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7月末外汇储备规模为32922亿美元 央行连续第9个月增持黄金
Core Viewpoint - As of the end of July, China's foreign exchange reserves decreased to $32,922 billion, a decline of $2.52 billion or 0.76% from the end of June, primarily due to the appreciation of the US dollar and fluctuations in asset prices [1][2] Foreign Exchange Reserves - The decline in foreign exchange reserves is attributed to the rise in the US dollar index, which reached 100 points in July, influenced by expectations of high inflation and strong economic data, leading to a depreciation of non-USD currencies such as the Japanese yen, euro, and British pound by 4.5%, 3.2%, and 3.8% respectively [1][2] - The valuation of foreign exchange reserves in USD means that the depreciation of non-USD assets contributed significantly to the decrease in reserves [1] Asset Price Changes - The postponement of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve led to a slight decline of 0.1% in the USD-hedged global bond index, negatively impacting foreign exchange reserves, while US stock indices reached new highs, providing some support [2] Future Outlook - The National Foreign Exchange Administration expects that China's foreign exchange reserves will remain stable due to the strong economic fundamentals and resilience of the Chinese economy [3] - The current level of foreign exchange reserves is considered adequate, providing support for maintaining the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable equilibrium and acting as a buffer against potential external shocks [3] Gold Reserves - China continues to increase its gold reserves, which reached 73.96 million ounces by the end of July, marking a month-on-month increase of 6,000 ounces, representing the ninth consecutive month of gold accumulation [1][4] - The value of China's gold reserves is approximately $244 billion, accounting for 7.41% of the total foreign exchange reserves, which is the highest proportion in three months [4] - The People's Bank of China is maintaining a steady pace of gold accumulation to optimize reserve structure and manage liquidity while mitigating geopolitical risks and market volatility [4][5]
央行连续9个月增持黄金!外汇储备继续站稳3.2万亿美元
券商中国· 2025-08-07 12:11
Core Viewpoint - China's foreign exchange reserves stood at $32,922 billion as of the end of July 2025, marking a decrease of $252 billion or 0.76% from the end of June, while remaining above $3.2 trillion for the 20th consecutive month [1][5]. Group 1: Foreign Exchange Reserves - The decline in foreign exchange reserves in July was influenced by macroeconomic data, monetary policy expectations, and a rising US dollar index, which led to mixed performance in global financial asset prices [2][5]. - The US dollar index rebounded in July, ending a five-month decline, driven by trade agreements and reduced expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, which affected the valuation of non-dollar currencies [5]. - Despite the decrease, the overall stability of China's foreign exchange reserves is supported by a strong economic foundation and favorable long-term trends [5]. Group 2: Gold Reserves - As of the end of July 2025, China's official gold reserves increased to 7,396 million ounces, with a monthly addition of 6,000 ounces, marking nine consecutive months of gold accumulation by the central bank [2][6]. - The central bank's strategy of increasing gold reserves reflects a balance between optimizing reserve structure and controlling acquisition costs during a period of technical adjustments in gold prices [6]. - Global central banks are expected to continue increasing their gold reserves in the coming year, driven by economic and geopolitical uncertainties, with 95% of surveyed central banks anticipating further increases [6].
