晨报 铝锭 成材：重心下移 偏弱运行 铝锭：节后复工进度偏缓 库存持续累积 从业资格号：F03127144 投资咨询号：Z0020161 电话：021-20857653 2026 年 2 月 27 日 逻辑：云贵区域短流程建筑钢材生产企业春节期间停产检修时间大多 在 1 月中下旬，复产时间预计在正月初十一至正月十六左右，停产期间预 证监许可【2011】1452 号 逻辑:昨日铝价区间震荡。宏观上交易员削减对美联储的降息押注，市 场仍在评估美国关税前景、市场情绪以及美国的经济状况。 以伊冲突 计影响建筑钢材总产量 74.1 万吨。安徽省 6 家短流程钢厂，1 家钢厂已 于 1 月 5 日开始停产；其余大部分钢厂均表示将于 1 月中旬左右停产放假， 个别钢厂预计 1 月 20 日后停产放假，停产期间日度影响产量 1.62 万吨左 右。2024 年 12 月 30 日-2025 年 1 月 5 日，10 个重点城市新建商品房成 交（签约）面积总计 223.4 万平方米，环比下降 40.3%，同比增长 43.2%。 成材昨日继续震荡下行，价格再创近期新低。在供需双弱的格局下， 市场情绪同样偏悲观，导致价格重心持续下移 ...

晨报 铝锭 从业资格号：F3038114 投资咨询号：Z0014834 电话：010-62688541 从业资格号：F3059529 投资咨询号：Z0018932 电话：010-62688516 有色金属：于梦雪 从业资格号：F03127144 投资咨询号：Z0020161 电话：021-20857653 成文时间： 2026 年 2 月 26 日 逻辑：云贵区域短流程建筑钢材生产企业春节期间停产检修时间大多 在 1 月中下旬，复产时间预计在正月初十一至正月十六左右，停产期间预 证监许可【2011】1452 号 逻辑:昨日铝价偏强震荡。宏观上交易员削减对美联储的降息押注，美 联储 3 月维持利率不变的概率高达 98%。 以伊冲突 计影响建筑钢材总产量 74.1 万吨。安徽省 6 家短流程钢厂，1 家钢厂已 于 1 月 5 日开始停产；其余大部分钢厂均表示将于 1 月中旬左右停产放假， 个别钢厂预计 1 月 20 日后停产放假，停产期间日度影响产量 1.62 万吨左 右。2024 年 12 月 30 日-2025 年 1 月 5 日，10 个重点城市新建商品房成 交（签约）面积总计 223.4 万平方米，环比下 ...

Core Viewpoint - The overall price index of Linyi Mall decreased slightly this month, indicating a mixed trend in various product categories with some experiencing price increases while others saw declines [1][13]. Price Index Summary - The total price index for Linyi Mall is 102.12 points, down 0.06 points month-on-month, a decrease of 0.06%, and down 1.72 points year-on-year, a decrease of 1.66% [1]. - Among 14 categories, 6 experienced price increases, 2 remained stable, and 6 saw price declines [3]. Category-Specific Price Changes Building and Decoration Materials - The price index for building and decoration materials rose to 107.90 points, an increase of 1.41 points month-on-month [5]. - The increase was driven primarily by the rise in prices of decorative materials, which increased by 1.50 points, while structural materials saw a slight decline [6]. Hardware and Electrical Materials - The price index for hardware and electrical materials reached 119.99 points, up 0.20 points month-on-month [9]. - The increase was influenced by a significant rise in copper prices, which raised production costs for electrical cables, leading to higher selling prices [9]. Educational and Office Supplies - The price index for educational and office supplies fell to 106.60 points, down 2.02 points month-on-month [10]. - The decline was mainly due to a significant drop in the prices of sports and entertainment products, which decreased by 5.09 points [10]. Steel Products - The price index for steel products decreased to 95.29 points, down 0.39 points month-on-month [12]. - The decline was attributed to weak demand in the real estate market, leading to reduced end-user demand and a cautious outlook among market participants [12].

