| 产品 | 2025 年 月 | 1-3 | 2024 | 年 | 1-3 月 | 变动比例（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 销售均价（元/吨） | | | 销售均价（元/吨） | | | | 涤纶毛条 | | 13178.47 | | | 13555.93 | -2.78 | | 复合短纤维 | | 10484.66 | | | 10467.95 | 0.16 | （二）主要原材料价格变动情况 证券代码：600527 证券简称：江南高纤 编号：临 2025-031 江苏江南高纤股份有限公司 2025 年第一季度主要经营数据的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导 性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及 江苏江南高纤股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）根据上海证券交易所《上 市公司行业信息披露指引第十三号——化工》的要求，现将 2025 年第一季度主 要经营数据披露如下： 二、主要产品和原材料价格变动情况 （一）主要产品价格变动情况 一、主要产品的产量、销售及收入实现情况 主要产品 2 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co., Ltd., is focused on the research, production, and sales of environmentally friendly liquid-colored fibers, achieving significant growth in revenue and net profit in the first quarter of 2025 [1][2]. Company Summary - The company's stock closed at 14.84 yuan, up 3.85%, with a rolling PE ratio of 50.16, marking an 18-day low, and a total market capitalization of 1.742 billion yuan [1]. - As of the first quarter of 2025, three institutions held shares in the company, with a total of 20.9199 million shares valued at 288 million yuan [1]. - The main products include differentiated colored polyester filaments (DTY, FDY, POY), and the company has received multiple recognitions for its research and development in green fiber technology [1]. Financial Performance - In the first quarter of 2025, the company reported revenue of 194 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.91%, and a net profit of 12.329 million yuan, up 44.60%, with a sales gross margin of 16.21% [2]. - The company's PE ratio (TTM) stands at 50.16, while the industry average is 51.62, and the industry median is 34.59 [2].

智通财经4月29日电，桐昆股份(601233.SH)公告称，2025年第一季度营业收入194.2亿元，同比下降 8.01%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润6.11亿元，同比增长5.36%。 桐昆股份：一季度净利润6.11亿元 同比增长5.36% ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company achieved significant year-on-year performance improvement, with revenue for 2024 reaching 101.31 billion yuan, a 22.59% increase, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 1.202 billion yuan, a 50.8% increase [7] - The polyester filament production and sales have improved year-on-year, although the overall market conditions have shown signs of decline due to increased supply and weak demand [7] - The PTA market is experiencing a recovery, but it remains in a state of bottom oscillation due to excess supply [7] - The profitability of Zhejiang Petrochemical has improved, and it is expected to continue to enhance in 2025 [7] - Future earnings forecasts have been adjusted downwards due to the impact of tariffs and oil price fluctuations, with net profits for 2025 and 2026 revised to 1.987 billion yuan and 3.084 billion yuan respectively [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 82.64 billion yuan in 2023, 101.31 billion yuan in 2024, 103.08 billion yuan in 2025, 108.27 billion yuan in 2026, and 109.98 billion yuan in 2027 [6][9] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from 797 million yuan in 2023 to 1.987 billion yuan in 2025, and further to 4.198 billion yuan by 2027 [6][9] - The company's earnings per share are expected to increase from 0.34 yuan in 2023 to 0.83 yuan in 2025, reaching 1.75 yuan in 2027 [6][9] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 2.2% in 2023 to 5.2% in 2025, and further to 9.2% in 2027 [6][9]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Crude oil: Weak [1] - LPG: Sideways [1] - L: Bearish [1] - PP: Sideways [1] - PVC: Sideways [1] - PX: Bullish [1] - PTA/PR: Bullish [1] - Ethylene glycol: Bearish [1] - Glass: Sideways [1] - Soda ash: Sideways [1] - Methanol: Bearish [1] - Urea: Bearish [1] - Asphalt: Bearish [1] 2. Core Views of the Report - The trade policy uncertainty and OPEC+ production increase lead to a weak oil price, while the upcoming trade peak season strengthens the short - term downside support [2]. - LPG follows the oil price for consolidation, with short - term cost support but weak strength [7]. - For L, the high - operation of devices, abundant supply, and weakening demand result in a bearish outlook [10]. - PP shows a short - term support due to high parking ratio and weak supply - demand, but a bearish long - term outlook [13]. - PVC has a cost - supported low - level sideways movement, and short - term wait - and - see is recommended [16]. - PX has an improved April fundamental and is currently