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“黑天鹅”突袭,全线暴跌!美股市值蒸发超1万亿美元,美联储9月降息概率大增
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-02 00:57
Group 1: Market Performance - On August 1, U.S. stock markets experienced significant declines, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling by 1.23%, the S&P 500 down by 1.60%, and the Nasdaq dropping by 2.24%, marking the largest decline since April [1] - The total market capitalization of U.S. stocks decreased by over $1 trillion [1] - Major technology stocks also saw substantial losses, with Amazon dropping over 8% and Meta down over 3% [2] Group 2: Economic Data - The U.S. Labor Department reported that non-farm payrolls increased by only 73,000 in July, falling short of expectations, while the unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.2% [3] - Previous months' employment data were significantly revised downward, with May's figures adjusted from 144,000 to just 19,000 and June's from 147,000 to 14,000 [3] Group 3: Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy - President Trump called for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to resign, citing dissatisfaction with interest rate policies [1] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the September Federal Reserve meeting surged from 37.7% to 75.5% following the release of economic data [1] Group 4: Commodity Market Reactions - Following the economic data release, the U.S. dollar index dropped sharply from 100.23 to 98.66, reflecting a decline of 1.38% [6] - International oil prices fell significantly, with West Texas Intermediate crude down 2.89% to $67.26 per barrel and Brent crude down 3% to $69.55 per barrel [6] - In contrast, gold prices surged, with COMEX gold futures rising by 2.01% to $3,416.00 per ounce [6]
黑色星期五!美股重挫道指跌超500点,黄金大涨近2%
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-02 00:33
Market Overview - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 73,000 jobs last month, falling short of the expected increase of 104,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate rising by 0.1 percentage points to 4.2% [3] - The employment growth for the previous two months was significantly revised downwards, causing surprise among analysts [3] - Employment growth has been concentrated in previously understaffed sectors such as healthcare and social assistance, with a steady decline in the breadth of job creation in recent months [3] Stock Market Performance - Major U.S. stock indices fell sharply, with the Dow Jones down 542.40 points (1.23%) to 43,588.58, the Nasdaq down 2.24% to 20,650.13, and the S&P 500 down 1.60% to 6,238.01 [1] - Amazon's stock dropped by 8.3% due to lower-than-expected revenue guidance for the third quarter [5] - Other major tech stocks also performed poorly, with Apple down 2.5%, Nvidia down 2.3%, and Tesla and Microsoft down 1.8% [6] Bond Market - U.S. Treasury yields fell sharply, with the two-year yield dropping by 26.5 basis points to 3.7% and the ten-year yield down by 15.1 basis points to 4.22% [4] - The probability of a rate cut in September surged to over 80% according to the FedWatch tool [4] Consumer Sentiment - The University of Michigan's survey indicated that U.S. consumer confidence rose for the second consecutive month in July, although overall market sentiment remains negative [3] Commodity Market - Gold prices surged due to increased risk aversion, with October contracts surpassing $3,400, marking a 2.02% increase [8] - Oil prices were pressured by economic uncertainty and OPEC+ production increase expectations, with WTI crude down 2.79% to $67.33 per barrel and Brent crude down 2.83% to $69.67 per barrel [7]
百强房企前7月销售额下降,苹果二季度增长超预期 | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2025-08-02 00:30
Group 1: Insurance Industry - The National Financial Regulatory Administration issued a notice to standardize the development of urban commercial health insurance, emphasizing product management, precise pricing, risk management, and service enhancement [2] - There is a declining willingness among young people to participate in health insurance, leading to older individuals becoming the main participants, which has resulted in significant losses for many health insurance products [3] - To maintain high coverage, some health insurance products have not raised prices, which may lead to unsustainable operations and damage the local government's image backing these products [3] Group 2: Real Estate Industry - The sales