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炼化行业有望迎来景气上行周期,石化ETF(159731)布局价值提升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 02:11
信达证券表示,从供给看,2025年以来国家推动包括石化化工在内的重点行业进行"反内卷"整治,工信 部等七部门发布的《石化化工行业稳增长工作方案(2025-2026年)》也表明要淘汰落后产能和优化供 给结构。在供给格局优化、需求稳步复苏背景下,炼化行业有望迎来景气上行周期。从需求看,由于国 内成品油需求达峰,石油消费结构转变或进一步深化,化工用油需求仍处于长期增长通道中,国内石化 产品需求缓慢复苏或成为主基调。 12月17日早盘,A股市场小幅回暖,中证石化产业指数快速上行涨超1%,成分股跌涨跌互现,盐湖股 份、鲁西化工、万华化学等领涨。相关ETF方面,石化ETF(159731)跟随指数上行。 石化ETF(159731)及其联接基金(017855/017856)紧密跟踪中证石化产业指数,从申万一级行业分 布来看,基础化工行业占比为60.1%,石油石化行业占比为32.7%,随着石化产业淘汰落后产能和加强 技术创新,产业链的价值将进一步提升。 每日经济新闻 ...
顺周期调整三年后估值与持仓处于低位,聚焦石化ETF(159731)结构性机会
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-09 04:28
每日经济新闻 (责任编辑:张晓波 ) 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点,与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱: news_center@staff.hexun.com 12月9日早盘,A股市场震荡调整,中证石化产业指数盘中跌约0.8%,成分股巨化股份、三美股 份、蓝晓科技等领涨。相关ETF方面,石化ETF(159731)近10个交易日合计"吸金"1321万元。 国泰海通研报观点称,在较长时间横盘震荡后,中国股市将进入跨年攻势。今年12月至明年2月是 中国政策、流动性、基本面向上共振的窗口期,指数有望迈上新台阶。在行业配置层面,可关注顺周 期。调整三年后,估值与持仓处于低位,随着宏观尾部风险降低与潜在增量政策出台,结构性机会将出 现。 石化ETF(159731)及其联接基金(017855/017856)紧密跟踪中证石化产业指数,从申万一级行 业分布来看,基础化工行业占比为60.39%,石油石化行业占比为32.71%。石化行业新一轮产能扩张周 期步入尾声,供需格局进入再平衡阶段,行业景气度 ...
石化ETF(159731)迎低位布局时点,连续8天获得资金净流入
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-05 02:16
Group 1 - The core point of the articles indicates that the petrochemical ETF (159731) has experienced a decline of 0.84% as of November 5, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1] - The petrochemical ETF has seen a continuous net inflow of funds totaling 102 million yuan over the past 8 days, with its latest share count reaching 18.8 million, marking a one-year high [1] - The petrochemical ETF has achieved a net value increase of 21.93% over the past 6 months, with the highest single-month return since inception being 15.86% [3] Group 2 - The petrochemical ETF has a maximum drawdown of 6.47% over the past six months, which is the smallest drawdown among comparable funds [3] - The tracking error of the petrochemical ETF over the past year is 0.037%, indicating the highest tracking precision among comparable funds [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the petrochemical index account for 56.05% of the index, with major companies including Wanhua Chemical and China Petroleum [3]
机构看好化工中下游龙头长期的配置价值,石化ETF(159731)布局价值凸显
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-04 05:07
Group 1 - The A-share market opened lower on November 4, with the China Securities Petroleum Industry Index experiencing fluctuations and currently down approximately 0.65%. Leading stocks include Hangzhou Oxygen Plant, Zhejiang Longsheng, and China Petroleum [1] - The oil output organization OPEC announced on November 2 that eight major oil-producing countries, including both OPEC and non-OPEC members, decided to maintain an increase in production by an average of 137,000 barrels per day in December, but will pause the increase plan for the first three months of 2026 [1] - Guotai Junan Securities believes that the market has a strong upward expectation for long-term oil prices. The mid and downstream sectors are stabilizing at the bottom and are awaiting improvement. Although there is still chemical production capacity being released, the expectation of reversing the trend of overcapacity will drive industry profit improvement, maintaining a positive outlook on the long-term value of leading companies in the mid and downstream sectors [1] Group 2 - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) and its linked funds (017855/017856) closely track the China Securities Petroleum Industry Index. According to the Shenwan secondary industry classification, the top three industries in the index are refining and trading (26.8%), chemical products (22.4%), and agricultural chemicals (21.1%), which are expected to benefit significantly from policies aimed at reversing overcapacity, structural adjustments, and eliminating outdated production capacity [1]
石化行业有望在低碳赛道实现新增长,石化ETF(159731)迎配置窗口
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-24 06:15
