在后续一段时间内持续,短期内尚未显现改善迹象。"野村亚洲利率策 略师高路延接受第一财经采访时表示,在核心政策信号明确前,债市大概率呈区间震荡格局,需等待财 政或货币政策给出明确主线。 临近年底收官,贯穿全年的"股债跷跷板"行情正演绎至关键节点。 债基赎回继续蔓延 在A股走强、债市承压的"股强债弱"格局下,债券市场经历了一场显著的流动性考验。数据显示,三季 度全市场债基净赎回超过5500亿份,纯债基金成为"失血"重灾区;四季度以来,仍有多只债基因大额赎 回频频公告。 今年以来,A股市场持续走强,上证指数接连突破多个整数关口,在4000点附近震荡运行;与之形成鲜 明对比的是,债券市场进入下半年后,空头情绪更占上风,10年期国债收益率四季度以来始终在1.8% 上方高位运行。 当投资者"看股做债"成惯性,债市却因缺乏主线、波动收窄,沦为资金轮动的"配角"。当前,市场焦点 集中在"股债跷跷板"效应是否延续、公募基金费率改革落地影响、明年债市如何演绎等核心问题。 在这一背景下,债基市场出现明显的流动性波动,赎回潮贯穿三季度并延续至四季度。Wind数据显 ...
发行,同比增长132%!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-11-16 12:00
Core Insights - The issuance of equity funds in China has significantly increased this year, with 276 active equity funds established and a total issuance scale of 141.068 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 132.25% [1][3][4] Fund Issuance Trends - A total of 276 active equity funds were established by November 14, with a combined issuance scale of 141.068 billion yuan, marking a 132.25% increase compared to the previous year [3][4] - Notably, 11 funds raised over 2 billion yuan, with the highest approaching 5 billion yuan, while the highest fundraising amount in the same period last year was less than 1.4 billion yuan [3][4] Early Closure of Fundraising - The early closure of fundraising for many active equity funds indicates a recovery in the market, with 73 funds closing early this year, including several "sunshine funds" [4] - Examples include the E Fund Technology Pioneer, which announced early closure with a fundraising cap of 2 billion yuan, and the China Universal XinYue Return fund, which sold out in one day with a cap of 1.5 billion yuan [4] Market Recovery Factors - The recovery in active equity fund issuance is attributed to the rebound of the A-share market since the fourth quarter of last year, driven by breakthroughs in sectors like AI, robotics, and innovative pharmaceuticals, leading to improved corporate earnings and market sentiment [4] - Policy initiatives such as the "Implementation Plan for Promoting Long-term Capital into the Market" and "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Public Funds" have encouraged long-term investment in equity markets [4] Growth of Index Products - The issuance of passive index products has also surged, with over 760 new index funds established this year, totaling over 550 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 89.36% in number and 24% in scale [6] - The market is entering a phase where both active equity and passive index products are growing together, with a wider variety of investment tools available [6] Future Outlook - The future performance of active equity funds will depend on their ability to consistently generate returns that exceed market performance and their differentiation from passive products [6] - Active equity products have shown good excess returns this year, particularly in a market environment favoring growth styles and emerging industries, suggesting a potential for continued strong performance in active management [6]
规模飙升超200%!这类基金火了
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-11-16 12:00
(原标题:规模飙升超200%!这类基金火了) 【导读】避险需求爆发,商品ETF"双丰收" 中国基金报记者 曹雯璟 今年以来,商品ETF市场迎来"双丰收":规模较年初增长超200%,达到2300亿元;业绩表现可圈可点, 最高超53%。 业内人士表示,商品ETF的规模和业绩实现双增长,是避险需求、政策预期与资金虹吸共同作用的结 果。 年内规模增长205% 数据显示,截至11月13日,今年以来,17只商品ETF资金合计净流入966.24亿元,总规模达到2314亿 元,较年初增长205.79%。其中,华安黄金ETF以878.37亿元规模领先;博时、易方达旗下黄金ETF规模 也较大,分别为390.71亿元、338.66亿元。 周期属性在全球需求疲软下转为业绩拖累。而且,能源转型加速压制传统油气价格,工业金属需求受经 济增长放缓制约,而黄金受益于央行持续购金的稳定需求支撑,基本面结构性分化显著。此外,市场风 格轮动中资金明确从周期品转向防御资产,加剧了资金流动的不平衡。 汇成基金研究中心表示,商品基金规模增长主要源于三大核心驱动:其一,避险需求集中爆发,地缘冲 突与经济不确定性推动黄金ETF规模大幅增长,占商品ETF总增 ...
规模飙升超200%!这类基金火了
中国基金报· 2025-11-16 11:50
Core Viewpoint - The commodity ETF market has experienced significant growth in both scale and performance this year, driven by heightened risk aversion, policy expectations, and capital inflows [2][3]. Scale Growth - As of November 13, the total net inflow into 17 commodity ETFs reached 96.624 billion, with a total scale of 231.4 billion, marking a 205.79% increase from the beginning of the year [5]. - The leading commodity ETF, Huaan Gold ETF, has a scale of 87.837 billion, followed by Bosera and E Fund's gold ETFs at 39.071 billion and 33.866 billion, respectively [5]. Performance Analysis - The performance of commodity ETFs has been impressive, with the highest returns exceeding 53% as of November 14, primarily driven by precious metals [7]. - There is significant performance differentiation among products, with a 70 percentage point gap between the best and worst performers [8]. Key Drivers of Growth - The growth in commodity fund scale is attributed to three main drivers: 1. A surge in risk aversion due to geopolitical conflicts and economic uncertainty, leading to a substantial increase in gold ETF scale, which accounts for about 70% of the total increase in commodity ETFs [5]. 2. Improved policy and market conditions, with the China Securities Regulatory Commission promoting high-quality development of index investment, alongside increased participation from long-term funds such as pensions and insurance [5]. 3. The advantages of ETF products, including low fees, high transparency, and ease of trading, aligning with current investor needs for diversified asset allocation [5][6]. Future Outlook - The growth of commodity ETFs is expected to be sustainable but may exhibit structural differentiation, with gold-themed funds benefiting from central bank purchases and long-term risk aversion, while agricultural and energy ETFs may face performance pressures due to global economic slowdowns [6][9]. - Investors are advised to be cautious of single commodity cycle fluctuations and to focus on products with strong research capabilities and diverse strategies to navigate the differentiated landscape [6].
发行,同比增长132%!
中国基金报· 2025-11-16 11:50
Core Viewpoint - The issuance of active equity funds in China has rebounded significantly this year, with a total of 276 new funds established and a total fundraising scale of 141.068 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 132.25% [2][4]. Group 1: Active Equity Fund Issuance - A total of 276 active equity funds were established this year, with a fundraising scale of 141.068 billion yuan, marking a 132.25% year-on-year growth [4][5]. - There were 73 active equity funds that ended their fundraising early, indicating strong demand, with several funds being sold out in just one day [5]. - The rebound in active equity fund issuance is attributed to the recovery of the A-share market, improvements in corporate earnings, and supportive government policies aimed at encouraging long-term investments in equity markets [5]. Group 2: Passive Index Product Issuance - The issuance of passive index products has also surged, with over 760 new index funds established this year, raising over 550 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 89.36% in number and 24% in scale [6][7]. - The market is currently experiencing a phase where both active equity and passive index products are growing, with a diversification of investment tools available to investors [7]. - The future performance of active equity funds will depend on their ability to consistently generate returns that exceed market performance and their differentiation from passive products [7].