点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文为中国汽车流通协会乘用车市场信息联席分会发布的权威深度市场分析报告，涵盖了： 一、总体市场 二、车型大类细分市场 三、国别细分市场 四、品牌定位细分市场 五、价格定位细分市场 冒求 Contents 说明 批发销量：国内外批发销量 狭义 乘用车: 轿车、MPV、SUV 轿车、MPV、SUV、微客 数据来源:中国汽车流通协会乘用车市场信息联席分会月报表(产量,零售,批发,出口,获义汇总,广义汇总) 终带 末计入份额低于2%的细分市场 豪华品牌指:弈跑、宝马、奥迪、削迪拉克、捷豹、路虎、沃尔沃、英菲尼迪、讴歌、特斯拉 以起步市场指导价划分,分为≥30万及<30万元两档,≥30万为高端 NEV = BEV(含FCV) + PHEV + EREV .总体市场 ◆狭义乘用车产销情况- -2025年5月及累计 -2025年5月及累计 ◆广义乘用车产销情况 车型大类细分市场 ◆各车型大类市场份额变化 ◆不同级别车型大类增速、销量和份额 -- 2025年5月及累计 三.国别细分市场 ◆各国别市场份额变化 ◆各国别不同车型大类增速、销量和份额 -- 2025年5月及累计 四.品牌定位细分市场 ...

证券研究报告 汽车周观点： 6月第1周乘用车环比-22.6%，继续看好汽车板块 证券分析师 ：黄细里 执业证书编号：S0600520010001 联系邮箱：huangxl@dwzq.com.cn 2025年6月16日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 核心结论 注：若无特殊说明，"本周"均代表2025.6.9-2025.6.15 2 ➢本周复盘总结：六月第一周交强险35.5万辆，环比上周/上月周度-22.6%/-14.8%。 ◼ 本周细分板块涨跌幅排序:SＷ商用载货车(+10.7%) >SW摩托车及其他(+2.0%) >SW 商用载客车(+0.4%) > SW汽车（-0.8%）>SW汽车零部件(-1.6%)> SW乘用车(+2.0 %) 。本周已覆盖标的江淮汽车、春风动力、威迈斯、上汽集团、中国重汽涨幅前五。 （ ◼ 本周团队研究成果：外发AI+汽车智能化系列之十二——理想汽车核心竞争力剖析、精 锻科技、隆鑫通用、福耀玻璃专题第六篇深度。 ◼ 本周行业核心变化：1）多家车企将供应商支付账期调整至60天以内；2）地方补贴暂 停，目前基于我们统计大概补贴受影响城市占总体汽车销量比例低于10%；3）小鹏G 7亮相， ...

Group 1: Automotive Data Regulations - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) of China has solicited opinions on the "Automotive Data Export Security Guidelines (2025 Edition)" [1] - Automotive data processors must declare data export security assessments under specific conditions, including providing important data or personal information to overseas entities [1] Group 2: Market Outlook and Investment Strategies - The Chinese stock market is expected to experience continued divergence from the U.S. market, with a focus on a barbell strategy and opportunities in overseas expansion [2] - The AI sector is anticipated to drive valuation recovery in the internet industry, while external geopolitical factors remain a significant influence on market sentiment [2] - The Chinese new energy vehicle (NEV) market is projected to grow by 24% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 53.3% [2] - The pharmaceutical sector is optimistic about domestic innovative drugs achieving overseas authorization, supported by national policies [3] Group 3: A-Share Market Analysis - Historical "bottoms" in the A-share market may have already occurred, with resilience observed despite external uncertainties [4] - The market is expected to continue narrow fluctuations, with potential upward movement dependent on macroeconomic policies, particularly fiscal measures [4] Group 4: Industry Opportunities - Investment opportunities are identified in three main areas: capacity cycle opportunities (industrial metals, lithium batteries, innovative drugs), high-growth sectors less correlated with economic cycles (AI industry), and dividend-paying sectors (consumer leaders, public utilities) [5] Group 5: Military Trade and Defense Industry - China's military trade is evolving, with the country transitioning from a "follower" to a "leader" in the global military trade landscape [6] - Investment opportunities in the defense sector include radar systems, guided equipment, drones, military aircraft, armored vehicles, and naval vessels [6] Group 6: Stablecoin Market Dynamics - The stablecoin market is gaining attention, with implications for financial technology and international currency dynamics [7] - USDT, a widely used stablecoin, has an issuance scale exceeding $150 billion, representing a new generation of payment technology [7] - Future focus on the listing of Circle and related companies in the stablecoin space is recommended [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent developments in the Chinese automotive market, highlighting the government's intervention to curb price wars and promote high-quality industry growth through measures such as regulating supplier payment terms [4][6]. Group 1: Market Trends and Performance - From January to April, the profit margin of the Chinese automotive industry was 4.1%, increasing to 4.4% in April, compared to 3.9% in Q1 and 3.5% in March, indicating a positive trend [7]. - In May, the retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 1.932 million units, a year-on-year increase of 13.3% and a month-on-month increase of 10.1%, surpassing the level of 1.81 million units in May 2018 [9]. - Cumulative retail sales from January to May reached 8.811 million units, up 9.1% year-on-year [9]. Group 2: Sales Data and Company Performance - In the first five months, sales of Chinese brand passenger vehicles reached 7.562 million units, a year-on-year increase of 26.3%, accounting for 68.8% of total passenger vehicle sales [10]. - The top ten automotive groups sold 10.708 million units in total, representing 84% of the overall market, with varying performance among individual companies [11]. - In May, BYD sold 382,476 units, a year-on-year increase of 15.35%, while SAIC Group sold 366,000 units, up 10.25% [13][14]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The article notes that some companies engaged in aggressive pricing strategies, leading to a temporary surge in market activity, but this has raised concerns about sustainability [12]. - The sales performance of major companies varied, with some like Geely and Changan showing significant growth, while others like GAC and Dongfeng experienced declines [14][39]. - New energy vehicle sales are highlighted as a key growth area, with companies like Changan and BYD reporting substantial increases in this segment [29][37].