冲上热搜!黄金暴涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-23 02:45
Group 1: Gold Price Movement - International gold prices have significantly increased, surpassing $3,400 per ounce, reaching a five-week high, with a closing price of $3,406.4 per ounce on July 21, reflecting a rise of 1.43% [1] - COMEX gold futures rose by 1.6%, reaching $3,412 per ounce, while spot silver also saw a 2% increase, priced at $38.939 per ounce [1] - As of July 22, London spot gold surged to $3,416.65 per ounce, with spot silver hitting a new high since July 14 [1] Group 2: Domestic Gold Price Trends - Since opening at $2,623 per ounce this year, spot gold has risen, peaking at $3,499.45 per ounce on April 22, marking a maximum increase of over 30% before entering a phase of high-level fluctuations [3] - Domestic gold prices have also rebounded, with most gold jewelry prices in local stores returning to the thousand yuan mark [3] Group 3: Gold Companies' Performance - Gold companies have reported strong performance in the first half of 2025, benefiting from a 28% increase in international gold futures prices compared to the beginning of the year [5] - Western Gold expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 130 million to 160 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 96.35% to 141.66% [5] - Shandong Gold anticipates a net profit of 2.55 billion to 3.05 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 84.3% to 120.5% [5] - China National Gold forecasts a net profit of 2.614 billion to 2.875 billion yuan, an increase of 50% to 65% year-on-year [5] - Hunan Gold expects a net profit of 613 million to 701 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40% to 60% [5] - Chifeng Gold anticipates a net profit of 1.08 billion to 1.13 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 52.01% to 59.04% [6] Group 4: Central Bank Gold Purchases - The People's Bank of China reported that as of June 2025, the country's gold reserves reached 73.9 million ounces (approximately 2,298.55 tons), marking a net increase for the eighth consecutive month [7] - In 2024, global central banks purchased a net total of 1,136 tons of gold, the second-highest on record, with China, Poland, and Turkey being the top three buyers, accounting for over 50% of purchases [7] - A survey indicated that 95% of central banks plan to continue increasing their gold holdings in the next 12 months, the highest percentage since 2019 [7] Group 5: Reasons for Central Bank Gold Accumulation - Central banks are increasing gold holdings to optimize foreign exchange reserve structures, as gold serves as a non-sovereign credit reserve asset, unaffected by unilateral sanctions [8] - The People's Bank of China's gold purchases align with the internationalization of the renminbi, providing tangible asset support for the currency's role in the global monetary system [8]
全球央行“购金热”持续
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-07-17 22:08
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China has significantly increased its gold reserves, reflecting a global trend among central banks to purchase gold amid economic uncertainties and geopolitical risks [1][2][3]. Group 1: Gold Reserve Increase - As of June 2025, China's gold reserves reached 73.9 million ounces (approximately 2,298.55 tons), marking an increase of 70,000 ounces from the previous month and continuing a net increase for eight consecutive months [1]. - The monthly gold purchase volume by the People's Bank of China has shown a "high then stable" trend since resuming purchases in November last year, with an average monthly increase of 60,000 to 160,000 ounces from January to June 2025 [2]. - In 2024, global central banks' net gold purchases reached 1,136 tons, the second highest on record, with China, Poland, and Turkey accounting for over 50% of the total purchases in the first quarter of 2025 [2]. Group 2: Strategic Implications - The increase in gold reserves aligns with the internationalization of the Renminbi, providing a physical asset support for the currency's role in the global monetary system [3]. - Despite the continuous increase in gold reserves, China's gold holdings still lag behind those of some developed economies, indicating a potential for ongoing accumulation in the future [3]. - The People's Bank of China may adjust the pace of gold purchases based on policy objectives and market conditions, especially given the current high gold prices and increased volatility [3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The central bank's gold purchases may provide some support for gold prices, but do not guarantee a consistent upward trend, as historical instances show that increased purchases can coincide with declining prices [4]. - The pricing of gold is influenced by various factors, including geopolitical tensions and the strength of the US dollar, leading to differing expectations among global investment institutions regarding future price movements [5][6]. - Investors are advised to approach gold investments cautiously, considering the potential for price corrections and the importance of long-term holding strategies [7][8].
央行连续8个月增持黄金!6月末外汇储备超3.3万亿美元
天天基金网· 2025-07-08 05:10
Core Viewpoint - China's foreign exchange reserves reached $3.3174 trillion by the end of June 2025, marking a $32.2 billion increase from the end of May, with a growth rate of 0.98% [1][3]. Group 1: Foreign Exchange Reserves - As of June 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves have remained above $3.2 trillion for 19 consecutive months, and have exceeded $3.3 trillion since September 2024 [1][3]. - The increase in reserves in June was influenced by macroeconomic policies and growth prospects of major economies, leading to a decline in the US dollar index and an overall rise in global financial asset prices [2][3]. - The US dollar index fell by 2.5% in June, reaching a three-year low, while non-US currencies appreciated against the dollar, contributing to the increase in foreign exchange reserves [3]. Group 2: Gold Reserves - By the end of June 2025, China's official gold reserves stood at 7.39 million ounces, an increase of 70,000 ounces from the previous month, with the central bank having increased its gold holdings for eight consecutive months [2][5]. - The ongoing global economic slowdown and geopolitical instability are driving central banks to continue accumulating gold, which is viewed as a hedge against inflation and a means of diversifying reserves [5]. - A recent survey indicated that over 90% of central banks expect to continue increasing their gold reserves in the next 12 months, with nearly 43% planning to add to their gold holdings [5].
