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插混“急刹车” 新能源市场重返纯电时代?
经济观察报· 2025-07-20 02:46
Core Viewpoint - The core change in the plug-in hybrid (PHEV) market is a return to rational growth, positioning PHEVs back as a "transitional technology" [1][3]. Market Performance - In the first half of this year, cumulative sales of PHEV models in China reached 2.521 million units, a year-on-year increase of 31.1% [2]. - From 2021 to 2024, the growth rates for PHEV models were 140%, 151.6%, 84.7%, and 84.5% respectively [2]. - In contrast, pure electric vehicle (EV) sales reached 4.415 million units in the same period, with a year-on-year growth of 46.2% [3]. Market Share Dynamics - In 2021, PHEV sales were 603,000 units, with a growth of 140%, while pure EV sales were 2.916 million units, growing by 161.5% [5]. - Despite the increase in PHEV sales, its market share decreased from 18.4% to 17.1% [5]. - By 2024, PHEV sales are projected to reach 5.146 million units, increasing its market share to 40%, while pure EV growth slows to 15.5% and its market share drops to 60% [5]. Recent Trends - In the first half of this year, the growth rate of PHEV sales sharply declined, dropping from 90.3% in February to 7.8% by June [6]. - Factors contributing to this decline include increased competition from pure EVs with ranges over 600 km priced between 150,000 to 200,000 yuan, improved charging infrastructure, and more favorable policies for pure EVs [6]. Future Outlook - Experts believe that while PHEVs are seen as a transitional technology, they still have significant growth potential in the next 3 to 5 years, with a market share possibly reaching 30% to 40% [9]. - Despite the slowdown in domestic growth, the overseas market presents new opportunities, with PHEV exports expected to reach 297,000 units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 190% [10]. Global Market Opportunities - The global automotive market is undergoing an "electrification reshuffle," and Chinese PHEVs are rapidly capturing various overseas markets due to their technological and cost advantages [10]. - Countries in Europe, such as Germany, have adjusted policies to include PHEVs in "environmentally friendly vehicle" subsidies, facilitating entry into high-end markets [10].
插混“急刹车” 新能源市场重返纯电时代?
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-19 04:30
Core Insights - The plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) market in China is experiencing a significant slowdown after years of rapid growth, with sales growth dropping from 90.3% to 7.8% from February to June this year [5][6] - In contrast, the sales growth of pure electric vehicles (EVs) has increased, with a 46.2% year-on-year growth in the first half of the year, driven by the rise of low-cost models [3][4] Summary by Sections PHEV Market Performance - From January to June, PHEV sales reached 2.521 million units, a year-on-year increase of 31.1% [2] - The growth rates for PHEV models from 2021 to 2024 were 140%, 151.6%, 84.7%, and 84.5% respectively [2] - Despite the increase in sales, the market share of PHEVs decreased from 18.4% to 17.1% in 2021 [4] Pure Electric Vehicle Market Performance - Pure electric vehicle sales totaled 4.415 million units in the first half of the year, reflecting a 46.2% year-on-year growth [3] - The growth rates for pure electric vehicles in the previous two years were 24.9% and 15.5% [3] Market Dynamics and Trends - The decline in PHEV growth is attributed to several factors, including the competitive pricing of pure electric vehicles with over 600 km range, improved charging infrastructure, and more favorable policies for pure electric vehicles [5][6] - Industry experts suggest that PHEVs are seen as a transitional technology, with their relevance diminishing as pure electric vehicles become more competitive [7] Export Opportunities - Despite the slowdown in domestic sales, the export of Chinese PHEVs is on the rise, with 297,000 units expected to be exported in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 190% [8] - The overall export of Chinese new energy vehicles reached 1.06 million units in the first half of the year, with PHEV exports contributing significantly to this growth [8]
6月国内乘用车销量大增18%,上半年合资品牌呈回暖趋势
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 04:08
