□ 本报记者 胡春春 "大而强""小而美"回归业绩增长 "次新股""隐形冠军"一路领涨 当前，市场普遍认为，本轮A股大涨主要是政策红利、产业升级和资金重构等多重因素的合力推动。整 体来看，新兴产业备受青睐，如通信设备、电子元件、生物制药等行业轮番领涨。 在本轮大涨中，最典型的"牛股"，来自细分领域龙头企业，尤其是上市5年以内的次新股。这得益于江 苏近年来持续布局战略性新兴产业，在许多细分领域陆续跑出一批隐形冠军。这些细分领域龙头走向资 本市场后，集聚人才、技术、市场等资源要素，获得快速发展。 2023年上市的茂莱光学是国内超精密光学龙头企业，凭借精密光学产品成为许多头部半导体企业的供应 商。作为国内模拟芯片领军企业，思瑞浦于2020年上市，被认为是所处行业国产替代的代表，今年上半 年该公司净利润同比增长约200%。隆扬电子2022年上市，该公司不仅是电磁屏蔽材料的细分龙头，也 是目前全球唯二能量产HVLP5+铜箔的企业。据了解，该公司一笔与中国台湾台光电子的订单已签至 2027年。 从产业链上看，在新能源汽车产业链上，中材科技、瑞可达等都受益于新能源车渗透率提升及国产替代 加速。在智能制造与工业4.0上，主营 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative performance increase of over 15% against the benchmark index in the next 6 to 12 months [8] Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in its Q2 results, with revenue reaching 940 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.3%, and a net profit of 146 million yuan, up 98.8% year-on-year [5] - The growth is attributed to the gradual release of crankshaft production capacity and the successful trial production of hybrid crankshafts, with an annual production line capacity of 1.8 million units [5] - The company is expanding its footprint in the humanoid robotics sector through a strategic investment in Changban Technology, which has achieved an annual production capacity of 30,000 screw rods [5] - The report highlights the potential for significant growth in the company's electric drive gear business and the development of its robotics business, which is expected to enter a commercial phase soon [5] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenue growth from 1.35 billion yuan in 2023 to 3.9 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20% [3] - Net profit is projected to increase from 104 million yuan in 2023 to 542 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of around 24% [3] - The report indicates a significant improvement in profitability, with gross margins expected to rise from 25% in 2024 to 28.3% in 2027 [7] Business Development - The company is benefiting from the increasing demand for hybrid vehicles, with partnerships established with leading manufacturers such as BYD and Chery [5] - The robotics sector is being actively developed, with a dedicated technical team formed to enhance the company's capabilities in producing robot reducers [5] - The report emphasizes the strategic importance of the company's investments in technology and production capacity to support long-term growth in both the automotive and robotics sectors [5]

Group 1: Business Performance Overview - In the first half of the year, the company's overall performance declined due to reduced rainfall affecting hydropower and changes in foreign trade policies impacting paper tableware sales [2] - From July to mid-August, there was an improvement in business performance, particularly in hydropower and ecological paper tableware sectors, with significant revenue growth compared to June [2][3] - The biomass power generation segment achieved a revenue increase of 114.11% year-on-year in the first half of the year [3] Group 2: Future Plans and Strategies - The company plans to focus on three major initiatives: brand building, market expansion, and internationalization, while also working on cost reduction and efficiency improvement [2] - A new wholly-owned subsidiary, Guangdong Shaoneng Calculation and Electricity Integration Investment Co., Ltd., was established with a registered capital of 300 million yuan to engage in calculation and electricity integration business [5] - The company aims to develop a data center cluster project in Shaoguan, leveraging its experience in clean renewable energy to enhance profitability and support the growth of the computing power industry [5][6] Group 3: Accounts Receivable and Financial Management - By the end of 2024, the balance of accounts receivable from biomass power generation decreased by 31.56% compared to the end of 2023, with over 60 million yuan collected in early August 2025 [4] - The company is actively following up on accounts receivable to improve cash flow [4] Group 4: Project Development and Challenges - The calculation and electricity integration project is set to begin construction in 2026, with the first phase expected to be operational by the end of 2027, although specific timelines remain uncertain [6] - The project requires support from energy regulatory authorities and the power grid company, with some supportive documents already obtained [6]

Core Viewpoint - In July, China's industrial production remained stable overall, with most industries and products experiencing growth, supported by the equipment manufacturing sector, indicating steady progress in high-quality industrial economic development [1] Industry Performance - Among the 41 major industrial categories, 35 reported year-on-year growth in added value, resulting in a growth coverage of 85.4%. The electronics, electrical machinery, and automotive industries contributed 36.4% to the growth of large-scale industries [3] - The railway, shipbuilding, and aerospace industries saw a year-on-year increase of 13.7% in added value, driven by major national projects. The shipbuilding and related equipment manufacturing industry experienced a significant growth of 29.7%, while the production of railway locomotives surged by 150% [5] New Product Development - New productive forces are actively developing, expanding new growth points. High-end products such as analog chips, 3D printing equipment, and industrial control computers and systems saw production increases of 29.8%, 24.2%, and 21.4%, respectively. The robotics industry is thriving, with production of robot reducers, industrial robots, and service robots growing by 48%, 24%, and 12.8% respectively [7]

Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes the significant growth in high-tech manufacturing and emerging industries in China, driven by both market demand and supportive policies, indicating a positive trend in industrial transformation and alignment with national development strategies [1][3][5]. Group 1: Industry Growth Highlights - In the first half of the year, the value added of high-tech manufacturing above designated size increased by 9.5%, with notable production growth in 3D printing equipment (43.1%), new energy vehicles (36.2%), and industrial robots (35.6%) [3][5]. - The rapid growth in related industries is attributed to strong market demand and supportive government policies, such as tax incentives and equipment upgrades [3][5]. Group 2: Global Value Chain Positioning - Despite rapid industrial development, China's industries need to enhance their position in the global value chain, as they currently face challenges in international competitiveness, particularly in terms of value-added products [7][8]. - The manufacturing sector, while large and accounting for about 30% of the global market, still needs to transition from low-end to mid-high-end production to improve competitiveness [7][8]. Group 3: Innovation and Business Models - Technological innovation is crucial for industrial transformation, but it must be complemented by innovative business models to effectively convert technology into value [9][10]. - Historical trends show that every technological revolution is accompanied by business model innovation, which is essential for sustainable development and competitive advantage [10]. Group 4: Employment Market Changes - The transformation of industries has led to structural changes in the labor market, with new job roles emerging that require skilled labor, while traditional roles are declining due to technological advancements [11][12]. - Addressing the mismatch between labor supply and demand necessitates reforms in the education system to better align workforce skills with industry needs [12]. Group 5: Financial Support for Transformation - The current financing structure in China, which relies heavily on indirect financing, does not adequately meet the needs of innovative enterprises that require long-term capital [13]. - To support industrial transformation, there is a need to increase the proportion of direct financing and develop capital markets to provide the necessary funding for innovation and equipment upgrades [13]. Group 6: Policy Recommendations - Fiscal and tax policies should be tailored to support high-tech and innovative industries without disrupting market competition, ensuring that companies remain motivated to innovate and compete in the market [14]. - Government support should focus on market-oriented financial mechanisms rather than solely relying on project-based funding, ensuring that policies effectively promote industrial transformation [14].

Summary of Haoneng Co., Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - Haoneng Co., Ltd. has established four main business segments: synchronizers, differentials, automotive and robotic reducers, and aerospace components, with each segment managed by different subsidiaries to achieve specialization [2][4] Financial Performance - For 2024, the company expects total revenue of 2.4 billion yuan, with synchronizers contributing 1.2 billion yuan (50%), differentials contributing 470 million yuan, and aerospace components contributing 280 million yuan [2][6] - The gross margin is projected to remain between 33%-34%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 320 million yuan, benefiting from the ramp-up of differential and other businesses [2][6] - By 2025, revenue is expected to reach 2.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of over 22%, and net profit is projected to be 490 million yuan, a growth of over 50% [3][13] Market Position and Growth Potential - Haoneng holds over 30% market share in the domestic passenger car synchronizer market, positioning it as a leading player [7] - The company has a comprehensive supply chain capability for synchronizers, serving major clients such as SAIC, FAW, Volkswagen, and BYD [7] - The domestic automotive synchronizer market is expected to reach 8 billion yuan by 2025, with the passenger car segment accounting for approximately 4 billion yuan [7] Business Segment Developments Differentials - The differential business is in a ramp-up phase, with a full supply chain layout and partnerships to accelerate technology iteration [8] - Major clients include BYD, Li Auto, Geely, and international firms like Toyota Magna and Schaeffler [8] Reducers - The company is actively developing both robotic and automotive reducers, with plans to achieve a production capacity of 2 million sets by 2027 [9][11] - The average price for automotive reducers is around 500 yuan, with revenue expected to grow as capacity is released [11] Aerospace Components - In the aerospace sector, Haoneng's subsidiary, Haoyi Qiang, is projected to generate 280 million yuan in revenue and 80 million yuan in net profit for 2024, with a gross margin of 48% [10] - The company has divested underperforming assets, anticipating improved performance in 2025 [10] Competitive Advantages - Haoneng possesses core competencies in gear manufacturing processes, including precision forging, heat treatment, and machining [14] - The company benefits from its geographical location in Sichuan, providing advantages in supporting local robotic enterprises [14] - Rapid advancements in the cycloidal pinwheel reducer segment and planned capacity expansions further enhance its competitive edge [14] Future Outlook - The growth in the main synchronizer business is driven by an expanding downstream market, increasing industry concentration, and the exploration of heavy-duty truck segments [13] - New businesses, including differentials and various reducers, are expected to rapidly release capacity and fulfill orders, supporting overall performance growth [13] - The company is well-positioned for future growth, with strong potential in both existing and new business segments [13]

