高频高速树脂：AI 浪潮推动高频高速树脂国产替代、量价 齐升 20250928 摘要 5G、汽车智能化和云计算推动高频高速覆铜板需求，此类覆铜板分为高 频板和高速板，分别关注介电常数和介电损耗，以适应不同应用场景。 高频高速树脂包括 PPO、双马树脂、PTFE、碳氢树脂和苯并恶嗪等， 通过分子结构设计减少极性基团，改善介电性能，其中 PTFE 和碳氢/改 性 PPO 是主流工艺体系。 松下 M 系列 PCB 基材是业界领先产品，覆盖不同性能档次，从 M2 到 M8，最新一代 M8 的 DF 值低至 0.012，广泛应用于路由器、交换机和 AI 服务器等领域。 PPO 树脂主要供应商包括沙比克和南通新城等，国内企业积极布局，通 过物理和化学方法改进 PPO，以适应低介电领域应用，提高加工性和耐 热性。 电子级碳氢树脂海外供应商包括阿科玛、科腾、潮达和旭化成，国内主 要供应商有市民科技、圣泉集团和东材科技，均在扩建产能。 Q&A 高频高速树脂在电子行业中的应用及其重要性是什么？ 高频高速树脂是制造覆铜板的三大主要原材料之一，覆铜板（CCL）通常由铜 箔、玻璃纤维布和树脂构成。覆铜板是硬质电路板（PCB）的基础材料 ...

国内电子树脂的产业化进程相对滞后，供给结构主要以基础液态环氧树脂为主。相比之下，能够满足下游PCB行业对绿色环保（如无铅无卤标准）、轻薄化 以及高速高频等关键需求的高品质特种电子树脂，供应则较为短缺。不过，在高频高速树脂这一细分市场中，中国已经积累了一定的产能优势。 一、电子树脂概述 电子级树脂（又称电子树脂）是一类专为电子信息产业打造的一类特种工程塑料，其关键特性在于满足电子设备对材料纯度、介电性能（Dk/Df值）、热膨 胀系数（CTE）、耐湿热性等严苛要求。 电子树脂功能多样，不仅能实现绝缘与粘接，还可为信号传输提供支持，并起到结构支撑的作用，是覆铜板（CCL）、半导体封装、光刻胶、显示面板等领 域的核心材料。主要用途包括制作覆铜板、半导体封装材料、印制电路板油墨、电子胶等，主要担负绝缘与粘接的功能。 目前，高性能电子树脂的类型包括双马来酰亚胺树脂、聚苯醚树脂、聚四氟乙烯树脂、碳氢树脂等，国内厂商正在积极突破，并逐步实现国产替代；其中， 性能最好的PTFE树脂或将成为未来的发展趋势。 电子树脂是制造PCB的三大核心主材之一，其特性对PCB性能的达成起着重要作用。近年来，随着AI技术的飞速发展，高频高速PC ...

