哈喽，大家好，今天小睿这篇行业观察，就来拆解网红烘焙一年关店8.7万背后的真相：流量神话破灭 后，烘焙行业的淘汰赛已进入白热化。 2025年末，85°C济南最后一家门店悄然闭店的消息，为网红烘焙行业的寒冬再添一抹凉意。 两个月前，这个曾需要排队半小时才能买到面包的"网红鼻祖"，刚刚关闭了北京的最后一家门店，据光 明网报道，其今年在大陆的关店数量已超40家，创下近五年新高。 不止85°C，拿过千万美元融资的杭州品牌欢牛、社交媒体上风头正劲的广莲申、新店仅存活9个月的祐 禾等新旧网红品牌，均难逃关店厄运。 美团数据显示，截至2024年12月15日，过去一年国内面包烘焙店关停数量达87658家，日均关店240家， 行业平均寿命仅32个月，57%的门店撑不过两年。 消费者的热情进一步点燃了市场，在社交货币的驱动下，"排队一小时、拍照五分钟"成为常态，发朋友 圈分享网红面包的仪式感，甚至超过了面包本身的食用价值。 这种消费心态让品牌的溢价策略屡屡得手，头部品牌招股书显示，当时行业毛利率普遍高达60%以上， 部分品牌客单价达65元，毛利率更是飙升至68%。 高额利润吸引资本蜂拥而入，2022年烘焙赛道融资达22起，网红烘 ...

窄播 . 关于商业的认知和乐趣。 以下文章来源于窄播 ，作者窄播 从人头涌动到频频关店。 文 ｜ 麻花（北京） 来源｜ 窄播 （ID：exact-interaction） 封面来源 ｜ pexels 一家购物中心可以容纳下多少家面包店？5个？10个？现在看来，这个数字可能太少了。 网红品牌云集的北京朝阳合生汇目前一共有23家烘焙店，其中包括总是在排队的B&C黄油与面包、UH祐禾、石头先生的烤炉和JOJO丹麦下午茶。而人流量 极高的上海龙之梦，眼下同时开着17家烘焙店，离它500米范围内，还有同样不缺客流的DRUNK BAKER和gluglu。 有业内人士将2024年看作是现制烘焙的元年，因为不少新兴连锁品牌都是在这一年开始大规模的全国连锁化和品牌化。人均消费在30元-40元的HOT CRUSH趁热集合、石头先生的烤炉、祐禾、RollING BEANS手作瑞士卷都从这一年开始大举开店，消费者一边喊着「月薪两万买不起面包」，一边仍然蜂 拥而至排在了店门口。 但紧接着，又有餐饮从业者将2025年总结为烘焙的内卷元年，因为狂飙一年后，烘焙的潮水正在逐渐褪去，行业也进入了优胜劣汰阶段：曾经需要靠黄牛才 能买上的Roll ...

