Summary of Conference Call on Recombinant Collagen Industry Industry Overview - Recombinant collagen technology has gained popularity in the beauty and skincare industry due to its ability to reduce allergic reactions associated with animal-derived collagen and optimize production costs [1][2] - The industry has seen significant supply-side innovations since 2022, with advancements in gene engineering technology facilitating the commercial production of recombinant collagen [2] Key Companies Jinbo Biotechnology - Jinbo Biotechnology is a leading player in the recombinant collagen medical aesthetics sector, with revenue projected to grow from 160 million yuan in 2020 to 1.44 billion yuan in 2024, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 70% [1][5] - The company's profit is expected to reach 730 million yuan in 2024, with a CAGR exceeding 100% [5] - Jinbo's new low-temperature gel filler product, approved in 2025, is anticipated to capture market share from animal-derived and regenerative materials [6] - The company plans to implement precise marketing strategies and product innovations to promote new products in the second half of the year [6] Juzhi Biotechnology - Juzhi Biotechnology has made significant strides in the functional skincare sector with products like the "collagen stick" and is expanding into niche markets such as scalp and intimate care [1][7] - The company benefits from national policy support, which has solidified its leading position in the industry [7] - Juzhi has transitioned to direct-to-consumer (DTC) online channels, enhancing sales performance through partnerships with top influencers on platforms like Tmall and Douyin [3][13] Jingbo Biotechnology - Jingbo has achieved progress in the research and certification of recombinant collagen products, accelerating its international market expansion [1][8] - The company has received certifications for functional skincare products in the U.S., Saudi Arabia, and Thailand, contributing to significant revenue growth [8] - Profit forecasts for Jingbo indicate 1.05 billion yuan in 2025 and 1.4 billion yuan in 2026, with a valuation of approximately 30 times earnings in 2025, decreasing to below 25 times in 2026 [9][10] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The acceptance of new products and materials by consumers is increasing, leading to the emergence of industry leaders like Jinbo and Juzhi in the medical aesthetics and functional skincare sectors [4] - The market for recombinant collagen is expected to grow as companies continue to innovate and expand their product offerings [6][7] - The focus on online sales channels and influencer marketing is driving growth in the skincare sector, with Juzhi's online sales showing exceptional performance [3][13] Important Considerations - Future performance indicators to watch include sales growth during the September and October periods, particularly around the Double Eleven shopping festival [16] - The approval of new medical aesthetic products will serve as a significant catalyst for growth, as current valuations primarily reflect cosmetics business performance [16][17] - Jinbo and Juzhi's advancements in recombinant collagen technology position them well for sustained growth in the evolving beauty and skincare market [18]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2025, indicating robust performance across various product lines and channels [1][2]. Revenue Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.113 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.52% [1]. - Revenue breakdown by product category: - Efficacy skincare products: 2.410 billion yuan, accounting for 77.4%, with a growth of 24.2% - Medical dressings: 693 million yuan, accounting for 22.3%, with a growth of 17.1% - Health food and others: 10 million yuan, accounting for 0.3%, with a growth of 16.3% [1]. - Revenue breakdown by sales channel: - Direct sales: 2.325 billion yuan, accounting for 74.7%, with a growth of 26.5% - Distribution: 787 million yuan, accounting for 25.3%, with a growth of 12.1% [1]. Profitability Metrics - The company reported a gross margin of 81.68%, down by 0.72 percentage points, and a net profit margin of 37.98%, also down by 0.72 percentage points [2]. - The decline in gross margin was attributed to product category expansion, while supply chain cost optimization mitigated some of the downward trend [2]. Cost Management - The company's expense ratio decreased to 37.99%, down by 1.63 percentage points, with a sales expense ratio of 34.01%, down by 1.10 percentage points [2]. - R&D expense ratio decreased to 1.32%, down by 0.59 percentage points, due to the transition of some R&D projects to commercialization and reduced share-based compensation [2]. R&D and Product Development - The company is enhancing its R&D capabilities and expanding its product matrix, which is expected to support long-term growth [2]. - New product launches, such as the collagen stick 2.0 and collagen mask 3.0, have received positive consumer feedback, indicating strong product vitality [2]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 7.056 billion yuan, 8.790 billion yuan, and 10.568 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 2.538 billion yuan, 3.189 billion yuan, and 3.867 billion yuan respectively [3]. - The company maintains a strong position in the collagen protein sector, with anticipated improvements in industry standing and penetration rates [3].