Summary of Conference Call for Dongcai Technology Company Overview - **Company**: Dongcai Technology - **Industry**: Electronic materials, specifically focusing on optical films, electronic resins, and insulation materials Key Points and Arguments 1. **Growth Drivers**: The introduction of M9 materials in NVIDIA's B and R series products is expected to significantly boost Dongcai Technology's growth, with full supply anticipated by 2026 [2][4][9] 2. **Core Competitiveness**: Dongcai Technology's competitive edge lies in its three main business areas: optical films, electronic resins, and insulation materials, with electronic resins being crucial for high-end server PCB copper-clad laminates [2][5] 3. **Performance Metrics**: M9 materials have a DF value of approximately 4/10,000, which is an improvement over M8's 5-6/10,000, making M9 more suitable for high-end applications [2][7] 4. **Market Position**: Dongcai Technology is the only domestic supplier of M9 resin, with expected profits of 460-470 million yuan in 2025 and a minimum of 1 billion yuan in 2026 [2][12] 5. **Industry Demand**: The demand for Ruby's CCL is projected to be between 4.5 to 5 million units in 2026, with the overall industry space estimated at 2 billion yuan [3][16] 6. **Supply Chain Stability**: The stability of the supply chain is critical for supplier selection, as changing suppliers can lead to instability in production processes [8] 7. **Future Outlook**: The AI server market's growth and the promotion of high-performance materials like M9 are expected to sustain Dongcai Technology's rapid growth, further solidifying its market leadership [9][18] 8. **Production Capacity**: Dongcai Technology has invested in expanding production capacity, with a 20,000-ton capacity in Meishan and a total of 7,500 tons for hydrogen and OPE [17] 9. **Profitability Forecast**: The electronic resin industry is expected to achieve a profit margin of over 1 billion yuan in 2026, with Dongcai Technology's market share projected to increase significantly [12][22] 10. **Market Trends**: The PCB industry is experiencing a trend of increasing demand and prices, driven by the need for low-loss copper-clad laminates [11][19] Additional Important Insights - **Material Applications**: M9 materials are being utilized in high-end products like GB300 and Ruby series, indicating a shift towards advanced materials in the industry [2][20] - **Long-term Prospects**: The domestic electronic materials market is expected to outperform overseas markets in the next two to three years, with M9 series materials leading the way [24] - **Valuation Expectations**: The company is projected to reach a market valuation of over 30 billion yuan, indicating significant growth potential from its current valuation of 20 billion yuan [22] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call regarding Dongcai Technology's position in the electronic materials industry, its growth prospects, and the overall market dynamics.

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the industry, indicating a potential increase in investment opportunities due to advancements in high-frequency and high-speed resin materials [5]. Core Insights - Panasonic's MEGTRON9 copper-clad laminate shows significant improvements in dielectric performance, leading to a new revolution in high-speed bandwidth with single-channel interface speeds reaching 224Gbps [1][14]. - The domestic hydrogenated resin industry is gradually developing, with companies like Dongcai Technology and Shiming Technology making strides in production capacity [2][19]. - The introduction of new special hydrogenated resins, such as anthracene resin, demonstrates excellent dielectric properties, making it a suitable material for MEGTRON9 [2][21]. - The BCB resin, facing long-term technological barriers, is seeing domestic production efforts that aim to break the monopoly of foreign companies [3][25]. - ASIC chips are highlighted as a cost-effective choice for AI development, requiring high-performance resin materials similar to those needed for top-tier GPU chips [4][31]. Summary by Sections 1. MEGTRON9 Copper-Clad Laminate Performance - The MEGTRON9 laminate from Panasonic significantly reduces circuit loss compared to the M8 version, especially under high-frequency conditions [1][14]. - The dielectric loss factor (Df) of M9 is lower than that of M8, indicating a need for upgraded resin materials to meet performance demands [1][17]. 2. Domestic Hydrogenated Resin Development - The domestic hydrogenated resin industry is in the early stages, with companies like Dongcai Technology planning to build a production capacity of 3,500 tons/year [2][19]. - Anthracene resin has been successfully produced domestically, showcasing low Df values and excellent dielectric properties [2][21]. 3. BCB Resin Production - BCB resin is being developed domestically to overcome the technological barriers imposed by foreign companies, with a production line expected to launch soon [3][25]. 