文｜窄播 麻花 一家购物中心可以容纳下多少家面包店？5个？10个？现在看来，这个数字可能太少了。 网红品牌云集的北京朝阳合生汇目前一共有23家烘焙店，其中包括总是在排队的B&C黄油与面包、UH祐禾、石头先生的烤炉和JOJO丹麦下午茶。而人流 量极高的上海龙之梦，眼下同时开着17家烘焙店，离它500米范围内，还有同样不缺客流的DRUNK BAKER和gluglu。 有业内人士将2024年看作是现制烘焙的元年，因为不少新兴连锁品牌都是在这一年开始大规模的全国连锁化和品牌化。人均消费在30元-40元的HOT CRUSH趁热集合、石头先生的烤炉、祐禾、RollING BEANS手作瑞士卷都从这一年开始大举开店，消费者一边喊着「月薪两万买不起面包」，一边仍然 蜂拥而至排在了店门口。 但紧接着，又有餐饮从业者将2025年总结为烘焙的内卷元年，因为狂飙一年后，烘焙的潮水正在逐渐褪去，行业也进入了优胜劣汰阶段：曾经需要靠黄牛 才能买上的RollING BEANS橱窗前已经很少再需要排长队；在全国开出了250家店的热气饼店在南京、无锡和绍兴的门店先后关店；趁热集合2024年在南 京开出首店时曾经创下了排队两小时的盛况，却在开业 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transformation and opportunities within the Chinese baking industry, particularly focusing on the rise of e-commerce and live streaming as new sales channels for baking products, exemplified by the success story of Zheng Ma Qing Yun and his brand "Wang Pi Xiao Lao Ban" [1][11][32]. Group 1: Event Overview - The German Industrial Baking Localization and Nutritional Innovation Summit was held in Suzhou, Kunshan, featuring key figures from the German Consulate, Ston Group, and Wang Sen Education Group [1]. - The summit gathered experts and representatives from the baking industry to discuss the industrial transformation of the Chinese baking sector [1]. Group 2: Key Insights from Zheng Ma Qing Yun - Zheng Ma Qing Yun's live streaming channel "Wang Pi Xiao Lao Ban" achieved significant success, generating over 300 million in revenue after starting with a 10 million performance in the first year [11][20]. - His approach involved understanding consumer psychology and treating the live streaming space as a "retail experiment" [12][14]. - The success factors included timing advantages in live streaming and product selection, particularly focusing on health trends and niche markets like alkaline water bread [20][22]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The article highlights a shift in the baking industry where traditional metrics of profitability are being replaced by customer acquisition power, with baked goods serving as entry products to attract consumers [28][30]. - The concept of "sheep's wool coming from the chicken" illustrates how baked goods are used to drive traffic to higher-margin products in retail settings [28][30]. Group 4: Future Paths for White Brands - The future of white brands in the baking industry may follow three paths: being integrated into major retail/e-commerce platforms, strengthening niche segments, or upgrading to branded products [39]. - The emphasis is on transforming occasional purchases into daily consumption, aligning with health-conscious lifestyles [41].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the entrepreneurial journey of a community bakery named "Bread Commune" in Qingdao, focusing on its unique offerings and the founder's innovative approach to baking and customer engagement [2][4][48]. Group 1: Entrepreneurial Journey - The founder, Xiao He, transitioned from a corporate trade job to baking due to a personal need for authentic French bread, which was unavailable in her area [6][8]. - Initially lacking baking knowledge, Xiao He learned through online resources and formal training, demonstrating resilience and a willingness to adapt [11][12]. - The bakery was established to fill a market gap for healthier, savory breads, contrasting with the prevalent sweet options in the region [12][13]. Group 2: Product Offerings and Market Strategy - "Bread Commune" offers nearly 100 SKUs daily, including over 60 types of bread and 30 types of pastries, with the signature product being the ciabatta [25][27][30]. - The bakery emphasizes seasonal innovation and customer co-creation in product development, fostering a community-oriented atmosphere [36][40]. - Pricing strategy focuses on affordability, aiming to provide high value to customers, especially during economic downturns [42]. Group 3: Brand Growth and Customer Engagement - The bakery has gained a loyal customer base through word-of-mouth, with customers traveling long distances to purchase products [45][46]. - Transparency in the baking process and the use of high-quality ingredients, such as imported French flour, enhance customer trust and satisfaction [22][42]. - The founder's vision is to create a sustainable community bakery that prioritizes quality and customer relationships over rapid expansion [48][50].

Core Viewpoint - The Bakery China event emphasizes the importance of unique positioning and innovative strategies in the highly competitive baking industry, showcasing influential brand leaders who share practical insights and experiences [1][4]. Group 1: Event Overview - The event features 12 prominent baking brand leaders from across the country, representing various segments including chain brands and niche boutiques [1][4]. - The salon aims to address real issues faced by baking professionals, focusing on practical solutions rather than theoretical discussions [5][8]. Group 2: Key Themes and Discussions - Two main discussion themes are highlighted: "Creating Differentiated Competitive Products" and "Building Warm, Consumer-Centric Baking Brands" [5][27]. - Topics include strategies for launching new products that attract attention, leveraging regional cultural elements for brand identity, and balancing innovation with stability [6][8]. Group 3: Notable Brand Leaders - Featured brand leaders include: - **Fournil**: A French bakery brand emphasizing artisanal craftsmanship and innovative concepts [13]. - **HORSE VICTORY**: Known for its award-winning French pastries and commitment to quality [16]. - **不雷的面包**: Focuses on creating popular and unique bread experiences [19]. - **猫咪面团**: A community bakery in Hangzhou known for its diverse offerings and high customer ratings [21]. - **蜜糖和果树**: Specializes in unique cake concepts and high-quality ingredients [23]. - **觉醒**: A high-quality handmade bakery focusing on Japanese and French styles [37]. - **Woodoo呜嘟呜嘟**: A brand targeting younger consumers with visually appealing products [40]. Group 4: Market Insights - The event provides a platform for sharing real-world case studies and operational strategies, offering actionable insights for emerging or upgrading baking brands [8][10]. - The focus is on practical applications in product strategy, community engagement, and store design, making it relevant for industry participants [8][10].