Group 1: Capital Market Overview - Global major asset classes are performing flat, reflecting the difficulty in finding certainty amid weak economic demand [2] - The pause in the tariff war has led to a temporary end to stock market valuation recovery, resulting in an overall calm market [2] - The automotive sector is experiencing adjustments due to inventory buildup and price competition, while sectors like environmental protection and biomedicine have seen some rebounds [2] Group 2: Economic Fundamentals - China's PMI data shows signs of stability but indicates a fragile recovery due to weak domestic demand and ongoing trade tensions [3] - The manufacturing PMI in China rose from 49.0% to 49.5%, while the non-manufacturing business activity index decreased slightly to 50.3% [3] - In the U.S., the manufacturing PMI recorded 48.5%, indicating a contraction for the third consecutive month, with most demand and output indicators showing a downward trend [4][5] Group 3: External Shocks - The U.S. has increased steel import tariffs to 50%, which is seen as a step to reduce reliance on China, exacerbating trade tensions [7] - The ongoing conflict in Ukraine is expected to prolong the situation and may escalate, impacting global stability and investor sentiment [8] - The emergence of stablecoins is viewed as a potential solution to debt issues, as they can enhance bond purchasing power and may lead to inflationary pressures in the long term [9] Group 4: Strategic Recommendations - In the face of increasing uncertainty, a prudent strategy is to remain inactive and conserve resources for future opportunities [10]

Market Overview - The market experienced a slight rebound with all three major indices closing higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3361.98, up 0.43% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.14 trillion, an increase of 22.3 billion compared to the previous trading day [4] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Beauty Care (up 3.86%), Textile and Apparel (up 2.53%), and Banking (up 1.98%) [1] - Conversely, the sectors that underperformed were Household Appliances (down 2.10%), Steel (down 1.37%), and Coal (down 0.84%) [1] Concept Indices - Notable concept indices that performed well included the China-South Korea Free Trade Zone (up 4.23%), Cell Immunotherapy (up 3.87%), and Football Concept (up 3.56%) [2] - Underperforming concept indices included Special Steel Concept (down 0.93%) and Medical Waste Treatment (down 0.51%) [2] Future Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a range-bound and consolidating trend, with a focus on sectors such as Finance, Pharmaceutical Biology, TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), and Non-ferrous Metals [4] - The upcoming mid-year performance expectations are anticipated to drive structural market trends, with fundamentals becoming a key factor [4]