4. ASIC Chips in AI Development - ASIC chips are identified as a more cost-effective solution for AI applications compared to high-end GPUs, with significant advantages in performance and power efficiency [4][31]. 5. Investment Recommendations - Companies like Dongcai Technology and Meilian New Materials are recommended for their leading positions in the electronic resin sector and their advancements in hydrogenated resin production [5][32][40].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, predicting that the stock price will outperform the Shanghai Composite Index by 15% or more within the next six months [37]. Core Insights - The company, Tongyu New Materials, is recognized as a national-level specialized and innovative "little giant" with leading core technology in the industry. Its main business revenue primarily comes from MDI modified epoxy resin, with projected revenues of 1.193 billion CNY, 886 million CNY, and 952 million CNY for 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 25.95%, -25.70%, and 7.47% [1][26]. - The global PCB market is expected to reach nearly 100 billion USD by 2026, with China's rigid copper-clad laminate output increasing from 6.1 billion USD in 2014 to 13.9 billion USD in 2021, capturing 73.9% of the global market share [2][11]. - The company has achieved breakthroughs in multiple core technologies, holding 19 authorized invention patents, and has successfully broken foreign monopolies in key technologies such as DOPO modified epoxy resin [2][29]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The electronic resin industry is crucial for producing copper-clad laminates, semiconductors, and printed circuit board inks, with the global rigid copper-clad laminate market experiencing fluctuations due to macroeconomic conditions [10][11]. - China's electronic resin production has significant room for growth, particularly in high-performance specialty resins that meet environmental standards [14][19]. Company Profile - Tongyu New Materials focuses on the R&D, production, and sales of electronic resins, positioning itself as a leading supplier in the domestic high-end copper-clad laminate market. The company has developed a mature product system suitable for lead-free and halogen-free applications [20][25]. - The company’s revenue sources are diversified across five major product categories, with MDI modified epoxy resin consistently being the core revenue driver, accounting for over 30% of total revenue [26][29]. Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of 1.193 billion CNY in 2022, with a net profit of 188 million CNY, and forecasts a decline in net profit to 144 million CNY in 2024 [26][30]. - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 517 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 19.98%, while net profit decreased by 11.81% [26][30]. Competitive Advantages - The company has established a strong market presence and technical capabilities, being recognized as a major supplier in the domestic high-end electronic resin market, with products integrated into the supply chains of leading companies like Kingboard Group and Unimicron Technology [3][29]. - The company operates automated production lines, ensuring stable production quality and rapid delivery, while also focusing on environmental compliance and sustainable development [30].

Group 1 - The company, Tongyu New Materials, focuses on the research, production, and sales of electronic resins, primarily used in the production of copper-clad laminates [2] - The company has established long-term stable partnerships with well-known global manufacturers in the copper-clad laminate industry, including Jiantao Group, Shengyi Technology, Nanya New Materials, Huazheng New Materials, Jinbao Electronics, and Ultrasonic Electronics [2]

Core Viewpoint - The petrochemical industry is currently facing significant "involution" competition, leading to a widespread dilemma of increasing production without increasing profits, with the industry's operating revenue profit margin declining from 8.03% in 2021 to 4.85% in 2024, and remaining low in the first half of 2025 [1] Group 1: Industry Challenges - The low-quality and homogeneous competition is primarily due to excessive investment and repeated construction, resulting in product homogenization, along with local governments' blind investment promotion exacerbating overcapacity [1] - The central government has proposed comprehensive rectification requirements to address these issues, including strengthening self-discipline, promoting innovation, and eliminating non-compliant capacity based on energy efficiency and environmental standards [2] Group 2: Policy Developments - The chemical industry has seen a gradual deepening of anti-involution policies this year, with significant measures introduced such as the "National Unified Market Construction Guidelines" aimed at curbing repeated construction and market segmentation [2] - In June, a joint notice was issued by five ministries to assess old facilities in the refining and fertilizer sectors, focusing on safety, environmental protection, and energy efficiency to