中信建投黄文涛:黄金中期价格的上行格局至少有两点支撑
news flash· 2025-06-19 08:45
Core Viewpoint - The medium-term outlook for gold prices is expected to rise, supported by two main factors: the anticipated decline in real interest rates and the continuous accumulation of gold by major central banks since 2018 [1] Group 1 - The expectation of a decline in real interest rates is a significant factor supporting the upward trend in gold prices [1] - Major central banks have been consistently increasing their gold reserves since 2018, which further supports the bullish outlook for gold [1]
世界黄金协会:超九成受访央行认为未来1年全球央行将增持黄金
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-06-17 16:08
Core Insights - Central banks continue to favor gold, with 95% of surveyed banks expecting to increase their gold reserves in the next 12 months, marking the highest level since the survey began in 2019, and a 17 percentage point increase from 2024 [1] - The survey collected responses from 73 central banks, the highest participation rate to date, with nearly 43% planning to increase their gold reserves in the coming year [1] - The main motivations for holding gold among central banks include its long-term value storage function (80%), portfolio diversification (81%), and performance during crises (85%) [1] Emerging Markets vs Developed Economies - Among the 58 surveyed emerging market and developing economy central banks, 48% (28 banks) expect to increase their gold reserves in the next 12 months, compared to 21% of developed economy central banks, with both figures higher than the previous year [2] - Inflation (84%) and geopolitical issues (81%) are primary concerns for emerging market and developing economy central banks, while 67% and 60% of developed economy central banks share similar views, respectively [2] - The global financial and geopolitical environment is characterized by uncertainty, leading central banks to consider gold a strategic asset for risk mitigation [2] Future Reserve Composition - 73% of surveyed central banks anticipate a moderate or significant decline in the dollar's share of global reserves over the next five years, while the shares of other currencies like the euro and renminbi, as well as gold, are expected to rise [2]
世界黄金协会:未来一年拟增持黄金的央行比例创纪录新高!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-06-17 07:09
Group 1 - Central banks are experiencing a record surge in gold accumulation, with 95% of surveyed banks expecting to increase their gold reserves in the next 12 months, marking the highest level since the survey began eight years ago [1] - The proportion of central banks actively managing their gold reserves is projected to rise from 37% in 2024 to 44% in 2025, with risk management becoming the second-largest motivation for increasing gold holdings [4] - Since the end of 2022, international gold prices have doubled, with central bank purchases being a core driver of this long-term price increase [4] Group 2 - Gold has surpassed the euro to become the second-largest reserve asset for central banks, accounting for approximately 20%, while the share of dollar assets has declined to 46% [5] - Over half of emerging market central banks cite gold's "no political risk" as a key reason for increasing their holdings, with 78% emphasizing its "no default risk" [6] - Despite the cautious examination of the dollar and U.S. debt markets by central banks, there is no immediate risk of the dollar losing its dominant position [6]
黄金闪崩跳水:一个月最大砸盘来袭?别慌!央行增持信号来了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-09 14:05
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China reported that as of the end of May, the country's gold reserves reached 73.83 million ounces (approximately 2,296.37 tons), marking an increase of 60,000 ounces (about 1.86 tons) month-over-month, representing the seventh consecutive month of gold accumulation [1] - Recent market movements indicate a significant downward adjustment in gold prices, with the largest decline observed in the past month, following the release of non-farm payroll data [3] - Technical analysis suggests that the 60-day moving average is gradually rising, indicating that buying costs are converging, which could lead to a significant price movement in either direction [3] Group 2 - The continuous increase in gold reserves by the central bank is seen as a strong signal for long-term bullish sentiment in the gold market, suggesting that institutional investors are still quietly entering the market [3] - Short-term traders are advised to watch for potential reversal signals, such as long lower shadows on candlestick charts, which could indicate a buying opportunity [3] - The performance of various gold ETFs shows a decline, with several funds experiencing negative returns over the past week, reflecting the broader market trend [4]
央行5月末黄金储备环比增加6万盎司
news flash· 2025-06-07 02:03
Core Insights - The central bank data indicates that as of the end of May, gold reserves reached 73.83 million ounces, reflecting an increase of 60,000 ounces, marking the seventh consecutive month of gold accumulation [1] Group 1 - The central bank has been consistently increasing its gold reserves for seven months [1] - The total gold reserves now stand at 73.83 million ounces [1] - The increase of 60,000 ounces in May represents a continued trend in gold accumulation [1]