revenue of the top 100 real estate companies decreased by 13.3% year-on-year from January to July, with a more significant decline in July at 18.2% [6] - Most real estate companies are still in a loss-making state, and the industry is in a bottoming phase, with a lack of strong policy stimulus for the housing market [7] - The implementation of child-rearing subsidies may boost demand for larger and improved housing in the future, leading to further differentiation in the housing market [7] Group 3: Technology Industry - Apple reported a 9.6% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q2 2025, with significant contributions from iPhone sales, which grew by 13% [10] - Despite strong performance, Apple's reliance on traditional business models raises concerns about its long-term growth potential, especially in the context of AI advancements [11] - Amazon's Q2 net sales increased by 13%, but its cloud business performance fell short of expectations, highlighting challenges in the competitive cloud market [12][13] Group 4: Financial Services - WeChat has lowered the minimum withdrawal fee to 0.01 yuan, which may enhance user experience but still poses a cost concern for small businesses [14][15] - WeChat's revenue sources are diverse, including transaction fees and interest income, indicating a strategic approach to maintaining profitability in the payment sector [15] Group 5: Market Overview - The stock market experienced slight declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.37%, reflecting a mixed performance across various sectors [16] - The market is currently in a normal adjustment phase, with individual stock performance likely to vary significantly despite overall index movements [17]
深夜,美股崩了!金价飙升,油价大跌
第一财经· 2025-08-02 00:28
2025.08. 02 本文字数:1204,阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 | 第一财经 樊志菁 周五美股全线下挫,特朗普为美国对数十个贸易伙伴征收的新关税打压了市场情绪,而低于预期的就 业报告加剧了避险情绪。 本周,道指累计下跌2.9%,标普500指数下跌2.4%,纳指下跌2.2%。 美国劳工统计局报告称,上个月美国非农就业总人数增加了7.3万人,市场预期增加10.4万人,失业 率环比上升0.1个百分点至4.2%,同时前两个月的就业增长大幅下调。 嘉信理财高级投资策略师戈登(Kevin Gordon)表示:"所有人都对5月和6月的向下修正幅度感到 震惊。有利的一面是失业率没有明显飙升。" 罗素投资高级投资策略师林北辰表示,就业增长主要集中在以前人手不足的行业,如医疗保健和社会 救助。"近几个月来,创造就业的广度稳步下降。" 密歇根大学调查显示,7月份美国消费者信心连续第二个月上升,而未来一年的通胀预期降至2月份 以来的最低水平。消费者调查总监Joanne Hsu表示:"尽管最近的趋势显示市场情绪朝着有利的方 向发展,但市场情绪总体上仍然是负面的。自4月以来,消费者的担忧有所减轻,不过他们对经济的 轨迹并不乐观。" ...
回应俄方,特朗普部署两艘核潜艇;金价大涨;娃哈哈宗氏“百亿”财产纠纷案判决书曝光丨每经早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-02 00:22
Group 1 - The U.S. President Trump announced the deployment of two nuclear submarines near Russia in response to comments made by Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council [11] - International gold prices increased, with spot gold rising by 2.22% to $3362.64 per ounce, and COMEX gold futures up by 2.01% to $3416.00 per ounce [3][11] - The lawsuit involving the "Zong Family Siblings" and Wahaha's current chairman, Zong Qinghou's daughter, Zong Fuli, resulted in a ruling regarding a family trust worth $2.1 billion [26] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China emphasized the continuation of a moderately loose monetary policy to support economic growth, including lowering the reserve requirement ratio and using various monetary policy tools [5] - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced the resumption of VAT on interest income from newly issued government bonds starting August 8, 2025 [6] - The National Radio and Television Administration initiated a campaign to rectify false medical advertisements, focusing on eliminating such content by the end of 2025 [7] Group 3 - The mechanical industry in China aims for widespread application of digital technologies by 2027, with a target of 50% of enterprises achieving a maturity level of two or above in intelligent manufacturing [10] - The new rules for mandatory product certification for mobile power supplies and lithium-ion batteries will take effect on August 15, 2025 [9] Group 4 - In July, BYD reported a total vehicle sales of 344,296 units, a slight increase from 342,383 units year-on-year, with electric vehicle sales reaching 177,887 units [13] - Li Auto delivered 30,731 new vehicles in July, bringing its cumulative delivery to 1,368,541 units [14] - Geely's total vehicle sales in July reached 237,700 units, marking a 58% year-on-year increase [16] Group 5 - The three major food delivery platforms in China, Meituan, Taobao Flash Purchase, and Ele.me, called for an end to irrational competition and subsidies in the industry [17] - Zhi Yuan Robotics completed a new round of strategic financing led by LG Electronics and Mirae Asset, marking LG's first investment in the field of embodied intelligence [19] - Alibaba's former chairman, Zhang Yong, joined the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's China Business Advisory Committee [20]
