美元指数 在美元指数的表现上，周一美元指数呈现出上涨的态势。当日美元指数价格最高攀升至99.325的位置，最低则下探至98.808位置，最终以99.231的价格收 盘。回顾周一市场整体表现，价格在早盘期间短线先承压于四小时阻力，之后欧盘向上拉升，虽然当天最终收阳，但是目前谨慎追多，重点关注短期的调 整。 从多周期分析，周线价格经过前期持续震荡后于上周进行站稳，目前周线支撑于98区域，后续关注进一步中期多头。从日线级别看，随着时间的推移目前日 线支撑于98.40区域，价格此位置之上波段进一步上涨。从四小时上看，在上周五价格跌破四小时支撑位置，则短线偏承压，同时我们需要注意上周跳空缺 口位置，目前四小时阻力于99.10-20区间，价格短期在此位置上下盘整，后续持续关注此位置进一步跌破开启短期的调整动作。一小时上价格目前同样偏承 压。所以综合看目前激进者依托上周高点下于今日早盘附近看承压，保守者可以等待跌破99.10后再跟随。 欧美方面，周一欧美价格总体呈现下跌的状态。当日价格最低下跌至1.1557位置，最高上涨至1.1629位置，收盘于1.1568位置。回顾周一欧美市场表现，在 早盘期间价格短线进行震荡，随后欧盘 ...

Macroeconomic Overview - On June 4, international gold prices rose significantly by 0.56%, driven by complex global economic conditions. Poor U.S. economic data, such as the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI dropping to 49.9 and ADP employment figures falling short of expectations, led investors to seek refuge in gold, with prices reaching a peak of $3384.55 per ounce [1] - The U.S. dollar index fell by 0.5%, and the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds decreased, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold and enhancing its appeal [1] - The Trump administration's tariff policies, which doubled steel and aluminum import tariffs on June 4, have severely impacted global supply chains, further highlighting gold's safe-haven value [1] - Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut have surged, with a 77% probability for a cut in September, supported by ADP employment data and inflation pressures [1] - Investors are awaiting the U.S. non-farm payroll report on June 6, which will influence market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and subsequently affect gold prices [1] U.S. Dollar Index - On June 4, the U.S. dollar index exhibited a fluctuating trend, reaching a high of 99.372 and a low of 98.646, ultimately closing at 98.789 [2] - The market showed weak continuation after an initial upward movement, leading to a significant bearish close [2] - The weekly resistance level is noted at 101.10, suggesting a bearish outlook for the dollar index in the medium term [2] Gold Market - Gold prices on June 4 showed an overall upward trend, with a high of $3384.55 and a low of $3343.68, closing at $3372.24 [4] - The market is currently experiencing alternating bullish and bearish trends, with a focus on whether this pattern will continue [4] - Key support levels for gold are identified at $3320-$3322, with a critical threshold at $3360 for short-term movements [5][7] Euro and U.S. Dollar Pair - The Euro to U.S. dollar exchange rate showed an overall increase on June 4, with a low of 1.1356 and a high of 1.1434, closing at 1.1412 [7] - The market remains above key support levels, indicating a bullish outlook in the medium term [7]

Macroeconomic Overview - The recent release of economic data from the US has shown widespread weakness, with the Producer Price Index (PPI) unexpectedly declining by 0.5%, retail sales growth plummeting to 0.1%, and manufacturing output decreasing by 0.4%, significantly undermining market confidence in the US economy [1] - The US Treasury market experienced significant volatility, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping by 11 basis points and the 2-year yield falling by 9.2 basis points; the US dollar index decreased by 0.2% [1] - Geopolitical risks are escalating, with stalled negotiations between Russia and Ukraine and difficulties in the Iran nuclear deal talks, leading to increased interest in gold as a safe-haven asset [1] US Dollar Index - The US dollar index exhibited a downward trend, reaching a high of 101.05 and a low of 100.562, ultimately closing at 100.8 [2] - The index is currently facing resistance at the 102.90 level on a weekly basis, suggesting a bearish outlook in the medium term, while key support is identified at the 100.30 level [2] Gold Market - Gold prices showed a rebound, with a high of 3240.37 and a low of 3120.56, closing at 3229.59 [4] - The market is observing a four-month upward trend with a recent correction, and the price is supported at the 3100 level; a break below this support could lead to further downward pressure [5] - Short-term support is noted in the 3199-3200 range, with targets set at 3250, 3282, and 3325 [7] Euro and US Dollar Exchange Rate - The EUR/USD pair experienced an overall increase, with a low of 1.1167 and a high of 1.1227, closing at 1.1183 [8] - The market is currently supported at the 1.0800 level on a monthly basis, with a bearish outlook in the short term unless the price breaks above the daily resistance [8] Key Economic Data and Events - Upcoming economic data to watch includes the French ILO unemployment rate, Eurozone trade balance, US new housing starts, building permits, import price index, and consumer confidence index [10]

