炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 编者按："十五五"时期是前沿科技驱动产业变革、重塑全球未来竞争格局的关键五年。本报即日起推 出"十五五"产业看台系列报道，深度追踪相关新兴产业与未来产业的政策演进、技术突破与市场动态， 力求通过专业解读，为把握新质生产力发展主线、探索中国式现代化产业路径，提供决策参考。敬请期 待。 万亿市场： 低空经济正迈向万亿元规模"新蓝海" 2026年被业内视作低空经济从概念验证迈入场景化应用的元年。 低空经济是以低空飞行活动为核心，以无人驾驶飞行、低空智联网等技术组成的新质生产力与空域、市 场等要素相互作用，来带动低空基础设施、低空飞行器制造、低空运营服务和低空飞行保障等领域发展 的综合性经济形态。 近年来，我国将低空经济列为新质生产力关键领域，通过政策、技术、场景多方面发力推动其规模化产 业化。在多重利好下，低空经济市场潜力巨大，产业链已步入快速发展期。 企查查数据显示，2016—2022年，低空经济相关企业年注册量维持在0.81万—1.54万家之间；2023年以 来，低空经济相关企业注册量逐年增长；2025年注册量升至4.9万家，同比增长14 ...

Group 1: Commercial Aerospace Insights - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has introduced policies to support quality commercial rocket companies for listing, focusing on reusable rocket payloads as a core standard[6] - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to maintain stable or potentially increasing value under cost reduction trends, with key targets identified in satellite payloads and platforms[3] - Significant growth is anticipated in the satellite constellation deployment, with the G60 constellation aiming to launch 1,296 satellites by the end of 2027 and 15,000 by 2030[19] Group 2: Consumer-Level Engraving Machines - xTool plans to go public in Hong Kong, with revenue projected to grow from CNY 14.6 billion in 2023 to CNY 24.8 billion in 2024, reflecting a 70% year-on-year increase[29] - The company holds a 35.1% market share in the consumer-level laser engraving tool market, positioning it as a leading player[48] - The business model of xTool includes a closed loop of "equipment + consumables + software + ecosystem," enhancing customer retention and engagement[32] Group 3: Zhengli New Energy Developments - Zhengli New Energy reported a revenue of CNY 31.7 billion in the first half of 2025, a 71.9% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of CNY 2.2 billion, marking a successful turnaround[55] - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand in the electric vehicle and energy storage markets, with a projected increase in global energy storage battery shipments from 530 GWh in 2025 to 1,343 GWh by 2028[55]

Core Viewpoint - The "Three-Year Action Plan for Expanding Private Investment in Guizhou Province" aims to enhance private investment confidence and stimulate high-quality development of private investment in Guizhou [1][2]. Group 1: Key Measures - The plan outlines 18 measures to optimize the investment environment, expand market access, eliminate hidden barriers, and strengthen project construction and policy support [1]. - By 2027, Guizhou aims for private investment growth to exceed the overall fixed asset investment growth, targeting a private investment share of approximately 42% of total fixed asset investment [1]. Group 2: Focus Areas - Eight key tasks focus on enhancing industrial private investment, expanding investment in advantageous industries, and stabilizing private investment in real estate development [1]. - Guizhou will concentrate on six major industrial clusters, including digital intelligence, new energy, and advanced manufacturing, as well as three characteristic industries such as textiles and health medicine [1]. Group 3: Digital Transformation and Low-altitude Economy - The plan promotes private enterprises' participation in the "Digital Guizhou" initiative, encouraging the application of AI in various sectors and supporting digital transformation [2]. - It also aims to guide private enterprises in developing the low-altitude economy, including investments in aviation batteries and drone manufacturing [2]. Group 4: Investment Facilitation - The plan emphasizes the need to streamline investment project approval processes, with specific timelines for various permits and a total approval time of 35 working days for private investment projects [3]. - It includes measures to promote quality projects with investments over 50 million RMB and encourages financial institutions to increase credit support for private enterprises [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing rapid development driven by its "Land-Sea-Air Interconnection" strategy, achieving significant growth in revenue and profitability while expanding its product offerings in power, energy storage, and aviation battery sectors [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's revenue reached 3.17 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 71.9%, with a net profit of 220 million yuan, marking a successful turnaround to profitability [1] - The gross profit margin improved to 18%, indicating enhanced scale effects and profitability resilience [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The demand for electric batteries is being driven by the high growth in the downstream new energy vehicle and energy storage markets, with new energy vehicle sales reaching 11.2 million units in the first three quarters of 2025, achieving a penetration rate of 46% [1] - The global energy storage battery shipment is expected to grow from 530 GWh in 2025 to 1343 GWh by 2028, becoming a new engine for lithium battery demand [1] Group 3: Competitive Positioning - The company has established deep partnerships with key clients such as Leap Motor and SAIC, significantly enhancing order visibility [2] - The total production capacity is projected to reach 35.5 GWh in 2025 and 50.5 GWh by 2027, laying a solid foundation for continued output growth [2] - The company is expected to strengthen its cost advantages and technological premium through lean manufacturing capabilities and diversified customer structures [2] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand in both the power and energy storage sectors, with expectations of significant profit growth as production scales up [3] - Forecasted net profits for the company are 540 million yuan, 1.21 billion yuan, and 1.84 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 36, 16, and 11 times [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report highlights the growing adoption of new energy passenger vehicles in the lithium battery downstream sector and the explosive growth in the energy storage sector due to the parity of solar and storage construction [1] - The company, Zhengli New Energy, is positioned as a leader in the