今日导读 1. 乘联分会发布最新数据显示，6月1日至8日，全国乘用车新能源市场零售20.2万辆，同比 去年6月同期增长40%，较上月同期增长4%，新能源市场零售渗透率58.8%，今年以来累计 零售455.9万辆，同比增长34%。 2. 近日，多地消费品以旧换新国家补贴（简称"国补"）暂停的消息引发关注。对此，湖北和 江苏官方均回应称，"国补"活动将持续到年底；重庆官方也回应称，第二阶段"以旧换新补 贴政策"预计将于6月上旬出台。 3. 6月10日晚间，全市场规模最大的ETF产品——华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF宣布将实施分红。按 照基金规模和分红方案测算，本次分红总额有望突破80亿元。 宏观消息 1、国务院新闻办公室定于2025年6月16日（星期一）上午10时举行新闻发布会，国家统计局新闻发言 人、国民经济综合统计司司长付凌晖介绍2025年5月份国民经济运行情况，并答记者问。 2、工业和信息化部办公厅、国家发展改革委办公厅发布关于开展生物制造中试能力建设平台培育工作 的通知，坚持逐步培育、分类打造。立足产业现状和发展需求，布局相适应的中试能力和服务体系， 鼓励国家级实验室、国家级科技创新平台打造中试能力建设平台。坚 ...

报告导读： 5 月乘用车国内批发销量同环比增长，库存下降 11 万辆，出口表现亮眼。建 议关注自身处于新车周期及智能化领先的车企。 "两新"政策下 5 月国内汽车消费表现不错，建议关注自身处于新车周期及智能化领先的车企。 重要提醒 本订阅号所载内容仅面向国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户。因本资料暂时无法设置访问限制，根据《证 券期货投资者适当性管理办法》的要求，若您并非国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户，为保证服务质量、 控制投资风险，还请取消关注，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。我们对由此给您造成的 不便表示诚挚歉意，非常感谢您的理解与配合！如有任何疑问，敬请按照文末联系方式与我们联系。 法律声明 风险提示：汽车消费需求不及预期；国内行业竞争加剧；海外贸易摩擦加剧。 文章来源 本文摘自：2025年6月11日发布的 5月乘用车销量同环比增长，出口表现亮眼 刘一鸣 ，资格证书编号： S0880525040050 张觉尹 ，资格证书编号： S0880525040057 更多国泰海通研究和服务 亦可联系对口销售获取 5 月批发销量同环比增长，库存下降 11 万辆。 5 月乘用车批发销量 231.0 万辆，同比 +1 ...