Core Viewpoint - The petrochemical industry is undergoing a low-carbon transformation, necessitating a comprehensive financial service ecosystem that includes financing, intelligence, and organization [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On October 24, the China Securities Petrochemical Industry Index opened high but closed down approximately 0.6%, with leading stocks including Chuanfa Longmang, Guangdong Hongda, and Baofeng Energy [1] - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) followed the index adjustment, indicating an opening for low-position investment opportunities [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - Experts at the "Low-Carbon Transformation and Investment in the Petrochemical Industry" roundtable emphasized the urgent need for a comprehensive financial service ecosystem for the petrochemical industry's low-carbon transition [1] - With the upcoming national transformation directory and continuous innovation in international financial products, the petrochemical industry is expected to shift from a negative perception to a value reconstruction, achieving new growth in the low-carbon sector [1] Group 3: Sector Composition - According to Shenwan's secondary industry classification, the top three sectors in the China Securities Petrochemical Industry Index are refining and trading (25.60%), chemical products (23.72%), and agricultural chemical products (19.91%) [1] - These sectors are likely to benefit significantly from policies aimed at reducing competition, restructuring, and eliminating outdated production capacity [1]
石化和煤化工有望成为政策首轮重点,石化ETF(159731)充分受益于反内卷
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-23 03:30
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing adjustments, with the Zhongzheng Petrochemical Industry Index showing a V-shaped reversal and increasing by approximately 0.5%, led by stocks such as Hualu Hengsheng, Hengli Petrochemical, and New Fengming [1] Industry Analysis - According to Guojin Securities, supply-side control in the petrochemical and coal chemical industries is expected to be a focus in the first round of policy interventions, suggesting a need to track energy consumption control and new capacity management in these sectors [1] - The current policy aims to address low-price competition, indicating that industries with steep cost curves or significant process cost differences, as well as companies with effective cost management, are likely to benefit [1] ETF Performance - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) and its linked funds (017855/017856) closely track the Zhongzheng Petrochemical Industry Index, which is composed of three major sectors: refining and trading (25.60%), chemical products (23.72%), and agricultural chemical products (19.91%), all of which are expected to benefit from policies aimed at reducing competition, restructuring, and eliminating outdated capacity [1]
7部门联合印发《石化化工行业稳增长工作方案(2025-2026年)》,石化ETF(159731)布局价值凸显
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-29 04:39
Core Viewpoint - The joint issuance of the "Petrochemical Industry Stabilization and Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" by seven departments aims to promote stable operation and structural optimization of the petrochemical industry, targeting an average annual growth of over 5% in value added from 2025 to 2026 [1] Group 1: Industry Goals and Expectations - The main goals for the petrochemical industry in the 2025 plan include achieving an average annual growth of over 5% in value added, stabilizing economic benefits, significantly enhancing technological innovation capabilities, and improving safety levels while reducing pollution and carbon emissions [1] - The plan emphasizes the transition from standardized construction of chemical parks to high-quality development, indicating a shift towards more efficient and sustainable practices in the industry [1] Group 2: Market Outlook and Investment Opportunities - Changjiang Securities suggests that the combination of "anti-involution" and high-quality development will lead to more orderly new supply and more efficient existing supply, with emerging applications in new energy, low-altitude economy, humanoid robots, and AI computing power expected to boost demand in the petrochemical sector [1] - The relationship of supply exceeding demand is anticipated to reverse, indicating a gradual improvement in the industry's prosperity [1] Group 3: ETF and Index Performance - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) and its connected funds (017855/017856) closely track the CSI Petrochemical Industry Index, which is composed of three major sectors: refining and trading (27.12%), chemical products (23.87%), and agricultural chemicals (19.75%), all of which are expected to benefit from policies aimed at reducing involution, restructuring, and eliminating outdated production capacity [1]