Core Insights - The domestic passenger car market in China experienced an unexpected growth of 10.8% in the first half of the year, with June retail sales reaching 2.084 million units, a year-on-year increase of 18.1% and a month-on-month increase of 7.6% [1] - The market is seeing a shift with price wars becoming milder, while hidden incentives such as enhanced features and adjustments to owner rights are becoming more common [1] Sales Performance - In June, the wholesale share of domestic brands reached 67.1%, up 2.2% year-on-year, while the retail share was 64.2%, up 5.6% year-on-year [2][3] - Retail sales of domestic brands in June were 1.34 million units, a year-on-year increase of 30% and a month-on-month increase of 7% [3] - The cumulative retail market share of domestic brands in the first half of the year was 64%, an increase of 7.5 percentage points compared to the same period last year [3] Brand Performance - BYD's June sales reached 377,628 units, with a total of 2,113,271 units sold in the first half of the year, marking an 11% year-on-year increase [4] - Chery Group's June sales were 233,607 units, a 16.6% year-on-year increase, with 71,582 units being new energy vehicles, up 59.6% [4] - Geely's June sales were approximately 236,000 units, a 42% year-on-year increase, with a total of 1,409,000 units sold in the first half of the year, up 47% [4] Market Dynamics - The sales ranking for the first half of 2025 shows BYD leading with 1,610,042 units sold, followed by Geely with 1,225,673 units, and FAW-Volkswagen with 743,543 units, which saw a decline of 3.6% [7] - The luxury car segment saw retail sales of 230,000 units in June, a year-on-year decrease of 7% but an 18% increase month-on-month [3] Future Outlook - The market is expected to experience a gradual slowdown in growth due to high inventory levels and increased pressure on dealers' profitability as bank loan incentives diminish [8] - The overall production pace is anticipated to stabilize as automakers work to maintain relative price stability in the market [8]
6月乘用车卖了208万辆,乘联会称价格战硝烟渐散
3 6 Ke· 2025-07-10 10:38
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the intense price war in the Chinese automotive market is subsiding, with a shift from price-driven competition to value-driven competition as consumer demand evolves [1][2][4] - The number of models experiencing price cuts has decreased significantly, with only 7 models in January and 14 models in June, compared to a higher number in previous months [2][3] - The average price reduction for new energy vehicles has narrowed from 2.3 million yuan (12%) in the first half of the year to 1.5 million yuan (10.4%) in June, indicating a trend towards price stabilization [2][3] Group 2 - In June 2025, retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 2.084 million units, marking an 18.1% year-on-year increase and a 7.6% month-on-month increase, reflecting a significant recovery in market demand [4][5] - The "trade-in" policy has effectively stimulated consumer purchasing intentions, with 1.23 million applications for trade-in subsidies in June, accounting for nearly 70% of private car purchases [4][5] Group 3 - Domestic brands are performing strongly in both new energy and export markets, with retail sales of domestic brands reaching 1.34 million units in June, a 30% year-on-year increase, and market share rising to 64.2% [6] - The export of vehicles reached 480,000 units in June, a 23.8% year-on-year increase, with new energy vehicles accounting for over 41% of exports [6] Group 4 - Chinese plug-in hybrid vehicles are increasingly gaining traction in the global market, with a market share of 80% globally, and companies like BYD and Geely leading in technology and exports [7][8] - The focus has shifted from merely exporting low-cost vehicles to providing high-quality, high-tech solutions, emphasizing technology, adaptability, and brand strength as key competitive factors in international markets [8]
【周度分析】车市扫描(2025年7月1日-7月6日)
乘联分会· 2025-07-10 08:37
Group 1: Market Overview - From July 1-6, the national retail sales of passenger cars reached 238,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 1%, but a decrease of 6% compared to the previous month. Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 11.14 million units, up 11% year-on-year [1][3] - In the same period, wholesale sales of passenger cars were 233,000 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 39% and no change from the previous month. Cumulative wholesale sales for the year reached 13.51 million units, up 13% year-on-year [1][5] - The retail penetration rate for new energy vehicles (NEVs) was 56.7%, with retail sales of 135,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 21% but a decrease of 11% from the previous month. Cumulative retail sales of NEVs reached 6.58 million units, up 37% year-on-year [1][3] Group 2: Market Trends and Predictions - The domestic economic situation has improved, particularly in exports, stabilizing domestic demand. July is expected to be a month of adjustment in the car market, with a structural differentiation in growth [3][4] - The trend of "old-for-new" vehicle replacement is anticipated to strengthen in the second half of the year, with recommendations for local governments to improve budget planning for subsidies [4][6] - The automotive industry is increasingly driven by both domestic and international demand, with a notable improvement in industry order and a strong start to production and sales in July [5][6] Group 3: Pricing Analysis - The number of models with price reductions has significantly decreased in 2025, with only 14 models in June compared to higher numbers in earlier months. The average price reduction for new energy vehicles was 12% in the first half of 2025 [8][9] - The average price reduction for conventional fuel vehicles was 8.9% in the first half of 2025, indicating a trend of stabilizing prices in the market [9][10] Group 4: Used Car Market Insights - The used car market in China is experiencing growth, with a transaction volume of 7.91 million units in the first five months of 2025, up 0.6% year-on-year, although transaction value decreased by 2.1% [9][10] - The potential for the used car market is significant, especially with the development of new energy vehicles, which provide consumers with lower-cost options for car ownership [10]