fluctuating with cost, showing a bullish sideways trend [18]. - PTA has reduced supply pressure, but the downstream polyester is expected to weaken, with a short - term bullish trend and opportunities to short at high levels [22]. - Ethylene glycol has a high arrival volume and expected weakening demand, with limited cost support and a bearish short - term adjustment [24]. - Glass has a stable low - level supply, seasonal demand improvement, but high inventory restricts the short - term rebound [27]. - Soda ash has a short - term warm sideways movement due to reduced supply, but a bearish mid - term outlook due to new capacity [1]. - Methanol has a large supply pressure, weakening demand, and weak cost support, with a bearish short - term outlook [29]. - Urea has a large supply pressure and weak demand, but fast - growing fertilizer exports, with a bearish outlook and opportunities to go long on pullbacks [33]. - Asphalt has a high crack spread and a bearish rebound, with a weak and sideways cost - end oil price [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Crude Oil - **Market Performance**: Overnight international oil prices declined (WTI down 1.54%, Brent down 1.53%), while domestic SC rose 0.06% [2]. - **Supply**: As of April 25, the number of active US oil rigs increased by 2 to 483. Kazakhstan's March oil production decreased by about 3% to 62.7 barrels per day [2]. - **Demand**: In April, Russia's supply of ESPO blended oil to Indian ports increased to about 400,000 tons (about 100,000 barrels per day) [2]. - **Inventory**: As of April 18, US commercial crude oil inventory increased by 2 million barrels to 443.1 million barrels, and strategic crude oil reserve increased by 5 million barrels to 397.5 million barrels [2]. - **Strategy**: Long - term price range is $55 - 65, short - term is weak, and SC focuses on [480 - 500] [3]. 3.2 LPG - **Market Performance**: On April 28, the main PG contract closed at 4,395 yuan/ton, down 0.25% [5][6]. - **Supply**: As of April 25, the total LPG commodity volume was 515,500 tons, up 2,300 tons [7]. - **Demand**: As of April 25, the开工 rates of PDH, MTBE, and alkylation oil decreased by 3.09pct, 2.18pct, and 0.51pct respectively [7]. - **Inventory**: As of April 25, refinery inventory was 163,200 tons, down 1,000 tons, and port inventory was 2.8402 million tons, up 175,700 tons [7]. - **Strategy**: Long - term cost support is weak, follow the oil price for consolidation, and conduct PG05 - 06 positive spread operation and sell call options. PG focuses on [4350 - 4450] [7]. 3.3 L - **Market Performance**: L09 (main contract) closed at 7,164 yuan/ton, up 0.2% [9]. - **Supply**: New production capacity of 2.08 million tons has been put into operation this year, and the LLDPE, LDPE film, and HDPE film import windows are closed [10]. - **Demand**: The agricultural film season is ending, and demand is gradually weakening [10]. - **Inventory**: PE enterprise inventory increased by 5.9% to 530,000 tons [9]. - **Strategy**: Go short at high levels, and L focuses on [7080 - 7200] [10]. 3.4 PP - **Market Performance**: PP09 (main contract) closed at 7,112 yuan/ton, up 0.2% [12]. - **Supply**: Baofeng's 1 million tons/year PP device was successfully put into operation in the first quarter, and attention is paid to the commissioning progress of Zhongjing Petrochemical's 1.5 million tons/year PDH device [13]. - **Demand**: Product exports are under pressure due to tariff disturbances [13]. - **Inventory**: PP enterprise inventory decreased by 2.4% to 600,000 tons [12]. - **Strategy**: Short - term wait - and - see, mid - term short at high levels, and PP focuses on [7050 - 7150] [13]. 3.5 PVC - **Market Performance**: V09 (main contract) closed at 4,989 yuan/ton, up 0.6% [15]. - **Supply**: Xinpu Chemical's 500,000 - ton device was put into operation in January, and the capacity utilization rate is 79% [16]. - **Demand**: The decline in real - estate completion area narrows, and downstream开工率 decreases seasonally [16]. - **Inventory**: PVC仓单 decreased by 0.3% to 29,653 [15]. - **Strategy**: Short - term wait - and - see, go long on pullbacks, and V focuses on [4920 - 5060] [16]. 3.6 PX - **Market Performance**: On April 25, the spot price of PX in East China was 6,600 yuan/ton (flat), and the PX09 contract closed at 6,230 yuan/ton (+64) [17]. - **Supply**: Many domestic and overseas PX devices are under maintenance, with the weekly output of 647,000 tons, down 7,000 tons [18]. - **Demand**: PTA device maintenance is high, and the demand is expected to weaken [18]. - **Inventory**: In March, PX inventory was at a high level in the same period, and the number of warehouse receipts was 1,064, lower than the same period [18]. - **Strategy**: PX focuses on [6220 - 6320] [19]. 