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专访丨高市早苗错误言论“将给日本经济带来根本性打击”——访日本无限合同会社首席经济学家田代秀敏
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-26 06:52
Core Insights - The remarks made by Japanese Prime Minister Sanna Takashi regarding China and Japan-China relations are significantly out of touch with reality, potentially leading to severe repercussions for the Japanese economy [1] - The interdependence between Japanese and Chinese companies is critical, with Japan being more reliant on China, which has an economy nearly five times larger than Japan's [1][2] - A complete disruption of trade and investment between the two countries would pose existential risks for Japan, particularly affecting key sectors such as tourism, retail, and the film industry [1][2] Industry Impact - The tourism and retail sectors in Japan are heavily reliant on Chinese tourists, who accounted for approximately 30% of inbound consumption in the first three quarters of this year [2] - A significant reduction in Chinese tourists would lead to substantial losses for Japan's retail and tourism industries, severely impacting local economies [2] - The Japanese film industry, particularly television, may face challenges as the profitability of high-cost dramas often depends on sales to the Chinese market [2] Supply Chain Concerns - The supply chains of nearly all Japanese industries are interconnected with China, and any disruption could lead to significant operational difficulties for Japanese companies [2] - If the current tensions persist, there is a risk of undermining the foundational aspects of the Japanese economy, as Japan cannot afford to lose its relationship with China [2]
GWI:全球康养经济到2029年将攀升至9.8万亿美元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-26 06:29
Core Insights - The Global Wellness Institute (GWI) reported that the global wellness economy has reached a record size of $6.8 trillion, marking a 35% growth since 2019 and a projected growth of 7.9% from 2023 to 2024, with expectations to reach $9.8 trillion by 2029 [1][3]. Industry Overview - The wellness industry is now larger than several major global industries, including tourism ($5 trillion), IT ($5.3 trillion), and sports ($2.7 trillion), and is nearly four times the size of the pharmaceutical industry, accounting for 60% of global health and medical spending [3][4]. - By 2029, the wellness industry is expected to represent 7.1% of global GDP [3]. Growth Drivers - The growth is attributed to long-term trends such as aging populations, chronic diseases, increasing mental health issues, and a rising consumer focus on prevention, longevity, and lifestyle optimization [3][4]. - The fastest-growing sector in the past five years has been wellness real estate, with an annual growth rate of 19.5%, driven by demand for homes and communities that support physical and mental health [3]. Sector Performance - Wellness tourism, spas, and thermal/mineral springs have shown strong growth, with health tourism increasing by 13.8%, spas by 14.6%, and thermal/mineral springs by 11.1% from 2023 to 2024, making wellness tourism one of the most dynamic travel categories [4]. - Workplace wellness is the only sector experiencing a decline at -1.5%, reflecting shifts in employer priorities due to the rise of remote work [5]. Regional Insights - North America has the highest per capita health spending at $6,029, followed by Europe at $1,876, indicating significant growth potential in other regions [5]. - Annual growth rates over the past five years were 7.9% in North America, 7.2% in the Middle East and North Africa, and 6.3% in Europe [5]. Future Projections - By 2029, several wellness industry categories are expected to see significant growth, including wellness real estate (15.2%), traditional and complementary medicine (10.8%), mental health (10.1%), spa tourism (10%), wellness tourism (9.1%), and personalized medicine (9.3%) [5]. - Six sectors, including healthy eating, physical exercise, personal care and beauty, wellness tourism, wellness real estate, and traditional and complementary medicine, are projected to exceed $1 trillion each by 2029 [5]. Implications for Investors - The findings suggest a sustained increase in health-oriented consumer demand, with growing investor activity and intensified competition to integrate wellness, nature, culture, and personalized wellness experiences into travel offerings [5].