6月国内乘用车零售208.4万辆:纯电车增速超插混,自主品牌市场份额飙升至64%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-08 10:39
Group 1: Overall Market Performance - In June, the national passenger car market retail reached 2.084 million units, a year-on-year increase of 18.1% and a month-on-month increase of 7.6% [1] - For the first half of the year, cumulative retail sales of passenger cars reached 10.901 million units, a year-on-year increase of 10.8% [1] - The strong growth in passenger car sales is attributed to the enhanced support from the "two new" policy subsidies [1] Group 2: New Energy Vehicle (NEV) Market - In June, the retail sales of new energy passenger cars reached 1.111 million units, a year-on-year increase of 29.7% and a month-on-month increase of 8.2% [2] - Cumulative retail sales for the first half of the year reached 5.468 million units, a year-on-year increase of 33.3% [2] - The market share of pure electric vehicles (EVs) in the NEV segment is increasing, with pure EVs accounting for 61.4% of wholesale sales in the first half of 2025, up 3.2% year-on-year [2][5] Group 3: Segment Performance in EVs - The A00 segment of pure electric vehicles saw wholesale sales of 153,000 units in June, a year-on-year increase of 61% [5] - A0 segment sales were 171,000 units, maintaining a 22% share of pure EV sales [5] - A-segment sales reached 185,000 units, accounting for 24% of pure EV sales, with a year-on-year increase of 6 percentage points [5] Group 4: Brand Performance - In June, retail sales of domestic brands reached 1.34 million units, a year-on-year increase of 30% and a market share of 64.2% [6][7] - The retail market share of domestic brands for the first half of the year was 64%, an increase of 7.5 percentage points year-on-year [6] - Mainstream joint venture brands sold 510,000 units in June, a year-on-year increase of 5% [6] Group 5: Export and Future Outlook - In June, domestic brand exports reached 410,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 28% [7] - The implementation of a multi-pronged strategy in the NEV sector by domestic manufacturers is expanding market presence [7] - Looking ahead to July, sales growth is expected to slow due to high inventory levels and the upcoming launch of the old-for-new policy [7]
崔东树:上半年短续航产品较少!低速电动车市场需求大
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-07-03 02:40
Core Insights - The sales momentum of new energy vehicles (NEVs) remains strong in the first half of the year, with significant improvements in various technical aspects such as power structure, range, and battery energy density [1][2][4] Group 1: Sales and Market Trends - In June, the wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.26 million units, a year-on-year increase of 29%, with a total of 6.47 million units sold in the first half of the year, marking a 38% year-on-year growth [2] - The number of new energy vehicle models in the tax exemption directory for 2025 is 2,533, which is fewer compared to previous years, indicating a stable technical upgrade in exempt models [2][3] Group 2: Technical Developments - The majority of new pure electric passenger vehicles launched this year have a range exceeding 600 kilometers, with a notable increase in high-energy density battery products [2][4] - The market for short-range products is diminishing, while the demand for low-speed electric vehicles remains significant, suggesting potential growth in this segment [6] Group 3: Product Differentiation - Hydrogen fuel commercial vehicles have gained traction due to substantial subsidies, surpassing plug-in hybrids in the number of models submitted for approval [3] - The new models of plug-in hybrids are primarily focused on higher mileage, with most having a range of 100-200 kilometers, while range-extended vehicles are also seeing rapid growth [7] Group 4: Cost and Performance Considerations - The industry is shifting from merely competing on data to a more pragmatic approach, with manufacturers focusing on safety, cost, and overall performance of new models [8] - The effective control of battery costs has allowed manufacturers to offer vehicles with high ranges (500-600 kilometers) at lower price points, enhancing market accessibility [8]
这家车企宣布要给供应商加价10-15%,究竟为何?
