Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the optical module sector, indicating that the actual performance PE of leading companies is significantly lower than the consensus expected PE, suggesting room for upward valuation adjustments [3][6]. Core Insights - The current AI-driven market for optical modules shows a rapid amplification effect similar to the "Davis Double Play" seen in the consumer electronics sector, alongside attributes of "profit exceeding expectations and valuation mismatch" observed in the renewable energy sector, indicating both explosive growth potential and sustainability [3][6]. - The report highlights that the leading companies in the optical module market, such as Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Technology, and Tianfu Communication, have experienced substantial rebounds in their stock prices, with respective increases of 481%, 607%, and 305% from their year-to-date lows [6]. - The anticipated performance PE for these companies from 2025 to 2027 is projected at 52/36/30x for Zhongji Xuchuang, 44/29/24x for Xinyi Technology, and 69/50/39x for Tianfu Communication, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [6]. Summary by Sections Vertical Analysis - The report discusses the varying performance of leading companies in different market cycles, noting that the AI model training has led to a surge in computing power demand, significantly elevating the valuations of these companies [8]. - The actual performance PE of leading companies is currently underestimated compared to their expected performance PE, with Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Technology, and Tianfu Communication showing potential increases of 167%, 129%, and 103% respectively [8]. Horizontal Analysis - The report compares the optical module sector with consumer electronics and renewable energy sectors, emphasizing that the current market dynamics are driven by AI computing demand, which is distinct from the product-driven cycles seen in consumer electronics and policy-driven cycles in renewable energy [8]. - The optical module sector is characterized by a robust technological advantage and manufacturing capability, positioning it for sustained growth compared to its peers [8]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends a reevaluation of leading optical module companies, highlighting the need for market participants to recognize the significant upside potential in their valuations as the demand for optical modules continues to rise due to increased ASIC usage and ongoing technological advancements [3][6].

Group 1: Market Overview - Institutional research focus is concentrated on robotics, AI, and semiconductors, indicating a shift in investor interest towards these sectors [4][5][6] - The total number of institutional research engagements has increased, particularly in the machinery, pharmaceutical, and basic chemical sectors [6][7] Group 2: Company Insights - Tianjin Tianshili (600535.SH) has received approval for a new indication for its drug, Puyouke, enhancing its market potential in the treatment of acute ischemic stroke [25][26][27] - New Henghui is a leading player in the integrated circuit packaging industry, with a focus on eSIM applications, which are expected to drive future growth [11] - Yitang Co., Ltd. is recognized as a global leader in wafer processing equipment, continuously expanding its technological capabilities [12] - Suzhou Tianmai is a leading enterprise in the thermal management industry, with innovative products that meet the needs of major electronics brands [13] Group 3: Industry Trends - The European electric vehicle market is experiencing significant growth, with sales reaching 176,000 units in August 2025, a year-on-year increase of 41.2% [20][21] - The demand for liquid cooling solutions is expected to rise due to advancements in AI and GPU technologies, particularly with NVIDIA's new GPU, RubinCPX [17][18]

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing a significant divergence between traditional "old stocks" (represented by sectors like liquor, real estate, and coal) and "new stocks" (focused on technology sectors such as AI and semiconductors), with the latter showing substantial gains while the former declines [1][3][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of September 23, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 14.02% year-to-date, with technology sectors like SW Communication and SW Electronics seeing gains of 103% and 93% respectively, while traditional sectors like SW Coal and SW Food & Beverage have declined by 1.82% and 0.78% [1][2]. - The performance of individual stocks reflects this trend, with tech stocks like Cambrian (688256.SH) doubling in price, while major liquor stocks like Kweichow Moutai (600519.SH) have seen a decline of 3.16% [3][5]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - The "new stocks" or "small stocks" have shown remarkable growth, with companies like Xinji Technology (300502.SZ) and Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ) experiencing year-to-date increases of 329% and 253% respectively, driven by the AI computing wave [3][5]. - In contrast, the "old stocks" have struggled, with 16 out of 21 major liquor stocks experiencing declines, and several blue-chip stocks like Haitian Flavoring (603288.SH) and Gree Electric (000651.SZ) also showing negative performance [4][5]. Group 3: Investment Perspectives - The divide between "old stocks" and "new stocks" has sparked debates within the investment community, with traditional investors advocating for value investing based on cash flow and safety margins, while tech investors focus on growth potential and disruptive technologies [6][7]. - Current market dynamics suggest that the tech sector is seen as a trend-driven investment, supported by policies favoring AI and computing power, while traditional value investment strategies are becoming less effective, leading to extreme sector divergence [8].

↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ A股三大指数今日宽幅震荡，截止收盘，沪指跌0.18%，收报3821.83点；深证成指跌0.29%，收报13119.82点；创业板指涨0.21%，收报 3114.55点。沪深两市成交额达到24944亿，较昨日放量3729亿。上涨股票数量近1100只。 行业板块多数收跌，银行、航运港口、半导体板块涨幅居前，旅游酒店、房地产服务、小金属、医疗服务、软件开发、汽车服务板块跌幅居前。今 天行情波动很大，我们一起看看发生了什么。 01 三大指集体震荡！ 今天市场演绎了惊心动魄的大幅震荡。早盘后持续走弱，盘中集体翻绿。午间收盘时全市场近5000支个股下跌。在午后，沪指一度跌至1.3%，深 成指跌2.1%，创业板指跌2%。 令人惊喜的是，尾盘指数走高，创业板指拉升翻红，沪指、深成指跌幅均收窄，半导体芯片板块是涨幅的主要贡献者。 对于今天的行情，分析人士认为，长假前正常都会有兑现行情，特别是杠杆资金，都要对不确定性进行一些回避。目前，融资余额已达2.4万亿元 规模。虽然，与流通市值的比值并不算高，但其整体规模的确也比较大。若有风险因子触发，也会有冲击。因此，这也是资金的正常需求。 消息面上 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing a strong rally in the AI computing power sector, with the ChiNext AI ETF (华夏 159381) rebounding after previously dropping over 2% [1] - Major stocks leading the charge include Capital Online, Zhaolong Interconnect, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Xinyi Sheng [1] - CITIC Securities continues to recommend the computing power infrastructure supply chain, anticipating a rebound in domestic AI computing power demand from September to October, driven by strong North American demand [1] Group 2 - Guosheng Securities highlights that the ongoing investments by overseas AI giants in computing infrastructure and significant capital expenditure increases by cloud service providers confirm the industry's high prosperity and stable fundamentals [1] - The recent short-term adjustments are attributed to emotional fluctuations and previous gains, which provide a good opportunity for positioning in the long-term demand logic driven by AI [1] - The ChiNext AI ETF (华夏 159381) tracks the ChiNext AI Index (970070.CNI), with over 50% weight in optical modules, and the top three weighted stocks are Xinyi Sheng (20.3%), Zhongji Xuchuang (18.8%), and Tianfu Communication (6.5%) [1] Group 3 - The 5G Communication ETF (515050) tracks the CSI 5G Communication Theme Index, with a latest scale exceeding 8 billion [2] - It focuses on the supply chains of Nvidia, Apple, and Huawei, with optical module CPO concept stocks accounting for 38% and PCB circuit board concept stocks for 14% [2] - The full name of the related ETF is Huaxia CSI 5G Communication Theme ETF (515050) [2]

Group 1 - The ChiNext Index experienced fluctuations, with a peak increase of over 1% before a pullback of 1.75% as of September 23, 2025 [1] - Leading stocks included Changchuan Technology, which surged by 20.00%, followed by Teruid and XianDao Intelligent with increases of 13.85% and 4.31% respectively [1] - The 2025 Yunqi Conference will be held from September 24 to 26 in Hangzhou, focusing on topics such as large models, AI applications, and infrastructure [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities noted that the current market's sustainability relies on positive feedback from the funding environment, which remains active [1] - The report emphasized that the profitability effect is crucial for the continuation of positive feedback in the funding environment, with current market consolidation probabilities remaining high [1] - Overseas liquidity and geopolitical issues are improving, while domestic fundamentals are on an upward trend, maintaining a mid-term bullish outlook for the market [1] Group 3 - Guosheng Securities highlighted significant volatility in the optical communication sector, but strong demand and large orders in the overseas AI computing power sector indicate a solid fundamental outlook for the optical module industry [2] - The emotional adjustments in the short-term market provide better investment opportunities, with a long-term positive outlook for the optical module sector [2] - The ChiNext ETF closely tracks the ChiNext Index, which consists of 100 stocks with high market capitalization and liquidity, reflecting the performance of the ChiNext market [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant surge in the computing power sector, driven by overseas news and strategic partnerships, particularly between Nvidia and OpenAI [1][3] - Nvidia and OpenAI have announced a strategic collaboration to build and deploy at least 10 gigawatts of AI data centers, utilizing millions of Nvidia GPUs, with Nvidia potentially investing up to $100 billion [3] - The cloud computing ETF, Huatai-PineBridge (159273), has seen a net inflow of over 700 million yuan in the past 20 days, indicating strong investor interest [1] Group 2 - The optical module sector is experiencing a boom due to rapid iterations of Nvidia GPUs and self-developed ASICs, leading to a doubling of bandwidth capacity with each generation [5] - The market recognizes a conversion ratio of GPU to optical modules at 1:2.5, with potential future ratios reaching 1:11.5 in certain applications [5] - The demand for computing power is driving significant capital expenditures among global cloud providers, with a projected 50% increase in capital spending to $333.8 billion by 2025 [6] Group 3 - The expansion of computing clusters, referred to as "ten thousand card clusters," is seen as a ticket to participate in the current model competition, with major operators and internet companies increasing their investments [7] - The cloud computing ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159273) aims to capture the growth opportunities in AI-driven cloud computing, covering a wide range of sectors including hardware, cloud services, and data center operations [7]

