证券研究报告·公司点评报告·家电零部件Ⅱ 德业股份（605117） 2025 中报点评：2025Q2 储能出货环比高增， 工商储占比稳步提升 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 7,480 | 11,206 | 13,310 | 16,003 | 19,106 | | 同比（%） | 25.59 | 49.82 | 18.77 | 20.23 | 19.39 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,791 | 2,960 | 3,602 | 4,311 | 5,168 | | 同比（%） | 18.03 | 65.29 | 21.66 | 19.69 | 19.88 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.98 | 3.27 | 3.98 | 4.77 | 5.71 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 31.27 | 18.92 | 15.55 | 12.99 | 10.84 | [Table_T ...

Group 1 - Hualing Cable recently won multiple contracts totaling approximately 557 million yuan, accounting for 13.40% of its audited revenue for 2024 [1] - The projects include contracts from Southern Power Grid, China Institute of Atomic Energy, Zijin Mining, Tianjin Rail Transit, and China Nonferrous Metal International Mining [1] Group 2 - Weisi Medical's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 3%, totaling no more than 2.8731 million shares, due to personal funding needs [2] - Han Yi Co. intends to invest 102 million yuan to acquire a 39% stake in Shanghai Pidong Cultural Media, aiming to expand its IP derivative business [2] Group 3 - Zhongsheng High-Tech's controlling shareholder will change to Fuzhou Qianjing after signing a share transfer agreement, with stock resuming trading [3] - Tianli Lithium Energy plans to invest 30% in a joint venture for advanced energy research, contributing 30 million yuan [5] Group 4 - Zhenbang Intelligent plans to invest up to 11 million USD to establish a production base in Indonesia [8] - Shenhuo Co. aims to set up a 1.512 billion yuan industry fund focusing on strategic emerging industries [9] Group 5 - Shenhuo Co. intends to acquire a 14.69% stake in Shenhuo New Materials for 298 million yuan through public bidding [11] - Kema Technology plans to acquire a 73% stake in Suzhou Kaixin Semiconductor for 102 million yuan to enhance its capabilities in silicon carbide materials [13] Group 6 - China Power Construction's subsidiary won two major engineering projects with total contract values of approximately 57.52 billion yuan and 54.39 billion yuan [14] - Huaxin Environmental plans to reduce its stake by up to 1.58% due to personal funding needs [15] Group 7 - Yuandong Bio's shareholders plan to collectively reduce their stake by up to 1.91% for personal funding needs [17] - Xiangming Intelligent's controlling shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 3% due to personal funding needs [18] Group 8 - Sand Technology's actual controller's associates plan to reduce their stake by up to 2% for personal funding needs [19] - Beifang Changlong decided to terminate the acquisition of 51% of Henan Zhongzheng due to changes in market conditions [20] Group 9 - ST Huicheng plans to publicly transfer 30% of its subsidiary Peak Intelligent for a starting price of 5.1 million yuan [22] - Yunji Group's major shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 3% for personal funding needs [23] Group 10 - Shunbo Alloy plans to raise up to 600 million yuan through a private placement to enhance its main business [24] - Berry Gene's major shareholder will face judicial enforcement on 1% of its shares due to a pledge default [25] Group 11 - Guanglian Aviation's controlling shareholder is under investigation, but the company's operations remain normal [26]

Group 1 - Dongyue Silicon Materials' subsidiary Future Materials has completed the listing guidance acceptance for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with Dongyue holding 5.14% of its shares [1] - Dameng Data expects a revenue increase of 40.63%-45.74% for the first half of the year, projecting revenue between 495 million to 513 million yuan [1] - Conch New Materials plans to acquire 80% of Kangning Special and 100% of Kangning Environmental Engineering for 186 million yuan to accelerate its SCR denitration catalyst industry development [1] Group 2 - Mongolian Grass Ecology signed a contract worth 251 million yuan for a degraded grassland restoration project, responsible for 29.11% of the construction tasks [3] - Lens Technology has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for its H-share issuance, planning to issue up to 431 million shares [4] - Yahua Group intends to establish "Yahua Lithium Industry Group" to integrate its lithium business resources [5] Group 3 - United Imaging Healthcare has obtained multiple medical device registrations, including a significant breakthrough with its DSA system receiving FDA approval, marking it as the first Chinese DSA device approved for the U.S. market [6] - Yashi Chuangneng's major shareholder plans to reduce their stake by up to 3% due to forced liquidation [7] - He Sheng New Materials' executives plan to collectively reduce their holdings by up to 240,600 shares for personal financial needs [8] Group 4 - Qingnong Commercial Bank has been approved to issue up to 2 billion yuan in capital supplement tools [9] - Lixing Co. plans to reduce its shares by up to 0.74% due to personal financial needs of its executives [11] - Shuangfei Group's shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by up to 0.96% for personal financial needs [12] Group 5 - Zhongyou Capital intends to invest 655 million yuan in Kunlun Capital for a controllable nuclear fusion project [13] - BOE Technology Group plans to acquire 30% of Xianyang Rainbow Optoelectronics for 4.849 billion yuan to strengthen its competitive advantage in the display industry [14] - Wanli Stone signed a framework agreement for a cross-border strategic resource mining research project with several institutions [15] Group 6 - Wutong Holdings is acquiring a 20% stake in its subsidiary for 84 million yuan to enhance its dual-driven development strategy [17] - Guangku Technology's shareholder plans to reduce their stake by up to 800,000 shares for personal financial needs [18] - Dash Smart intends to terminate a PPP project and transfer a 69.77% stake in its subsidiary for 165 million yuan, impacting its profit by -309 million yuan [18]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 417 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 44.09%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 81.39 million yuan, up 107.34% year-on-year [5] - The company benefits from the home appliance replacement subsidy policy, which stimulates market demand, and the promising outlook in the server sector drives growth in the company's rail business [5] - The company has a strong focus on R&D, with 119 valid patents driving product innovation and a commitment to ESG responsibilities through low-carbon production practices [5] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 94 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.56%, and a net profit of 19.22 million yuan, up 19.58% year-on-year [5] - The rail business generated revenue of 408 million yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 47.29%, accounting for 97.93% of total revenue [5] - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 92 million yuan, 108 million yuan, and 127 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.01, 2.37, and 2.78 yuan per share [5][7] Market Outlook - The global server rail kit market is projected to grow from 60 million USD in 2024 to 110 million USD by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate of 8.4% [5] - The company is actively expanding its market presence and increasing customer numbers, with export revenue reaching 75.73 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 135.76% [5] R&D and Innovation - The company has maintained stable R&D investment, resulting in the acquisition of 11 new invention patents in 2024, with a total of 119 valid patents by the end of the year [5] - The company plans to optimize workshop layouts and increase production capacity in 2025 to meet future growth needs [5]