Group 1 - The China Securities Industrial Internet Theme Index (931495) decreased by 0.91% as of June 19, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1] - Notable gainers included Northern Huachuang (002371) up 1.84%, China Software (600536) up 1.22%, and Qiming Star (002439) up 1.00%, while Newland (000997) led the decline [1] - In May, the national industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 5.8% year-on-year, with the equipment manufacturing sector seeing a 9% increase, contributing 54.3% to industrial production [1] Group 2 - The trend indicates that foreign industrial software giants are acquiring AI companies, significantly enhancing the intelligence level of domestic industrial software products [2] - The national government is accelerating the deployment of AI + industrial software initiatives, supporting pilot development of AI + CAE and AI + EDC products [2] - As of May 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Industrial Internet Theme Index accounted for 47.11% of the index, including BYD (002594) and Northern Huachuang (002371) [2]

Economic Overview - In May, the industrial added value above designated size increased by 5.8% year-on-year, while the total retail sales of consumer goods grew by 6.4% year-on-year, indicating a stable economic performance [1][4] - From January to May, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) rose by 3.7% year-on-year, reflecting ongoing economic resilience and vitality [1] Consumer Market Dynamics - The retail sales growth in May accelerated by 1.3 percentage points compared to the previous month, reaching the highest monthly level since 2024 [2] - The "old-for-new" consumption policy and the "618" e-commerce promotion significantly boosted consumer spending, with specific categories like home appliances and communication equipment seeing substantial growth [2] - The service retail sector also showed positive trends, with a 5.2% increase from January to May, indicating a recovery in consumer services [2] Industrial Production Insights - In May, 35 out of 41 major industries reported year-on-year growth in added value, showcasing a broad-based industrial recovery [4] - The equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors grew by 9.0% and 8.6% respectively, outpacing overall industrial growth [4] - Notable increases were observed in the production of smart drones and industrial robots, with growth rates of 85.9% and 35.5% respectively, highlighting advancements in industrial automation [4] Policy and Future Outlook - The government emphasizes the importance of expanding domestic demand and strengthening the domestic circulation to ensure sustainable economic growth [1][6] - There is a strong expectation for continued monetary easing and fiscal support measures aimed at stimulating consumption and stabilizing the real estate market [6]

Economic Growth - In May, the industrial added value above designated size increased by 5.8% year-on-year, maintaining a rapid growth rate [1] - The service production index grew by 6.2% year-on-year, with an acceleration of 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods (referred to as "social retail total") increased by 6.4% year-on-year, with a growth acceleration of 1.3 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] Consumer Spending - The social retail total's year-on-year growth rate in May was significantly higher than the market consensus forecast [1] - The chief economist of China Minmetals Bank noted that the growth rate of social retail total reached the highest level since early 2024, with a seasonally adjusted month-on-month increase of 0.93%, the highest for the same period in nearly five years [1] - Cumulative growth for service retail from January to May was 5.2%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points compared to January to April [1] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment growth has slowed, but there are expectations for a rebound in infrastructure investment as funding becomes available [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission aims to finalize the project list for this year's "two heavy" construction and central budget investment by the end of June [2] Industrial Development - The high-end, intelligent, and green development of industries is progressing steadily [2] - In May, the added value of the automotive manufacturing industry and computer communication and other electronic equipment manufacturing increased by 11.6% and 10.2% year-on-year, respectively [2] - Production of high-tech products such as 3D printing equipment and integrated circuits grew by 40% and 11.5%, respectively [2] Employment and Prices - The urban surveyed unemployment rate in May was 5%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, with youth unemployment rate declining for three consecutive months [3] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) saw a slight year-on-year decline, with the core CPI, excluding food and energy, showing an expanded increase compared to the previous month [3]

Economic Performance - In May, China's economy continued to show high-quality development, with the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increasing by 5.8% year-on-year, maintaining rapid growth [4] - The service production index rose by 6.2% year-on-year, with a 0.2 percentage point acceleration compared to the previous month, driven by stable growth in information and business services [4] - The total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 6.4% year-on-year, accelerating by 1.3 percentage points from the previous month, with significant growth in sales related to trade-in programs [4] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment in the first five months grew by 3.7% year-on-year, with continued expansion in investment scale, particularly in the aerospace and equipment manufacturing sectors, which saw double-digit growth [4][5] - High-tech manufacturing added value increased by 8.6% year-on-year, while digital product manufacturing added value rose by 9.1%, both significantly outpacing the overall industrial growth rate [5] Technological Advancements - Breakthroughs in cutting-edge fields such as artificial intelligence and humanoid robots have been observed, contributing to industrial upgrades [5] - The production of robot reducers and industrial robots saw year-on-year increases of 100% and 35.5%, respectively, indicating strong growth in the robotics sector [5] Policy Outlook - The government plans to implement more proactive macroeconomic policies to further expand domestic demand and ensure smooth economic circulation, reinforcing the foundation for continued economic improvement [5]