编者按： 企业是经济运行最活跃的因子。它们创造着无穷财富，更推动着生产力不断前行。某种意义而言，企业 是经济发展的希望。 山东，正在经历着动能转换的涅槃时刻，企业的作为将在很大程度上左右着经济大省到经济强省的蜕 变。今天，凤凰网山东推出"鲁企观察"聚焦总部位于枣庄的泰和科技（300801）。 不论是褒扬亦或是质疑，我们的最终目的都是希望，在这轮高质量发展浪潮中，鲁企能够展现更多的精 彩，并持续推动山东经济质变。 13日，姚娅因个人原因辞去总经理职务后，泰和科技17日公告聘任程终发为公司总经理。 令人关注的是，在离职前，姚娅还进行了股份减持。根据泰和科技的公告，11月11日，姚娅通过集中竞 价交易的方式减持60.66万股，减持均价31.40元，套现约1904.66万元。 今年以来，泰和科技高管变动频繁。1月，泰和科技副总经理万振涛因个人原因辞去副总经理职务；随 后，2024年5月被选举为公司董事的副总经理渐倩因个人身体原因辞去公司非独立董事、副总经理职 务；8月4日，财务总监颜秀因个人原因辞任，辞任后仍担任其他职务。 此外，早在2024年2月，公司董秘、财务总监张静也因个人原因辞职。 17日，泰和科技发布公告， ...

| [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） | 47.59 | | --- | --- | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | 49.78/15.37 | | 总股本（百万股） | 2,001 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 1,472 | | 流通股比例（%） | 73.55 | | 总市值（亿元） | 952 | | 流通市值（亿元） | 701 | [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -34% 9% 51% 94% 136% 11/24 2/25 5/25 8/25 天赐材料 沪深300 天赐材料（ [Table_StockNameRptType] 002709） 公司点评 充分受益锂电景气度上升，6F 涨价带动业绩回暖 | 投资评级：买入（维持） [Table_Rank] | | --- | | 报告日期： 2025-11-18 | [Table_Author] 分析师：张志邦 | 执业证书号：S0010523120004 | | --- | | 邮箱： zhangzhibang@hazq.com | [Table_CompanyReport] 相关报告 1.25 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the basic chemical industry, highlighting price increases in key products such as folic acid, lithium hexafluorophosphate, and concentrated nitric acid [2]. Core Insights - The basic chemical industry is expected to see a turnaround, with the overall weighted operating rate at historical highs and price differentials at the bottom, indicating potential for recovery [15][18]. - The report suggests four investment strategies: prioritize early turnaround stocks, focus on scarce resource products, invest in growth-oriented companies, and target sectors with favorable supply-demand structures [15]. - The tire industry is showing signs of recovery, with major companies expected to return to high growth by 2026 due to easing tariffs and stabilizing raw material costs [16]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has introduced a growth plan for the petrochemical industry, aiming for an average annual growth of over 5% from 2025 to 2026 [17]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the fluorine, silicon, and phosphorus sectors, which are expected to have significant valuation elasticity and potential for new cycle star products [19]. Summary by Sections Investment Strategy - The Huachuang Chemical Industry Index is at 67.92, with a week-on-week increase of 1.66% and a year-on-year decrease of 21.52% [14]. - Key products with significant price increases include folic acid (+25.8%), lithium hexafluorophosphate (+22.2%), and concentrated nitric acid (+20.1%) [14]. Price and Price Differential Changes - The report notes that the industry price percentile is at 15.54% over the past decade, indicating a relatively low price level [14]. - The industry inventory percentile is at 87.36%, suggesting a high level of inventory compared to historical data [14]. Tracking Basic Chemical Sub-sectors - The report tracks various sub-sectors, including tire, agricultural chemicals, phosphorus chemicals, coal chemicals, and chlor-alkali, providing insights into their performance and market conditions [7]. - The tire industry is highlighted for its recovery potential, with nine out of eleven listed companies reporting profit growth in Q3 [16]. - The phosphorus chemical sector is noted for favorable policy developments and potential market changes [7][19]. Trading Data - The report includes trading data and performance metrics for various chemical products, indicating trends in supply and demand dynamics [7].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced slight fluctuations with major indices showing mixed results, as the Shanghai Composite Index opened lower but rose to a 10-year high, while the North Star 50 continued its strong performance, breaking through 1600 points [1] - The market showed a moderate increase in trading volume, with sectors such as new energy, shipping ports, insurance, and coal leading in gains, while sectors like glass fiber, medical beauty, communication equipment, and ground weaponry faced declines [1] New Energy Sector - The new energy industry saw a strong performance, with energy metals leading the charge, and the sector index surged nearly 6%, reaching a new high not seen in two and a half years, with half-day trading volume approaching the previous day's total [3] - Key stocks such as Tianhua New Energy, Jiangte Electric, and Yongxing Materials hit the daily limit or rose over 10%, while wind power equipment, photovoltaic equipment, battery recycling, and lithium mining also showed significant gains [3] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes accelerating the construction of a new energy system, increasing the proportion of new energy supply, and promoting the orderly replacement of fossil energy [5] - Lithium battery electrolyte core material hexafluorophosphate (6F) saw a rapid price increase, reaching 98,000 yuan/ton, up over 66% from the end of September, indicating a tight supply and potential for further price increases [5] - Global photovoltaic installations exceeded 380 GWac in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of over 30%, with domestic installations reaching 240 GW, up 49% year-on-year, accounting for 63% of the global total [5] Insurance Sector - The insurance sector saw a significant rally, with the insurance index reaching a historical high, and stocks like New China Life Insurance surged over 4% within an hour of trading, surpassing the previous day's total volume [7] - The China Insurance Industry Association discussed the evaluation interest rate for life insurance products, suggesting a current research value of 1.90%, with expectations for a decrease in the cost of liabilities following the next round of interest rate adjustments in 2025 [9] Banking Sector - The banking sector index rose nearly 1%, with banks like Qingdao Bank, Xiamen Bank, Changshu Bank, and Ningbo Bank leading in gains [10] - Analysts from JPMorgan noted that Chinese bank stocks still hold significant investment value due to stable dividend yields and strong performance in the current interest rate environment [10] - Zhejiang Merchants Securities indicated that with risk appetite stabilizing and risk-free interest rates declining, bank stocks are expected to yield absolute returns in the fourth quarter [10]

