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信用债周报:发行利率上行,收益率多数下行-20251216
BOHAI SECURITIES· 2025-12-16 08:10
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - In the primary market, the issuance scale of credit bonds increased month - on - month, with the issuance amount of corporate bonds, medium - term notes, and commercial paper increasing, while that of enterprise bonds and private placement notes decreasing. The net financing of credit bonds also increased month - on - month, with corporate bonds and medium - term notes showing an increase in net financing, and the net financing of enterprise bonds and private placement notes being negative [2][14][60]. - In the secondary market, the trading volume of credit bonds increased month - on - month, and the trading volume of each variety increased. Most of the yields of credit bonds declined, and most of the credit spreads of medium - and short - term notes, enterprise bonds, and urban investment bonds widened. Most spreads are at historical lows [2][19][60]. - From an absolute return perspective, the supply shortage and relatively strong allocation demand will drive the credit bond market to continue its recovery. In the long run, the yield is still in a downward channel, and the strategy of increasing allocation during adjustments is still feasible. Currently, the cost - effectiveness of most varieties has decreased, and caution is needed when chasing high prices. The coupon strategy can be moderately optimistic in the current allocation, and the trading strategy can remain optimistic [2][60]. - From a relative return perspective, although the compression space of credit spreads at all tenors is insufficient at present, the probability of a one - sided correction in the short term is also low. Therefore, investors can still achieve the coupon strategy through credit downgrading and extending the duration according to their own capital characteristics, but they need to pay attention to the rhythm during the allocation [2][60]. - For real estate bonds, as the market gradually stabilizes, funds with high risk appetite can consider early layout, focusing on enterprises with outstanding performance in new financing and sales recovery. The focus of allocation is still on central and state - owned enterprises with stable historical valuations and excellent performance, as well as high - quality private enterprise bonds with strong guarantees. Investors can extend the duration to increase returns and also appropriately play the trading opportunities brought by the valuation repair of bonds of over - sold real estate enterprises [3][65]. - For urban investment bonds, under the principle of coordinating development and security, the probability of default is very low, and they can still be a key allocation variety for credit bonds. Investors can consider a credit - downgrading strategy for the medium - and short - term in the allocation, and choose to extend the duration for high - grade bonds in the trading [4][66]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Primary Market Situation - **Issuance and Maturity Scale**: From December 8th to December 14th, a total of 326 credit bonds were issued, with an issuance amount of 275.038 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 18.09%. The net financing of credit bonds was 73.256 billion yuan, an increase of 19.097 billion yuan month - on - month. By variety, the issuance of enterprise bonds was 0, with a net financing of - 7.287 billion yuan; corporate bonds issued 113 with an issuance amount of 78.848 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 4.17%, and a net financing of 25.131 billion yuan; medium - term notes issued 105 with an issuance amount of 94.198 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 52.96%, and a net financing of 41.148 billion yuan; commercial paper issued 92 with an issuance amount of 93.257 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 13.09%, and a net financing of 18.52 billion yuan; private placement notes issued 16 with an issuance amount of 8.735 billion yuan, a month - on - month decrease of 28.25%, and a net financing of - 4.256 billion yuan [14]. - **Issuance Interest Rates**: The issuance guidance rates announced by the Dealers Association all increased, with an overall change range of 1 - 4 BP. By tenor, the 1 - year variety had a rate change range of 1 - 4 BP, the 3 - year variety 2 - 4 BP, the 5 - year variety 2 - 3 BP, and the 7 - year variety 1 - 3 BP. By rating, the key AAA - rated and AAA - rated varieties had a rate change range of 1 - 3 BP, the AA + - rated variety 2 - 4 BP, the AA - rated variety 3 - 4 BP, and the AA - - rated variety 1 - 4 BP [15]. 3.2 Secondary Market Situation - **Market Trading Volume**: From December 8th to December 14th, the total trading volume of credit bonds was 915.761 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 12.02%. The trading volumes of enterprise bonds, corporate bonds, medium - term notes, commercial paper, and private placement notes were 23.503 billion yuan, 357.775 billion yuan, 294.033 billion yuan, 183.844 billion yuan, and 56.606 billion yuan respectively [19]. - **Credit Spreads**: In medium - and short - term notes, most credit spreads widened. In enterprise bonds, most credit spreads also widened. In urban investment bonds, most credit spreads widened as well [22][29][37]. - **Term Spreads and Rating Spreads**: For AA + medium - and short - term notes, the 3Y - 1Y term spread narrowed by 2.44 BP, the 5Y - 3Y spread widened by 2.88 BP, and the 7Y - 3Y spread widened by 4.68 BP. For 3 - year medium - and short - term notes, the (AA - )-(AAA) rating spread widened by 1.00 BP, the (AA)-(AAA) spread widened by 2.00 BP, and the (AA + )-(AAA) spread remained unchanged from the previous period [44]. 3.3 Credit Rating Adjustment and Default Bond Statistics - **Credit Rating Adjustment Statistics**: From December 8th to December 14th, the rating (including outlook) of one company was adjusted, which was an upgrade. Xi'an High - tech Financial Holding Group Co., Ltd. was upgraded from AA + / Stable to AAA / Stable by Zhongzheng Pengyuan [57][58]. - **Default and Extension Bond Statistics**: There were no credit bond defaults or extensions from December 8th to December 14th [59]. 3.4 Investment Views The report reiterates the situation of the primary and secondary markets of credit bonds, and provides investment strategies from absolute and relative return perspectives. It also gives investment suggestions for real estate bonds and urban investment bonds [60].