美股深夜跳水,市值蒸发超1万亿美元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-02 00:22
Market Overview - On August 1, U.S. stock indices fell sharply, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.23%, S&P 500 down 1.60%, and Nasdaq down 2.24%, marking the largest decline since April. The total market capitalization of U.S. stocks decreased by over $1 trillion [1] - Major technology stocks also experienced significant declines, with Amazon dropping over 8% despite reporting second-quarter revenue of $167.702 billion, exceeding market expectations of $162.047 billion. However, the company's third-quarter operating profit guidance was below expectations, raising concerns about its cloud business growth [2] Employment Data - The U.S. Labor Department reported that non-farm payrolls increased by only 73,000 in July, falling short of expectations, while the unemployment rate slightly rose to 4.2%. Additionally, previous months' employment figures were significantly revised downward, with May's job additions revised from 144,000 to just 19,000, and June's from 147,000 to 14,000 [2] Economic Indicators - The uncertainty stemming from U.S. government tariff policies has led to increased caution among American businesses, contributing to a rapid deterioration in the labor market. The ISM reported that the manufacturing PMI for July was 48%, down from 49% in June [3] - Following the release of the latest economic data, the U.S. dollar index experienced a significant drop, falling from 100.23 to 98.66 within half an hour, reflecting a daily decline of 1.38% [3] Tariff Policy - On July 31, President Trump signed an executive order establishing "reciprocal tariffs" on multiple countries and regions, with rates ranging from 10% to 41%. Notably, tariffs on Canada were increased from 25% to 35%, effective August 1 [3] Commodity Prices - Oil prices saw a significant decline, while spot gold prices surged, surpassing $3,360 [4][5]
昨夜,跌麻了!特朗普“怒了”:立即免职!
中国基金报· 2025-08-02 00:22
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market experienced a significant decline, with all three major indices dropping and a total market value loss exceeding $1 trillion in a single day, driven by disappointing non-farm employment data and increased expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September [3][5][12]. Market Performance - As of the market close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.23% to 43,588.58 points, the S&P 500 dropped by 1.6% to 6,238.01 points, and the Nasdaq Composite plummeted by 2.24% to 20,650.13 points. For the week, the Dow decreased by 2.92%, the S&P 500 by 2.36%, and the Nasdaq by 2.17% [5][11]. - Major technology stocks also saw significant declines, with Amazon dropping 8.27%, resulting in a market value loss of over $200 billion. Other notable declines included Facebook (over 3%), Apple and Nvidia (over 2%), and Tesla, Microsoft, and Google (over 1.5%) [7][8]. Employment Data and Federal Reserve Expectations - The U.S. non-farm employment report for July showed only 73,000 new jobs added, significantly below expectations, and previous months' data was revised down by a total of 258,000 jobs, marking the worst performance since the pandemic began [12][18]. - Following the employment report, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September surged to nearly 90%, with the likelihood of maintaining current rates dropping to 10.2% [15][21]. Commodity Market Reactions - Gold prices surged by 2.22% to $3,362.64 per ounce, while silver saw a slight increase of 0.84% to $37.017 per ounce, despite a weekly decline of 2.94%. In contrast, international oil prices fell, with Brent crude down 2.83% to $69.67 per barrel and WTI down 2.78% to $67.33 per barrel [12][14]. Political Developments - President Trump ordered the immediate dismissal of Labor Statistics Bureau Director Erika McEntarfer following the release of the disappointing employment data, claiming the data was manipulated for political purposes [18][21]. - Additionally, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller announced his resignation, creating an opportunity for Trump to appoint a preferred candidate to the Federal Reserve Board [20][21].
