注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不 构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相 匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 每日经济新闻 没有股票账户的投资者可关注国泰黄金ETF联接A（000218），国泰黄金ETF联接C（004253）。 国海证券指出，黄金长期趋势取决于美元信用和通胀预期，长期来看美元信用弱化、美国通胀长期高于 2%目标水平对金价形成利多。理论上，滞胀为黄金上涨提供有利环境，过热和衰退对黄金价格影响偏 中性。黄金短期受事件驱动影响较大，包括美联储和欧央行货币政策预期的边际变化、地缘政治等。 相关机构表示，中长期来看，美国经济走弱、全球货币体系"去美元化"持续演进仍对金价构成支撑。投 资者可通过黄金基金ETF（518800）和黄金股票ETF（517400）布局相关机会。若金价在短期出现调 整，可以考虑逢低布局。 ...

COMEX黄金期货持续新高，盘中突破3785美元/盎司。黄金基金ETF（518800）涨超1%，2025年以来已 经涨超37%。 黄金基金ETF（518800）紧密跟踪黄金价格走势，一手黄金基金ETF对应1克黄金，相当于实物黄金的 持有凭证，T+0交易，场内流动性较好。 平安证券表示，海外宏观不确定性持续，中期黄金避险属性仍处于放大阶段。长期来看特朗普上任后， 美元信用走弱的主线逻辑愈加清晰，黄金货币属性加速凸显，持续看好黄金中长期走势。 对于场外投资者，也可以考虑布局相关联接基金（A类000218，C类004253，E类022502），联接基金主 要投资对象为国泰黄金ETF，银行、券商、基金平台都能买， 部分平台1毛钱起购，也是投资黄金的不 错选择。 截至8月15日，「国泰黄金ETF联接A」最近2年、3年业绩均排名同类第一（同类指银河证券黄金ETF （A类）最近2年、3年同类排名分别为1/13、1/12）。 今年以来，随着黄金价格的持续上行，黄金基金ETF获得资金持续流入。Wind数据显示，截至9月22 日，黄金基金ETF（518800）规模超185亿，年内增长近百亿，交投持续活跃。 风险提示：数据来源Wi ...

来源：市场投研资讯 （来源：国泰基金） 我国央行连续10个月增持黄金 7361 7370 7377 7383 7390 7396 7402 7345 7329 7296 7280 24.12 25.01 25.02 25.03 25.04 25.05 25.06 25.07 25.08 24.10 24.11 我国黄金储备数据(单位:万盎司) 国泰黄金ETF联接A多阶段业绩同类第1 注:金价是指伦敦金现(SPTAUUSDOZ.IDC),近3轮美联储降息周期 数据统计区间分别为:2001.1.3-2004.6.29,2007.9.18-2015.12.16, 2019.8.1-2022.3.16。历史数据不预示未来表现,也不预示相关基金业绩表现, 需注意金价可能存在的回调风险。央行增持黄金数据来源国家外汇管理局,截 至2025.9.10。业绩排名数据来源于银河证券,截至2025.8.22,国泰黄金ETF 联接A近2年、近3年排名分别为1/13,1/12,同类是指银河证券三级分类-4.1.2 黄金ETF联接基金(A类),基金历史业绩不代表未来表现,基金有风险,投资需 利好方向二:港股科技] 在南向资金持续不断流入 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of diversified asset allocation in investment strategies, inspired by Ray Dalio's "All Weather Strategy," which suggests that having 10-15 uncorrelated return streams can significantly reduce non-systematic risk while capturing overall market returns [5][6]. Asset Allocation Strategy - The investment strategy involves a total investment of approximately 3 million, with a focus on multi-asset diversification to achieve a cumulative return exceeding 3 million [3]. - The allocation includes 33% in overseas investments, with a mix of active and passive management strategies, such as the Nasdaq 100 Index fund and various actively managed global technology funds [7][11]. - Domestic investments account for 46%, employing various strategies including balanced, growth, small-cap, and micro-cap funds to capture different market opportunities [12][13]. - A 16% allocation is made to dividend indices, focusing on companies with consistent dividend payouts, providing a sense of security in the investment portfolio [14]. - The commodity allocation is 20%, primarily in gold, oil, and soybean meal ETFs, serving as a hedge against market volatility and inflation [15][16]. Risk Management and Investment Philosophy - The investment approach prioritizes stability and risk management, aiming to preserve profits and control drawdowns in a volatile market environment [16]. - The philosophy encourages investors to find a rhythm that suits their risk tolerance, avoiding the temptation to chase quick profits or panic during market downturns [16].

