1. 合盛硅业：工业硅-有机硅一体化龙头企业 1.1. 公司发展历史 合盛硅业股份有限公司由宁波合盛集团于 2005 年投资成立，并于 2017 年在上交所主板成功上市，是全球最完整 硅基全产业链公司。合盛硅业在新 疆、浙江、四川、云南、黑龙江等地设有数字化智造基地，在上海和海南拥 有 高新技术研发中心，旗下主要涵盖能源、工业硅、有机硅、碳素、新材料、 第三代半导体碳化硅、光伏全产业 链、储能等多元业务，其中工业硅、有机 硅单体产能持续多年位列全球第一，碳化硅、光伏等新兴业务科研实力 稳 居行业第一方阵，相关产品广泛用于航天军工、电子通讯、医疗健康、汽车 制造等各个领域。 公司股权结构稳定。创始人罗立国为公司实控人，现任公司董事长，与 其子女罗燚、罗烨栋合计持有公司 73.51%股权。 实施员工持股计划进行激励。2025 年员工持股计划拟筹集资金金额上 限为 1.55 亿元，购买回购股份的价格 47.05 元/股，资金来源为公司提取的 激励基金，为员工合法薪酬的浮动部分。初始设立时持有人总数不超过 120 人， 参与对象均为公司中级管理人员、核心技术（业务）骨干成员，精准覆 盖公司价值创造者，优化考核方式，有 ...

Market Overview - Overall asset performance shows commodities outperforming equities, with the Korean stock market leading gains[4] - MSCI global index increased by 0.6%, but growth momentum has significantly slowed compared to previous weeks[5] - The yield curve for Chinese bonds is steepening, indicating a "bear steepening" trend, while U.S. bonds are experiencing a "bull steepening" trend[6] Commodity and Currency Trends - 10 out of 13 major commodities recorded price increases, with COMEX silver rising by 101.9% year-to-date[7] - The U.S. dollar index fell by 0.5%, with the euro and pound appreciating by 0.4% and 0.8% respectively; the dollar has depreciated by 8.8% since the beginning of the year[7] Consumer and Industrial Insights - Service consumption has improved year-on-year, with Shanghai Disneyland's visitor index up by 75% compared to last year[10] - Real estate transactions in major cities have seen significant declines, with new home sales down by 32.5% year-on-year[30] Financial Sector Developments - As of November 2025, the total net asset value of public funds reached 36 trillion yuan, with equity funds increasing by 1.55%[24] - The performance evaluation of the investment banking sector is shifting towards enhancing investor experience[23] Company-Specific Highlights - Traffic Bank's net profit growth is projected at 2.3% for 2025, with a target price adjustment to 8.58 yuan based on a 0.72x PB valuation[34] - Didi's EBITA is expected to be 46.0 billion yuan in 2025, with a target market value of 234.7 billion yuan[39]

2025 年 12 月 10 日 国泰海通证券股份有限公司 研究所 国泰海通晨报 [Table_Summary] 1、【非银行金融研究】投资银行业与经纪业：2025 年 11 月存量基金净流入。个人投资者风险偏 好略有好转，机构资金持续寻求收益增厚。绩效考核新规下发，行业更重投资者体验。 [汤蔚翔 Table_Authors] (分析师) 电话：021-38676172 邮箱：tangweixiang@gtht.com 登记编号：S0880511010007 [Table_ImportantInfo] 今日重点推荐 刘欣琦(分析师) 021-38676647 liuxinqi@gtht.com S0880515050001 王思玥(分析师) 021-38031024 wangsiyue@gtht.com S0880525070022 推荐机构服务能力与投顾业务能力更强的券商，个股推荐中信证券、广发证券、华泰证券。 风险提示：权益市场大幅波动。 请务必阅读文章最后一页相关法律声明 1 of 11 行业跟踪报告：投资银行业与经纪业《绩效考核迎新规，行业 更重投资者体验》2025-12-09 2025 年 11 月 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the basic chemical industry [2] Core Views - The basic chemical industry is expected to see a layout period at the end of the year, with a high overall weighted operating rate and low price differentials indicating potential for a reversal [14] - The tire industry has shown signs of recovery, with leading companies expected to return to high growth by 2026 due to easing tariffs and recovering raw material costs [15] - The introduction of the "Stabilizing Growth Work Plan for the Petrochemical and Chemical Industry (2025-2026)" is anticipated to accelerate industry transformation and upgrading [16] Summary by Sections Industry Basic Data - The industry comprises 494 listed companies with a total market value of 54,965.58 billion and a circulating market value of 48,900.97 billion [2] Price and Performance - The report indicates a 2.0% absolute performance increase over one month, 28.6% over six months, and 25.6% over twelve months [3] - Key price increases this week include Henry natural gas (+18.5%), ethane (+10.4%), and octanol (+7.8%) [13] Sector Tracking - The tire sector is highlighted for its recovery, with nine out of eleven listed companies reporting profit growth in Q3 [15] - The agricultural chemical sector is noted for recent price increases in small pesticide varieties and the essential nature of fertilizers [7] - The phosphorous chemical sector is under observation for changes in industry dynamics due to favorable policies [7] Investment Strategies - Suggested investment routes include early-stage recovery stocks, scarce resource leaders, high-growth potential companies, and sectors with favorable supply-demand structures [14] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on the fluorine, silicon, and phosphorus sectors for their valuation elasticity and potential for new cycle star products [17][18] Policy and Regulatory Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has initiated discussions on PTA industry development to prevent excessive competition and promote stable operations [16] - The report notes that the petrochemical sector is expected to undergo significant changes due to new policies aimed at optimizing supply and enhancing technological innovation [19]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the basic chemical industry, highlighting price increases in key products such as folic