A股三大指数均跌超1%:福建国资走弱,商业百货逆市掀涨停潮
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-16 08:00
从板块来看,商业零售、退税商店、休闲食品、商贸零售、食品饮料行业、多元金融等行业以及概念涨 幅居前;福建国资、有色·锑、超导、贵金属、船舶制造、影视院线、工业金属等行业以及概念跌幅居 前。 据东方财富网消息,12月16日,A股三大指数集体回调。截至收盘,上证指数跌1.11%,收报3824.81 点;深证成指跌1.51%,收报12914.67点;创业板指跌2.10%,收报3071.76点。沪深两市成交额17242 亿,较昨日缩量493亿。 个股方面,全市场超4300只个股下跌,接近1100只股票上涨,近50只股票涨停。其中,商业百货板块逆 市走强,永辉超市、欧亚集团、百大集团、中央商场、广百股份、家家悦、红旗连锁、利群股份涨停。 智能驾驶概念逆势拉升,浙江世宝、索菱股份等股涨停。 ...
收评:三大指数均跌超1%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-16 07:11
每经AI快讯,12月16日,市场全天震荡调整,三大指数集体低开低走。沪深两市成交额1.72万亿元,较 上一个交易日缩量493亿元。全市场超4300只个股下跌。从板块来看,互金板块走强,恒宝股份等多股 涨停,创识科技触及20cm涨停。商业航天反复活跃,华菱线缆4连板,航天电子、通宇通讯2连板。零 售概念全天强势,百大集团4连板,红旗连锁、广百股份双双2连板。智能驾驶概念逆势拉升,浙江世 宝、索菱股份等股涨停。下跌方面,影视院线概念集体大跌,博纳影业2连跌停。板块方面,零售、教 育、乳业、多元金融等板块涨幅居前,贵金属、影视院线、海南等板块跌幅居前。截至收盘,沪指跌 1.11%,深成指跌1.51%,创业板指跌2.1%。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) ...
中国金融国际(00721.HK)11月末每普通股综合资产净值约为0.02港元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 09:52
中国金融国际(00721.HK)发布公告,公司公布于2025年11月30日未经审核的每普通股的综合资产净值约 为0.02港元。 截至2025年12月15日收盘,中国金融国际(00721.HK)报收于0.06港元,与上一交易日持平,成交量154.0 万股,成交额8.49万港元。投行对该股关注度不高,90天内无投行对其给出评级。 中国金融国际港股市值6.14亿港元,在多元金融行业中排名第47。主要指标见下表: 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理,由AI算法生成(网信算备310104345710301240019号),不构成 投资建议。 ...
多元金融板块12月15日跌0.23%,瑞达期货领跌,主力资金净流出1.24亿元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2025-12-15 09:08
从资金流向上来看,当日多元金融板块主力资金净流出1.24亿元,游资资金净流出1644.43万元,散户资 金净流入1.4亿元。多元金融板块个股资金流向见下表: 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理,由AI算法生成(网信算备310104345710301240019号),不构成投资建议。 证券之星消息,12月15日多元金融板块较上一交易日下跌0.23%,瑞达期货领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3867.92,下跌0.55%。深证成指报收于13112.09,下跌1.1%。多元金融板块个股涨跌见下表: ...
行业研究|行业周报|投资银行业与经纪业:市场交投高位延续,关注非银板块配置机遇-20251214
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-14 11:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-bank financial sector [7]. Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector has shown strong overall performance this week, with brokerage firms experiencing an increase in market activity, maintaining historical highs. It is expected that the sector will continue to see high growth trends in earnings through 2025, suggesting a focus on the sector's future allocation value [2][4]. - In the insurance sector, the third-quarter reports have confirmed the logic of deposit migration, increased equity allocation, and improved new policy costs. The long-term return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve, leading to a potential acceleration in valuation recovery. The overall cost-effectiveness of allocations is gradually increasing, indicating a revaluation of the sector is underway [2][4]. - Recommendations include focusing on companies with stable earnings growth and dividend rates, such as Jiangsu Jinzu, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance, which have clear advantages in business models and market positions. Additionally, companies like Xinhua Insurance, China Life, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Wealth, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings are also recommended based on their performance elasticity and valuation levels [4]. Market Performance - The non-bank financial index increased by 0.8% this week, with an excess return of 0.9% relative to the CSI 300, ranking high in the industry [5]. - Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index has risen by 6.7%, but with an excess return of -9.7% compared to the CSI 300, ranking lower in the industry [5]. - The average daily trading volume in the two markets reached 19,530.44 billion yuan, a week-on-week increase of 15.14%, with a daily turnover rate of 2.03%, up by 26.88 basis points [5]. Key Industry News & Company Announcements - China Life's cumulative total premium income has exceeded 700 billion yuan [6]. - Guosen Securities plans to distribute cash dividends totaling approximately 1.024 billion yuan, accounting for 11.21% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters [6]. - Industrial Securities announced a mid-term profit distribution plan, with a total cash dividend of 432 million yuan based on a total share capital of 8.636 billion shares [6].