3.7 PTA - **Market Performance**: On April 25, the spot price of PTA in East China was 4,490 yuan/ton (+62), and the TA09 contract closed at 4,400 yuan/ton (+30) [20][21]. - **Supply**: Many PTA devices are under maintenance, with a weekly output of 1.393 million tons, up 55,000 tons [22]. - **Demand**: The downstream polyester is expected to weaken, and the terminal weaving inventory is high [22]. - **Inventory**: PTA social inventory decreased to 4.804 million tons in March, and the number of warehouse receipts decreased [22]. - **Strategy**: TA focuses on [4420 - 4520], and pay attention to shorting at high levels [22]. 3.8 Ethylene Glycol - **Market Performance**: On April 25, the spot price of ethylene glycol in East China was 4,184 yuan/ton (-32), and the EG09 contract closed at 4,160 yuan/ton (-19) [23]. - **Supply**: Many domestic and overseas devices are under maintenance, with a high expected arrival volume of 248,000 tons [24]. - **Demand**: The downstream polyester is expected to weaken, and the terminal weaving inventory is high [24]. - **Inventory**: Social inventory increased slightly, and port inventory decreased [24]. - **Strategy**: EG focuses on [4150 - 4220] [25]. 3.9 Glass - **Market Performance**: The spot market quotation is regionally differentiated, the futures is at a low - level sideways movement, the main contract basis narrows, and the number of warehouse receipts decreases [27]. - **Supply**: The glass supply remains stable at a low level, and the cold - repair plan of manufacturers slows down after the cost decreases [27]. - **Demand**: The demand shows a seasonal improvement but is lower than the same period, and the real - estate industry has not stabilized [27]. - **Inventory**: The total enterprise inventory increased by 395,000 heavy boxes to 65.473 million heavy boxes, up 0.61% [27]. - **Strategy**: FG focuses on [1100 - 1140] [27]. 3.10 Soda Ash - **Market Performance**: The spot market quotation is regionally differentiated, the futures is at a low - level sideways movement [1]. - **Supply**: There are many maintenance plans, and the supply is expected to decrease [1]. - **Demand**: No specific demand - related content mentioned in the provided documents. - **Inventory**: The alkali plant inventory decreases slightly [1]. - **Strategy**: No specific strategy content other than the price range in the provided documents. 3.11 Methanol - **Market Performance**: On April 25, the spot price of methanol in East China was 2,413 yuan/ton (+5), and the main 09 contract closed at 2,288 yuan/ton (-1) [29]. - **Supply**: Domestic and overseas methanol devices are under maintenance, but the supply pressure is still large, and the import is expected to increase in May [29]. - **Demand**: The demand of MTO devices is expected to weaken, and the traditional downstream demand is in the off - season [29]. - **Inventory**: The social inventory of methanol decreases slightly to 773,000 tons [29]. - **Strategy**: MA focuses on [2260 - 2310], and go short on rebounds [29][30]. 3.12 Urea - **Market Performance**: On April 25, the spot price of small - particle urea in Shandong was 1,830 yuan/ton (flat), and the main contract closed at 1,757 yuan/ton (-1) [32]. - **Supply**: The maintenance devices are gradually restarted, with a high daily output, and the supply pressure is large [33]. - **Demand**: It is the off - season for agricultural fertilization, and the industrial demand is weak, but fertilizer exports are growing fast [33]. - **Inventory**: The inventory accumulates, with the factory inventory at 1.065 million tons and the port inventory at 117,000 tons [33]. - **Strategy**: The price range of UR is [1760 - 1790], and pay attention to going long on pullbacks [33]. 3.13 Asphalt - **Market Performance**: No specific recent market performance content mentioned other than the price range in the provided documents. - **Supply**: No specific supply - related content mentioned in the provided documents. - **Demand**: No specific demand - related content mentioned in the provided documents. - **Inventory**: Both social and factory inventories are increasing [1]. - **Strategy**: The price range of BU is [3400 - 3500], and go short on rebounds [1].

