当地时间2025年12月31日，欧美股市集体收跌，美股三大股指四连跌。从2025年全年表现来看，道琼斯工业指数涨12.97%，标普500指数涨16.39%，纳斯 达克指数涨20.36%，均实现年线三连涨。 贵金属市场持续大幅波动，伦敦现货白银盘中一度跌超7%，COMEX白银期货盘中一度跌超11%。不过，从2025年全年来看，白银价格涨幅依然显著。伦 敦现货白银价格涨幅超147%，COMEX白银期货价格涨幅超142%。 当地时间2025年12月31日，美股三大指数全线收跌。Wind数据显示，截至收盘，道琼斯工业指数跌0.63%，纳斯达克指数跌0.76%，标普500指数跌 0.74%，均为四连跌。 大型科技股集体下跌，万得美国科技七巨头指数下跌0.61%。其中，特斯拉跌超1%。 | 亚马逊 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | (AMAZON) | 230.820 | -0.74% | | AMZN.O | | | | 英伟达(NVIDIA) | 186.490 | -0.56% | | NVDA.O | | | | 苹果(APPLE) | 271.840 | -0.45% | | AAPL.O ...

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market faced a setback at the end of 2025, with major indices unable to maintain upward momentum due to pressure from technology stocks, particularly the "Magnificent 7" [2][10] - Despite the challenges, the overall performance for the year remained positive, with the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq all achieving annual gains of over 10% [18][11][12][13] Economic Indicators - U.S. unemployment claims fell to 199,000, the lowest level since late November, indicating a resilient labor market and suggesting that the Federal Reserve may delay interest rate cuts [7][5] - The dollar index experienced a significant annual decline of over 9%, marking its largest yearly drop since 2017, influenced by expectations of future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [40][42] Sector Performance - The technology sector, led by AI-related stocks, saw substantial gains in 2025, with the Nasdaq index rising over 20% for the year, although individual stocks like Nvidia underperformed compared to previous years [10][21] - Precious metals, including gold and silver, had a remarkable year, with gold rising over 60% and silver increasing by nearly 150%, marking their best annual performance since 1979 [47][48][53] Commodity Trends - Crude oil prices fell approximately 20% in 2025, attributed to the impact of tariffs and increased supply concerns, marking the largest annual decline in five years [55][54] - The performance of base metals was generally strong, with copper achieving a nearly 42% increase, the highest annual gain since 2009 [53] Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin experienced its largest annual decline in three years, while Ethereum also faced significant losses, reflecting a broader downturn in the cryptocurrency market [46][44]

中国内存芯片企业表示预计今年盈利20亿元以上，而此前三季度亏损近60亿，这意味着仅是四季度就将 取得80亿元以上的盈利，而这一切是因为美韩芯片联合抬价所致，这恐怕是美韩芯片所没有想到的。 为了走出自己的路，以及另一家存储芯片企业的教训，中国的NAND flash存储芯片企业可谓煞费苦 心，从最低端的32层NAND flash芯片做起，积累自己的技术和专利，直到做出了128层NAND flash存储 芯片才大规模量产，后来更曾率先量产232层NAND flash存储芯片。自然另一家DRAM内存芯片同样重 视自研技术和专利。 眼见着中国存储芯片取得技术领先优势，美国联合日本和荷兰阻止对中国存储芯片供应先进的芯片设备 和材料，导致中国的存储芯片技术研发一度停滞，中国存储芯片因此耗费了近两年时间建设自主研发的 生产线，完全采用国产化设备。 中国存储芯片因此遭受波折也导致迟迟无法盈利，据悉前后仅是内存芯片中国可能投资的资金就高达 460亿元，付出了不小的代价，然而如今中国的存储芯片行业终于取得了回报，不仅让中国摆脱了对外 国存储芯片的依赖，还摆脱了亏损。 占据优势的美韩芯片多年来其实一直都有搞存储芯片的价格，在他们的联 ...