Core Insights - The company reported stable growth in its performance for the first half of 2025, achieving revenue of 3.113 billion with a year-on-year increase of 22.5% and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.182 billion, up 20.2% year-on-year [1] - The company maintains its full-year guidance, expecting a revenue growth rate of 25%-28% and a net profit of 2.5 billion to 2.55 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 21%-24% [1] Brand Performance - The brand "可复美" generated revenue of 2.542 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.7%, accounting for 81.7% of total revenue, with disposable products expected to represent 30% and dressings 25% of sales [1] - The brand "可丽金" achieved revenue of 503 million, up 26.9% year-on-year, although there was a slight decline in offline sales due to distributor impacts [1] Product Category Performance - Functional skincare products generated revenue of 2.410 billion, a year-on-year increase of 24.2%, while medical dressings brought in 693 million, up 17.0% year-on-year [1] - The growth in functional skincare revenue is attributed to refined operations across all channels, enhanced brand influence, and the successful launch of key products [1] Channel Performance - Direct sales channels generated revenue of 2.325 billion, a year-on-year increase of 26.5%, with online direct sales particularly strong at 391 million, up 133.6% due to targeted operations on e-commerce platforms [2] - Offline direct sales also saw significant growth, reaching 118 million, up 74.3%, driven by the accelerated layout of brand specialty stores [2] - The DTC store direct sales revenue was 1.816 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13.3%, while the distribution channel revenue was 787 million, up 12.1% [2] Profitability and Cost Structure - The company's gross margin and net margin for the first half of 2025 were 81.7% and 38.0%, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 0.7 percentage points and 0.6 percentage points [2] - The decline in gross margin is primarily due to the increased proportion of lower-margin functional skincare products [2] - The sales, management, and R&D expense ratios were 34.0%, 2.7%, and 1.3%, showing a decrease in sales expense ratio due to refined operational management and changes in channel structure [2] Investment Outlook - The company shows a robust growth trend in its mid-year report, with core brands continuing to drive significant growth through the launch of new products and expansion in both online and offline channels [3] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 2.549 billion, 3.092 billion, and 3.673 billion, corresponding to PE ratios of 20, 17, and 14 times, respectively, maintaining an "outperform" rating [3]

Core Insights - The company reported a robust growth in revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, with a revenue of 3.113 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.5%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.182 billion yuan, up 20.2% year-on-year [1][2] - The company's gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 81.68%, a decrease of 0.72 percentage points, while the net profit margin was 37.99%, down 0.61 percentage points [1] - The company is a leader in collagen protein skincare products in China, focusing on R&D and expanding into eight consumer brands [2] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's sales expense ratio improved by 1 percentage point to 34.01%, while the management expense ratio increased slightly by 0.07 percentage points to 2.65% [1] - The adjusted net profit for the first half of 2025 was 1.205 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.4% [1] Product and Brand Development - The company's flagship product line, "Kefumei," achieved a revenue of 2.54 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a 22.7% increase year-on-year [1] - The company launched the "Zhenyu Mixin" series in 2025, focusing on post-surgical skin repair, which aligns well with its medical beauty channel strategy [1] - The "Keli Jin" brand generated a revenue of 500 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 26.9% [1] Sales Channels and Market Expansion - The direct sales channel generated 2.325 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for 74.7% of total revenue, with the DTC channel contributing 1.816 billion yuan [2] - The company has expanded its offline presence to approximately 1,700 public hospitals, 3,000 private hospitals and clinics, over 130,000 pharmacy stores, and around 6,000 CS/KA stores, including 24 specialty stores in key domestic cities [2] - The company has begun to penetrate the Southeast Asian market by entering Watsons in Malaysia [2] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to the parent company of 2.505 billion yuan, 3.102 billion yuan, and 3.732 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 21, 17, and 14 times [2]

业绩稳健增长，控费良好 巨子生物(2367) ——巨子生物 2025 半年报点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 訾猛(分析师) | 021-38676442 | zimeng@gtht.com | S0880513120002 | | | | 闫清徽(分析师) | 021-38031651 | yanqinghui@gtht.com | S0880522120004 | [当前价格 Table_CurPrice] (港元)： | 52.25 | | 杨柳(分析师) | 021-38038323 | yangliu3@gtht.com | S0880521120001 | | | | 李艺冰(分析师) | 021-38676666 | liyibing@gtht.com | S0880525050001 | | | 本报告导读： 公司 2025H1 营收、归母净利润同比+23%、20%，业绩稳健增长，费用管控良好、 销售费用率同比下降 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3][18] Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 met market expectations, with revenue of 3.113 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 22.