Market Overview - The three major indices experienced slight adjustments, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.22%, Shenzhen Component Index down 0.44%, ChiNext Index down 0.15%, and the STAR Market 50 Index down 0.84%. Over 2,200 stocks rose in the two markets, with a total trading volume of approximately 2.15 trillion yuan [2]. Fujian Sector Performance - The Fujian sector saw significant gains, with Haixia Innovation rising by 19.97%, and Pingtan Development, Xiamen Port Authority, and Xiamen Airport all increasing by 10%. During the 2025 World Maritime Equipment Conference, Fujian Province signed 172 projects with a total investment exceeding 200 billion yuan [2]. Military Industry Insights - The military industry showed strong performance, with North China Long Dragon up 16.46% and Great Wall Military Industry up 10%. The growth in military spending and positive expectations for equipment procurement during the 14th Five-Year Plan are anticipated to drive orders in the fourth quarter [3]. New Energy and Lithium Battery Sector - The new energy and lithium battery sectors were active, with Jinyang Galaxy rising by 11.74% and multiple other companies seeing increases. Pacific Securities noted that the recent peak season and the explosion of energy storage are pushing the industry into an upward cycle, with battery production in October increasing by 10% month-on-month [4]. Nuclear Power Sector Developments - The nuclear power sector performed well, with Jieqiang Equipment rising over 10%. The Chinese government shared plans for the "artificial sun," expected to be completed by 2027, which could be the first device to achieve fusion power generation. This is expected to lead to a continuous release of orders in the nuclear power components sector during the 14th Five-Year Plan [5]. Declining Sectors - The precious metals and industrial metals sectors weakened, with Tongling Nonferrous Metals down 10% and Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining down 4.3%. The steel, securities, and semiconductor sectors also performed poorly, with Guoyuan Securities down 5.41% and Hanwha Techwin down 3.4% [5].

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery sector is experiencing a significant upward trend driven by strong demand and rising prices, with key companies showing substantial stock price increases [1] Industry Summary - The lithium battery industry is currently in a favorable position with multiple catalysts, including a peak production season and a supply-demand imbalance for materials and energy storage batteries, leading to continuous price increases [1] - October and November are expected to see increased downstream procurement and long-term contracts, clarifying demand projections for 2026 [1] - The third quarter performance of lithium battery companies shows notable growth both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, with a positive outlook on materials, particularly 6F, lithium iron phosphate, and battery segments [1] Company Summary - Major companies in the lithium battery sector, such as Shengxin Lithium Energy, Tianhua New Energy, and Rongjie Co., have seen stock price increases, with Shengxin Lithium Energy reaching the daily limit [1] - Pacific Securities reports that the industry is entering a full upward cycle, with a 10% month-on-month increase in battery production in October, and the top 20 battery manufacturers seeing over a 20% increase [1] - Recent price surges in cobalt-based materials and hexafluorophosphate lithium (6F) have been significant, with 6F spot prices exceeding 75,000 per ton, marking an increase of over 40% [1] - The industry is expected to maintain high prosperity levels from November to December, with the first quarter of 2026 potentially experiencing a "not-so-dull" off-season as the industry transitions from destocking to proactive restocking [1]

