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权威数读丨10月份PMI出炉,三大重点行业保持扩张
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-10-31 08:59
Core Viewpoint - The PMI index for October indicates that high-tech manufacturing, equipment manufacturing, and consumer goods industries continue to expand, significantly above the overall manufacturing level, reflecting sustained industry support and overall optimistic market expectations [1][3][5]. Group 1: PMI Data - The PMI for high-tech manufacturing, equipment manufacturing, and consumer goods industries are 50.5%, 50.2%, and 50.1% respectively, indicating continued expansion [5]. - The production and business activity expectation index stands at 52.8%, suggesting a positive outlook for market activities [5]. Group 2: Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index is at 50.1%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a return to the expansion zone [10]. - The service industry business activity index is at 50.2%, also up by 0.1 percentage points from last month, continuing its expansion [10].
权威数读|10月份PMI出炉,三大重点行业保持扩张
Xin Hua She· 2025-10-31 08:48
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the PMI index for October shows that high-tech manufacturing, equipment manufacturing, and consumer goods industries continue to be in the expansion zone, significantly above the overall manufacturing level, reflecting a sustained supportive role of these industries and an overall optimistic market expectation [1][5]. - The production and business activity expectation index is reported at 52.8%, indicating a positive outlook for future activities [5]. - The non-manufacturing business activity index has slightly rebounded to 50.1%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a return to the expansion zone [10]. Group 2 - The service industry business activity index stands at 50.2%, also reflecting a 0.1 percentage point increase from the previous month, continuing its expansion [10]. - The comprehensive PMI output index is positioned at the critical point, suggesting a balanced outlook across sectors [11].
国家统计局:10月制造业PMI为49% 比上月下降0.8个百分点
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-10-31 07:16
Manufacturing PMI Overview - In October, the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) was 49.0%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in manufacturing activity [1][17] - The PMI for large, medium, and small enterprises was 49.9%, 48.7%, and 47.1%, respectively, all below the critical point [1][18] - The production index was 49.7%, down 2.2 percentage points, signaling a slowdown in manufacturing production [2][18] - The new orders index was 48.8%, a decrease of 0.9 percentage points, reflecting a drop in market demand [3][18] - The raw materials inventory index was 47.3%, down 1.2 percentage points, indicating a continued reduction in inventory levels [4][18] - The employment index was 48.3%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points, suggesting a minor decline in employment levels within the manufacturing sector [5][18] Non-Manufacturing PMI Overview - The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index was 50.1%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points, indicating expansion in the non-manufacturing sector [6][17] - The service sector's business activity index was 50.2%, up 0.1 percentage points, showing a slight recovery in service sector activity [6][20] - The new orders index for non-manufacturing was 46.0%, unchanged from the previous month, indicating weak market demand [6][20] - The input prices index was 49.4%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points, suggesting a narrowing decline in input prices for non-manufacturing businesses [6][20] - The employment index for non-manufacturing was 45.2%, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points, indicating a minor improvement in employment conditions [7][20] Composite PMI Overview - The Composite PMI Output Index was 50.0%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points, indicating overall stability in production and business activities [8][21] - The manufacturing production index was 49.7%, while the non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%, contributing to the composite index's position at the critical point [21]
2025年10月PMI数据点评:内外部因素共振带动10月制造业PMI指数下行,年底前稳增长政策有望进一步加码
Dong Fang Jin Cheng· 2025-10-31 05:57