光模块专题 20250922 摘要 AI 应用闭环加速，谷歌 Gemini token 处理量激增，微软云受益于 OpenAI 调用量，Oracle 订单暴增，表明 AI 需求爆发推动云厂商资本 开支加速，形成正向飞轮效应，利好 AI 基础设施相关企业。 头部云厂商如谷歌、亚马逊、微软、Meta 单季度资本开支约千亿美元， 全年预计超 4,000-6,000 亿美元。英伟达预计总资本开支投入将达 3-4 万亿美元，并保持 30%-40%以上增速，云厂商对 AI 基础设施投入明确 且持续。 光模块应用场景扩展至机柜内部互联（scale up）和数据中心之间互联 （DCI），其中机柜内部通信需求远大于柜外，光互联将从可选项变成 刚需，推动光模块行业进入新一轮成长周期。 英伟达 Spectrum XGS 平台采用以太网协议，降低客户适配难度，将 数据中心互联话语权从传统设备商转移至英伟达，国内头部光模块公司 有望进入这一新市场，实现长期增长。 英伟达 RUMBA CPS 机柜分为双机柜和混合托盘版本，总带宽均接近 230T，GPU 和网卡数量及速率翻倍增长，显著增加对光模块的需求， 推动未来产能提升。 Q&A AI ...

英伟达创始人兼首席执行官黄仁勋在接受采访时坦言，这是一个"史无前例、庞大且复杂的工程项目"， 但他同时强调，AI对各行各业的变革性影响已毋庸置疑，这样的投入是推动技术突破与产业升级的必 要之举。 就光模块等算力方向，国盛证券近期研报指出，海外AI算力领域的大额订单与强劲需求表明，光模块 行业的基本面依然稳固，AI驱动的算力扩张周期远未结束。海外巨头加速部署，AI算力军备竞赛升 级，光模块需求逻辑未变，景气度持续上行，中长期依旧坚定看好光模块赛道。 该机构表示，当前光模块行业正经历由AI算力驱动的黄金发展期，行业核心矛盾已从"需求是否存在"转 向"交付能力能否跟上"。光模块投资逻辑转向"交付能力定胜负"，光模块龙头因凭借技术创新领先优 势、快速量产交付能力、完善质量保证体系、规模和品牌优势等企业竞争优势，在兑现订单方面更具确 定性，强者恒强的局面将继续。 把握以光模块为核心的AI算力机会，建议重点关注全市场首只创业板人工智能ETF（159363）及场外 联接（A类023407、C类023408），标的指数逾七成仓位布局算力，超两成仓位布局AI应用，高效捕捉 AI主题行情，并且重点布局光模块龙头"易中天"，光模块 ...

Group 1 - The AI sector is experiencing strong growth, with the 5G Communication ETF (515050) rising over 2% as of September 23, driven by significant investments and strategic partnerships in the industry [1] - Nvidia plans to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI, which will utilize Nvidia's systems to create and deploy AI data centers with at least 10 GW capacity, using millions of GPUs for training next-generation AI models [1] - OpenAI is collaborating with leading Chinese tech companies, including a strategic partnership with Luxshare Precision to develop a revolutionary AI device aimed at consumers, currently in the prototype stage [1] Group 2 - The Chinese overseas computing power industry is transitioning from "performance realization" to a "expectation amplification" phase, with local companies meeting the demands of global cloud giants for high-speed optical modules and switching equipment [2] - Key players in the optical module sector are reporting significant growth, with New East Wisdom's revenue increasing by 282.64% and net profit by 355.68% in the first half of 2025, while Zhongji Xuchuang's revenue and net profit grew by 36.95% and 76.26%, respectively [2] - Chinese ODM/JDM manufacturers are playing a crucial role in producing high-rate data center switches for top global brands [2] Group 3 - The 5G Communication ETF (515050) tracks the CSI 5G Communication Theme Index, with a total scale exceeding 8 billion yuan, focusing on the supply chains of Nvidia, Apple, and Huawei [3] - The optical module CPO concept stocks account for 38% of the ETF, while PCB circuit board concept stocks make up 14% [3] - The AI ETF (159381) tracks the ChiNext AI Index, with optical module CPO stocks representing over 50% of its weight, featuring New East Wisdom, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Tianfu Communication as the top three holdings [3]