Core Viewpoint - The company has successfully implemented a systematic investment strategy through regular fund contributions, demonstrating the potential for profitability in fund investments despite market fluctuations [4][6][13]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - The company began its systematic investment in funds on June 15, 2023, during a market downturn, initially investing in two funds: a pharmaceutical industry fund and a CSI 300 index fund [4]. - Despite facing losses initially, the company maintained its investment strategy, increasing contributions during market dips, which ultimately led to positive returns [4][6]. - By May 23, 2024, the CSI 300 index fund achieved an 8% holding return, translating to an annualized return of over 10% [4]. Group 2: Performance and Adjustments - The company executed multiple rounds of profit-taking, with the first occurring after achieving an 8% return on the CSI 300 index fund [4][6]. - Subsequent investments included the S&P 500 index fund and a gold index fund, with profit-taking occurring after achieving approximately 10% returns on these investments [8][9]. - As of June 5, 2025, the company had executed five rounds of profit-taking across various funds, indicating a proactive approach to managing investment positions [9][11][13]. Group 3: Overall Results - The overall performance of the funds has been positive, with all funds sold at a profit after multiple rounds of profit-taking [13]. - The company also implemented a savings plan, investing in a bond fund that yielded a 3.61% return, showcasing diversification in investment strategies [13][16]. - The conclusion drawn from the company's experience is that fund investments can be profitable when approached with a disciplined strategy, countering the notion that fund investments do not yield returns [16].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the effectiveness of a diversified asset allocation strategy, referred to as the "three-part method," which has yielded a cumulative return of 8.88% as of July 25, 2022, despite market volatility [1][4][9]. Group 1: Performance Analysis - The "three-part method" has consistently achieved stable returns through gradual increases, with daily returns often reflecting a slow but steady growth pattern [4][6]. - Monthly performance data indicates that only January and April experienced slight declines, with January down by -0.03% and April down by -0.1%, while the broader market faced more significant downturns [6][9]. - The strategy has demonstrated resilience during market fluctuations, maintaining positive returns even when major indices like the NASDAQ experienced declines exceeding 8% [9][10]. Group 2: Asset Allocation Strategy - The proposed asset allocation consists of 60% equity funds, 30% bond funds, and 10% commodity funds, designed to balance risk and return [14][15]. - Specific fund allocations include a mix of domestic and international assets, such as the E Fund Zhongdai New Composite Index and the Guotai Junan CSI 1000 Index Enhanced Fund, each contributing to the overall strategy [11][15]. - The strategy aims to capture diverse market trends and reduce correlation among asset classes, enhancing the long-term success rate of the portfolio [15][16]. Group 3: Investment Philosophy - The article advocates for a high win-rate investment approach rather than chasing high-risk, high-reward opportunities, which often lead to losses [17][22]. - It highlights the importance of patience and a long-term perspective in investing, contrasting with the allure of quick wealth through speculative strategies [21][22]. - The "three-part method" is positioned as a sustainable investment strategy that allows for gradual wealth accumulation through diversified and balanced asset allocation [22].

直接上图，大类资产配置分别是偏债基金30%，偏股基金50%，商品基金20%，整体比较均衡，年化收益目标大约8-10%，最大回撤尽量控制在 15%以内，比较符合我的需求，稳中求进。 偏股基金 50% 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者：阿帅 最近学习了雪球三分法做资产配置，也看了小雪的方案，我属于极简主义，包括房子装修都是极简风，不太喜欢基金数量太多。 于是就想怎么用最少的基金做好方案，但同时又要满足三分法中"资产分散，市场分散"理念。 我尝试了很多基金的搭配，也回测了很多次，发现这4只基金做方案效果还是不错的，既符合我的极简要求，也符合三分法的逻辑。 偏股资产主要分享全球经济、优秀企业增长的红利,具备高 风险高收益特征。投资类型多元丰富,包含不同地区、策略 的偏股基金。 基金列表(2) 配置比例 中金中证优选300指数A 25.00% 501060 股票型 选股逻辑为"好公司、好价格",选取近5年平均股息... v 博时纳斯达克100指数发起（QDII）A 25.00% 016055 QDII 纳斯达克100是由具有高科技、高成长和非金融的特 ... × ...

