Workflow
普方坯
icon
Search documents
成材:供强需弱下钢价偏弱震荡
Hua Bao Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 03:16
Group 1: Report on Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided content. Group 2: Core View of the Report - The steel price of finished products is expected to run weakly with fluctuations [3]. Group 3: Summary According to Related Contents Production Status - Last week, the scale of maintenance of construction steel mills significantly decreased and the scale of resumption of production increased. There were 5 maintenance production lines, 12 less than the previous week, and 8 resumption production lines, 6 more than the previous week. The production affected by production line maintenance was 257,800 tons last week, and it is expected to be 189,600 tons this week [2]. - The blast furnace iron - making capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills was 90.18%, a week - on - week increase of 4.39 percentage points. The steel mill profitability rate was 60.17%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.87 percentage points. The daily average hot metal output was 2.4055 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 117,100 tons [2]. - The average capacity utilization rate of 90 independent electric arc furnace steel mills nationwide was 55.26%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.48 percentage points and a year - on - year increase of 18.52 percentage points [2]. Price and Market Situation - The price of Tangshan Qian'an common billet was stable at 3,010 yuan/ton last weekend [2]. - Finished products fluctuated and declined last week, with a rebound during Friday's trading session, but the whole week was mainly characterized by downward fluctuations to a recent low. After the military parade, the previously shut - down production capacity gradually recovered, and the hot metal output increased rapidly last week. The demand side changed little, showing a characteristic of strong supply and weak demand, which is expected to continue in the short term [2]. Later Concerns - Macro policies, supply - side production reduction situation, and downstream demand situation should be focused on [3]
成材:供需双弱,钢价整理
Hua Bao Qi Huo· 2025-08-25 03:23
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - The short - term price fluctuations are large, and the market will operate weakly with oscillations [4] Group 3: Summary According to the Content Steel Production and Utilization Rates - Last week, the blast furnace iron - making capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills was 90.25%, a 0.03 - percentage - point increase from the previous week; the steel mill profitability rate was 64.94%, a 0.86 - percentage - point decrease; the daily average pig iron output was 240.75 tons, a 0.09 - ton increase [3] - The average capacity utilization rate of 90 independent electric arc furnace steel mills nationwide was 56.67%, a 0.72 - percentage - point decrease from the previous week and a 22.48 - percentage - point increase year - on - year. The average operating rate was 75.69%, a 0.69 - percentage - point decrease from the previous week and a 24.72 - percentage - point increase year - on - year [3] - Among 87 section steel production lines in Tangshan, 15 were actually in operation, with an overall operating rate of 25.42%, a 27.12% decrease from the previous week; the capacity utilization rate was 49.23%, a 0.89% increase from the previous week [3] Steel Mill Maintenance Plans - According to the survey, 45% of steel mills in Tangshan, Hebei plan to conduct maintenance in the short - term but are waiting for notice, 32% have confirmed maintenance, and 23% will not conduct maintenance. The known daily average impact on pig iron output in Tangshan, Hebei is about 4.18 tons, with a total pig iron volume of 37 - 45 tons [3] Steel Price - Over the weekend, the ex - factory tax - included price of common billet resources in Qian'an, Tangshan increased by 20 yuan/ton to 3040 yuan/ton [3] Market Situation - Last week, the finished steel market mainly oscillated and corrected, returning to the fundamental trading logic. Although there were production restrictions on the supply side, downstream demand remained weak. As September approaches, construction sites in the Beijing - Tianjin - Hebei region will face stricter shutdowns, and short - term demand is difficult to improve [3] Factors to Watch - Macro policies, supply - side production reduction, and downstream demand [5]
华宝期货晨报成材-20250731
Hua Bao Qi Huo· 2025-07-31 02:21
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Report's Core View - Steel prices are expected to have increased short - term volatility and overall strong performance [2] 3) Summary by Content - On July 30, the China Metal Materials Circulation Association issued an initiative to resist "involution - style competition" and promote the scientific and orderly development of the steel circulation industry, advocating fair competition based on product quality, service value, and technological innovation [1] - This week, the average hot - metal cost of mainstream sample steel mills in Tangshan was 2097 yuan/ton (ex - tax), and the average billet cost was 2843 yuan/ton (tax - included), up 35 yuan/ton week - on - week. Compared with the current billet price of 3180 yuan/ton, the average profit per ton of steel mills was 337 yuan/ton, up 15 yuan/ton week - on - week [1] - From July 1 - 27, the retail sales of the national passenger vehicle market were 1.445 million units, a 9% increase compared to the same period last July, a 19% decrease compared to the same period last month. The cumulative retail sales since the beginning of this year were 12.346 million units, a 11% increase year - on - year [1] - Yesterday, finished products first rose and then fell. At night, they reached a new high during the rebound, and then fluctuated and declined in the morning. Currently, the downstream demand for finished products is weak, especially for building materials in the off - season, and rainfall in many places has a great impact on construction sites. However, the macro - sentiment is strong, and anti - involution policies support prices [1]
国内钢材市场今日涨跌互现,唐山迁安普方坯出厂含税价稳报2910元/吨。 (我的钢铁网)
news flash· 2025-06-18 10:49