河南淅川:绿染丹江·生态富民
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-11-26 06:09
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the transformation of the ecological environment and economic development in Xichuan County, which is crucial for the South-to-North Water Diversion Project, showcasing the integration of ecological conservation and economic growth [1][2][3]. Group 1: Ecological Restoration - Xichuan County has successfully completed over 500,000 acres of afforestation, revitalizing 382,000 acres of rocky desertification land, resulting in a forest coverage rate of 61.7% [1]. - The local government has implemented a "contractual afforestation" model to restore the ecological environment, turning barren mountains into green landscapes [1]. Group 2: Economic Development - The county has developed 230,000 acres of ecological fruit forests, providing a sustainable source of income for 100,000 residents in the reservoir area [2]. - The establishment of a medicinal herb base covering 147,000 acres has led to an average annual income increase of over 6,000 yuan for nearly 30,000 farming households [2]. Group 3: Tourism and Cultural Integration - Xichuan County has received 5.725 million tourists in the first half of the year, generating a total tourism revenue of 4.78 billion yuan, enhancing its cultural tourism brand [3]. - The county has developed multiple tourist attractions and rural tourism villages, creating over 20,000 jobs and promoting the concept of "green mountains and clear waters are invaluable assets" [2][3].
日本经济学家:高市早苗错误言论“将给日本经济带来根本性打击”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-26 05:13
Core Insights - The remarks made by Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi regarding China and Japan-China relations are significantly disconnected from reality, potentially leading to severe repercussions for the Japanese economy [1] - The interdependence between Japanese and Chinese companies is critical, with Japan being more reliant on China, which has an economy nearly five times larger than Japan's [1][2] - A complete disruption of trade and investment between the two countries would pose existential risks for Japan, particularly affecting key sectors such as tourism, retail, and the film industry [1][2] Tourism and Retail Sector - Chinese tourists are the largest source of visitors to Japan, contributing approximately 30% to the total inbound consumption in the first three quarters of this year [2] - A significant reduction in Chinese tourist numbers would lead to substantial losses for Japan's retail and tourism industries, severely impacting local economies [2] Film Industry - The Japanese television industry may face challenges as the production of high-cost dramas often relies on sales to the Chinese market for profitability [2] - Any negative impact on the export of Japanese dramas to China could result in considerable financial losses for the industry [2] Supply Chain Risks - The deterioration of Japan-China relations poses deeper risks to supply chains, as nearly all Japanese industries are linked to China [2] - Disruptions in the supply chain could lead to significant operational challenges for Japanese companies, potentially undermining the foundation of the Japanese economy [2] Economic Outlook - If the current tensions persist, there is a risk of a severe economic recession in Japan next year, particularly if investor confidence is shaken [2]
高市早苗错误言论“将给日本经济带来根本性打击”
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-26 04:53
Core Viewpoint - The remarks made by Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi regarding China and Japan-China relations are severely disconnected from reality, potentially leading to fundamental damage to the Japanese economy if not addressed promptly [1][2]. Economic Impact on Japan - The relationship between Japanese and Chinese enterprises is tightly interwoven, with Japanese products containing components made in China and vice versa, making it impossible for Japan to decouple from China [1]. - Japan's dependency on China is greater than the reverse, with China's economy being nearly five times larger than Japan's. A complete halt in trade and investment would pose existential risks for Japan, affecting various sectors beyond mere financial losses [1][2]. Sector-Specific Risks - The tourism and retail sectors in Japan are particularly vulnerable, as they rely heavily on Chinese tourists, who represent the largest source of visitors and contribute approximately 30% to Japan's inbound consumption in the first three quarters of this year [2]. - The Japanese film and television industry may also face significant challenges, as the profitability of high-cost dramas often hinges on sales to the Chinese market. Disruptions in this area could lead to substantial financial losses [2]. Supply Chain Concerns - The deeper risk lies in the supply chain, as nearly all Japanese industries are linked to China. Any disruption could lead to severe operational difficulties for Japanese companies, potentially undermining the foundation of the Japanese economy [2]. - If the current tensions persist without resolution, there is a risk of diminishing investor confidence, which could lead to a significant economic downturn in Japan next year [2].
