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谨慎加仓?
第一财经· 2025-12-11 12:31
Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing significant differentiation, with strong performance in sectors like commercial aerospace and wind power equipment, while traditional consumption and real estate sectors are facing notable adjustments [4][6][7]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index failed to maintain the 3900-point threshold, influenced by declines in technology and consumer stocks, while the Shenzhen Composite Index and ChiNext Index saw the largest adjustments due to pressure from sectors like new energy and biomedicine [4][6]. - The trading volume in both markets increased, driven by divergent policy expectations, accelerated thematic rotations, and intensified capital discrepancies [7]. Sector Analysis - New energy and high-end manufacturing sectors emerged as the core strength against the market downturn, supported by policy backing, technological breakthroughs, and growing demand [6]. - Commercial aerospace, nuclear fusion, and wind power equipment sectors showed strong performance, while real estate, retail, and large consumption sectors became focal points for capital outflows [7][9]. Capital Flow - Institutional investors are adjusting their portfolios defensively, increasing positions in policy-driven sectors like commercial aerospace and wind power equipment, while reducing exposure to semiconductor equipment and consumer electronics [9]. - Retail investors are exhibiting a mix of risk aversion and speculative behavior, with funds flowing into banking and public utilities, while some are actively participating in short-term trading in commercial aerospace and nuclear fusion [9].
超预期,涨价弹性大
摩尔投研精选· 2025-12-11 10:50
Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index opening high but closing lower, while the ChiNext Index initially rose over 1% before retreating [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.86 trillion, an increase of 78.6 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - Nearly 4,400 stocks in the market declined, indicating a broad sell-off [1] Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace sector showed resilience, with several stocks, including Zengsheng Technology, hitting the daily limit [1] - Retail concepts saw localized activity, with Baida Group quickly reaching the daily limit and Dongbai Group achieving five consecutive limit-ups [1] - The semiconductor equipment sector also performed well, with Yaxiang Integration hitting the daily limit and reaching a historical high [1] - In contrast, several stocks in the Fujian direction weakened, with China Wuyi and Shuhua Sports hitting the daily limit down [1] Hong Kong Market Insights - The Hong Kong stock market has shown weak performance recently, attributed to expectations surrounding the next Federal Reserve chair and the upcoming peak of lock-up stock releases in December [2][4] - The market is sensitive to external factors, including potential changes in U.S. interest rate policies and global trading dynamics [2] Potential Rebound Timing - A potential rebound is anticipated in mid to late December, depending on fiscal policy announcements and the Bank of Japan's interest rate statements [4] - Early January is also highlighted as a critical period, coinciding with the end of the lock-up peak and the release of the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes [5] VC Additive Market Dynamics - The price for lithium battery VC additives has been locked in at 150,000 to 170,000 per ton for December, significantly exceeding market expectations [7] - Despite concerns over a potential decline in battery production in January, structural demand for VC additives is expected to remain strong, particularly in energy storage batteries [7] - The effective supply of VC is projected to be around 105,000 tons next year, while total demand is expected to reach 120,000 tons, indicating a tight supply situation [7] - The industry is at a critical juncture of high demand growth and cyclical turning points, with leading companies trading at historically low price-to-earnings ratios [7] Future Outlook - By 2026, the demand growth for VC is anticipated to exceed 64%, driven by the expansion of the lithium battery market and technological advancements [8]
大行评级丨小摩:订单加速与HBM/先进制程需求共振,给予科磊目标价1485美元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-11 08:57
摩根大通维持对科磊(KLAC.US)的"增持"评级,给出的目标价为1485美元。在与科磊的高管团队会面 后,小摩发现自公司发布财报以来,订单簿持续改善,预计2026年上半年营收将实现低至中单位数的增 长,此前预期是持平至小幅增长。这主要是由于公司近期订单加速增长,尤其是在DRAM/HBM领域, 且工具的交货期也在延长。 ...
科磊订单加速与HBM/先进制程需求共振 小摩上看目标价1485美元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 08:42
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley maintains an "Overweight" rating on KLA Corporation (KLAC.US) with a target price of $1485, citing improved order books and expected revenue growth in the first half of 2026 [1] Group 1: Orders and Revenue Growth - The order book for KLA has been continuously improving since the earnings report, with a notable acceleration in orders, particularly in the DRAM and HBM sectors [1] - Revenue is projected to achieve low to mid-single-digit growth in the first half of 2026, an upgrade from previous expectations of flat to slight growth [1] Group 2: Delivery Times - The delivery times for tools have been extended, indicating increased demand and potential supply chain challenges [1]
芯碁微装:控股股东及其一致行动人权益变动触及1%刻度
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 08:16
芯碁微装公告称,2025年12月10日,控股股东、实控人、董事长程卓通过竞价交易减持19万股,占总股 本0.14%。本次权益变动后,程卓及其一致行动人合计持股由4760.25万股降至4741.25万股,占比由 36.13%降至35.99%,触及1%刻度。此次减持是履行已披露计划,未实施完毕,不会影响公司治理及实 控权,也无需披露权益变动报告书。 ...