Group 1 - The report indicates a market differentiation with micro-cap stocks outperforming, while the ChiNext index and cyclical stocks lag behind [3][10] - The valuation of broad market indices shows divergence, with micro-cap stocks, the CSI 2000, and stable stocks performing the best, while the ChiNext index, cyclical stocks, and the CSI 300 performed the weakest [3][10] - The report highlights that the industries with relatively cheap valuations include food and beverage, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and public utilities [39][28] Group 2 - The report notes that the pharmaceutical, environmental protection, and national defense industries had the highest gains last week, while the automotive, electric equipment, and non-ferrous metals sectors performed the weakest [12][35] - Relative valuations show a decline in the ChiNext index compared to the CSI 300 in terms of PE and PB ratios [17][26] - The report states that the overall valuation of major indices is above the 50% historical percentile, with the ChiNext index at a low valuation compared to the past year [26][28] Group 3 - The report identifies that the current valuation of major industries is mixed, with non-bank financials, non-ferrous metals, telecommunications, electronics, agriculture, and home appliances at near one-year lows [35][39] - The report emphasizes that the current valuation levels of materials, equipment manufacturing, industrial services, transportation, consumption, and technology are all below the 50% historical percentile [28][39] - The report highlights that the current valuation of the environmental protection sector is at a high historical percentile, indicating strong performance expectations [39][50] Group 4 - The report mentions that the earnings expectations across various industries are nearly flat, with the largest upward adjustment in the environmental sector and the largest downward adjustment in electric equipment [50][50] - The report indicates that popular concepts such as cultivated diamonds, third-generation semiconductors, 6G, and robotics are at historically high valuation percentiles over the past three years [47][48]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week (May 26 - May 30, 2025), the A - share market first rose on high volume due to the easing of Sino - US trade negotiations and then entered a volatile adjustment. The sector rotation speed has accelerated recently, and the volatile market pattern remains unchanged [11]. - The innovation drug sector continued to rise last week, driven by multiple favorable events. However, the market heat may have reached a phased high, and the phased market of innovation drugs may end once the strong logical support weakens [12]. - The "new consumption" market has spread from the prosperity of leading stocks to a beta market, and has now entered the marginal spread stage, but its sustainability is uncertain [13]. - The technology sector has reached a stage where layout directions can be explored, as small - cap stocks show signs of peaking and the TMT trading volume as a proportion of the total A - share trading volume has fallen to a relatively low level [14]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Weekly Market Observation 3.1.1 Equity Market Review and Observation - The A - share market first rose on high volume and then oscillated last week. The WanDe All - A Index fell 0.02% for the whole week. The environmental protection, pharmaceutical biology, national defense and military industry, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery sectors led the gains, while the automobile, power equipment, non - ferrous metals, and comprehensive sectors underperformed [11]. - As of May 30, the trading volume proportions of the CSI 1000 and CSI 2000 indexes in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets reached 19.59% and 33.26% respectively, both at 5 - year peak levels. Since 2020, the trading volume proportion of the CSI 2000 index has risen from less than 15% to over 30%, while that of the CSI 300 index has dropped from nearly 50% to less than 20%. The A - share market is a stock and shrinking market, and market participants are engaging in a stock game in small - and medium - cap stocks [11]. - The innovation drug sector continued to rise, driven by the approval of 11 innovative drugs from 8 Chinese companies on May 29 and important clinical data disclosed at the 2025 ASCO Annual Meeting from May 30 - June 3. However, the market heat may have reached a peak, and the phased market may end if strong logical support weakens [12]. - The "new consumption" market has spread from leading stocks to various directions such as new - listed Hong Kong - listed tea drinks, A - share pet and beauty care sectors. The market focus has shifted from pet food to non - liquor products, and the market has entered the marginal spread stage with uncertain sustainability [13]. - The technology sector has reached a stage for layout, as small - cap stocks show signs of peaking and the TMT trading volume proportion has declined. Upcoming industrial events in June may act as catalysts [14]. 3.1.2 Public Fund Market Dynamics - On May 30, 2025, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Company optimized the compilation plan of the SSE 380 Index and launched the SSE 580 Index, forming a flagship broad - based index system of "SSE 50, SSE 180, SSE 380, and SSE 580". The index system covers 50% of the number of Shanghai - listed securities and nearly 90% of the market value [15]. - The SSE index system has established an "integrated two - wing" index brand of "flagship broad - based + science and technology innovation + dividend", which is an important part of promoting the entry of long - term funds into the market [16]. 3.2 Active Equity Fund Index Performance Tracking | Index Classification | Last Week | Last Month | Year - to - Date | Since Inception | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Active Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.12% | 1.45% | 4.59% | 5.44% | | Value Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.15% | 2.80% | 1.42% | 1.50% | | Balanced Stock Fund Preferred | 0.03% | 2.51% | 2.06% | - 0.17% | | Growth Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.01% | 0.94% | 9.74% | - 0.13% | | Pharmaceutical Stock Fund Preferred | 3.78% | 6.65% | 23.08% | 6.62% | | Consumption Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.93% | 3.15% | 7.37% | 0.46% | | Technology Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.01% | - 0.44% | 2.05% | 3.65% | | High - end Manufacturing Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.30% | - 0.95% | - 4.28% | - 8.90% | | Cyclical Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.81% | 3.01% | 4.22% | - 3.14% | [17] 3.2.1 Active Stock Fund Preferred - The portfolio selects 15 funds each period, with equal - weight allocation. Core positions select active equity funds based on performance competitiveness and style stability in value, balanced, and growth styles, and balance the style distribution according to the CSI Active Stock Fund Index [18]. 3.2.2 Value Stock Fund Preferred - The value style includes deep - value and quality - value styles. The index is composed of 10 funds selected from deep - value, quality - value, and balanced - value styles based on multi - period style classification [20]. 3.2.3 Balanced Stock Fund Preferred - Balanced - style fund managers balance stock valuation and growth, and switch to stocks with higher cost - performance. The index is composed of 10 funds selected from relatively balanced and value - growth styles based on multi - period style classification [21]. 3.2.4 Growth Stock Fund Preferred - The growth style aims to capture the double - click opportunity of performance and valuation during a company's high - growth stage. The index is composed of 10 funds selected from active - growth, quality - growth, and balanced - growth styles based on multi - period style classification [24]. 3.2.5 Pharmaceutical Stock Fund Preferred - The index selects funds with an average purity of no less than 60% in the pharmaceutical industry based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the representative index (CITIC Pharmaceutical). An evaluation system is established, and 15 funds are selected to form the index [24]. 3.2.6 Consumption Stock Fund Preferred - The index selects funds with an average purity of no less than 50% in the consumption industry based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and representative indexes (CITIC Automobile, Home Appliances, etc.). An evaluation system is established, and 10 funds are selected to form the index [29]. 3.2.7 Technology Stock Fund Preferred - The index selects funds with an average purity of no less than 60% in the technology industry based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and representative indexes (CITIC Electronics, etc.). An evaluation system is established, and 10 funds are selected to form the index [30]. 3.2.8 High - end Manufacturing Stock Fund Preferred - The index selects funds with an average purity of no less than 50% in the high - end manufacturing industry based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and representative indexes (CITIC Construction, etc.). An evaluation system is established, and 10 funds are selected to form the index [34]. 3.2.9 Cyclical Stock Fund Preferred - The index selects funds with an average purity of no less than 50% in the cyclical industry based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and representative indexes (CITIC Petroleum & Petrochemical, etc.). An evaluation system is established, and 5 funds are selected to form the index [36].