今天是2026年1月1日星期四，新元启幕，万象更新。 新的一年，请继续满怀热忱，奔赴热爱。早报君在此祝各位元旦快乐，新程璀璨，万事顺遂！ 2025年，尽管全球市场面临着地缘政治和美国关税的不确定性，但在席卷全球的AI浪潮的推动下，全 球多数重要股指年内均实现两位数涨幅。 美股方面，三大指数低调收官，道指连续第八个月上涨，全年累涨12.97%；标普500指数累涨16.39%； 纳指累涨20.36%，三大股指均连续三年创新新高。 科技"七巨头"中，除了英伟达和谷歌分别达38.92%、65.42%的累计涨幅外，其他5家在2025年均未跑赢 基准指数。 纳斯达克中国金龙指数全年累涨11.33%。多家明星中概股交出亮眼答卷。其中，阿里巴巴累计上涨超 75%、网易涨58.28%、百度涨近55%。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 證新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 | 总市值 | 年初至今涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | NVDA | 英伟达 | 0 | 186.500 | -1.040 | -0.55% | 4.53万亿 | 38.92% | | ...

Group 1: National Subsidy Policies - The 2026 national subsidy policy focuses on four categories: vehicle scrapping, vehicle replacement, home appliances, and digital/智能 products, with the exclusion of home decoration and electric bicycles compared to 2025 [2] - In the automotive sector, subsidies will be based on a percentage of the new car price (12% or 10%), with a cap of 20,000 yuan or 15,000 yuan, maintaining the 2025 standards [2] - The home appliance subsidy has been reduced from 20% to 15%, with the maximum subsidy per appliance decreasing from 2,000 yuan to 1,500 yuan, indicating a tightening of product eligibility [2] Group 2: Manufacturing and Economic Indicators - The manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1% in December, marking the first time it exceeded the critical point since April, indicating an expansion in the manufacturing sector [4] - The production index and new orders index for manufacturing were reported at 51.7% and 50.8%, respectively, showing improvements compared to the previous month [4] - Large enterprises returned to expansion with a PMI of 50.8%, while high-tech manufacturing led with a PMI of 52.5%, reflecting strong demand in these sectors [4][5] Group 3: Real Estate Tax Policy - Starting January 1, 2026, individuals selling homes purchased for less than two years will pay a 3% VAT, while those selling homes purchased for two years or more will be exempt from VAT [6] - The reduction of VAT from 5% to 3% for newly purchased homes aims to lower transaction costs, potentially stimulating sales, although the overall impact may be limited due to the small proportion of such transactions in the market [6][7] Group 4: Global Economic Developments - India's GDP has surpassed Japan's, making it the fourth-largest economy globally, with a projected growth rate of 8.2% for the second quarter of the 2025-2026 fiscal year [8] - The Indian government is focusing on boosting domestic manufacturing and creating high-paying jobs for its young population, which poses a significant challenge [9] Group 5: Semiconductor Equipment Exports - The U.S. has approved Samsung and SK Hynix to export semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China starting in 2026, requiring annual approval for the types and quantities of equipment [10] - This arrangement allows Korean companies to maintain production capacity in China while potentially limiting their long-term strategic planning in the region [11] Group 6: Stock Market Performance - The South Korean stock market saw a nearly 76% increase in 2025, the largest since 1999, driven by strong performances from major companies like Samsung and SK Hynix [14] - Japan's stock market also performed well, closing at a record high, supported by government spending and improved trade relations with the U.S. [15] - The A-share market experienced a significant annual increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 18.41% and the total market capitalization reaching nearly 109 trillion yuan [16]

Core Viewpoint - ByteDance plans to invest RMB 100 billion (approximately NT$ 44.82 billion) to purchase NVIDIA H200 chips by 2026, pending approval from the U.S. Department of Commerce, which could lead to significant business opportunities for Inventec in AI server manufacturing, potentially exceeding market expectations [1] Group 1: Investment Plans - ByteDance is set to invest RMB 100 billion in NVIDIA H200 chips by 2026 [1] - The investment is contingent upon receiving approval from the U.S. Department of Commerce [1] Group 2: AI Development - ByteDance is actively developing its own AI model, aiming for its chatbot "Doubao" to process over 50 trillion tokens daily by December 2025, a significant increase from 4 trillion tokens by December 2024 [1] - The president of ByteDance's cloud service division, Volcano Engine, revealed that over 100 enterprise clients are currently using more than 1 trillion tokens, indicating a high demand for computing power [1] Group 3: Market Expectations - The industry anticipates that Inventec may secure a substantial AI server manufacturing order this year, which could lead to better-than-expected performance [1]