lithium battery industry, benefiting from its lean manufacturing and expanding market share [1] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 540 million, 1.21 billion, and 1.84 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 36, 16, and 11 times based on the closing price on December 24 [1] Group 2 - The company has adopted a strategic focus on "land, sea, and air interconnection," driving high-quality growth through multi-dimensional layout [2] - Since its establishment in 2019, the company has entered a rapid development phase characterized by technological accumulation, capacity expansion, and customer development, achieving a revenue of 3.17 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 71.9% [2] - The company has successfully turned a profit with a net profit of 220 million yuan and a gross margin increase to 18%, indicating enhanced profitability and scale effects [2] Group 3 - The dual drivers of energy storage and electric vehicles are leading to a high level of market activity, with domestic new energy vehicle sales reaching 11.2 million units and a penetration rate of 46% in the first three quarters of 2025 [3] - The global energy storage battery shipment is expected to grow from 530 GWh in 2025 to 1,343 GWh in 2028, becoming a new engine for lithium battery demand [3] - The company is expected to enhance its market share and profitability due to the recovery of the industry and its technological advantages [3] Group 4 - The company has established deep partnerships with key clients such as Leap Motor and SAIC, significantly improving order visibility [3] - The company's production capacity is projected to reach 35.5 GWh in 2025 and 50.5 GWh in 2027, laying a solid foundation for continued output growth [3] - The company's lean manufacturing capabilities and differentiated product offerings are expected to enhance its cost advantages and technical premium, continuously releasing profit growth potential [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan highlights the growing adoption of new energy passenger vehicles in the lithium battery downstream sector and the explosive growth period for energy storage due to the parity of solar and storage systems. The company Zhengli New Energy (03677) is positioned to benefit significantly from its lean manufacturing and increasing market share in both the power and energy storage sectors [1]. Group 1: Company Performance - Zhengli New Energy is expanding its customer base and new vehicle models in the power sector, with energy storage cell shipments expected to ramp up soon, leading to scale effects [1]. - The company reported a revenue of 3.17 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 71.9%, and achieved a net profit of 220 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses, with a gross margin of 18% [2]. - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 540 million yuan, 1.21 billion yuan, and 1.84 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 36, 16, and 11 times based on the closing price on December 24 [1]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The demand for lithium batteries is expected to grow significantly, driven by the continuous high demand in the new energy vehicle and energy storage markets, with new energy vehicle sales reaching 11.2 million units and a penetration rate of 46% in the first three quarters of 2025 [3]. - The global energy storage battery shipment is projected to increase from 530 GWh in 2025 to 1,343 GWh by 2028, becoming a new engine for lithium battery demand [3]. - The lithium battery industry is entering a supply-demand improvement cycle, characterized by a competitive landscape where leading companies dominate while diverse players also contribute [3]. Group 3: Technological and Operational Advantages - The company has established deep partnerships with key clients such as Leap Motor and SAIC, significantly enhancing order visibility [3]. - With a planned production capacity of 35.5 GWh in 2025 and an expected increase to 50.5 GWh by 2027, the company is well-positioned for sustained shipment growth [3]. - The company's lean manufacturing capabilities and differentiated product offerings across various technological routes are expected to enhance its product premium and cost advantages, driving continuous profit growth [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the growing adoption of new energy passenger vehicles in the downstream lithium battery sector and the explosive growth period for energy storage due to the parity of solar and storage systems [1] - The company, Zhengli New Energy, is positioned as a leading player in the lithium battery industry, benefiting from its lean manufacturing and increasing market share [1] - Since its establishment in 2019, the company has experienced rapid development through technological accumulation, capacity expansion, and customer acquisition, entering a phase of quality and efficiency breakthroughs [1] Group 2 - The demand for power batteries is expected to rise due to the acceleration of commercial vehicle electrification and increased battery capacity per vehicle, driven by favorable policies in Western Europe and expanding products in emerging markets [2] - Global energy storage battery shipments are projected to increase from 530 GWh in 2025 to 1,343 GWh by 2028, becoming a new engine for lithium battery demand [2] - The lithium battery industry is entering a supply-demand improvement cycle, characterized by a competitive landscape where leading companies dominate while diverse players advance [2]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2][7] Core Insights - The company is positioned for high-quality growth driven by its "Land-Sea-Air Interconnection" strategy, with a focus on power, energy storage, and aviation battery sectors. It has achieved significant milestones, including the certification and mass production of aviation-grade power batteries [6][15] - The demand for power and energy storage batteries is expected to rise significantly, supported by the increasing penetration of electric vehicles and the global energy storage market. The company is anticipated to benefit from this demand surge [6][44] - The company has demonstrated