promote the exit of inefficient capacity [2] Group 3: Market Outlook - The industry is expected to see opportunities for supply-side reforms in areas with significant homogeneous competition, such as refining and certain pesticide varieties, as state-owned enterprises control capacity and new project approvals are restricted [3] - By August 2025, a recovery in overseas demand for certain chemical products and further domestic demand growth is anticipated, with a focus on investment in sectors with improved supply-demand dynamics and scarce resource attributes, particularly electronic resins [4] Group 4: Price Trends - As of July 2025, the China Chemical Product Price Index (CCPI) reported a decline of 5.6% from the beginning of the year, indicating a slight decrease in the prices of major chemical products [3] - International crude oil prices showed an upward trend in July, with Brent crude rising from $67.11 to $73.24 per barrel, influenced by geopolitical tensions and seasonal fuel consumption [4] Group 5: Sector-Specific Insights - The electronic resin sector is poised for growth due to increasing demand for high-frequency and high-speed copper-clad laminates, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 26% from 2024 to 2026 [5] - The phosphate fertilizer market is experiencing price increases driven by overseas agricultural recovery and supply disruptions, while the pesticide sector is expected to see price recovery due to increased demand and limited supply growth [5][6]

Group 1 - The petrochemical industry is currently facing significant "involution" competition, leading to a decline in profit margins from 8.03% in 2021 to 4.85% in 2024, with the first half of 2025 still at low levels [1][16][17] - Central authorities have proposed comprehensive rectification measures to combat this issue, focusing on self-discipline, innovation, and the elimination of non-compliant capacity [1][16] - The industry is expected to transition towards high-quality sustainable development through capacity optimization and price ecology restructuring [1][16] Group 2 - The chemical industry's anti-involution policies have deepened from institutional construction to special rectification, with measures introduced to curb redundant construction and market segmentation [2][17] - Key sectors such as refining, olefins, and certain pesticide varieties are anticipated to benefit from supply-side reforms, leading to improved profitability as inefficient capacity is phased out [2][17] - The overall supply-demand structure is expected to gradually optimize, with the potential for profit recovery in the industry [2][17] Group 3 - As of July 2025, the China Chemical Product Price Index (CCPI) reported a decline of 5.6% from the beginning of the year, indicating a slight decrease in the prices of major chemical products [3][18] - The international crude oil prices showed a fluctuating upward trend, with Brent crude rising from $67.11 to $73.24 per barrel in July, influenced by geopolitical tensions and seasonal demand [4][19] - The forecast for Brent crude oil prices is set between $65 and $70 per barrel, with WTI prices expected between $60 and $65 per barrel, highlighting the importance of geopolitical dynamics and OPEC+ policies [4][19] Group 4 - The investment portfolio for the month includes companies such as Shengquan Group, Hubei Yihua, Satellite Chemical, China Petroleum, Lier Chemical, and Yara International, focusing on sectors with growth potential [9][22] - Shengquan Group is highlighted as a leader in synthetic resins, particularly in the rapidly growing electronic specialty resin market [9][22] - Hubei Yihua is positioned to benefit from its resource advantages in the fertilizer sector, while China Petroleum is recognized for its comprehensive energy capabilities [9][22] Group 5 - The electronic resin sector is experiencing rapid growth driven by demand from AI servers, with the global high-frequency and high-speed PCB market expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 26% from 2024 to 2026 [7][20][33] - The phosphoric fertilizer market is seeing resilience due to overseas agricultural recovery and regional stockpiling, with global prices on the rise [8][20] - The pesticide sector is anticipated to recover as the downward cycle reaches its bottom, supported by increased demand from South America and limited export growth from India and the U.S. [8][21]