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China reported that as of the end of May, the country's gold reserves reached 73.83 million ounces (approximately 2,296.37 tons), marking an increase of 60,000 ounces (about 1.86 tons) month-over-month, representing the seventh consecutive month of gold accumulation [1] - Recent market movements indicate a significant downward adjustment in gold prices, with the largest decline observed in the past month, following the release of non-farm payroll data [3] - Technical analysis suggests that the 60-day moving average is gradually rising, indicating that buying costs are converging, which could lead to a significant price movement in either direction [3] Group 2 - The continuous increase in gold reserves by the central bank is seen as a strong signal for long-term bullish sentiment in the gold market, suggesting that institutional investors are still quietly entering the market [3] - Short-term traders are advised to watch for potential reversal signals, such as long lower shadows on candlestick charts, which could indicate a buying opportunity [3] - The performance of various gold ETFs shows a decline, with several funds experiencing negative returns over the past week, reflecting the broader market trend [4]

以下文章来源于量化投资 ，作者十拳剑 量化投资 . 百万滚到千万的实盘分享与思考，不定期分享资产配置研究： 1.广度上通过爬虫定期对全市场所有公募 基金进行自动数据获取、存储； 2.深度上计算时间序列特征、协方差矩阵；3.分别锚定2%和10%波动 率，求解最大回报率下的配置方案。 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： 十拳剑灵 来源：雪球 本文将展示一个魔法： 基本数据 首先，历史数据分析表明，黄金和微盘股策略之间几乎是0相关性的，为大类资产配置提供了很好 的素材。 这两种资产也一直是 $十拳剑灵活配置$ 这个组合的重要组成部分。 再看两类典型基金的波动率数据， 国泰黄金ETF联接A 的近三年波动率为12.21。 1+2<1 将黄金与高波动的微盘基金组合，波动率更低、收益率几乎不变。 也就是说，可以利用相关性实现收益不变的同时降低波动率。 回测基于雪球的三分法工具，对比了100%纯黄金组合与黄金+微盘： 微盘股基金 中信保诚多策略混合(LOF)A 的近三年波动率24.85%，约为黄金的2倍。 最优配置比例 理论上可以证明，将两个基金按照4:1的比例配置， ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and outlook of gold-related funds, emphasizing the potential for gold as a long-term investment due to macroeconomic uncertainties and central bank purchasing trends [1][4]. Fund Overview - There are 36 gold-related funds in the market, with 19 remaining after filtering for RMB A-class shares [1][2]. - The funds are ranked by their combined scale, management fees, and custody fees, with some funds having lower fees, such as those from Huaxia and ICBC, which have a management fee of 0.15% and a custody fee of 0.05% [2][3]. Fund Manager Insights - **Huaan Fund (Xu Zhiyan)**: Optimistic about gold's long-term value due to ongoing monetary easing and central bank purchases, with gold prices rising significantly in early 2025 [6][9][13]. - **Bosera Fund (Zhao Yunyang)**: Highlights the continued purchasing power of central banks and the potential for market adjustments due to U.S. debt ceiling issues, maintaining a positive outlook on gold [19][21][22]. - **E Fund (Bao Jie)**: Notes that gold prices are influenced by U.S. monetary policy and geopolitical uncertainties, with a focus on the changing pricing framework for gold [32][34][35]. - **Guotai Fund (Ai Xiaojun)**: Emphasizes the importance of central bank purchases and geopolitical risks in supporting gold prices, while acknowledging potential risks from U.S. dollar fluctuations [39][40][41]. - **Hua Xia Fund (Rong Ying)**: Continues to see gold as a valuable asset, driven by central bank demand and geopolitical tensions, with a strong performance in early 2025 [49][51]. - **ICBC Credit Suisse Fund (Zhao Xu)**: Points out the influence of U.S. monetary policy and global uncertainties on gold prices, with a focus on the ongoing central bank purchases [53]. - **Jianxin Fund (Zhu Jinyu)**: Believes that U.S. inflation trends and geopolitical uncertainties will support gold prices, with a positive outlook for 2025 [55]. - **Noan Fund (Song Qing)**: Maintains a positive view on gold prices, driven by central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions, with a significant increase in gold prices in early 2025 [57][59]. - **Qianhai Kaiyuan Fund (Liang Pusen)**: Discusses the impact of U.S. monetary policy and geopolitical risks on gold prices, emphasizing the importance of gold in asset allocation [63][64]. Market Trends - Gold prices have shown strong performance, with a significant increase in early 2025, driven by macroeconomic factors and central bank purchases [13][14][22][78]. - The article highlights the ongoing trend of central banks purchasing gold, with 2024 seeing over 1000 tons of net purchases, maintaining high demand for gold as a long-term value storage tool [15][60]. - Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties are expected to continue supporting gold as a safe-haven asset, with potential for further price increases [27][39][70].