美股深夜跳水,市值蒸发超1万亿美元;美联储9月降息概率大增,特朗普再次发声
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-02 00:13
Market Overview - On August 1, U.S. stock indices fell sharply, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.23%, the S&P 500 down 1.60%, and the Nasdaq down 2.24%, marking the largest decline since April. The total market capitalization of U.S. stocks evaporated by over $1 trillion [1] - Major technology stocks also experienced significant declines, with Amazon dropping over 8%. Despite reporting second-quarter revenue of $167.7 billion, exceeding market expectations, the company's third-quarter operating profit guidance fell short, raising concerns about its cloud business growth [3] Employment Data - The U.S. Labor Department reported that non-farm payrolls increased by only 73,000 in July, below expectations, with the unemployment rate slightly rising to 4.2%. Additionally, previous months' employment figures were significantly revised downward, with May's non-farm payrolls adjusted from 144,000 to just 19,000, and June's from 147,000 to 14,000 [3] Economic Indicators - The U.S. manufacturing PMI for July was reported at 48%, down from 49% in June, indicating a contraction in the manufacturing sector [4] - The uncertainty stemming from U.S. government tariff policies has led to increased caution among businesses, contributing to a deteriorating labor market [4] Federal Reserve Outlook - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September surged from 37.7% to 75.5% following the release of the latest economic data [2] Commodity Market Reaction - Following the economic data release, the U.S. dollar index dropped sharply from 100.23 to 98.66, a decline of 1.38% [5] - Oil prices also experienced a significant drop, while gold prices surged, breaking above $3,360 [6][7]
特朗普:解雇劳工统计局局长!鲍威尔应引咎辞职!美股大跌 黄金猛拉!
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-08-02 00:05
昨夜(8月1日),美股大跌,美国总统特朗普连续发声。 美股大跌,黄金大涨 受美关税政策及7月就业数据远逊于预期影响,美国股市收盘大跌。 道琼斯工业平均指数收盘下跌601点,跌幅0.74%;标准普尔500指数收跌0.37%,纳斯达克指数大跌 473.75点,创4月以来最大跌幅。美国股市市值蒸发逾1万亿美元。 特朗普称该局曾在2024年3月和大选前数月严重高估新增就业岗位,认为此举旨在助推副总统哈里斯胜 选。 美国劳工部长洛丽·查韦斯-德雷默当天宣布,美国劳工统计局副局长威廉·威亚特罗夫斯基将出任代理局 长,接替埃丽卡·麦肯塔弗。 此外,特朗普还发文呼吁美联储主席鲍威尔辞职。 特朗普在文中提到,前总统拜登任命的美联储理事阿德里亚娜·库格勒此前已宣布辞职。他称库格勒"知 道鲍威尔在利率问题上做错了事",他认为鲍威尔也应当引咎辞职。 中概股多数收跌,纳斯达克中国金龙指数跌1.82%,热门中概股方面,贝壳跌1.19%,BOSS直聘跌 1.58%,京东集团跌1.86%,百度集团跌1.96%,携程集团跌2.10%,腾讯音乐跌2.14%。 在此情况下,黄金大涨,截至收盘,现货黄金大涨超2%,收于3362.64美元/盎司。 消 ...
美股深夜跳水,市值蒸发超1万亿美元;美联储9月降息概率大增,特朗普再次发声
21世纪经济报道· 2025-08-01 23:58
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant decline in U.S. stock markets due to unfavorable employment data and tariff policies, leading to a market capitalization loss exceeding $1 trillion [2][4]. Market Performance - On August 1, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.23%, the S&P 500 dropped by 1.60%, and the Nasdaq index decreased by 2.24%, marking the largest decline since April [2][4]. - Major technology stocks experienced substantial losses, with Amazon's stock plummeting over 8% [6]. Employment Data - The U.S. Labor Department reported that non-farm payrolls increased by only 73,000 in July, falling short of expectations, while the unemployment rate slightly rose to 4.2% [8]. - Revisions to previous months' data showed a significant downward adjustment, with May's non-farm payrolls revised from 144,000 to just 19,000, and June's from 147,000 to 14,000 [8]. Tariff Policies - The uncertainty stemming from U.S. tariff policies has heightened corporate caution, contributing to a deteriorating labor market [9]. - On July 31, President Trump signed an executive order to implement reciprocal tariffs on various countries, with rates ranging from 10% to 41%, effective August 1 [9]. Federal Reserve Outlook - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September surged from 37.7% to 75.5% following the employment data release [3]. Commodity Market Reaction - Following the economic data release, the U.S. dollar index dropped significantly, falling from 100.23 to 98.66, a decline of 1.38% [11]. - Oil prices also saw a notable decrease, with WTI crude oil down by 2.00% and Brent crude oil down by 2.89% [13]. - In contrast, gold prices surged, surpassing $3,360 [13].