strong financial performance, with a revenue of 3.17 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 71.9%, and a net profit of 220 million yuan, marking a successful turnaround [6][30] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 4.16 billion yuan - 2024: 5.13 billion yuan - 2025E: 7.94 billion yuan - 2026E: 12.98 billion yuan - 2027E: 18.04 billion yuan - The expected growth rates are 26.48% for 2023, 23.28% for 2024, and 54.78% for 2025 [5] - The net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders is projected to be: - 2023: -590 million yuan - 2024: 91 million yuan - 2025: 537 million yuan - 2026: 1.21 billion yuan - 2027: 1.84 billion yuan [5] Market Dynamics - The global demand for energy storage batteries is expected to grow from 530 GWh in 2025 to 1,343 GWh by 2028, becoming a new engine for lithium battery demand [6][49] - The company is expected to increase its market share and benefit from the recovery of the industry and its technological advantages, leading to improved profitability [6][44] Strategic Focus - The company has established a robust governance structure and a stable ownership model, which supports its long-term development. The management team has extensive industry experience and international management capabilities [6][24][28] - The company has a clear product strategy, focusing on high energy density and safety in its battery offerings, which positions it well in the competitive landscape [6][18][21]

Core Insights - The eVTOL (electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing) aircraft and helicopters share similar appearances and missions but differ fundamentally in their propulsion systems and operational efficiencies [1][2][3] - eVTOLs are positioned as the future of low-altitude transportation, with strategic advantages in supply chain control and potential for rapid growth in the low-altitude economy [3][6][14] Group 1: Market Dynamics - eVTOLs are currently more expensive and have shorter ranges compared to helicopters, with examples showing eVTOL prices being approximately 30% higher than comparable helicopters [9][11] - The global eVTOL market is projected to reach $28.6 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 54.9%, significantly outpacing the traditional helicopter market [18][20] - China's low-altitude economy has been officially recognized in the national five-year plan, indicating strong governmental support for the eVTOL sector [6][20] Group 2: Technological Advantages - eVTOLs utilize a modular and scalable manufacturing approach, which contrasts with the complex mechanical systems of helicopters, leading to potential long-term cost advantages [42][50] - The shift from traditional mechanical systems to electric propulsion in eVTOLs allows for reduced maintenance costs and improved operational efficiency [55][56] - eVTOLs can achieve significant energy savings, with operational costs being a fraction of those of traditional helicopters due to lower energy consumption and maintenance requirements [55][56] Group 3: Strategic Positioning - The development of eVTOLs is seen as a strategic move for China to leverage its existing strengths in the electric vehicle and aerospace industries, creating a robust supply chain for eVTOL production [13][28][41] - The integration of advanced technologies from the electric vehicle sector into eVTOL design enhances performance and safety, positioning China favorably in the global eVTOL market [33][38] - The eVTOL industry is expected to benefit from the lessons learned in the electric vehicle sector, particularly in battery technology and manufacturing processes [28][41]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that Zhengli New Energy (03677) is expected to achieve a turning point in profitability, with net profit and operating profit turning positive in 2024 and the first half of 2025, respectively. The company is projected to see significant revenue growth in the coming years, with a "buy" rating given due to strong profit growth potential and sales exceeding industry averages [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company is expected to achieve total revenue of 4.16 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.8%, with a net profit of 90 million yuan, marking its first profit [2]. - For the first half of 2025, revenue is projected to reach 3.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 71.9%, with a net profit of 220 million yuan, and operating profit turning positive for the first time at 87.3 million yuan [2]. Sales Volume - The company has seen a significant increase in sales volume, with a year-on-year growth of 99.2% to 7.82 GWh in the first half of the year, increasing its market share from 0.03% in 2022 to 2% [3]. - Looking ahead to the second half of 2025 and 2026, the company expects continued growth in sales volume driven by new model releases, with annual sales projected to reach 18.89 GWh and 30.04 GWh, respectively, representing a year-on-year increase of 59% for both years [3]. Production Capacity - The company anticipates an increase in utilization rate to 76.2% in 2025, ensuring sufficient output for customers, with expectations of full production during peak seasons. Additionally, 10 GWh and 15 GWh of new capacity are expected to be added in 2026 and 2027, respectively [3]. Profitability - The company’s unit profitability is expected to continue rising due to increased scale and improved utilization rates. The report highlights that the reduction in R&D and management costs due to scale, along with decreased unit depreciation from higher utilization rates, are key factors driving this profitability [4]. - The company is projected to see its utilization rate increase from 62.9% in the first half of 2025 to 76.2% and 86.3% in 2026, further enhancing unit profitability [4]. Second Growth Curve - The company has achieved mass production and delivery of aviation batteries, which are expected to create a second growth curve. It is the first in China's battery industry to obtain both AS9100D aerospace quality management certification and CAAC airworthiness certification. The aviation batteries are anticipated to have higher value and profit margins compared to automotive batteries [5].