美元指数 在美元指数的表现上，周三美元指数呈现出上涨态势。当日美元指数价格最高攀升至99.95的位置，最低则下探至99.197，最终以 99.876的价格收盘。回顾周 三市场表现，在早盘期间价格短线直接上涨，随后价格压制再四小时阻力位置，但是伴随着时间的推移价格于隔夜强势突破，并且最终大阳收尾。 从多周期分析，周线级别来看价格压制在103.30区域阻力，那么从中期视角出发，美元指数的走势将更偏向于空头。在日线级别上价格站上99.40位置，那么 从波段看价格在日线关键位置上下盘整，但是整体上还是偏向于多。同时按照四小时级别看，价格在昨日突破四小时阻力位置，则短线上价格偏向多，目前 四小时支撑于99.50区域。同时按照短线一小时看价格目前短线有继续调整的表现，所以待价格后续测试日线及四小时支撑区域进一步看上行，上方关注 100-100.40区域。 宏观面 当地时间 5 月 7 日，美联储结束货币政策会议，连续第三次维持联邦基金利率目标区间在 4.25%-4.50% 不变。美联储称失业率稳定，劳动力市场稳固，但通 胀仍处高位，经济前景不确定性增加，失业率和通胀上升风险加大。美联储主席鲍威尔多次提及关税，称特朗普政府 ...

Macroeconomic Overview - The global economic and political landscape is complex, significantly impacting markets and international relations [1] - The US faces multiple pressures, with a decline in 2-year Treasury yields influenced by trade deficits and corporate pessimism, raising concerns about the impact of trade wars [1] - Traders expect the Federal Reserve to implement three rate cuts this year, with the first potentially in September, although investors remain worried about insufficient policy easing and uncertain market outlook [1] - Recent international trade developments include trade agreements between India and the UK, and the US and the UK, with some UK goods exempt from tariffs imposed by Trump [1] - In the energy market, OPEC+ unexpectedly increased production, leading to a drop in oil prices, with Saudi Arabia warning overproduction among member countries [1] - Political developments include Ukraine approving a mineral agreement with the US, and Oman reaching a freedom of navigation agreement with the US and Yemen [1] - Market participants are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's policy decisions, with expectations of no change in rates this time but potential future volatility [1] - Geopolitical tensions, including conflicts between Israel and Houthi forces, and between India and Pakistan, are also areas of concern for investors [1] US Dollar Index - The US dollar index showed a downward trend, with a high of 100.077 and a low of 99.143, closing at 99.239 [2] - The dollar index faced resistance at 99.60, and traders are advised to be cautious until a breakout occurs [2] - The index is currently in a low-level consolidation phase, with key support at 98.90 [2] Gold Market - Gold prices experienced an overall increase, reaching a high of 3434.61 and a low of 3323.14, closing at 3430.31 [4] - The price is supported by the daily line, and further upward movement is anticipated unless a significant drop occurs [4] - The market is advised to monitor the 3340-3350 range, maintaining a bullish outlook unless this range is broken [7] Euro and US Dollar Exchange Rate - The Euro to US Dollar exchange rate showed an upward trend, with a low of 1.1279 and a high of 1.1380, closing at 1.1368 [7] - The market is supported at 1.0800 for long-term positions, while short-term fluctuations are being monitored around 1.1320-1.1380 [9]