Manufacturing PMI Insights - In October 2025, China's manufacturing PMI fell to 49.0%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from September, indicating a contraction in the manufacturing sector[2] - The production index dropped significantly by 2.2 percentage points to 49.7%, marking its first entry into the contraction zone since April[3] - The new orders index declined by 0.9 percentage points to 48.8%, reflecting weakened market demand due to seasonal factors and reduced policy impact[4] Economic Policy and Investment - A total of 500 billion yuan in new policy financial tools was fully deployed by the end of October, aimed at accelerating infrastructure investment[5] - An additional 500 billion yuan in local government debt was arranged to address existing debt and expand effective investment, indicating a strong focus on stabilizing growth[6] - The anticipated outcomes of the new round of Sino-U.S. trade talks are expected to bolster market confidence, despite ongoing external pressures[6] Sector Performance - High-tech manufacturing PMI remained in the expansion zone at 50.5%, despite a decline of 1.1 percentage points, supported by strong market demand and policy backing[7] - The service sector PMI rose slightly to 50.2%, driven by increased tourism during the extended holiday period, although overall consumer spending remains weak[8] - The construction PMI fell to 49.1%, continuing a contraction trend due to cooling real estate markets, although civil engineering activity showed signs of improvement[9] Future Outlook - The manufacturing PMI is projected to rebound to approximately 49.4% in November, influenced by seasonal factors and the impact of recent economic policies[10] - The overall economic climate is expected to depend heavily on the effectiveness and timing of growth-stabilizing policies leading up to the end of the year[10]
三大重点行业保持扩张!国家统计局发布重要数据
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-10-31 05:42
Group 1: Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October is reported at 49.0%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slowdown in manufacturing activity [1][2] - The production index and new orders index for manufacturing are at 49.7% and 48.8%, respectively, reflecting declines of 2.2 and 0.9 percentage points compared to last month [5] - Large enterprises maintain a PMI of 49.9%, while medium and small enterprises are at 48.7% and 47.1%, respectively, showing varying degrees of decline in economic sentiment [5] Group 2: Key Industries - High-tech manufacturing, equipment manufacturing, and consumer goods industries have PMIs of 50.5%, 50.2%, and 50.1%, respectively, indicating continued expansion and support for the overall manufacturing sector [5] - High-energy-consuming industries have a PMI of 47.3%, down 0.2 percentage points, suggesting a decline in economic activity within this sector [5] Group 3: Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index is at 50.1%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight expansion in the non-manufacturing sector [1][6] - The service sector's business activity index is reported at 50.2%, reflecting a slight increase and improved economic conditions in service-related industries [9] - The construction sector's business activity index is at 49.1%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points, indicating a slight contraction in construction activities [10] Group 4: Market Expectations - The production and business activity expectation index for manufacturing is at 52.8%, indicating a generally optimistic outlook among manufacturers [6] - The business activity expectation index for the service sector is at 56.1%, suggesting strong confidence in future industry performance [10] - Overall, the non-manufacturing sector shows signs of stability, with positive changes in investment and consumption-related activities [11]
10月份我国制造业PMI为49.0%
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-10-31 04:15
Core Viewpoint - In October, the manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) decreased to 49.0%, reflecting a decline influenced by pre-holiday demand release and a complex international environment [1][2]. Group 1: PMI and Production Indices - The production index and new orders index for October were reported at 49.7% and 48.8%, respectively, showing declines of 2.2 and 0.9 percentage points from the previous month [1]. - The PMI for large, medium, and small enterprises was recorded at 49.9%, 48.7%, and 47.1%, indicating decreases of 1.1, 0.1, and 1.1 percentage points, respectively [1]. - Large enterprises maintained production and new orders indices at 50.9% and 50.1%, remaining in the expansion zone for six consecutive months [1]. Group 2: Industry Performance - Three key industries—high-tech manufacturing, equipment manufacturing, and consumer goods—sustained expansion with PMIs of 50.5%, 50.2%, and 50.1%, respectively [1]. - The production activity expectation index stood at 52.8%, indicating a continued optimistic outlook among most manufacturing enterprises [1]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The construction of a unified national market is progressing, leading to positive changes in market prices, with the equipment manufacturing purchase and factory price indices rising for three consecutive months [2]. - Despite a slight slowdown in production activities in October, new growth drivers and consumer goods manufacturing showed steady growth, providing a solid foundation for macroeconomic stability [2].