基金销售行业进一步规范,多家券商优化两融业务布局
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-14 08:31
证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·非银金融 非银金融行业跟踪周报 luoyk@dwzq.com.cn 基金销售行业进一步规范;多家券商优化两 融业务布局 增持(维持) [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 行业走势 -16% -12% -8% -4% 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20% 2024/12/16 2025/4/15 2025/8/13 2025/12/11 非银金融 沪深300 ◼ 风险提示:1)宏观经济不及预期;2)政策趋紧抑制行业创新;3)市场 竞争加剧风险。 2025 年 12 月 14 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书:S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 罗宇康 执业证书:S0600525090002 相关研究 《吴清提出拓宽券商资本空间;保险 优化股票风险因子》 2025-12-07 《基金绩效管理办法下发,引导基金 员工激励与长期业绩挂钩》 2025-12-07 东吴证券研究所 1 / 15 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 非银行金融子行业近期表现:最近 5 个交易日(2025 年 12 月 08 日-2025 年 ...
非银角度学习中央经济工作会议精神:聚焦功能发挥,服务战略转型
Bank of China Securities· 2025-12-14 04:00
非银金融 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2025 年 12 月 14 日 相关研究报告 强于大市 非银金融行业周报 聚焦功能发挥,服务战略转型 ——非银角度学习中央经济工作会议精神 金融与资本市场相关部署贯穿于中央经济工作会议的政策要求与重点任务 中,凸显了金融在服务"十五五"时期国家战略中的重要枢纽地位。继续看 好证券行业高景气度下长期估值中枢提升。 行业要闻 投资建议 继续看好券商板块估值向上空间。中央经济工作会议强化金融功能发挥 重要性,勾勒 2026 年资本市场改革与行业高质量发展路径,在证券行业 景气度上升背景下板块长期估值中枢有望提升。建议关注头部综合券商 优势扩大以及特色中小券商错位发展两条主线。 风险提示 监管政策、宏观经济发展及市场流动性表现不及预期;证券市场及利率 大幅波动导致业绩波动加剧;资本市场开放加速带来海外市场风险与外 资机构竞争压力;同质化竞争或引发价格战;券商并购不确定性或影响 板块价格稳定。 《基金公司绩效考核新规点评》20251211 《保险公司风险因子调整点评》20251211 《证券行业"十五五"发展展望》20251208 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业 ...
多元金融板块12月12日涨0.63%,瑞达期货领涨,主力资金净流出5785.78万元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2025-12-12 09:12
证券之星消息,12月12日多元金融板块较上一交易日上涨0.63%,瑞达期货领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3889.35,上涨0.41%。深证成指报收于13258.33,上涨0.84%。多元金融板块个股涨跌见下表: 从资金流向上来看,当日多元金融板块主力资金净流出5785.78万元,游资资金净流出1.07亿元,散户资 金净流入1.64亿元。多元金融板块个股资金流向见下表: 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理,由AI算法生成(网信算备310104345710301240019号),不构成投资建议。 ...
弘业期货收盘上涨1.27%,滚动市盈率675.06倍,总市值104.61亿元
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-12 09:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the financial performance and market position of Hongye Futures, which has a high PE ratio compared to its industry peers [1] - As of December 12, Hongye Futures closed at 10.38 yuan, with a PE ratio of 675.06, significantly higher than the industry average of 57.69 and the median of 25.88 [1][2] - The total market capitalization of Hongye Futures is 10.461 billion yuan, ranking it 21st in the multi-financial industry [1] Group 2 - The company reported a significant decline in its latest financial results, with a revenue of 462 million yuan for the third quarter of 2025, down 76.77% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.0897 million yuan, down 87.27% year-on-year [1] - As of January 10, 2025, the number of shareholders in Hongye Futures is 40,409, a decrease of 517 from the previous count, with an average holding value of 352,800 yuan and an average shareholding of 27,600 shares [1] - Hongye Futures specializes in various financial services, including commodity futures brokerage, financial futures brokerage, investment consulting, asset management, and fund sales [1]