晨报 铝锭 成材：重心下移 偏弱运行 铝锭：长假前市场谨慎 关注宏观波动 投资咨询业务资格： 负责人：赵 毅 从业资格号：F3059924 投资咨询号：Z0002978 电话：010-62688526 从业资格号：F3078638 投资咨询号：Z0018248 电话：010-62688555 从业资格号：F3038114 投资咨询号：Z0014834 电话：010-62688541 从业资格号：F03127144 投资咨询号：Z0020161 电话：021-20857653 成文时间： 2026 年 2 月 12 日 逻辑：云贵区域短流程建筑钢材生产企业春节期间停产检修时间大多 在 1 月中下旬，复产时间预计在正月初十一至正月十六左右，停产期间预 计影响建筑钢材总产量 74.1 万吨。安徽省 6 家短流程钢厂，1 家钢厂已 证监许可【2011】1452 号 逻辑:昨日沪铝区间震荡。宏观上非农就业者上个月增加了 13 万人， 失业率下降至 4.3%，就业数据表现强于预期，促使交易员下调对美联储今 年降息幅度的预期。 以伊冲突 于 1 月 5 日开始停产；其余大部分钢厂均表示将于 1 月中旬左右停产放假， 个别钢 ...

晨报 铝锭 成材：重心下移 偏弱运行 铝锭：淡季库存积累 价格区间震荡 投资咨询业务资格： 负责人：赵 毅 从业资格号：F3059924 投资咨询号：Z0002978 电话：010-62688526 从业资格号：F3078638 投资咨询号：Z0018248 电话：010-62688555 从业资格号：F3038114 投资咨询号：Z0014834 电话：010-62688541 从业资格号：F3059529 投资咨询号：Z0018932 电话：010-62688516 逻辑：云贵区域短流程建筑钢材生产企业春节期间停产检修时间大多 在 1 月中下旬，复产时间预计在正月初十一至正月十六左右，停产期间预 计影响建筑钢材总产量 74.1 万吨。安徽省 6 家短流程钢厂，1 家钢厂已 证监许可【2011】1452 号 逻辑:昨日沪铝区间震荡。宏观上美联储洛根表示，美联储的政策立场 恰到好处；美联储的政策立场可能接近中性水平，既不刺激也不抑制经济 活动。 以伊冲突 于 1 月 5 日开始停产；其余大部分钢厂均表示将于 1 月中旬左右停产放假， 个别钢厂预计 1 月 20 日后停产放假，停产期间日度影响产量 1.62 万 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The price of finished products is expected to move downward with a weak trend and fluctuate and consolidate. The price of aluminum ingots is expected to fluctuate in the short - term, and attention should be paid to macro - sentiment [1][2][3] Summary by Related Catalogs Finished Products - Yunnan and Guizhou short - process construction steel enterprises will stop production for maintenance from mid - January, and resume production around the 11th to 16th day of the first lunar month, affecting 741,000 tons of construction steel output. In Anhui, 1 out of 6 short - process steel mills stopped production on January 5, and most others will stop around mid - January, with a daily output impact of about 16,200 tons [2] - From December 30, 2024, to January 5, 2025, the transaction area of newly built commercial housing in 10 key cities was 2.234 million square meters, a 40.3% decrease from the previous period and a 43.2% increase year - on - year [2] - Finished products continued to decline yesterday, reaching a new low. In the pattern of weak supply and demand, the market sentiment is pessimistic, and the price center continues to move down. This year's winter storage is sluggish, providing weak price support [2] Aluminum Ingots - Last week, Shanghai aluminum pulled back from its high. The US threat to impose tariffs on countries involved in Iranian trade will disrupt global trade flows and suppress risk appetite. The central bank carried out reverse repurchases to supplement liquidity, alleviating the panic in the domestic commodity market [2] - Domestically, Shanxi's bauxite production has resumed actively, with sufficient supply and falling prices. For imported ore, the intended transaction price has decreased, and the market is quiet. Some alumina plants are cautious in purchasing [2] - In January, China's electrolytic aluminum output increased by 2.7% year - on - year and 0.5% month - on - month. Last week, the comprehensive aluminum processing operating rate was 57.9%, a 1.5 - percentage - point decrease from the previous week, with significant differentiation among sectors [2] - The operating rate of leading aluminum plate and strip enterprises rose to 66.0%, but will decline after the completion of pre - holiday stocking. The operating rate of leading aluminum foil enterprises rose to 71.4% and will maintain a high level. The operating rate of aluminum cables dropped to 58% and will further decline. The operating rate of aluminum profiles dropped to 36.0%, but the demand for photovoltaic profiles is strong [2] - As of February 9, the social inventory of aluminum ingots reached 857,000 tons, a 40,000 - ton increase from last Monday. As the price drops, attention should be paid to downstream feedback, but it is expected that there will be no obvious improvement before the Spring Festival [2] Market as a Whole - Short - term market sentiment has eased, the linkage between precious metals and non - ferrous metals is still strong, and market trading sentiment is cautious. Prices are expected to fluctuate in the short term, and attention should be paid to macro - expectations, geopolitical crises, mine resumption, and consumption release [3]