10月份制造业采购经理指数有所回落 非制造业商务活动指数略有回升
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-10-31 02:32
Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Insights - In October, the manufacturing PMI decreased to 49.0%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slowdown in production activities [1][2] - Both production index and new orders index fell to 49.7% and 48.8%, respectively, reflecting a decline in manufacturing production and market demand [2] - Large enterprises maintained a PMI above the critical point, with indices at 50.9% for production and 50.1% for new orders, indicating sustained demand in this segment [2][3] Group 2: Non-Manufacturing PMI Insights - The non-manufacturing business activity index rose to 50.1%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight expansion in the sector [4] - The service industry business activity index increased to 50.2%, with significant growth in sectors closely related to consumer travel, such as rail and air transport, which saw indices above 60.0% [4] - The construction industry business activity index slightly decreased to 49.1%, but the business activity expectation index improved to 56.0%, suggesting a positive outlook for future market conditions [4] Group 3: Composite PMI Insights - The composite PMI output index stood at 50.0%, indicating overall stability in production and business activities across sectors [5] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index were recorded at 49.7% and 50.1%, respectively, contributing to the composite index's position at the critical point [5]
10月份制造业采购经理指数为49.0% 专家解读
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-10-31 02:03
Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Analysis - In October, the manufacturing PMI decreased to 49.0%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slowdown in production activities [1][2] - Both production index and new orders index fell to 49.7% and 48.8%, respectively, reflecting a decline in manufacturing production and market demand [2] - Large enterprises maintained a PMI above the critical point, with indices at 50.9% for production and 50.1% for new orders, indicating sustained demand in this segment [2] Group 2: Key Industry Performance - High-tech manufacturing, equipment manufacturing, and consumer goods industries continued to expand, with PMIs of 50.5%, 50.2%, and 50.1%, respectively, significantly above the overall manufacturing level [3] - Conversely, high-energy-consuming industries saw a PMI of 47.3%, indicating a decline in economic activity [3] - Market expectations remain optimistic, with a production and business activity expectation index of 52.8%, suggesting confidence among manufacturers [3] Group 3: Non-Manufacturing PMI Insights - The non-manufacturing business activity index rose to 50.1%, up 0.1 percentage points, indicating a slight recovery in this sector [4] - The service industry business activity index increased to 50.2%, with sectors like rail transport and accommodation showing strong activity levels due to holiday effects [4] - The construction industry business activity index fell to 49.1%, indicating a slight decline, but the business activity expectation index improved to 56.0%, reflecting better future outlooks [4] Group 4: Composite PMI Overview - The composite PMI output index stood at 50.0%, indicating overall stability in production and business activities across sectors [5] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index were recorded at 49.7% and 50.1%, respectively, contributing to the composite index's position at the critical point [5]
10月份制造业采购经理指数有所回落 非制造业商务活动指数略有回升
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-10-31 02:01
Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Insights - In October, the manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) decreased to 49.0%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slowdown in production activities [1][2] - Both production index and new orders index fell to 49.7% and 48.8%, respectively, reflecting a decline in manufacturing production and market demand [2] - Large enterprises maintained a PMI above the critical point, with indices at 50.9% for production and 50.1% for new orders, indicating sustained expansion in this segment [2][3] Group 2: Non-Manufacturing PMI Insights - The non-manufacturing business activity index rose to 50.1%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight recovery in this sector [1][4] - The service industry business activity index increased to 50.2%, with sectors like railway transport and accommodation showing strong activity levels above 60.0% [4] - The construction industry business activity index slightly decreased to 49.1%, but the business activity expectation index improved to 56.0%, suggesting a more optimistic outlook [4] Group 3: Composite PMI Overview - The composite PMI output index stood at 50.0%, indicating overall stability in production and business activities across sectors [1][5] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index were recorded at 49.7% and 50.1%, respectively, contributing to the composite index's position at the critical point [5]
国家统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽慧解读2025年10月中国采购经理指数
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-10-31 01:52
Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Insights - In October, the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) decreased to 49.0%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slowdown in manufacturing activity [2][3] - The production index and new orders index were reported at 49.7% and 48.8%, respectively, reflecting declines of 2.2 and 0.9 percentage points, suggesting weakened production and market demand [3] - Large enterprises maintained a PMI above the critical point, with large, medium, and small enterprises reporting PMIs of 49.9%, 48.7%, and 47.1%, respectively, indicating varying levels of economic activity [3] Group 2: Non-Manufacturing PMI Insights - The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index rose to 50.1%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points, indicating a slight expansion in the non-manufacturing sector [5] - The service sector's business activity index reached 50.2%, with significant growth in sectors closely related to consumer travel, such as rail and air transport, which exceeded 60.0% [5] - The construction sector's business activity index fell to 49.1%, down 0.2 percentage points, indicating a slight decline in construction activity, although the business activity expectation index improved to 56.0% [5] Group 3: Composite PMI Insights - The Composite PMI Output Index stood at 50.0%, indicating overall stability in production and business activities across sectors [7] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index contributed to the composite index, reported at 49.7% and 50.1%, respectively [7]