Core Viewpoint - The rapid development of emerging technologies such as AI, 5G communication, new energy vehicles, and the Internet of Things is driving significant growth in the PCB industry, which in turn is increasing the demand for upstream PCB materials [1][7]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The PCB industry is experiencing high demand due to advancements in AI and communication technologies, leading to increased performance requirements for PCB products [1]. - High-frequency and high-speed copper-clad laminates are essential for applications in base stations, satellite communications, and automotive radar systems [1][4]. - The demand for low dielectric constant (Dk) and low dielectric loss factor (Df) materials is critical for effective signal transmission in high-frequency environments [1][9]. Group 2: Material Types and Applications - Common high-frequency materials include modified epoxy, PTFE, and PCH, each with specific applications in high-frequency and high-speed PCBs [5][6]. - PTFE is preferred for high-frequency substrates due to its superior dielectric properties, especially in applications exceeding 30GHz [3][5]. - High-speed materials focus on minimizing dielectric loss (Df), with applications in computers, servers, and communication electronics [4][6]. Group 3: Future Demand and Supply Chain - The global AI server shipment is expected to grow by 46% in 2024, driven by strong demand from major cloud service providers, which will boost the need for high-frequency and high-speed copper-clad laminates [7][9]. - The supply chain for AI servers is projected to remain stable, with an anticipated growth of nearly 28% in 2025 under basic scenarios [7]. - The shift towards low Dk/Df resin materials is essential to meet the bandwidth and transmission speed requirements of 5G and future 6G technologies [9][10]. Group 4: Environmental and Regulatory Factors - The industry is facing increasing pressure to transition to halogen-free flame retardants due to stringent environmental regulations, which will necessitate significant changes in material formulations [10][10]. - The demand for lightweight and high-performance materials is growing, particularly in the context of miniaturization and integration in consumer electronics [9][10]. Group 5: Upcoming Events and Forums - The "2025 DT New Materials Polymer Industry Annual Conference" will focus on the latest developments in electromagnetic materials, including high-frequency and high-speed PCB substrates [14][15]. - The conference will feature discussions on the integration of new materials in various applications, including 5G/6G communication and new energy vehicles [14][15].

Summary of Conference Call on Electronic Grade High-End Resins Industry Overview - The electronic resin industry is experiencing a significant increase in domestic demand for localization, with a current localization rate of approximately 40% and foreign manufacturers holding 60% of the market share [2][26][27]. Key Company Insights - **Monthly Shipment Volumes**: The monthly shipment volume of PPO is approximately 60-70 tons, with total shipments including OPE around 80 tons. Major customers include Shengyi (40% share), Nanya, Taiko, and Hongsheng, each with a 10% share [1][4][7]. - **Core Customers**: Key customers are Huawei, Shengyi, Nanya, Taiko, and others, with Huawei utilizing both direct and indirect procurement methods. Direct procurement accounts for 20%-30% of total supply [5][6]. - **Pricing Structure**: The unit price for large agents ranges from 700,000 to 1,200,000 yuan, while small customers pay between 800,000 and 1,200,000 yuan. Shengyi's M6 high-speed board is priced at 500,000 to 600,000 yuan, which is lower than Taiko's M8 products [8][9]. Future Demand and Production Plans - **Projected Demand**: Shengyi plans to jointly develop M8 products with Huawei, expecting demand to reach 800-1,000 tons in 2025 and 1,500 tons in 2026, with 200-300 tons allocated for M8 products [10][11]. - **Production Capacity Expansion**: The company aims to increase total PPO production capacity to 700-800 tons by the end of this year, with plans to expand to 2,000-2,300 tons next year and 3,000 tons by the end of 2027 [13][24]. Pricing and Profitability - **Profit Margins**: The overall gross margin is estimated to be around 45%-50%. For M6 products, the margin is expected to remain above 35% despite potential price drops below 500,000 yuan due to increased competition [14][12]. - **Market Competition**: The entry of new competitors producing M6 products may lead to price reductions, but the company maintains a competitive edge through technological advantages and stable supply relationships [23]. Market Trends and Product Development - **Emerging Products**: The company is focusing on increasing the market share of M6 products through OEM partnerships, targeting a 70% domestic market share by 2026 [15]. - **ODV Product Outlook**: ODV products are expected to maintain stable demand, with a projected output of 200 tons in 2026, as the industry is still in the experimental phase [19][24]. Strategic Positioning - **Market Share Goals**: The company aims to increase its market share in key clients like Shengyi, with a ceiling of 55%-60% due to competitive bidding mechanisms [31]. Current market shares are approximately 10% for Taiko, 3% for Taiyao, and close to 20% for Nanya, with plans to double Taiko's share to 20% next year [32]. Conclusion - The electronic resin industry is poised for growth, driven by increasing domestic demand and competitive pricing strategies. The company is strategically positioned to capitalize on these trends through capacity expansion, product development, and strong customer relationships.