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增程车还是门好生意吗
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 16:23
Core Viewpoint - The range-extended electric vehicle (REEV) market is experiencing significant growth, with numerous new entrants and a notable increase in sales over the past few years, positioning REEVs as a transitional model in the shift towards full electrification [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - In November, the REEV market welcomed several new players, including models like the Zhiji LS9, Yipai 007+, Aion i60, and XPeng X9, with a total of 12 new REEV models launched in the last three months [1] - Sales of REEVs have surged over the past four years, with year-on-year growth rates of 218% in 2021, 130% in 2022, 154% in 2023, and 70.9% projected for 2024 [1] - Li Auto has emerged as a leading player in the REEV market, capturing up to 60% of the market share at one point [1] Group 2: Technological Perspective - The technology behind REEVs does not involve particularly advanced breakthroughs in powertrain technology, but it effectively addresses the range anxiety associated with pure electric vehicles [1] - REEVs are viewed as a transitional solution in the early stages of electrification, helping to expand market share in northern regions [1]
车企竞相押注的增程车,还是门好生意吗?
第一财经· 2025-11-19 15:00
Core Viewpoint - The increase in the number of new players entering the range-extended electric vehicle (REEV) market is driven by significant sales growth in recent years, despite a recent decline in market share and average sales per model [3][4][5]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - In the past four years, REEV sales have surged, with year-on-year growth rates of 218%, 130%, 154%, and 70.9% from 2021 to 2024 [3]. - The number of new REEV models launched in 2025 is expected to exceed 30, compared to 19 in the same period of 2024 [5]. - Despite the increase in new models, the average sales per model have dropped from nearly 30,000 units in 2024 to approximately 9,000 units in 2025 [5]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The market share of leading REEV manufacturer Li Auto is being eroded by other competitors, indicating a highly competitive environment [5]. - Companies are focusing on enhancing battery capacity and efficiency, with models like the Zhiji LS9 featuring a 66 kWh battery and the Xiaopeng X9 equipped with a 63.3 kWh battery [5][6]. - The competition is characterized by a phenomenon of "involution," where brands are increasingly promoting higher range capabilities for their REEVs [6]. Group 3: Consumer Insights and Future Trends - The future of REEVs may hinge on their ability to address consumer concerns about range anxiety and the transition from traditional fuel vehicles [6]. - There is potential for growth in the segment of REEVs priced below 200,000 yuan with a range exceeding 200 kilometers, which could attract more consumers [6]. - The upcoming changes in tax incentives for plug-in hybrid vehicles may provide a competitive edge for REEVs if they can offer a pure electric range exceeding 100 kilometers [6].
车企竞相押注的增程车,还是门好生意吗?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 14:26
Group 1 - The market for range-extended vehicles (REVs) is experiencing a surge in new entrants, with 12 new models launched in the last three months alone [1] - Sales of REVs have shown significant growth over the past four years, with year-on-year increases of 218%, 130%, 154%, and 70.9% from 2021 to 2024 [1] - Despite the growth, the market share of REVs has been declining since June, with a 1.9% year-on-year drop in wholesale sales in October, totaling 121,000 units [1] Group 2 - The number of new REVs expected to launch in 2025 is projected to exceed 30, compared to 19 in 2024, but the average sales per model have decreased from nearly 30,000 in 2024 to approximately 9,000 this year [2] - Industry competition is intensifying as companies seek to capture market share, with Li Auto's market share being eroded by other manufacturers [2] - Key players are focusing on enhancing battery capacity and efficiency, with models like the Zhiji LS9 featuring a 66 kWh battery and the Xiaopeng X9 equipped with a 63.3 kWh fast-charging lithium iron phosphate battery [2] Group 3 - The competition in the REV market is not just about technology but also about identifying unique selling points and timing for market entry [3] - There is a trend of increasing advertised range for REVs, indicating a competitive "involution" in the sector [3] - Future growth opportunities may lie in REVs priced below 200,000 yuan with a range exceeding 200 kilometers, particularly in the 100,000 to 150,000 yuan segment [3]
招商证券国际:调低小鹏汽车-W(09868)2025-27年销量3%/6%/11% 维持“增持”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 03:25
Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International maintains a target price of HKD 115 and USD 29 for Xpeng Motors (09868, XPEV.US), while keeping an "Overweight" investment rating, highlighting the company's growth potential through its dual-energy vehicle strategy and accelerated overseas expansion, despite a downward adjustment in sales forecasts due to increased industry competition [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Xpeng Motors reported a narrowing net loss in Q3, with a year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter reduction of 78.9% and 20.3% respectively, outperforming expectations [1] - The partnership with Volkswagen has led to higher gross profit income, improving profit margins [1] Group 2: Sales and Production Guidance - The guidance for Q4 deliveries is set between 125,000 and 132,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 37% to 44%, with an average of 43,000 units in the last two months [1] Group 3: Strategic Outlook - The company is optimistic about expanding its range of extended-range vehicles, while maintaining a cautious stance on its pure electric vehicle models [1] - The collaboration with Volkswagen and accelerated international expansion are expected to continuously improve profitability [1] - Anticipated increases in AI-related research and development investments may exceed market expectations [1]