Group 1: Capital Expenditure Cycle Analysis - The capital expenditure (CAPEX) cycle is a dominant driver of industry cycles in China, influencing the relationship between CAPEX, price-to-book (PB) ratio, and return on equity (ROE) [4] - The CAPEX cycle is divided into three stages: Stage 1 (oversupply leads to declining ROE and poor market performance), Stage 2 (declining CAPEX results in rising free cash flow and market rebound), and Stage 3 (supply-side clearing leads to improved ROE and better market performance) [4][14][15] - The PB-ROE model indicates significant investment value in Stage 2 (low PB and improving ROE) and Stage 3 (reasonable PB and steadily rising ROE) [16] Group 2: Market and Industry Comparisons - In Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, the overall capital expenditure of A-share companies (excluding finance and real estate) is contracting, while free cash flow is improving [20] - The median CAPEX/depreciation ratio for secondary industries decreased from 1.35 to 1.29, while the median free cash flow/equity ratio increased from 4.4% to 4.8% [21] - The proportion of secondary industries with free cash flow greater than 0 has significantly increased, indicating a positive trend in cash flow [21][24] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - The consumer sector shows overall CAPEX contraction and slight decline in free cash flow, with CAPEX levels below market averages and free cash flow above market averages [26] - The advanced manufacturing sector also experiences CAPEX contraction, while free cash flow shows slight improvement [4][26] - Eight industries within the consumer sector are highlighted as potential investment opportunities based on supply-side improvements [4][26]

上市公司不仅是股民的投资对象、股民们希望通过它们赚钱，同时也是众多劳动者的就业单位。Wind 数据显示，截至6月5日，A股共有31个一级行业（申万）、5400多家上市公司。 这些上市公司提供了多少就业岗位？哪些行业的员工"赚"得更多？ 随着2024年上市公司年报的披露，财通证券统计了相关数据： 1、员工总数增长，平均月薪约10800元 整体来看，员工数量方面，疫情后我国上市公司员工总数仍旧保持增长，2024年上市公司员工总数超过 2500万人。 平均月薪方面，2024年上市公司员工平均月薪水平在10800元左右。 2、国有大型银行员工人数最多 财通证券选择了2024年员工人数最多的前10个行业作为代表，所选员工总数占全市场上市公司员工总数 的36.2%。 从行业分类来看，2024年上市公司中，吸纳就业最多的行业主要是金融、汽车、建筑地产和消费电子。 其中，国有大型银行员工总数最多，达165.5万人，增速为0.4%，占全市场就业总数的6.5%；其次是乘 用车行业，员工为140.9万人，增速为21.3%，占总数的5.5%。 3、汽车、电子行业贡献了较多的新增就业 从变化趋势来看，乘用车、汽车零部件、消费电子的员工 ...

乘用车终端销量跟踪分析 20250610 摘要 近期国产乘用车终端销量受月初波动影响环比下降 20%至 36 万台，但 周平均销量仍同比增长 10%，年初至今累计销量增长超 10%，表明以 旧换新政策效果显著。 国产新能源车渗透率达 56%，接近年内高位，年初至今平均渗透率 53%，较去年同期增长近 20%，新能源车总体销量同比增长 15%~20%。 10-15 万元低价位段新能源乘用车增速达 60%，主要受益于比亚迪秦 PLUS DM-i 系列、吉利银河系列及领跑等高性价比新车型，而 30 万元 以上中高端新能源汽车销售走平或微增。 比亚迪本周终端销量 5.49 万台，环比下降 10%，但市占率反弹至 15% 左右，虽较去年底有所下降，但整体份额趋于稳定。 新能源汽车市场集中度降低，CR10 企业占据 63%市场份额，低于去年 下半年的 70%，表明补贴政策鼓励了更多中小品牌参与竞争，市场竞争 加剧。 吉利（含吉利银河、极氪）崛起成为重要竞争者，本周销量约 3 万台。 问界和理想受产品周期影响前期销售走弱，近期已恢复至较高水平。 Q&A 最近国产乘用车终端销量的总体趋势如何？ 从最近几周的终端销量来看，国内 ...

Market Performance - On June 9, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.43%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.65%, and the ChiNext Index gained 1.07%[3] - Market turnover reached 1.31 trillion, an increase of approximately 130 billion compared to the previous trading day[1] Sector Analysis - All sectors except food and beverage saw gains, with pharmaceuticals, military industry, agriculture, and textiles leading the increases[1] - The military and innovative pharmaceuticals sectors have shown significant strength, driven by recent geopolitical events and advancements in clinical research[1] Economic Indicators - In May, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 0.4% month-on-month, with a year-on-year decline of 3.3%[5] - For the first five months of the year, China's total goods trade value reached 17.94 trillion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.5%[6] Investment Trends - In the first week of June, new fund issuance exceeded 31 billion, with equity funds showing a "high volume, low amount" characteristic, totaling only 5.82 billion[11] - Public REITs' total market value surpassed 200 billion for the first time, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange accounting for nearly 70% of this total[12][13]