西方电力捉襟见肘 现在人工智能发展得飞快，可这也带来大麻烦，尤其是电力供应跟不上。英伟达的黄仁勋今年在乔罗根 的节目里直言，AI扩展太猛，电力成了新瓶颈。要是不解决，芯片再厉害也白搭。他还预测，AI计算 需求2025年已经暴涨，以前以为芯片是核心，现在电力更关键。 要知道，英伟达自家处理器集群到2027年一年可能吃掉150到200吉瓦电，这相当于一个国家全年用电 量。黄仁勋还警告，美国数据中心建得慢，电力容量不够，可能让中国在AI赛道上超车。他甚至说， 未来科技公司得自己搞小型核反应堆来发电，不然AI就卡壳了。这话不是随便说说，英伟达员工邮件 里也提了整合低延迟处理器，但电力问题始终绕不开。 发展中国家更惨，像乍得、马拉维，农村地区电力覆盖率低，基础设施跟不上。 中国电网游刃有余 中国这边，电力供应倒是不慌，底气来自于多年积累的基础设施和新能源布局。早些年，我们也尝过缺 电的苦，90年代广东工厂开三停四，拉闸限电是家常便饭。但从2000年启动西电东送工程开始，情况就 变了。这项目把西部能源富集区电力输到东部需求大户，通过特高压技术实现高效传输。特高压就是电 压超高的传输方式，交流1000千伏，直流±800千伏 ...

Group 1: Global Financial Market Dynamics - The international financial market in 2025 is characterized by turmoil, primarily due to the U.S. imposing or threatening tariffs on trade partners, which has become a significant variable affecting global markets [1][3] - The announcement of a 20% tariff on most imported goods by the U.S. led to unprecedented volatility in the stock market, with the Dow Jones experiencing a dramatic intraday fluctuation of 2600 points within a short period [3] - The fear of economic and industrial impacts from tariffs triggered panic in global markets, with significant declines observed in Asian and European indices, including a nearly 9% drop in Japan's Nikkei 225 and over 4% declines in major European indices [3] Group 2: Gold Market Trends - The gold market has seen a significant rise, with prices reaching as high as $4505.7 per ounce by December 24, 2025, driven by geopolitical risks and a decline in the credibility of the U.S. dollar [5] - Gold has surpassed the euro to become the second-largest reserve asset globally and has also exceeded U.S. Treasury bonds in central bank reserves for the first time [5] - In China, gold has become increasingly popular among investors, with various investment tools like gold ETFs and physical gold bars gaining traction among different demographics [5] Group 3: Mergers and Acquisitions - 2025 has witnessed a surge in high-value mergers and acquisitions, with notable deals such as Netflix acquiring parts of Warner Bros. Discovery and Union Pacific Railroad's acquisition of Norfolk Southern Railway [7][8] - The mining sector is also experiencing consolidation, exemplified by Anglo American's acquisition of Teck Resources, which is reshaping the global mining landscape [8] Group 4: A-Share Market Developments - The A-share market has shown remarkable performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a peak of 4010.73 points, marking a significant milestone after ten years [10] - The technology sector's market capitalization has surpassed 25% of the total A-share market, indicating a structural shift in investment focus [10] - New IPOs in the A-share market have attracted significant attention, with companies in AI and technology sectors becoming highly sought after [10] Group 5: Hong Kong IPO Market - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has emerged as a leader in global IPO fundraising, with over 70 companies raising more than 270 billion HKD by December 11, 2025 [12][13] - The IPOs have predominantly featured companies in emerging industries such as AI pharmaceuticals and digital twins, showcasing the market's dynamism [12][13]

（来源：科创100ETF基金） 上海壁仞科技股份有限公司在港交所公告，在港上市拟发行284,846,600股H股，H股最终发售价为每股 19.60港元。预期H股将在明年1月2日开始交易。(智通财经) （来源：科创100ETF基金） 上海壁仞科技股份有限公司在港交所公告，在港上市拟发行284,846,600股H股，H股最终发售价为每股 19.60港元。预期H股将在明年1月2日开始交易。(智通财经) ...

格隆汇12月31日｜上海壁仞科技股份有限公司在港交所公告，在港上市拟发行284,846,600股H股，H股 最终发售价为每股19.60港元。预期H股将在明年1月2日开始交易。 ...