低碳白皮书发布与反内卷政策共振,石化行业竞争格局有望改善,石化ETF(159731)触底回升
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-24 09:26
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the positive performance of the petrochemical industry index, with a notable increase of approximately 0.55%, driven by stocks such as Tongcheng New Materials reaching the daily limit [1] - The third China Petroleum and Petrochemical Carbon Neutral Technology Exchange Conference released the "White Paper on Low-Carbon Development in the Petroleum and Petrochemical Industry," indicating a clearer low-carbon transformation path under the "dual carbon" goals, with significant breakthroughs in key technologies for low energy consumption and low-cost carbon neutrality [1] - According to China International Capital Corporation (CICC), the ongoing focus on "anti-involution" at the policy level is expected to stabilize the profit bottom line in industries previously affected by supply-demand imbalances and low-price competition, leading to an optimized competitive landscape for high-quality development in the long term [1] Group 2 - The petrochemical ETF (159731) and its linked funds (017855/017856) closely track the China Petrochemical Industry Index, which is primarily composed of three sectors: refining and trading (27.12%), chemical products (23.87%), and agricultural chemical products (19.75%), all of which are expected to benefit from policies aimed at reducing competition and eliminating outdated production capacity [1]
化工行业去产能拐点显现,石化ETF(159731)盘中翻红,金发科技涨超6%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-12 06:26
Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry is approaching a turning point characterized by "capacity reduction and anti-involution," with expectations for improved profitability and upward cyclical trends in the second half of the year [1] Industry Summary - The chemical industry has entered the tail end of capital expenditure in the first half of 2025, with profits showing a quarter-on-quarter improvement, although still at the bottom of the cycle [1] - Factors such as easing demand-side tariffs, supply-side capacity reduction, and anti-involution are expected to catalyze multiple marginal improvements in the chemical industry cycle, leading to an upward turning point [1] - Sub-industries within the chemical sector are expected to continue showing differentiation in performance [1] Company Summary - The petrochemical ETF (159731) and its linked funds (017855/017856) closely track the CSI Petrochemical Industry Index, with the basic chemical industry accounting for 60.65% and the oil and petrochemical industry accounting for 32.3% of the index [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include Wanhua Chemical, China Petroleum, Sinopec, Salt Lake Potash, CNOOC, Juhua Co., Cangge Mining, Hualu Hengsheng, Baofeng Energy, and Hengli Petrochemical, collectively accounting for 55.63% of the index [1]
中证石化产业指数上涨0.37%,前十大权重包含万华化学等
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-07-01 15:32
Group 1 - The core index of the petrochemical industry, the China Securities Petrochemical Industry Index, rose by 0.37% to 1009.79 points with a trading volume of 11.339 billion yuan on July 1 [1] - Over the past month, the index has increased by 2.08%, but it has decreased by 2.96% over the last three months and by 4.36% year-to-date [1] - The index is designed to reflect the overall performance of listed companies in key industries such as steel, shipping, petrochemicals, textiles, light industry, equipment, and logistics, with a base date of December 31, 2008, set at 1000.0 points [1] Group 2 - The top ten holdings in the China Securities Petrochemical Industry Index include Wanhua Chemical (9.98%), China Petroleum (9.61%), China Petrochemical (8.1%), and others [1] - The index's market composition shows that 70.15% of holdings are from the Shanghai Stock Exchange, while 29.85% are from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [1] - In terms of industry composition, raw materials account for 75.54% and energy for 24.46% of the index holdings [1] Group 3 - The index sample is adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December [2] - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with special circumstances allowing for temporary adjustments [2] - Public funds tracking the petrochemical industry include various funds from Huaxia and E Fund, such as Huaxia China Securities Petrochemical Industry Link A and E Fund China Securities Petrochemical Industry ETF [2]