Core Viewpoint - Toyota is increasing the prices of automotive parts by 10%-15% to alleviate cost pressures faced by suppliers and ensure supply chain stability [2][3][4] Group 1: Reasons for Price Increase - The price increase is primarily due to rising raw material costs, particularly for steel, plastics, and chips, as well as high domestic energy costs in Japan [2][3] - Labor costs are also a significant factor contributing to the need for price adjustments [2] - The operational pressure on automotive parts suppliers has intensified, leading to increased uncertainty in parts supply [3] Group 2: Impact on Suppliers - The price adjustment is expected to benefit large suppliers like Denso and Aisin, improving their profit margins [3] - Approximately 12% of small and medium-sized suppliers may still struggle to fully alleviate cost pressures despite Toyota's price increase [3] - The adjustment is likely to accelerate consolidation in the parts industry [3] Group 3: Strategic Implications - The price increase reflects Toyota's commitment to its philosophy of "supply chain as core competitiveness," sharing cost pressures with suppliers [4] - Over 60,000 suppliers globally will benefit from this price adjustment, with 35% being small suppliers in Japan [4] - Rising energy costs have led to an annual increase of over 15% in energy expenditures for Japanese parts suppliers, exacerbated by fluctuations in the yen [4] Group 4: Future Directions - Toyota's strategy includes maintaining supply chain stability while actively investing in next-generation technologies, such as solid-state batteries expected to be mass-produced by 2027 [5] - The company has seen a 139% year-on-year increase in sales of plug-in hybrid models in Europe, attributed to its product strategy of "reasonable range + stable supply" [5] - Toyota's supply chain disruption risk is reported to be 40% lower than the industry average, thanks to its unique supplier relationship management [5] Group 5: Broader Market Context - Starting July 1, Toyota will raise prices for most models sold in the U.S. by an average of $270, with Lexus models increasing by an average of $208 [7] - The increase in related fees charged by Toyota dealers in the U.S. reflects the broader trend of rising costs [7] - While the price increases aim to stabilize the supply chain, there are concerns that excessive price hikes could impact market competitiveness [8]
销量暴涨359%,比亚迪杀入宝马、奔驰老家
创业邦· 2025-05-29 03:09
Core Viewpoint - BYD has achieved a historic breakthrough in Europe, with its pure electric vehicle sales surpassing Tesla for the first time in April, reflecting a significant shift in its European strategy and operations [2][4][9]. Sales Performance - In April, BYD's sales in Europe increased by 359%, while Tesla's sales declined by 49% [4][9]. - BYD's total market value reached 1.23 trillion yuan, with stock prices hitting a record high of 407.15 yuan per share [2]. - BYD became the sales champion in Italy in the first quarter of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 621% in the UK [2][9]. Strategic Changes - BYD's strategy in Europe has evolved from simply exporting vehicles to establishing a comprehensive operational framework, including setting up regional headquarters, expanding dealer networks, and investing heavily in marketing [2][6][19]. - The company is focusing on both pure electric and plug-in hybrid models to meet diverse market demands [11][19]. Market Challenges - The European market is highly competitive, with established brands like Mercedes and BMW, and consumer loyalty to local brands poses a challenge for BYD [6][9]. - The EU's tariffs on Chinese vehicles, which can reach up to 45.3%, have not negatively impacted BYD's sales due to its strategic investments and operational adjustments [6][10]. Production and Logistics - BYD is investing over 1 billion euros in a factory in Hungary, expected to produce 200,000 vehicles annually by 2026, and a factory in Turkey with a capacity of 150,000 vehicles by 2027 [16][19]. - The establishment of local production facilities will reduce transportation costs and improve response times to market demands [16][19]. Sales Channels and Marketing - BYD has significantly expanded its sales channels in Europe, increasing from fewer than 150 dealers to over 800 in just a few months [18]. - The company has invested heavily in brand marketing, including sponsorship of the 2024 UEFA European Championship, which has enhanced its visibility and brand perception in Europe [22][25]. Brand Positioning - BYD is working to elevate its brand image in Europe, aiming for a high-end perception among consumers [25]. - Despite recent successes, BYD's brand recognition in Europe remains lower than that of established local competitors [25][26]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that it may take 4 to 10 years for Chinese automakers, including BYD, to establish a solid foothold in the European market, depending on their ability to build a comprehensive after-sales service system [26][27].
中国车企在欧洲逆势“狂飙”
第一财经· 2025-05-14 00:29
2025.05. 14 本文字数:1734,阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 武子晔 都已准备好使用电动汽车。要想说服客户,还需要其他的东西。"比亚迪推出插混车型是其为满足欧 洲消费者的多样化需求,并为尚未准备好购买纯电动汽车的客户提供替代方案的战略的一部分。 盖世汽车研究院近期在发布的一份报告中指出,针对欧盟加征关税,中国车企在欧洲市场的策略基本 调整完毕。今年一季度出口略有复苏,上汽乘用车、比亚迪、奇瑞拓宽插混/混动产品线规避欧盟加 征关税影响。此外,奇瑞同步启动KD出口、在西班牙组装。比亚迪还在匈牙利建立了工厂,预计 2026年投产。 近日,市场分析机构Dataforce发布的初步数据显示,2025年第一季度,中国汽车在欧洲市场的销量 达14.8万辆,同比增长78%,市场份额从去年同期的2.5%跃升至4.5%。其中,插混车型销量同比激 增368%,成为拉动增长的核心引擎。 Rho Motion报告显示,比亚迪和奇瑞在今年3月分别于欧洲出售3269辆和757辆插混汽车,与去年7月 初次实行临时关税的近零销量有显著增长。此外,比亚迪今年3月在欧盟销售的电动汽车中,插电混 动车型占比已经达到了41%,而 ...