Revenue and Profit Performance - In Q1 2025, 265 listed companies on the Beijing Stock Exchange achieved total operating revenue of CNY 40.358 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.81%[16] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 2.612 billion, down 7.50% year-on-year[16] - Among the companies, 162 reported revenue growth, with 78 companies exceeding 20% growth and 18 companies surpassing 50% growth[16] Market Trends and Index Performance - As of April 29, 2025, the North Exchange 50 Index rose by 1.70% in April, with a maximum increase of 8.38% during the period[17] - Year-to-date, the North Exchange 50 Index has increased by 24.57%, with a peak increase of 39.52%[17] - A total of 131 stocks rose, while 134 stocks fell, with no stocks remaining flat during April[17] Valuation Metrics - The average PE (TTM) for the North Exchange 50 Index was 58.99 times, with a median of 59.76 times as of April 29, 2025[23] - The ChiNext Index had an average PE of 30.10 times, while the Sci-Tech Innovation Board had an average PE of 79.68 times[23] Trading Activity - The total trading volume for the North Exchange in April 2025 was CNY 586.958 billion, with a volume of 28.832 billion shares traded[24] - The average margin financing and securities lending balance for March 2025 was CNY 5.277 billion, a decrease of 2.95% month-on-month[26] Investment Recommendations - Focus on high-growth new productivity sectors and competitive niche leaders[16] - Emphasize innovation-driven sectors such as semiconductors, military, AI, and satellite internet for domestic substitution and technological breakthroughs[16] - Anticipate benefits for consumer-related companies as policies aim to boost domestic demand and consumption[16] Risks - Potential risks include slower-than-expected policy implementation affecting market stability[38] - Short-term stock price surges may lead to overheating market sentiment, prompting irrational investment behavior[38]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 revenue reached 7.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.1%, and net profit attributable to shareholders was 900 million yuan, up 39% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations [8] - Domestic and international demand for traditional refrigeration products is stronger than expected, with a projected 30% year-on-year revenue growth for Q1 2025 [8] - The company is well-positioned in the humanoid robot market, with significant profit elasticity anticipated from future production [8] - The fair value changes positively contributed to earnings, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 470 million yuan in Q1 2025 [8] - The company maintains a profit forecast of 3.81 billion yuan for 2025, with a corresponding PE ratio of 26x [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023 is 24.56 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 15.04% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is projected at 2.92 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.51% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023 is estimated at 0.78 yuan per share [1] - The company’s total assets are expected to reach 39.66 billion yuan by 2025, with total liabilities at 16.47 billion yuan [9] - The operating cash flow for 2024 is projected at 4.37 billion yuan [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 revenue reached 7.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.1%, and net profit attributable to shareholders was 900 million yuan, up 39% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations [8] - Domestic and international demand for traditional refrigeration products is stronger than expected, with a projected 30% year-on-year revenue growth for Q1 2025 [8] - The company is well-positioned in the humanoid robot market, with significant profit potential as it focuses on electromechanical actuators and expands its global production layout [8] - The fair value changes positively contributed to earnings, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 470 million yuan in Q1 2025 [8] - The company forecasts net profits of 3.81 billion yuan, 4.62 billion yuan, and 6.47 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 26x, 21x, and 15x [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 24.56 billion yuan in 2023 to 56.37 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 45.17% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 2.92 billion yuan in 2023 to 6.47 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 39.98% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to rise from 0.78 yuan in 2023 to 1.73 yuan in 2027 [1]