acid, lithium hexafluorophosphate, and concentrated nitric acid [2]. Core Insights - The basic chemical industry is expected to see a turnaround, with the overall weighted operating rate at historical highs and price differentials at the bottom, indicating potential for recovery [15][18]. - The report suggests four investment strategies: prioritize early turnaround stocks, focus on scarce resource products, invest in growth-oriented companies, and target sectors with favorable supply-demand structures [15]. - The tire industry is showing signs of recovery, with major companies expected to return to high growth by 2026 due to easing tariffs and stabilizing raw material costs [16]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has introduced a growth plan for the petrochemical industry, aiming for an average annual growth of over 5% from 2025 to 2026 [17]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the fluorine, silicon, and phosphorus sectors, which are expected to have significant valuation elasticity and potential for new cycle star products [19]. Summary by Sections Investment Strategy - The Huachuang Chemical Industry Index is at 67.92, with a week-on-week increase of 1.66% and a year-on-year decrease of 21.52% [14]. - Key products with significant price increases include folic acid (+25.8%), lithium hexafluorophosphate (+22.2%), and concentrated nitric acid (+20.1%) [14]. Price and Price Differential Changes - The report notes that the industry price percentile is at 15.54% over the past decade, indicating a relatively low price level [14]. - The industry inventory percentile is at 87.36%, suggesting a high level of inventory compared to historical data [14]. Tracking Basic Chemical Sub-sectors - The report tracks various sub-sectors, including tire, agricultural chemicals, phosphorus chemicals, coal chemicals, and chlor-alkali, providing insights into their performance and market conditions [7]. - The tire industry is highlighted for its recovery potential, with nine out of eleven listed companies reporting profit growth in Q3 [16]. - The phosphorus chemical sector is noted for favorable policy developments and potential market changes [7][19]. Trading Data - The report includes trading data and performance metrics for various chemical products, indicating trends in supply and demand dynamics [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the transformative journey of Xingfa Group, which has evolved from a local yellow phosphorus producer to a leading enterprise with nearly 30 billion yuan in revenue, focusing on high-end new materials and semiconductor materials, driven by technological innovation and strategic capital operations [1][9]. Group 1: Company Transformation - Xingfa Group has successfully transitioned from traditional phosphorus chemicals to high-end new materials, establishing a solid foundation for high-quality development [1][3]. - The company has achieved a full industry chain upgrade in its core phosphorus chemical business, becoming a global leader in food-grade phosphates and maintaining a significant market share in glyphosate production [3][4]. - The establishment of Xingfu Electronics as a subsidiary focused on semiconductor materials marks a significant step in the company's strategic expansion [1][6]. Group 2: Technological Innovation - The company emphasizes technological innovation as the core driver for its industrial advancement, with a focus on microelectronics, organic silicon, and new energy materials [3][4]. - Xingfa Group has made breakthroughs in black phosphorus technology, which has potential applications in new energy and biomedicine, although commercialization will take time [4][5]. - Xingfu Electronics has a production capacity of 37.4 million tons per year and is advancing in high-end markets, challenging international competitors [5][6]. Group 3: Capital Strategy - Capital market strategies have been crucial for Xingfa Group's transformation, with the successful spin-off of Xingfu Electronics being a notable achievement [6][7]. - The company employs various financial instruments, including stocks and convertible bonds, to support its growth and maintain a healthy financial structure, reducing its debt ratio from 70% to approximately 52.86% [7][8]. - Strategic mergers and acquisitions are conducted based on downstream customer needs, enhancing the company's resource control and market position [8][9]. Group 4: Sustainable Development - Xingfa Group integrates sustainable development into its core operations, with a commitment to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) practices, including energy conservation and green supply chain management [5][6]. - The company has been disclosing its social responsibility reports for 16 consecutive years, reflecting its dedication to sustainable practices [5][6]. - The future vision includes achieving a revenue target of 100 billion yuan while continuing to pursue green development and technological innovation [9].