每日经济新闻 太平洋证券指出，锂电产业链已进入上行周期，目前仍处上半场，调整是布局机会；头部厂商产能 利用率超80%，资本开支同比增长超30%。出口管制主要针对能量密度超300Wh/kg的高端产品，短期情 绪影响有限，长期利好产品力强、海外有产能的龙头。六氟磷酸锂（6F）进入涨价周期，现货报价较 年中低点反弹超8500元/吨，供需紧平衡显现。全球多国因电网老化、极端天气等面临"停电危机"，储 能需求激增，中国企业凭借技术、成本优势加速出海。 创业板新能源ETF国泰（159387）跟踪的是创新能源指数（399266），最大涨跌幅达20%，该指数 从市场中选取涉及清洁能源生产、存储及应用等业务的上市公司证券作为指数样本，重点关注具有技术 创新能力和高成长潜力的企业，行业配置上以太阳能、风能、电动汽车及相关设备制造为主，以反映新 能源及相关产业链上市公司证券的整体表现。 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不 预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 考，不构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market reached a ten-year high of 3933.97 points, with a significant increase in trading volume to 2.67 trillion yuan and a record net inflow of 18 billion yuan from northbound funds [3] - The surge in the index was primarily driven by the explosive growth in gold and commodity prices, with gold prices exceeding 4100 USD per ounce and a year-to-date increase of over 56% [3][4] - The lithium battery key material, lithium hexafluorophosphate (6F), has started to see price increases, reaching 69,500 yuan per ton, with a 9% rise in just three days [4][5] Group 2 - The rare earth permanent magnet sector experienced a surge, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit, driven by the Ministry of Commerce's announcement on export controls [7] - The current market is characterized as a "confidence bull," driven by unexpected policy measures, technological transformation, and national strategy [9] - Investment strategies are diverging, with aggressive investors focusing on high-growth sectors like gold and semiconductors, while conservative investors are opting to take profits and wait for corrections [11]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry is experiencing a price rebound in hexafluorophosphate lithium (6F), driven by supply-demand dynamics and increasing demand from energy storage and automotive sectors [2][3][6]. Supply Side - The current effective monthly production capacity for 6F is approximately 24,500 tons, while demand in September is expected to exceed 23,000 tons, indicating a tight supply-demand balance [5]. - Major companies dominate the market, with the top three firms accounting for over 70% of production [5]. - The price of 6F has increased from 50,000 yuan/ton to 58,500 yuan/ton since August, reflecting a rise of over 15% [4]. - The cost increase in lithium carbonate contributes to a cost increment of about 3,000-5,000 yuan/ton, but the actual price increase of 6F exceeds this range, indicating a shift in processing fee dynamics [5]. - Limited new production capacity is expected, with leading companies operating at over 80% utilization [7]. - A significant cost gap of over 30,000 yuan/ton exists between leading and smaller firms, suggesting potential for further processing fee increases [7]. Demand Side - The surge in demand for energy storage batteries has been a key driver for the price increase, with production rates hitting historical highs since July [6]. - The upcoming fourth quarter is anticipated to see increased demand from both domestic and international automotive companies, further boosting the need for 6F [6]. - Industry estimates predict that demand for energy storage and power batteries will maintain a growth rate of over 20% in 2025, providing long-term support for 6F [6]. Future Outlook - The supply-demand balance for 6F is expected to tighten, with a potential supply gap emerging by Q4 2026, which could lead to stronger price elasticity [8]. - Processing fees for 6F are projected to rise by 2,000 yuan/ton starting in Q4 2025, with further increases of 5,000-20,000 yuan/ton anticipated in 2026, indicating a recovery in performance and potential for growth [7].

Core Viewpoint - Substantial demand growth is the direct driver of the current price increase in lithium hexafluorophosphate (6F) [2] Supply Side - The price of 6F has entered a rising cycle, with recent spot quotes reaching 58,500 yuan/ton, rebounding over 8,500 yuan/ton from mid-year lows [3] - The current monthly effective production capacity in the industry is approximately 24,500 tons, while September demand is expected to exceed 23,000 tons, indicating a tight supply-demand balance [6] - Major companies account for over 70% of the production, and the price rebound is not solely driven by lithium carbonate, as the actual price increase of 6F has exceeded the cost increment of 3,000-5,000 yuan/ton associated with lithium carbonate [6] - Limited expansion in supply is noted, with leading companies operating at over 80% capacity utilization, and some second and third-tier companies facing significant losses and low willingness to restart operations [9] - If high-cost production capacity does not resume, there remains a potential upward space of 5,000 yuan/ton for 6F processing fees [9] Demand Side - The explosive growth in energy storage demand is a key factor driving the price increase, with domestic and international energy storage cell production reaching historical highs since July [7] - Major manufacturers are operating at full capacity, and medium-sized integrators are experiencing slight increases in procurement prices for energy storage cells, indicating a transmission of price increases [7] - As the fourth quarter approaches, both domestic and overseas automotive companies are expected to ramp up orders, further boosting demand for lithium materials and 6F [7] - Industry estimates suggest that demand for energy storage and power batteries will maintain over 20% growth through 2025, providing long-term support for 6F [7] Future Outlook - The supply of 6F is expected to enter a tight balance, with a projected supply gap emerging by Q4 2026, potentially leading to stronger price elasticity for 6F [10]