招商证券国际:调低小鹏汽车-W2025-27年销量3%/6%/11% 维持“增持”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 03:24
Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International maintains a target price of HKD 115 and USD 29 for Xpeng Motors (09868, XPEV.US), while keeping an "Overweight" investment rating, highlighting growth potential driven by a dual-energy vehicle strategy and accelerated overseas expansion, despite a downward revision in sales forecasts due to increased industry competition [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Xpeng Motors reported a narrowing net loss in Q3, with a year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter reduction of 78.9% and 20.3% respectively, which was better than expected [1] - The company achieved higher gross profit margins through collaboration with Volkswagen, contributing to improved profitability [1] Group 2: Sales and Production Guidance - The guidance for Q4 indicates expected deliveries of 125,000 to 132,000 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 37% to 44%, with an average of 43,000 vehicles over the last two months [1] Group 3: Strategic Outlook - The company is optimistic about expanding its range of extended-range vehicles, while maintaining a cautious stance on its pure electric vehicle models [1] - There is a positive outlook on the collaboration with Volkswagen and the acceleration of overseas expansion, which is expected to continuously improve profitability [1] - Anticipated increased investment in AI-related research and development may exceed market expectations [1]
新能源汽车技术路线再洗牌,增程车为何掉队?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 04:52
Core Insights - The article discusses the decline in sales of range-extended electric vehicles (REEVs) in the Chinese market, highlighting a shift towards pure electric vehicles (EVs) as their technology improves and consumer preferences change [1][3][8] Market Trends - Two years ago, Li Auto successfully introduced a range-extended system, making it the first among new energy vehicle companies to achieve annual profitability [1] - The popularity of REEVs led to a surge in competition, with multiple companies like AITO, Lantu, and Deep Blue launching similar products [1] - However, by mid-2023, sales of REEVs began to decline, with wholesale sales dropping for five consecutive months, and October's sales reaching 121,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 1.9% [1][3] Consumer Preferences - The sales structure among new energy brands has shifted from a near-equal split of 49% for pure electric and 51% for REEVs in 2024 to 74% for pure electric and 26% for REEVs currently [1] - Improvements in pure electric vehicle range, charging convenience, and cost structure have reduced the appeal of REEVs [3][4] - Consumers are increasingly realizing that most daily commuting needs can be met by pure electric vehicles, leading to a decreased reliance on REEVs [3] Technological Developments - The average range of pure electric vehicles has increased from around 400 km to over 500 km, with some models exceeding 700 km [3] - Charging infrastructure has improved, alleviating issues like long wait times at charging stations during holidays [3] - The decline in battery costs has diminished the price advantage of REEVs, making pure electric vehicles more competitive [3][4] Industry Response - To enhance user experience, new REEV models are adopting a "large battery + small fuel tank" approach, with some models featuring battery capacities exceeding those of comparable pure electric vehicles [5] - The introduction of 800V high-voltage platforms and fast-charging technology aims to address the slow charging issue of larger battery REEVs [5] - There is a division within the industry regarding the optimal battery size for REEVs, with some advocating for larger batteries to improve user experience while others caution against resource waste [6] Regulatory Changes - Starting January 1, 2026, new regulations will raise the threshold for tax exemptions on new energy vehicles, requiring plug-in hybrid (including REEV) models to have a pure electric range of at least 100 km [6] - This policy aims to phase out less efficient "small battery + high fuel consumption" solutions, pushing the industry towards larger batteries and higher efficiency [6] Future Outlook - The future of REEVs may involve a shift towards green energy sources for their power generation, as companies explore alternatives like hydrogen fuel [7] - Despite the decline in popularity, REEVs may still serve a purpose in areas where charging infrastructure is lacking or for specific long-range needs [7][8] - The evolution of the REEV market reflects the dynamic nature of the automotive industry, emphasizing the importance of aligning technology with genuine consumer demand [8]
大电池增程的纯电续航边界到底在哪?
Core Viewpoint - The chairman and CEO of Leap Motor, Zhu Jiangming, believes that a pure electric range of 500 km has reached a critical point for range-extended vehicles, indicating that such vehicles are suitable for affluent consumers with long-distance needs [1] Group 1 - Leap Motor's perspective on the critical range for range-extended vehicles is set at 500 km [1] - The target market for range-extended vehicles is identified as wealthy individuals who require long-distance travel capabilities [1]
增程车上“大电池”,这是要抢 C 位?