其中，建筑钢材库存总量为381.90万吨，较上周增加44.45万吨（+13.17%)，包含30个城市，共计79个仓 库。热卷库存总量为223.81万吨，较上周增加12.98万吨（+6.16%)，包含15个城市，共计47个仓库。中 厚板库存总量为74.80万吨，较上周增加1.80万吨（+2.47%)，包含9个城市，共计14个仓库冷轧涂镀库存 总量为118.80万吨，较上周增加0.30万吨（+0.25%)，包含5个城市，共计14个仓库。 新华财经北京2月9日电钢银电商最新数据显示，截至2月9日当周，全国38个城市，共计135个仓库的城 市钢材总库存量为799.31万吨，较上周环比增加59.53万吨，增幅8.05%。 （文章来源：新华财经） ...

Core Viewpoint - The report released by the Binzhou Market Supervision Administration provides a statistical overview of the quality supervision and inspection of construction steel products for the year 2025, highlighting compliance and non-compliance issues among various enterprises in the region [3]. Group 1: Inspection Results - The inspection covered multiple enterprises, including Shandong Steel Group Yongfeng Lin and Shandong Hongduo Source Building Materials Co., with various product specifications such as φ14*9000mm and φ12*9000mm [4]. - The report indicates that several products were found to be compliant, while others had non-compliance issues, which were documented in the inspection reports [4]. Group 2: Enterprise Information - The inspected enterprises included a mix of companies such as Wudi County Gaoqingfu Steel Material Business Department and Binzhou Yuxing Material Supply and Marketing Co., with their respective social credit codes provided [4]. - The report lists the production dates and batch numbers for the inspected products, ensuring traceability and accountability for the manufacturers [4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Views - The price of finished products is expected to move in a range-bound manner, with its center of gravity shifting downwards and showing a weak performance [1][3] - The price of aluminum ingots is expected to fluctuate in the short term, and attention should be paid to macro - sentiment [4] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Finished Products - Yunnan - Guizhou short - process construction steel enterprises are expected to stop production from mid - January and resume around the 11th to 16th day of the first lunar month, affecting a total of 741,000 tons of construction steel production [2] - Six short - process steel mills in Anhui: one stopped production on January 5, most will stop around mid - January, and a few after January 20, with a daily output impact of about 16,200 tons [3] - From December 30, 2024, to January 5, 2025, the total transaction area of newly built commercial housing in 10 key cities was 2.234 million square meters, a 40.3% decrease from the previous period and a 43.2% increase year - on - year [3] - With the pattern of weak supply and demand and pessimistic market sentiment, the price of finished products continued to decline, hitting a new low recently, and winter storage was sluggish, providing weak price support [3] Aluminum Ingots - Yesterday, Shanghai Aluminum adjusted weakly, and the sentiment eased. The weakening of the US dollar and concerns about the US government shutdown, as well as the short - term escalation of the US - Iran confrontation, affected the market [2] - The domestic central bank will conduct 800 billion yuan of outright reverse repurchase operations on February 4 to maintain liquidity in the banking system [2] - In the domestic bauxite market, Shanxi's domestic bauxite is actively resuming production, with sufficient supply and downward - pressured prices. For imported ore, the intended transaction price has decreased, and the market is quiet, with alumina plants being cautious in procurement [3] - In January, domestic electrolytic aluminum production increased by 2.7% year - on - year and 0.5% month - on - month. In February, production is expected to decrease month - on - month due to fewer natural days, and some new projects are expected to be put into production stably [3] - As the Spring Festival approaches, the downstream demand for raw materials weakens, and the aluminum water ratio is expected to drop significantly. The overall aluminum processing operating rate shows a "seasonal decline acceleration and high - price suppression effect deepening" feature, and it is expected to decline further before the Spring Festival [3] - As of January 29, the social inventory of aluminum ingots reached 782,000 tons, an increase of 330,000 tons compared to the same period in 2025. With the price decline, the downstream situation is expected to remain weak [3] - The short - term market sentiment has eased, but the linkage between precious metals and the non - ferrous sector is strong, and the market trading sentiment is cautious. Attention should be paid to the risks of sentiment cooling and market correction [4]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The finished products are expected to move in a volatile and consolidating manner, with the price center shifting downward and showing weak performance. The aluminum ingot price is expected to experience a short - term weak callback, and the short - term market fluctuates sharply [1][2][3] Summary by Related Content Finished Products - Yungui region's short - process construction steel producers will stop production for maintenance from mid - January, and resume production around the 11th to 16th day of the first lunar month. The total output of construction steel is expected to be affected by 741,000 tons during this period. Six short - process steel mills in Anhui, one stopped on January 5th, most will stop in mid - January, and a few after January 20th. The daily output is expected to be affected by 16,200 tons [1] - From December 30, 2024, to January 5, 2025, the total transaction area of newly - built commercial housing in 10 key cities was 2.234 million square meters, a 40.3% decrease from the previous period and a 43.2% increase year - on - year [2] - The finished products continued to decline yesterday, reaching a new low. In the context of weak supply and demand, the market sentiment is pessimistic, the price center continues to shift downward. The winter storage is sluggish this year, providing weak support for prices [2] Aluminum Ingots - The sharp decline of Shanghai Aluminum was due to the selling of precious metals, triggering risk - aversion sentiment. The market's expectation of loose liquidity was disappointed, and funds fled from risk assets such as commodities. The previous large increase in the non - ferrous metal sector led to profit - taking, intensifying the downward pressure on prices [1] - In January 2026, the domestic electrolytic aluminum output increased by 2.7% year - on - year and 0.5% month - on - month. In February, it is expected to decrease month - on - month due to fewer natural days. Some new electrolytic aluminum projects are expected to be put into production stably [2] - As the Spring Festival approaches, the downstream demand for raw materials weakens, and the high aluminum price suppresses demand. The enterprise's willingness to cast ingots increases significantly, and the proportion of molten aluminum is expected to drop sharply [2] - Last week, the comprehensive operating rate of aluminum processing was 59.4%, a 1.5 - percentage - point decline from the previous week, showing characteristics of "accelerated seasonal decline and deepened high - price suppression effect". Most sub - sectors' operating rates decreased, and the industry is quickly entering the Spring Festival off - season [2] - As of January 29, the national social inventory of aluminum ingots has reached 782,000 tons, an increase of 330,000 tons compared with the same period in 2025 [2] Later Concerns - For finished products, the concerns are macro - policies and downstream demand [2] - For aluminum ingots, the concerns are changes in macro - expectations, the development of geopolitical crises, the resumption of production at the mine end, and the release of consumption [3]