专访|高市早苗错误言论“将给日本经济带来根本性打击”——访日本无限合同会社首席经济学家田代秀敏
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-26 04:38
Core Viewpoint - The remarks made by Japanese Prime Minister Sanna Takashi regarding China and Japan-China relations are severely disconnected from reality, potentially leading to fundamental damage to the Japanese economy if not addressed promptly [1] Group 1: Economic Impact - The relationship between Japanese and Chinese enterprises is tightly interwoven, with Japanese products containing components made in China and vice versa, making it impossible for Japan to decouple from China [1] - Japan's dependency on China is greater than the reverse, as China's economy is nearly five times larger than Japan's. A complete halt in trade and investment would pose existential risks for Japan, particularly affecting tourism, retail, and the film industry [1][2] - The tourism and retail sectors are crucial for employment in Japan, especially in areas suffering from population decline, which heavily rely on economic benefits and job opportunities from tourism [1] Group 2: Specific Sector Risks - Chinese tourists are the largest source of visitors to Japan, contributing approximately 30% to the total inbound consumption in the first three quarters of this year. A significant reduction in Chinese tourists would lead to substantial losses for both the retail and tourism industries, severely impacting local economies [2] - The Japanese television industry may also face challenges, as high-cost drama productions often rely on sales to the Chinese market for profitability. Any disruption in exports to China could result in significant financial losses [2] - The deeper risk lies in the supply chain, as nearly all Japanese industries are linked to China. Disruptions in the supply chain could lead to severe difficulties for Japanese companies, potentially undermining the foundation of the Japanese economy [2]
投21万亿日元救市 大把撒钱有用吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-26 01:12
Economic Overview - Japan's economy has entered a phase of negative growth, with a reported GDP decline of 1.8% year-on-year in Q3, marking a return to negative growth since Q1 2024. The primary cause is a sharp contraction in external demand, contributing -0.2 percentage points to economic growth [1] - The U.S. has increased tariffs on Japanese goods, particularly raising auto tariffs from 2.5% to 15%, severely impacting Japan's automotive industry and creating a vicious cycle of order shrinkage and economic recession [1] Domestic Demand and Consumption - Domestic demand remains weak, exacerbated by high inflation and declining real wages, which have led to reduced consumer spending. Personal consumption, which accounts for over half of Japan's economy, saw a slight increase of 0.1% quarter-on-quarter, while private residential investment fell by 9.4%, contributing -0.2 percentage points to economic growth [1] Political and Economic Response - In response to the economic challenges, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's government approved a fiscal stimulus package worth 21.3 trillion yen (approximately 135.4 billion USD) aimed at addressing rising prices and boosting investment in sectors like semiconductors and AI. However, this plan relies heavily on fiscal expansion and monetary easing without addressing structural economic reforms [2] Structural Issues - Japan's government debt has reached approximately 263% of GDP, and further spending increases could raise long-term interest rates, intensifying debt repayment pressures and limiting investment in public welfare and innovation [3] - The government’s approach has been criticized for lacking prioritization, with resources spread across over ten industries, leading to a "follow-the-leader" strategy that fails to drive significant industrial breakthroughs [3] Long-term Economic Outlook - Japan's economy faces a dual pressure of weak external demand and sluggish domestic consumption, with limited effectiveness of policy tools due to high debt levels and structural deficiencies. Analysts suggest that Japan's economy may oscillate around the growth line for an extended period, with fiscal stimulus potentially providing only short-term relief [4] - For genuine economic recovery, Japan needs to focus on institutional reforms and technological innovation rather than relying on short-sighted policies or external confrontations, although the prospects for such a transformation appear bleak under the current circumstances [4]
严重影响生态环境,奢华营地占用东非动物迁徙走廊遭质疑
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-11-25 22:50
Core Viewpoint - The opening of a luxury wildlife camp in Kenya's Maasai Mara National Reserve has raised concerns about its impact on the local ecosystem and wildlife migration routes, amidst a growing number of tourist facilities in the area [1][2]. Group 1: Wildlife Camp Details - The luxury camp, operated by Marriott International, opened in August and charges approximately $3,500 per night, offering a unique experience to view the animal migration closely [1]. - The camp features 20 tented suites, each equipped with private living areas, infinity pools, and indoor/outdoor showers [1]. Group 2: Economic and Environmental Impact - Local Maasai elders acknowledge tourism as a key economic driver and hope for its continued growth, with 90% of the camp's staff being Kenyan and 40% from local communities [1]. - However, the rapid increase in tourist numbers and facilities has led to significant negative impacts on the local ecosystem, with the number of tourist camps rising from 95 in 2012 to 175 in 2024 [1]. - During the annual animal migration, over 250,000 tourists visit Kenya to witness the migration of wildebeests and zebras [1]. Group 3: Criticism and Concerns - Critics, including local residents and researchers, argue that the new luxury camp occupies critical undeveloped land and disrupts the core migration routes of wildebeests [2]. - The rapid development of tourism in Kenya is correlated with a decline in wildlife populations, with many species facing extinction risks [2].