A股收评:创业板指冲高回落跌1.41% 摩尔线程涨超28%
半导体设备概念局部走强,亚翔集成涨停续创历史新高。摩尔线程涨超28%收941.08元,总市值超4400亿元。 下跌方面,福建方向多股走弱,中国武夷、舒华体育跌停。 沪深两市成交额1.86万亿元,较上一个交易日放量786亿。 市场震荡调整,沪指高开低走,创业板指冲高回落,此前一度涨超1%。全市场近4400只个股下跌。截至收盘,沪指跌0.7%,深成指跌 1.27%,创业板指跌1.41%。 从板块来看,商业航天概念逆势走强,再升科技4连板,四川金顶、华菱线缆等10余股涨停。 零售概念局部活跃,百大集团快速涨停,东百集团5连板。 个股方面,新易盛成交额265.68亿元居首,中际旭创、中兴通讯、胜宏科技等成交额考前。 | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额▼ | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 300502 | 新易盛 | 416.51 | -15.75 | -3.64% | 265.68 Z | 406.55% | | 2 | 300308 | 中际旭创 | 586.81 | -29.19 ...
罗博特科(300757.SZ):ficonTEC的设备可以用于生产EML或CW激光器芯片
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-11 07:31
Core Viewpoint - Robotech (300757.SZ) announced on the investor interaction platform that ficonTEC's equipment can be used for the production of EML or CW laser chip [1] Group 1 - Robotech is leveraging ficonTEC's technology for the production of advanced laser chips [1]
收评:创业板指冲高回落跌超1%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-11 07:25
Core Viewpoint - The market experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index opening high but closing lower, while the ChiNext Index saw a brief rise before retreating, indicating overall market volatility [1] Market Performance - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.86 trillion yuan, an increase of 786 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Nearly 4,400 stocks in the market declined, reflecting a broad downturn [1] Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace sector showed resilience, with companies like Zengsheng Technology achieving a four-day consecutive rise, and over ten stocks including Sichuan Jinding and Hualing Cable hitting the daily limit [1] - The retail sector was also active, with Baida Group quickly reaching the daily limit and Dongbai Group achieving a five-day consecutive rise [1] - The semiconductor equipment sector saw some strength, with Yaxiang Integration hitting the daily limit and reaching a historical high [1] Declining Stocks - The Fujian sector saw multiple stocks weaken, with China Wuyi and Shuhua Sports hitting the daily limit down [1] Index Closing - At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.7%, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 1.27%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.41% [1]
A股收评:沪指跌0.7%、创业板指跌1.41%,商业航天及可控核聚变概念股爆发,半导体设备及零售概念股活跃
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-11 07:16
风电股震荡走强 12月11日,A股三大股指全天维持震荡下行走势,截止收盘,沪指跌0.7%报3873.32点,深成指跌1.27% 报13147.39点,创业板指跌1.41%报3163.67点,科创50指数跌1.55%报1325.83点;沪深两市成交额1.86 万亿,全市场近4400只个股下跌。 盘面上,商业航天概念逆势走强,再升科技4连板,四川金顶、华菱线缆等10余股涨停;零售概念局部 活跃,百大集团快速涨停,东百集团5连板;半导体设备概念局部走强,亚翔集成涨停续创历史新高; 可控核聚变板块爆发,天力复合30CM涨停、华菱线缆、雪人股份等多股涨停;房地产板块走低,中国 武夷跌停;福建板块回调,华映科技、厦门信达等多股跌停;免税概念下挫,广百股份跌近9%;水产 养殖板块走弱,天马科技跌停;小红书概念、商业百货及预制菜概念等跌幅居前。 热点板块 申万宏源认为,春季行情的级别和定位判断不变,春季行情可能是小级别行情。对总体市场来说,春季 行情可能是高位震荡行情中的反弹。对超跌科技来说,可能是调整幅度到位,向震荡阶段过渡的一波反 弹。12月中旬开始政策布局期 + 抢跑保险开门红,可能触发春季行情。中期判断"牛市两段论" ...
市场震荡调整,创业板指冲高回落跌超1%,全市场近4400只个股飘绿
Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index opening high but closing lower, ultimately down by 0.7% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.27%, while the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.41% [1] - Total trading volume in the two markets reached 1.86 trillion, an increase of 78.6 billion compared to the previous trading day [1][5] Index Performance - Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3873.32, down 0.70% with 395 stocks rising and 1911 falling [2] - Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13147.39, down 1.27% with 369 stocks rising and 2521 falling [2] - ChiNext Index closed at 3163.67, down 1.41% with 183 stocks rising and 1200 falling [2] Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace sector showed resilience, with several stocks such as Zengsheng Technology achieving consecutive gains [2][3] - Retail concepts were also active, with stocks like Baida Group hitting the upper limit [2] - Semiconductor equipment stocks saw some strength, with Yaxiang Integration reaching a historical high [2] - Conversely, sectors such as Fujian and real estate experienced significant declines, with multiple stocks hitting the lower limit [3] Market Sentiment - The market sentiment indicated a total of 1032 stocks rising, 4378 stocks falling, and 38 stocks hitting the upper limit [6] - The closing performance showed a 56% limit-up rate, with 34 stocks hitting the upper limit and 27 stocks hitting the lower limit [5]