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.18 billion RMB, up 20.2% [8] - The company is expected to accelerate growth in H2 2025, with a focus on new product launches and expanding direct sales channels [2][8] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 3,524 million RMB - 2024: 5,539 million RMB - 2025E: 7,066 million RMB - 2026E: 8,842 million RMB - 2027E: 10,691 million RMB - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected at 49% for 2023, 57% for 2024, and gradually decreasing to 21% by 2027 [4][9] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from 1,452 million RMB in 2023 to 3,726 million RMB in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 45% in 2023 and 19% in 2027 [4][9] - The company's gross margin is expected to remain high, around 82-84% over the forecast period [4] Product and Market Insights - The company's flagship product, 可复美, generated revenue of 2.54 billion RMB in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.7% and accounting for 81.7% of total revenue [8] - New product launches, including the upgraded 胶原棒 2.0 and the 焦点面霜, have been well received in the market, contributing to revenue growth [8] - Direct sales revenue reached 2.33 billion RMB in H1 2025, up 26.5%, with significant growth in both online and offline channels [8] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.54 billion RMB, 3.12 billion RMB, and 3.73 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 20, 16, and 14 [8][9] - The company is well-positioned in the collagen protein market, with ongoing expansion into medical aesthetics and B2B segments anticipated to drive future growth [8]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The retail sector is experiencing a rise in emotional consumption trends, with leading retail companies actively transforming through quality retail, cross-border trendy play, and co-branding with fashion IPs, which is expected to lead to performance recovery and valuation revaluation in the long term [4][30] - The report highlights the ongoing disclosure of annual and quarterly reports, indicating that high-quality companies in high-prosperity sectors are worth monitoring [4][27] - The retail index has shown a slight increase of 0.07% recently, but has decreased by 5.00% since the beginning of 2025, underperforming the broader market [6][15] Summary by Sections Retail Market Review - The retail index closed at 2127.02 points, with a weekly increase of 0.07%, ranking 24th among 31 primary industries [6][15] - The supermarket sector showed the largest increase this week, while the watch and jewelry sector has led the gains since the beginning of 2025 [18][21] Retail Insights: Focus on Beauty Care, Gold Jewelry, and Traditional Retail - The report emphasizes the performance divergence among companies in the cosmetics, medical beauty, gold jewelry, and traditional retail sectors, with a positive outlook for quality companies in the retail sector due to the recovery of consumer demand [27][30] - Key companies such as Yonghui Supermarket and Aiying Room are highlighted for their proactive transformation and potential for performance recovery [41][42] Key Company Performances - Proya achieved a 28.9% increase in net profit in Q1 2025, supported by a series of new product launches [47] - Yonghui Supermarket reported a revenue of 174.79 billion yuan in Q1 2025, down 19.3% year-on-year, but is undergoing significant store renovations [30][46] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong growth potential in high-prosperity segments, including Proya, Aiying Room, and gold jewelry brands like Laopu Gold and Chaohongji [44][42]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the ongoing impact of tariff shocks and suggests focusing on high-quality retail channels and differentiated consumer brands that cater to domestic demand [4][22] - The report highlights the transformation of traditional retail, with Yonghui Supermarket leading the way in adapting to a consumer-centric retail era [4][22] - The rise of domestic brands and the recovery of consumer demand are seen as inevitable trends, with recommendations to focus on quality retail channels and differentiated brands [4][22] Summary by Sections Retail Market Review - The retail industry index rose by 2.88% during the week of April 7 to April 11, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which fell by 3.11% [6][13] - The supermarket sector showed the largest increase, with a weekly rise of 13.54% [14][17] - Notable individual stock performances included Guofang Group (+61.1%), Eurasia Group (+26.3%), and Nanning Department Store (+22.4%) [19][20] Industry Dynamics - Yonghui Supermarket has opened a "green channel" for domestic manufacturers affected by export restrictions, receiving over 100 cooperation requests from various sectors [4][22] - The report discusses the approval of a new collagen product by Jinbo Bio, which is expected to strengthen its leading position in the medical beauty sector [4][23] Investment Recommendations - Investment focus areas include: - Traditional retail: Highlighting companies like Yonghui Supermarket and Aiyingshi that are adapting to consumer trends [7][27] - Gold and jewelry: Recommendations for brands like Laopu Gold and Chaohongji that possess differentiated product capabilities [7][28] - Cosmetics: Emphasizing domestic brands such as Maogeping and Shangmei that are expanding into high-potential segments [7][28] - Medical aesthetics: Focusing on companies like Aimeike and Kedi that are positioned to benefit from the recovery in medical beauty consumption [7][28] Company-Specific Insights - Laopu Gold reported a revenue of 8.506 billion yuan (+167.5%) and a net profit of 1.473 billion yuan (+253.9%) for FY2024, indicating strong growth potential [29] - Yonghui Supermarket's revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 was 54.549 billion yuan (-12.1%), with a net loss of 78 million yuan, but it is undergoing significant transformation [32] - Jinbo Bio's new collagen product is expected to provide both immediate filling effects and stimulate collagen regeneration, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [23][24]