Core Insights - The report indicates that the environmental protection sector performed well during the period, with QDII funds showing an average return that outperformed other fund types [1][7][17] - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a slight decline of 0.03%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.91% during the same period [1] - Among various fund types, QDII funds increased by 1.04%, contrasting with declines in actively managed stock funds, mixed funds, and bond funds [1] Fund Performance Summary - The environmental and pharmaceutical sectors were highlighted as strong performers in the recent 12 periods, with banks and beauty care also showing good performance [7] - Active stock funds focusing on the pharmaceutical sector yielded higher returns, with notable funds such as Hongtu Innovation Healthcare Stock Fund achieving a return of 9.67% [12][13] - In the bond market, convertible bond funds led with an average return of 3.90% year-to-date, while traditional bond funds showed mixed results [15][16] QDII Fund Insights - REITs QDII funds led the performance with a return of 2.41%, followed by equity funds focused on Europe and the US, which returned 1.70% [17][18] - The report notes that alternative asset classes, particularly gold-related QDII funds, have shown significant year-to-date growth of 25.91% despite a recent decline of 1.39% [17][18] - Representative QDII funds such as Morgan China Biopharmaceutical A and GF CSI Hong Kong Innovative Medicine ETF reported returns of 4.72% and 4.56%, respectively, during the period [19]

Macroeconomic Overview - The economic situation in China showed some marginal changes in late May 2025, with a temporary tariff agreement reached between China and the US on May 12, leading to some improvement in export conditions, although exports to the US continued to decline [1][2] - Domestic economic activity indicators remained stable in late May, with high furnace operating rates and grinding machine utilization rates holding steady, indicating a maintained high level of activity in the automotive sector [10][19] - Real estate sales remained weak, with noticeable price corrections in some second-hand housing markets, particularly in second and third-tier cities, while first-tier cities also saw a temporary decline in second-hand housing price indices [19][20] Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI data for May indicated a mild recovery in economic sentiment, although price levels faced downward pressure. The PMI was slightly higher than in April, with improvements in import and export indices, but domestic demand remained weak [23][28] Real Estate Market - The real estate market continued to show signs of weakness, with property sales remaining low since the Spring Festival, particularly in second and third-tier cities. First-tier cities also experienced a phase of price correction in the second-hand housing market [19][20] Export and Trade - Despite a temporary improvement in export conditions due to the tariff agreement, the overall export situation remains uncertain, with ongoing tariff frictions and diminishing "export rush" effects posing challenges for future export trends [2][19]

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the importance of a thematic investment database aimed at identifying high-potential opportunities and monitoring peak trends in popular themes, along with the adjustment levels of leading stocks [2][9] - The report outlines a quantitative screening process focusing on four types of patterns to identify high-odds thematic opportunities and the construction of trading heat indicators to track peak trends [2][9] - The current thematic index shows 27 breakout patterns, primarily in the defense and military industry (6 stocks) and non-ferrous metals (5 stocks), while 20 stocks exhibit main rising patterns, including 8 in the pharmaceutical and biological sector and 7 in the computer industry [12] Group 2 - The trading heat for the humanoid robot and Deepseek themes has declined, with humanoid robots at 67% and Deepseek at 53%, indicating a downward trend in interest [3][17] - Leading stocks in these themes, such as Changsheng Bearing and Daily Interaction, are trading below their 60-day moving average by -16% and -14.9% respectively, suggesting a bearish sentiment [3][17]