2024年，新凤鸣完成"省级重点工业互联网平台"、"国家智能制造揭榜挂帅项目"等重大专项验收，成功 争创省部级项目成果11个。其中，公司和中石科技（300684）获评省级5G全链接工厂，公司获评国家 首批"智能制造示范工厂"、首批"卓越级智能工厂"，积极探索拓展企业数字化治理新路径。 新凤鸣表示，将着重以提升企业综合竞争力为出发点，继续扩大涤纶长丝产品差别化率、打造低碳节能 型企业为目标，进一步加大科技创新与技改投入，力争实现"产业基地化、生产规模化、产品精细化、 技术专业化、管理科学化"的产业升级目标，突出主业做精做强。到2025年底，公司涤纶长丝总产能预 计将达到845万吨，涤纶短纤120万吨；同时，公司将稳步推进PTA建设项目，保障原材料稳定供应， PTA总产能预计至2025年底将突破1000万吨。（厉平） 4月28日晚，新凤鸣（603225）公告2025年一季报，报告期内实现净利润3.06亿元，同比增长11.35%。 新凤鸣表示，公司已进入一个全新的纵向、横向双结合的持续发展阶段，未来头部企业将凭借其规模和 技术优势持续进行品质创新与发展，行业集中度也将逐步提升。 新凤鸣主要业务为民用涤纶长丝、短纤及 ...

Group 1 - The company reported a total revenue of 67.09 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.1% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 1.1 billion yuan, up 1.3% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 960 million yuan, an increase of 7.1% year-on-year [1] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 17.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.6% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.2% [1] Group 2 - The polyester filament industry is experiencing a supply-demand balance, with a projected apparent consumption of 42 million tons in China for 2024, an increase of 8.7% year-on-year [2] - The company completed maintenance on five production units and added one new filament unit in 2024, leading to improved performance metrics across various production lines [2] - The gross profit margin and net profit margin for 2024 are expected to be 5.6% and 1.6%, respectively, showing limited changes compared to the previous year [2] Group 3 - The polyester filament industry is expected to see an upward trend in its economic environment, with a projected decrease in new capacity by 2.3% year-on-year for 2024 [3] - The industry has initiated a "High-Quality Development Initiative" aimed at improving profitability through self-regulation [3] - Despite trade tensions, the impact on the domestic polyester filament industry is expected to be limited due to China's dominant supply position [3]

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Tabl 点评报告 e_ReportType] [Table_StockAndRank] 新凤鸣(603225.SH) | 投资评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 上次评级 | 买入 | [Table_A 左前明 uthor 能源行业首席分析师 ] 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮箱：zuoqianming@cindasc.com 刘奕麟 石化行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524040001 联系电话：13261695353 邮箱：liuyilin@cindasc.com 相关研究 [《Table_O 首次覆盖报告：扩张 therReport] 节奏加快，打 造低成本龙头》2021.6.30 《60 万吨聚酯投产，成长性持续强 化》2021.7.5 《单季度业绩创新高，验证龙头盈利 弹性》2021.7.14 《2 季度公司业绩高增，持续布局产 能扩张》2021.8.18 《尽显龙头成本优势，扩张产能迎投 产大年》2021.11.02 《新凤鸣：22Q1 公司业绩承压，但扩 能投产势头强劲》2022.5.12 《新凤鸣：行 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 67.09 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.15%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.10 billion yuan, a growth of 1.32% year-on-year [2] - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 14.56 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 0.73% [3] - The supply-demand dynamics in the industry are improving, with a notable increase in demand for polyester filament due to a 12.5% growth in retail sales of clothing in 2024 [4] - The company is expected to benefit from the optimization of industry supply structure, with a forecasted net profit of 1.30 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting an 18.3% growth [7] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a gross profit margin of 5.6%, with a projected increase to 6.3% in 2025 [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.85 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.86 [7] - The company’s total revenue is expected to reach 70.91 billion yuan by 2027, with a modest growth rate of 1.0% [6][9]

前十大流通股东累计持有： 396543.52万股，累计占流通股比： 72.13%，较上期变化： 783.05万股。 | 名称 | 持有数量(万股) | 占总股本 | 增减情 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 比例(%) | 况(万股) | | 江苏盛虹科技股份有限公司 | 278954.55 | 50.75 | 2132.00 | | 盛虹(苏州)集团有限公司 | 35636.14 | 6.48 | 2154.00 | | Citibank, National Association | 27700.00 | 5.04 | 不变 | | 江苏吴江丝绸集团有限公司 | 12266.22 | 2.23 | 不变 | | 陕西省国际信托股份有限公司-陕国投·东方盛虹（000301）第二 期员工持股集合资金信托计划 | 8252.26 | 1.50 | 不变 | | 香港中央结算有限公司 | 8127.54 | 1.48 | -615.21 | | 苏州市吴江东方国有资本投资经营有限公司 | 6771.94 | 1.23 | -2887.74 | | 陕西省国际信托股份有限公司-陕国 ...