Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of JPY 4,400 [8][9]. Core Insights - The company's FY3/25 revenue is projected at JPY 12,957.1 billion, a slight decrease of 0.5% year-on-year, while operating profit is expected to grow by 16.4% to JPY 1,407.2 billion, exceeding the company's guidance of JPY 1,335 billion [1][2]. - The gaming and semiconductor businesses are anticipated to continue driving performance, with gaming business operating profit guidance exceeding expectations despite the delay of GTA6 [2][3]. - The impact of tariffs on operating profit is estimated at around 8%, but the actual effect may be more limited due to diversified production locations and increased inventory in the U.S. [3][4]. - The financial division spin-off is expected to be completed in October, which is viewed positively as it allows the company to focus more on its creative entertainment vision [4][5]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - For FY3/26, the company expects revenues of JPY 11,700 billion and operating profit of JPY 1,380 billion, with gaming and network services projected to grow by 15.7% year-on-year [2][3]. - The forecast for FY3/26 to FY3/28 net profit is JPY 10,743 billion, JPY 12,630 billion, and JPY 13,690 billion respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment of 11% and 2% for FY3/26 and FY3/27 due to tariff impacts [5][16]. Segment Performance - The gaming and network services segment is expected to generate significant revenue, with a projected operating profit of JPY 4,086 billion for FY3/26, driven by strong first-party game sales [17]. - The music segment is also expected to perform well, with an operating profit margin higher than comparable companies, projected at JPY 3,698 billion for FY3/26 [17]. - The imaging and sensing solutions segment is anticipated to see improvements in profit margins due to cautious investments and market share growth in the automotive sector [17].

这是美国流行文化有史以来最糟糕的时代吗？ 最近，《大西洋月刊》（The Atlantic）旗下撰稿人Spencer Kornhaber写了一篇文章来论述这个命题，引发了不少音乐行业从业者关注。 这位记者采访了美国知名音乐历史学者Ted Gioia，后者直言不讳地指出，当代文化创作已陷入创造力枯竭的困境，艺术与娱乐的整体质感正在肉眼可见地 滑坡，其影响甚至辐射至一个国家的社会情绪与政治稳定。 尤其是音乐行业，愈来愈多的观察者质疑，音乐越来越不像一项艺术创作，更像一项由资本驱动的资产管理。甚至认为，大批私募公司的涌入，让经典曲 库不断侵蚀新作品的曝光与流通空间，令音乐生态逐渐趋于封闭与保守。 那么，在收听人群愈加全球化、创作环境空前开放的背景下，这种"经典老歌压倒新音乐"的论调真的成立吗？私募公司是否真正搅乱了音乐行业的市场？ 音乐行业的"衰落论" 近几年，音乐市场的"衰落叙事"已经成为美国顶级文学刊物中的敏感话题。 2023年，《纽约时报》一篇报道宣称，我们正处于自印刷术发明以来，文化上最缺乏创新、最缺乏变革、最缺乏开拓精神的世纪。 最近，数据分析公司YouGov的民意调查显示，美国人认为2020年代是一个世纪 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年05月21日 | 晨会纪要 | | --- | | 数据日期:2025-05-20 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数（点） | 3380.47 | 10249.17 | 3898.17 | 11510.62 | 2850.94 | 997.67 | | 涨跌幅度（%） | 0.38 | 0.76 | 0.54 | 1.04 | 1.03 | 0.24 | | 成交金额（亿元） | 4502.90 | 7193.90 | 2016.36 | 2657.65 | 3242.13 | 175.15 | 【重点推荐】 宏观与策略 固定收益专题研究:海外债市系列之三-美国国债市场图谱 【常规内容】 宏观与策略 宏观专题:AI、关税与黄金的启示——2025 年中期宏观展望 行业与公司 电子行业周报：财报季彰显景气，关税博弈趋于缓和，积极布局"估值 扩张" 腾讯音乐(TME.N) 海外公司财报点评:ARPPU 值提升或将成为订阅 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in Q1 2025, with significant year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter growth in revenue and net profit, driven by its gaming and educational segments [1][4]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 28.829 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year increase of 7.4% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 7.8% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 10.301 billion yuan, showing a year-over-year growth of 34.9% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 17.5% [1] - The adjusted net profit was 11.237 billion yuan, with a year-over-year increase of 32% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 16.1% [1] - Gross margin improved to 64.1%, up 0.7 percentage points year-over-year and 3.3 percentage points quarter-over-quarter [1] Gaming Business - The gaming and value-added services segment generated revenue of 28.83 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 68.8% [2] - New game releases contributed significantly to revenue growth, with titles like "Marvel Duel" and "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" achieving high player engagement [2] - Long-standing games like "Identity V" and "Blood Strike" also saw substantial revenue increases, with "Identity V" experiencing a 123% rise in global revenue [2] Educational Segment (Youdao) - Youdao reported revenue of 1.298 billion yuan, a decline of 6.7% year-over-year and 3.1% quarter-over-quarter [4] - Operating profit increased by 247.7% to 104 million yuan, marking a historical high for Q1 [4] - The AI-driven strategy led to significant improvements in profitability, with learning services revenue reaching 602 million yuan, and AI subscription services growing over 40% year-over-year [4] Music and Other Segments - NetEase Cloud Music generated revenue of 1.858 billion yuan, down 8.4% year-over-year, but showed effective cost control with a gross margin of 36.7% [5] - The innovation and other business segment reported revenue of 1.624 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.6% year-over-year [6] - The company is focusing on enhancing product offerings and leveraging AI technology across various segments to improve user experience and operational efficiency [6] Future Outlook - The company plans to continue its focus on innovation and long-term operations in Q2 2025, with multiple game releases and expansions in the educational sector [3][4] - The company expects to maintain strong revenue growth across its diversified product matrix, with a target price of 203 HKD and a "buy" rating [7]