美国更好并购集团 并购的价格，不仅是"值多少钱"的问题，更是"凭什么值"的逻辑架构。 在一级市场，估值是故事决定的；在二级市场，估值是信仰决定的；而在并购市场，估值往往是算出来的，但必须讲得动听。这听起来像是魔法，但其实背 后藏着一整套科学与艺术并存的定价机制。 "千金难买心头好，万亿也得精估值。"这句话若出自资本市场老手之口，听来虽俗，却不失真理。在这片以市值为话语权，以数字为战场的江湖中，并购重 组不再只是权力与股权的转移，它更像一场复杂的"暗棋"博弈——表面上谈的是价格，背地里拼的是智慧、信息和策略。 最近，某上市公司通过一笔估值高达80亿元的重组案再次登上热搜，一边是收购方豪掷资金"all in"背水一战，一边是市场质疑其估值偏高、盈利承诺虚高。 于是，老问题又一次浮上水面：并购重组到底是为企业赋能，还是为资本找"出路"？ 作为长期参与上市公司并购重组实务操作的美国更好并购集团（Goheal），我们决定今天就来揭一揭这背后的"定价密码"。 比如，在市盈率管理趋严的背景下，监管不再接受"闭着眼睛给高估值"的定价模型；又如，目标公司一旦传出负面舆情，哪怕是谣言，也可能导致整个收购 方案被迫重估甚至中止。这 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights the relationship between contract goods and industrial enterprise profits, indicating that inventory destocking and order prosperity are key directions for asset allocation [5][7] - In May 2025, the manufacturing PMI improved to 49.5%, reflecting a slight recovery in manufacturing market demand, although it remains below the first quarter average [11][12] - The report notes that the domestic equity market showed a mixed performance, with 18 industries rising and 13 falling, indicating sector-specific dynamics [6][20] Group 2 - The report discusses the impact of external factors such as the U.S. increasing steel import tariffs to 50%, which may affect related industries [17] - It mentions the extension of certain exemptions from the U.S. Section 301 tariffs on China, which could influence trade dynamics [19] - The report emphasizes the need for policies to support growth in light of ongoing economic challenges, particularly in the real estate sector [11][14] Group 3 - The analysis of industrial enterprise profits shows a 3.0% year-on-year increase in April 2025, despite a 2.7% decline in the Producer Price Index (PPI), suggesting a complex relationship between costs and profitability [7][8] - The report identifies sectors such as agricultural product processing and electrical machinery as performing well, while sectors like automotive and power equipment faced declines [6][8] - The report indicates that the recovery in manufacturing is supported by a decrease in raw material costs, which may benefit midstream manufacturing leaders [7][8]

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.03%, closing at 3347.49 points[5] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.91%, ending at 10040.63 points[5] - The ChiNext Index dropped by 1.40%, closing at 1993.19 points[5] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Environmental Protection (up 3.42%), Pharmaceuticals (up 2.21%), and National Defense (up 2.13%) [13] - The worst-performing sectors were Automotive (down 4.11%), Electric Equipment (down 2.44%), and Non-ferrous Metals (down 2.40%) [13] Trading Volume and Margin Data - The average daily trading volume for A-shares was 10939 billion CNY, a decrease of 6.77% from the previous week[14] - The total margin balance in the market was 18009.47 billion CNY, a slight decrease of 0.02% from the previous week[16] - Margin balance accounted for 2.28% of the A-share market capitalization, an increase of 0.07% from the previous week[16] Margin Trading Activity - The total margin trading volume for the week was 4495.65 billion CNY, down 6.61% from the previous week[17] - Margin trading volume represented 8.22% of the total A-share trading volume, an increase of 0.17% from the previous week[17] Industry Margin Changes - The top five industries with increased margin balances were Machinery (1.859 billion CNY), Utilities (0.964 billion CNY), and Chemicals (0.794 billion CNY) [23] - The top five industries with decreased margin balances included Electronics (-1.669 billion CNY), Communications (-1.189 billion CNY), and Non-bank Financials (-0.889 billion CNY) [23]