3 6 Ke· 2025-10-13 00:43
Core Viewpoint - The rise of range-extended vehicles (REVs) in the electric vehicle market is notable, as they are increasingly competing with pure electric vehicles by enhancing their battery capacities and electric range [1][4][12]. Group 1: Industry Position - The sales of range-extended vehicles are projected to reach 1.167 million units in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 78.7% [4]. - In the first half of this year, sales reached 538,000 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 16.5% [4]. - Predictions suggest that by 2025, sales could reach approximately 2.2 million units, with a long-term potential of 7.5 million units [4][6]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The current adjustment period for REVs follows a phase of rapid growth, indicating a sustained market interest despite recent sales fluctuations [6][12]. - Over 90% of REV users primarily utilize electric mode for their daily travel, highlighting the importance of electric range in consumer preferences [10]. - The competitive landscape necessitates that REVs enhance their electric range to remain relevant, especially as mainstream electric vehicles achieve ranges of 500-700 km [12]. Group 3: Battery Capacity Competition - The trend of increasing battery capacity among REVs is a response to their evolving market position and the need to maintain competitiveness [8][18]. - The advancements in battery technology, such as higher energy density and lower costs, have made larger batteries more practical and economically viable [13][15]. - The cost implications of larger batteries are significant, as they can lead to higher vehicle prices, which may deter potential buyers [17]. Group 4: Economic Considerations - The operational cost benefits of larger batteries are evident, as they can significantly reduce energy costs compared to traditional fuel [15]. - However, the increased purchase price associated with larger battery models poses a challenge for market acceptance [17]. - Balancing the cost of larger batteries with consumer affordability is crucial for the sustained success of REVs in the market [18].
中经评论:增程车会淡出主流市场吗
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-09-05 00:03
Core Insights - The founder and CEO of NIO, Li Bin, expressed the challenges of adhering to a pure electric technology route, but noted that this persistence is now reaching a turning point as the market dynamics shift towards pure electric vehicles [1] Group 1: Market Trends - In July, China's retail sales of pure electric vehicles reached 487,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 24.5%, while range-extended vehicles sold only 102,000 units, marking a year-on-year decline of 11.4% [1] - The decline in range-extended vehicle sales indicates a shift in consumer preference towards pure electric vehicles, which are expected to gain more competitive momentum in the future [1][3] Group 2: Technology and Design - Range-extended vehicles (REEV) combine electric drive with a supplementary fuel engine, featuring components like battery packs, electric motors, and range extenders, which provide a unique driving experience [1][2] - However, the design of range-extended vehicles comes with trade-offs, such as increased weight compared to pure electric vehicles, which can negatively impact energy consumption and handling performance [2] Group 3: Consumer Preferences - The initial success of range-extended vehicles was driven by their ability to alleviate consumer concerns about range anxiety, but advancements in pure electric vehicle technology are diminishing this advantage [3] - Current mainstream pure electric vehicles typically offer a range exceeding 600 kilometers, and with fast-charging capabilities, users can travel 400 kilometers after just 10 minutes of charging, significantly reducing range anxiety [3] Group 4: Industry Evolution - The industry is witnessing a trend where many range-extended vehicles are now achieving pure electric ranges exceeding 400 kilometers, indicating a shift towards optimizing electric performance [4] - This transition suggests that range-extended vehicles are increasingly aligning with pure electric technology, potentially leading to a scenario where consumers may find it more economical to choose pure electric vehicles directly [4]
增程车会淡出主流市场吗
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-09-04 22:00
Core Viewpoint - The shift from range-extended electric vehicles (REEV) to pure electric vehicles (BEV) is becoming evident as the latter gains market momentum, with a significant increase in sales and a decline in range-extended vehicle sales [1][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - In July, China's pure electric vehicle retail sales reached 487,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 24.5%, while range-extended vehicles sold only 102,000 units, marking an 11.4% decline [1]. - The core advantage of range-extended vehicles, which was to alleviate range anxiety, is diminishing as advancements in battery technology and charging infrastructure improve the performance of pure electric vehicles [3]. Group 2: Technological Developments - Range-extended vehicles combine electric and fuel power, featuring a complex system that includes a battery, electric motor, and an engine-generator unit, which can lead to increased vehicle weight and reduced efficiency compared to pure electric vehicles [2]. - Many range-extended vehicles are now achieving pure electric ranges exceeding 400 kilometers, indicating a shift towards larger battery capacities and reduced reliance on fuel [4]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Traditional automakers and new entrants are increasingly adopting range-extended technology, but the market is evolving as pure electric vehicles offer better user experiences and cost efficiencies [2][4]. - The competition is pushing range-extended vehicles to adapt, potentially leading to a scenario where consumers may find it more economical to choose pure electric vehicles directly [4].