Core Viewpoint - The domestic steel market is experiencing mixed fluctuations, with the ex-factory price of ordinary square billets in Tangshan and Qian'an remaining stable at 2910 yuan per ton [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The domestic steel market shows a mixed trend today, indicating varying price movements across different regions and products [1] - The price of ordinary square billets in Tangshan and Qian'an is reported to be stable, suggesting a potential equilibrium in this segment of the market [1]
成材:周度变化不大,钢价弱势运行-20250613
Hua Bao Qi Huo· 2025-06-13 03:39
Report Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the content [1][2][3] Core Viewpoint - The report suggests treating steel prices with a strategy of trying short positions on rebounds [3] Summary by Relevant Information Steel Production Data - The production of rebar decreased by 108,900 tons to 2.0757 million tons, hot-rolled coil production decreased by 41,000 tons to 3.2465 million tons, and the total production of the five major steel products decreased by 215,300 tons to 8.5885 million tons [2] Steel Inventory Data - The total inventory of rebar decreased by 124,000 tons to 5.5808 million tons, the total inventory of hot-rolled coil increased by 47,700 tons to 3.4541 million tons, and the total inventory of the five major steel products decreased by 92,500 tons to 13.5456 million tons [2] Steel Apparent Demand Data - The apparent demand for rebar decreased by 90,600 tons to 2.1997 million tons, the apparent demand for hot-rolled coil decreased by 10,400 tons to 3.1988 million tons, and the total apparent demand for the five major steel products decreased by 140,700 tons to 8.681 million tons [2] Real Estate Transaction Data - In May, the total transaction (signing) area of newly-built commercial housing in 10 key cities was 6.4404 million square meters, a month-on-month increase of 7.6% and a year-on-year decrease of 17.1%; the total transaction (signing) area of second-hand housing was 9.1832 million square meters, a month-on-month decrease of 15.2% and a year-on-year increase of 1.5% [2] Steel Price Data - On June 12, the ex-factory price of ordinary billet resources in Qian'an, Tangshan decreased by 30 yuan after noon, reported at 2,890 yuan per ton [2] Market Analysis - The finished steel fluctuated and declined yesterday, giving back the gains formed due to macro - positive factors the previous day. The weekly supply, apparent demand, and inventory all declined, with no obvious overall contradictions. The main factor affecting steel prices is still downstream demand. It has entered the off - season, and there is little chance of effective improvement in the short term, with further decline possible. It is recommended to try short positions on rebounds [2]
成材:情绪回暖,小幅反弹
Hua Bao Qi Huo· 2025-06-12 05:38
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report suggests treating the market with a strategy of short - selling on rebounds [4] - Although the market rebounded due to the positive outcome of the Sino - US talks, it is currently in the off - season of demand, and there is still room for further decline in the short term [3] Group 3: Summary According to Related Content Market Situation - From June 9th to 10th local time, the first meeting of the Sino - US economic and trade consultation mechanism was held in London. The two sides reached a principled agreement on the measures framework for implementing the important consensus of the leaders' phone call on June 5th and consolidating the results of the Geneva economic and trade talks, and made new progress in addressing each other's economic and trade concerns [3] - This week, the average含税 cost of steel billets of mainstream sample steel mills in Tangshan was 2,832 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 30 yuan/ton. Compared with the current ex - factory price of common square billets of 2,920 yuan/ton on June 11th, the average profit of steel mills was 88 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 60 yuan/ton [3] - On June 11th, the ex - factory含税 price of common square billet resources in Qian'an, Tangshan increased by 20 yuan in total, reaching 2,920 yuan/ton [3] Market Outlook - The market rebounded yesterday, and market sentiment improved slightly due to the Sino - US talks. However, it has entered the off - season of demand, and there is little chance of effective improvement in downstream demand in the short term, with further decline possible [3] Suggestion - It is still recommended to try short - selling on rebounds based on the current situation [3][4] Factors to Watch - Macro - policies and downstream demand conditions should be monitored in the later stage [4]
成材:需求偏低迷,钢价冲高回落
Hua Bao Qi Huo· 2025-05-14 02:54
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The steel price of finished products showed a pattern of rising and then falling due to low demand. Given the current macro and fundamental situation, it is recommended to try short - selling at high prices after a rebound. For raw materials, there may still be a rebound in the near term, and short - selling can be attempted during the rebound [2] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalog Real Estate - From May 5th to May 11th, the total contracted area of newly built commercial housing in 10 key cities was 1.4548 million square meters, with a 13.2% month - on - month increase and a 17.7% year - on - year decrease [2] White Goods - According to the online market monitoring data of Aowei Cloud Network, in April, the year - on - year growth rates of the online retail sales of refrigerators, freezers, washing machines, independent dryers, and air conditioners were +1.0%, - 0.8%, +10.8%, +45.0%, and +34.8% respectively [2] Steel Industry - On May 13th, the average cost of 76 independent electric arc furnace construction steel mills was 3334 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 8 yuan/ton. The average profit was - 87 yuan/ton, and the valley - electricity profit was 18 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 12 yuan/ton. On May 13th, the ex - factory price of ordinary billet resources in Qian'an, Tangshan was reduced by 20 yuan to 2950 yuan. On May 12th, the release of the "Geneva Economic and Trade Joint Statement" between China and the United States was beneficial at the macro - level, leading to a rebound in many commodity varieties. However, there was still pressure on the domestic demand side. In the industry, due to the still - existing profits of steel mills, the hot - metal output and steel mill operating rates increased last week, but the downstream was gradually entering the off - season of demand, resulting in a situation of strong supply and weak demand, and the steel price was under pressure [2]