商 品 研 2025 年 08 月 14 日 工业硅：市场情绪有所降温 多晶硅：关注消息面扰动 张 航 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0018008 zhanghang2@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 工业硅、多晶硅基本面数据 | | | 指标名称 | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-22 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | Si2511收盘价（元/吨） Si2511成交量（手） | 8,600 510,280 | -240 -10,224 | -100 45,197 | -95 -963,713 | | | | Si2511持仓量（手） | 284,500 | 5,640 | 75,764 | -118,390 | | | | PS2511收盘价（元/吨） | 51,290 | -510 | -55 | - | | 工业硅、多晶硅期货市场 | | PS2511成交量（手） | 395,645 | -86,164 | -24,556 | - | | | | PS2511持仓量（手） | 132,463 | -3,592 | -5,933 | ...

2025 年 08 月 06 日 商 品 研 究 工业硅：基本面弱势格局，关注市场情绪 多晶硅：消息扰动增加 资料来源：SMM，百川盈孚，国泰君安期货研究 【宏观及行业新闻】 8 月 4 日，河北省发改委下发《关于组织开展绿电直连项目申报工作的通知》，有序推进绿电直连工 作。根据文件，优先支持三类项目：优先支持算力、钢铁、水泥、化工、制氢、锂离子电池制造、生物医药 等重点行业企业申报；优先支持已纳入风电、光伏项目储备库的项目申请开展绿电直连；鼓励尚未开展电网 接入工程建设或因新能源消纳受限无法并网的新能源项目履行变更手续后开展绿电直连。在具体的并网比 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 张 航 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0018008 zhanghang2@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 工业硅、多晶硅基本面数据 | | | 指标名称 | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-22 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | Si2511收盘价（元/吨） | 8,450 | 90 | -900 | 470 | | | ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the chemical industry is expected to see a recovery in profitability driven by policy support, particularly in upstream sectors closely related to domestic demand [1][2] - The report highlights specific sectors such as polyurethane, coal chemical, petrochemical, and fluorochemical as key areas for potential profit recovery [1][2] - The focus on new materials as a primary development direction for China's chemical industry includes high-value products like robot materials, AI & semiconductor materials, bio-aviation fuel, OLED materials, and COC materials [1][3] Group 2 - The expectation of domestic demand recovery is supported by recent policy measures aimed at revitalizing the economy, with a focus on the chemical industry's upstream sectors [2] - Key companies to watch include Wanhua Chemical (600309), Baofeng Energy (600989), and others in the coal chemical and petrochemical sectors, which are expected to benefit from infrastructure projects in regions like Xinjiang and Tibet [2] - The emphasis on developing new materials is driven by emerging demands from humanoid robots and AI applications, as well as ongoing domestic substitution efforts in the semiconductor field [3] Group 3 - High-quality companies with strong shareholder returns are expected to undergo a revaluation, including major state-owned enterprises in the oil and gas sector and firms in the compound fertilizer and amino acid industries [4] - The report suggests that many sub-sectors within the chemical industry are at a point where they can enhance shareholder returns to reshape investment value [4]