歌手马頔几年前在综艺上的片段引发了一众模仿与调侃。而比起出圈的热梗"爷们儿要脸""北京孩子"，一个令人唏嘘的现实是，听众早已不再 听《南山南》之类的民谣。当短视频神曲以周为单位涌现，用不上几天，新的音乐内容又会出现。在海量的旋律里，似乎没人真的在意民谣到 底该往何处行去。 互联网的记忆，总在不经意间乍现。几年前出现在《我是唱作人2》中的综艺片段，如今已成为各大社交媒体上的热梗来源。 原始视频是这样的：歌手马頔一脸笃定，对着镜头说，"《南山南》那种歌，说实话分分钟写出来，不用一星期，三天。为什么我不写了？（轻抚式打 脸）爷们儿要脸，咱是一北京孩子，首先得对得起自己。" （图/《我是唱作人2》） 随着视频爆火，"要脸的爷们儿"也在自己的个人账号上回应。他说在当天录制前，事先已经小酌，等入镜时，自己"上劲儿"了，才有了这个名场面。这一 语境下，"北京孩子"的言论似乎可以归纳为酒话，但与此同时，很多人又不禁慨叹，属于《南山南》的那个时代好像真的已经过去了。 纵使马頔现在花费更多的"分分钟"，也未见得能博得挑剔的音乐听众们的青睐了。相较于短视频音乐在人们生活中的渗透程度，民谣的受众影响力正在逐 渐减弱。 流传的民谣，一 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the internet media industry, indicating an expectation for the industry to outperform the overall market [3][11]. Core Insights - Tencent and NetEase have exceeded expectations in Q1 2025, with AI applications enhancing operational efficiency in gaming and advertising. Despite concerns over a decrease in capital expenditure, the commitment to AI-driven growth remains strong [3]. - The gaming sector continues to thrive with established titles like Tencent's "Honor of Kings" and "Peacekeeper Elite" driving revenue growth, while NetEase's new mobile game "Yanyun" contributes to a 12.1% year-on-year increase in net income from gaming and related services [3]. - The report highlights the strong gross margin of NetEase Cloud Music at 36.7% in Q1 2025, reflecting a robust growth trajectory in paid subscriptions and user engagement among younger demographics [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of shareholder returns, with differentiated competition in gaming products supporting stock buybacks and dividends [3]. - The report identifies potential short-term profit margin pressures from competition in instant retail affecting e-commerce and local lifestyle platforms [3]. Summary by Sections Gaming Sector - Tencent's Q1 2025 capital expenditure is 15% of revenue, while Alibaba's AI initiatives are accelerating cloud revenue. The gaming sector is expected to benefit from AI innovations, enhancing user engagement and retention [3]. - A-share gaming companies are projected to see growth driven by new product cycles and AI innovations, with current valuations around 15x [3]. Key Recommendations - The report recommends investments in AI cloud computing and cost-effective AI applications, highlighting companies such as Tencent, Alibaba, and Kingsoft Cloud [3]. - It also suggests focusing on consumer platforms targeting younger audiences, including Pop Mart and Meitu, as well as companies in the film industry like Alibaba Pictures [3]. - The report notes improved competitive dynamics for companies like Focus Media and suggests high dividend-paying publishing companies as attractive investments [3]. Valuation Table - The report includes a valuation table for key companies, indicating projected revenues and net profits for 2025 and 2026, with Tencent's market cap at 43,014 million RMB and a PE ratio of 17 for 2025 [5].

