Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Neutral" rating to the company with a target price raised to HKD 7.40 from HKD 6.30 [4][6]. Core Insights - The company's total revenue for Q1 2025 decreased by 21.9% year-on-year to RMB 7.01 billion, while net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 8.4% to RMB 1.48 billion. Excluding RMB 718 million in licensing fee income, product sales revenue was approximately 4.6% lower than expected, primarily due to a slowdown in the sales of established drugs [1][4]. - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in product sales revenue starting from Q2 2025, as the impact of centralized procurement for certain oncology drugs has already been reflected, and sales are expected to increase after the inclusion of new drugs in the medical insurance list by the end of 2024 [2][4]. - The company is expected to achieve multiple significant overseas licensing agreements, with Q1 licensing fee income of RMB 718 million primarily from agreements with BeiGene and AstraZeneca. These agreements involve upfront payments totaling USD 250 million (approximately RMB 1.8 billion) and potential milestone payments of up to USD 3.56 billion (approximately RMB 25.6 billion) [3][4]. Financial Summary - The company's projected total revenue for 2025 is RMB 29.89 billion, reflecting a 3.0% growth rate, while net profit is expected to be RMB 4.77 billion, a 10.2% increase. The earnings per share (EPS) is projected at RMB 0.41, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.4 [5][13]. - The financial data indicates a decline in established drug sales, with revenue from the core product Enbrel decreasing by 29.5% year-on-year, and oncology drug sales dropping by 65.7% due to centralized procurement impacts [1][5]. - The report includes a detailed financial forecast, showing total revenue growth rates of 1.7% in 2023, a decline of 7.8% in 2024, and subsequent growth rates of 3.0%, 12.8%, and 12.6% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][13].

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market rebounded on June 3, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.5% to close at 23,512 and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 1.1% to 5,189, indicating a significant recovery in market sentiment [1] - The trading volume reached HKD 203.7 billion, showing a notable increase compared to previous days, although the net inflow from the Stock Connect was only HKD 3.9 billion [1] - Major financial stocks, including CITIC Bank, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, and Agricultural Bank of China, hit historical highs, reflecting continued investment in high-dividend defensive assets [1] Industry Dynamics - The automotive sector saw a rebound, with Xiaomi's automotive business losses decreasing and expectations for profitability in Q3 or Q4 of this year, driven by the upcoming launch of the YU7 model [3] - The healthcare sector also performed well, with the Hang Seng Healthcare Index rising by 2.5%. Notable gains were seen in companies reporting positive clinical data at the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) [3] - The renewable energy and utilities sectors experienced widespread gains, with Goldwind Technology rising by 13.3% due to share buyback plans and the establishment of an AI-related subsidiary [4] Company-Specific Insights - The report on CSPC Pharmaceutical Group indicated a 21.9% year-on-year decline in total revenue for Q1 2025, amounting to RMB 7.01 billion, primarily due to a slowdown in the sales of its core products [5] - The company expects a gradual recovery in product sales starting from Q2 2025, as the impact of centralized procurement has already been reflected in Q1 results [6] - CSPC has secured multiple overseas licensing agreements, with expected upfront payments totaling approximately RMB 1 billion and potential milestone payments exceeding RMB 25.6 billion, indicating strong future revenue prospects [7][8] Real Estate Sector Analysis - The report on the Chinese real estate market highlighted a 12.0% year-on-year decline in new home transaction volume across 30 major cities, with first-tier cities showing resilience [9] - First-tier cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen reported increases in cumulative transaction volumes, with Shanghai up by 9.5% and Shenzhen by 45.8% year-on-year [10] - The land transaction volume in 100 major cities fell by 46.9% year-on-year, indicating ongoing challenges in the real estate sector [12]

华夏时报（www.chinatimes.net.cn）记者 张斯文 于娜 北京报道 随着深交所正式终止对新诺威发行股份及支付现金购买石药百克生物100%股权事项的审核，这场筹划一年零五个 月，估值76亿元的重大并购案正式画上句号。 并购终止不仅是短期阵痛，更让新诺威的创新药布局陷入"资金困局"。其寄予厚望的巨石生物虽有3款新药获批或 提交申请，但巨额研发投入已拖累公司业绩。尽管控股股东增持股份稳定信心，但在高研发、低现金流、传统业 务疲软的三重压力下，新诺威的转型之路正面临严峻考验。 时间回溯至4月上旬，深交所曾因"财务数据有效期过期"中止新诺威此次重组审核，但公司当时明确表示"不构成 实质性影响"，将尽快推进恢复审核。然而，20天后的4月28日，新诺威突然宣布终止重组，理由是"自筹划以来历 时较长，医药行业及资本市场环境较重组初期发生变化"。4月30日，深交所正式终止审核。 结合新诺威对深交所问询函的回复，此次并购失败的原因可能有以下三点： 其一，核心产品收入断崖式下滑。百克生物的核心产品"津优力"（长效G-CSF药物）占其收入比重超97%，但 2024年上半年收入仅9.22亿元。依此推算该产品全年收入，较 ...

长江商报消息 ●长江商报记者 黄聪 新诺威（300765.SZ）终止收购石药百克。 5月6日，新诺威公告，根据有关规定，深交所决定终止对公司发行股份购买资产并募集配套资金申请的 审核。 新诺威原拟以发行股份及支付现金方式购买石药百克100%股权，交易作价76亿元，同时拟向不超过35 名特定投资者发行股份募集配套资金。 值得一提的是，公司以发行股份、现金方式支付对价的比例占交易对价的比例分别为90%、10%，股份 支付对价金额为68.4亿元，现金支付对价金额为7.6亿元。 2024年1月，新诺威曾审议通过了收购石药百克相关议案，拟以发行股份及支付现金方式购买石药百克 100%股权，交易作价76亿元。 新诺威表示，鉴于本次重组事项自筹划以来已历时较长，医药行业及资本市场整体环境等情况较本次重 组筹划之初发生了一定变化，公司决定终止本次重组事项。 长江商报记者注意到，当前新诺威业绩下滑。2023年和2024年，新诺威营业收入和净利润连降两年。 2025年一季度，新诺威实现营业收入4.72亿元，同比下降9.94%；净利润亏损2690.16万元，上年同期盈 利7906.13万元。 对于一季度净利润亏损，新诺威表示，主要 ...

证券代码： 300765 证券简称： 新诺威 编号：2025-03 | | □特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 投 资 者 关 系 活 | □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | 动类别 | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 √其他 关于终止资产重组事项的 | | | 投资者说明会 | | 参与单位名称 | 投资者网上提问 | | 时间 | 年 月 日（周二）下午 2025 5 6 15:30~16:30 | | 地点 | 公司通过全景网"投资者关系互动平台"（https://ir.p5w.net）采 | | | 用网络远程的方式召开投资者说明会 | | 上 市 公 司 接 待 | 1、董事长、总经理姚兵 | | | 2、董事、财务总监、董事会秘书戴龙 | | | 3、独立财务顾问代表栗灵芝 | | 人员姓名 | 4、独立财务顾问代表肖向南 | | | 5、交易对方代表 | | | 6、标的公司代表 | | | 投资者提出的问题及公司回复情况 | | | 公司就投资者在本次说明会中提出的问题进行了回复： | | | 1.此事项的终止是否会对公司既定战略规划及未来业 | ...