让淡季变成“黄金季”
Ren Min Wang· 2025-11-25 22:45
银杏街变身打卡地,始于行政部门的"主动让路"。百年银杏街本是部分机关单位的通勤要道,为让出观 景通道、保障游客体验,暂禁车辆驶入老街,机关工作人员步行上班;环卫工人收集落叶铺就金色步 道,交通警察维护周边秩序,广大市民热情地向游客介绍景点,辽东学院敞开校门举办"银杏文化 节"……这种"一盘棋"的格局,让发展文旅产业不再是文旅部门的"独角戏",而是全城共同参与的"大合 唱"。 文旅市场的火花和亮点,不是单靠财政投入"砸"出来的,而是靠对游客需求的深度洞察"磨"出来的。只 要用心、用情、用力,每个地方的特点都有可能成为卖点,每个城市的文旅淡季都有潜力成为"黄金 季"。 近年来,文旅"淡季不淡"的成功案例不断涌现。西藏错那以"不把大自然装进玻璃罩子"为参照,盘活千 年沙棘林与曲卓木地热温泉等原生资源,为游客奉上人气爆棚的边城生态之旅;黑龙江抓住冰雪大世 界、雾凇长廊等元素,串联马拉爬犁、雪地温泉、森林滑雪、俄式风情等独特体验,让"冷资源"变 成"热经济"。淡季不是"死局",而是未被开发的"富矿";原生态不是"包袱",而是充满惊喜的"宝盒"。 淡季突围需要原生态的"活景",而非硬堆砌的"假景"。名山大川是风景,市井民 ...
“2025世界旅游联盟·湘湖对话”举办
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-11-25 20:49
Core Insights - The "2025 World Tourism Alliance Xianghu Dialogue" held in Hangzhou, Zhejiang, focused on sustainable development, cross-industry integration, and technological empowerment in the tourism sector [1] - The event gathered representatives from international organizations and tourism authorities from 30 countries and regions to discuss the future of a resilient, inclusive, and sustainable tourism industry [1] Group 1: Research Reports - The "2024-2025 Cross-Border Tourism Consumption Trends Research" report indicates that the global tourism industry continues to grow, with experiential travel being a key driver [2] - Chinese outbound tourism is seeing an increase in both total visitor numbers and spending, with short-haul and niche destinations growing rapidly [2] - Trends in outbound tourism are shifting towards experiences, exploration, niche, and personalized travel [2] - The report highlights that the number of inbound tourists to China is growing rapidly, supported by visa facilitation policies, with longer stays being observed [2] - Major cities remain the most attractive for inbound tourists, while emerging destinations are also seeing significant increases in visitor numbers [2] - There is a notable rise in spending on shopping, dining, and health-related services, indicating a diversification in inbound tourism consumption [2] Group 2: Sustainable Development in Rural Tourism - The report "From Tourism Poverty Alleviation to Rural Revitalization: China's Practice in Promoting Sustainable Development through Tourism" outlines the evolution of rural tourism in China from poverty alleviation to sustainable development [2] - Future policies for sustainable rural development in China are expected to focus on policy coordination and innovation, digital technology empowerment, and the exploration of rural value [2] Group 3: International Dialogue - The event included the "2025 China-Australia Tourism Dialogue Mechanism Meeting" and "China-US Study Tour Dialogue," where both China-Australia and China-US discussed opportunities for cooperation and development in tourism investment and trade [2]