南都讯 记者 丁慧峰 环球音乐大中华区（Universal Music Greater China）在粤港澳大湾区的全新公司 ——环球音乐粤港澳大湾区公司，5月16日在深圳福田中洲湾启幕，正式开启一段音乐与城市的崭新旅 程。香港摇滚乐队Supper Moment也出席典礼并在活动现场宣布已经正式签约环球音乐。未来，环球音 乐将与乐队共同携手，将他们的音乐推广到更远的地方。 环球音乐一众管理层包括环球音乐集团市场发展执行副总裁亚当・格兰奈特（Adam Granite）、环球音 乐集团大中华区主席暨首席执行官徐毅（Timothy Xu）、环球音乐集团大中华区首席财务官王恺 （Aaron Wang）、环球音乐集团大中华区首席运营官许雯静（Vivian Xu）、环球音乐香港董事总经理 暨环球音乐大中华区高级副总裁陈志光（Gary Chan），以及环球音乐艺术家与合作伙伴齐聚一堂，共 庆环球音乐粤港澳大湾区公司开业。 亚当・格兰奈特（Adam Granite）感谢出现在祝福视频中的每一位环球音乐合作艺术家们，同时也感谢 所有合作伙伴及协助他们于大湾区成立公司的政府部门，期待环球音乐能在中国取得更多的突破，同时 助力华语 ...

Core Insights - The release of the second trailer for "GTA6" resulted in 475 million views within 24 hours, significantly surpassing previous video game trailers [1][2] - The accompanying song "Hot Together" by the Pointer Sisters saw a staggering increase in Spotify plays by 182,000% following the trailer's release [1][4] - The music in video games is evolving from a background element to a central component of cultural and narrative experiences [3][9] Music Impact on Gaming - The "GTA" series has a history of reviving older songs, with the first trailer for "GTA6" causing a 36,979% increase in streams for Tom Petty's "Love Is a Long Road" [3] - The choice of music in trailers is crucial, as seen with "Hot Together," which, despite being a lesser-known track, resonated with the game's themes [4][6] - The rise in popularity of these songs can lead to increased opportunities for artists, as evidenced by the Pointer Sisters' recent surge in global search interest [7] Evolution of Music in Gaming - The "GTA" series has progressively integrated music into the gaming experience, with the first game featuring seven radio stations and the latest installment boasting over 400 tracks across 21 stations [9][10] - Rockstar Games has created immersive experiences by incorporating real-world DJ culture and live events into the game [10][14] - The collaboration with artists like Dr. Dre highlights the potential for deeper integration of music and gameplay, enhancing player engagement [12][14] Market Dynamics - The global gaming market reached $184 billion in 2023, significantly outpacing the recorded music market at $28.6 billion, indicating a shift in cultural consumption [15][16] - The potential for music-related markets within gaming is expected to triple by 2026, showcasing the growing importance of this intersection [15] Challenges and Opportunities - Despite the growth, there are challenges in the collaboration between music and gaming industries, including communication barriers and complex licensing processes [22][23] - The need for fair compensation for artists remains a critical issue, as many feel undervalued in the current licensing models [23] - Industry associations are working to bridge gaps and facilitate better partnerships between music and gaming sectors [24] Future Perspectives - The boundaries between music and gaming are becoming increasingly blurred, with potential for new creative expressions in virtual environments [26][27] - The focus is shifting towards how music can be perceived and valued within gaming, rather than merely how it is integrated [27]

TOP3大新闻 国家卫健委通报关于肖某引发舆情事件调查处置进展情况 4月15日，国家卫生健康委调查组通报关于肖某引发舆情事件调查处置进展情况。通报显示，有关单位依据相关法 律法规，吊销肖某医师执业证书；撤销董某莹的毕业证书、学位证书、医师资格证书、医师执业证书。（央视新 闻） 刘晓庆深夜回应被指涉嫌偷税漏税 据报道，近日，刘晓庆被王先生实名举报涉嫌偷税漏税，上海市税务局第四稽查局已受理并启动调查。王先生举报 内容显示，2020年12月刘晓庆珠宝（宁波）有限公司向其借款330万元。2021年1月，刘晓庆通过名下上海弈熙文化 传媒中心，以"形象代言费"名义将330万元借款转为个人收入，涉嫌虚开发票逃税。 公开信息显示，刘晓庆珠宝（宁波）有限公司成立于2018年11月，法定代表人为许可筠，注册资本1000万人民币， 经营范围包括珠宝技术服务等，由许可筠、宁波晓庆企业管理咨询合伙企业（有限合伙）共同持股。变更记录显 示，2021年4月，刘晓庆已退出该公司股东行列。公开信息显示，目前，该公司已被国家税务总局宁波高新技术产 业开发区税务局列为非正常户，并于2024年7月被宁波市市场监督管理局高新技术产业开发区分局列入经营 ...

Core Insights - Net revenue from gaming and related value-added services for NetEase reached RMB 24 billion (USD 3.3 billion), representing a year-on-year growth of 12.1% compared to the same period in 2024 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Youdao's net revenue was RMB 1.3 billion (USD 178.9 million), showing a decline of 6.7% year-on-year compared to 2024 [1] - NetEase Cloud Music reported net revenue of RMB 1.9 billion (USD 256.1 million), which is a decrease of 8.4% year-on-year compared to 2024 [1] - Revenue from innovative businesses and others amounted to RMB 1.6 billion (USD 223.8 million), reflecting a decline of 17.6% year-on-year compared to 2024 [1]