证 券 研 究 报 告 销量增长势能持续，公司经营持续向上 目标价：26.04 港元 事项： ❖ 吉利汽车发布 2025 年 8 月产销快报，销量 25.0 万辆，同比+38%，环比+5.2%。 公司发布 2025 年中报，1H25 实现营收 1,503 亿元，同比+27%；核心归母净 利 67 亿元，同比+1.0 倍。 评论： [主要财务指标 ReportFinancialIndex] | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入(百万元) | 241,099 | 353,486 | 449,730 | 530,146 | | 同比增速(%) | 33.52% | 46.61% | 27.23% | 17.88% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 16,632 | 16,006 | 21,829 | 26,579 | | 同比增速(%) | 213.32% | -3.77% | 36.38% | 21.76% | | 每股盈利(元) | 1.65 | 1.58 | 2.16 | 2.63 | | 市盈率( ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a neutral investment rating for the automotive and parts industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The upcoming launch of the Huawei brand vehicle, the Zun Jie S800, is expected to enhance market competition in the luxury car segment, leveraging Huawei's strengths in technology and branding [11][40] - The report suggests continued focus on the Huawei supply chain, autonomous driving technology leaders, and certain state-owned enterprises that may reverse their current challenges through reforms and collaborations [2][13] - The report highlights strong order volumes for the Wanjie M8 and M9 models, indicating a positive trend for the Wanjie brand [11] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The automotive sector outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a weekly increase of 1.8%, ranking second among 29 primary industries [15] - The passenger vehicle segment saw a significant increase of 5.48%, while the automotive parts sector experienced a slight decline of 0.70% [15] Sales Tracking - From May 1-18, 2025, the wholesale sales of passenger vehicles reached 858,000 units, marking an 18% year-on-year increase, while retail sales reached 932,000 units, up 12% year-on-year [23] - Cumulative wholesale sales for the year reached 9.326 million units, reflecting a 12% increase compared to the previous year [23] Key Companies to Watch - Recommended companies include SAIC Motor, JAC Motors, BYD, Changan Automobile, and several others in the automotive and parts sectors, with specific buy ratings for some [14] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring companies involved in the Huawei supply chain and humanoid robotics [2][13] Industry Developments - The report notes the upcoming testing of Tesla's Robotaxi project, which will operate without safety drivers, showcasing advancements in autonomous driving technology [12] - Figure Robotics has achieved a significant milestone by completing 20-hour shifts in BMW's production line, indicating progress in robotics for manufacturing [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a neutral investment rating for the automotive and parts industry [5] Core Insights - The upcoming launch of the Huawei brand vehicle, the Zun Jie S800, is expected to enhance market competition in the luxury car segment, leveraging Huawei's strengths in technology and branding [11][40] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the Huawei supply chain, autonomous driving technology leaders, and state-owned enterprises in the automotive sector for potential investment opportunities [2][14] - The report highlights significant order volumes for the Wanjie M8 and M9 models, indicating a positive trend in brand recovery and sales growth [11][12] Industry Overview - The automotive industry is experiencing stable revenue growth, with first-quarter performance exceeding average levels [7] - The automotive sector's performance is reflected in the stock market, with the automotive industry index showing a 1.8% increase, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which decreased by 0.2% [15] - The passenger vehicle segment has shown a notable increase of 5.48%, while the automotive parts sector has slightly declined by 0.70% [15] Sales Tracking - From May 1 to May 18, 2025, the wholesale sales of passenger vehicles reached 858,000 units, marking an 18% year-on-year increase [23] - Cumulative wholesale sales for the year reached 9.326 million units, reflecting a 12% year-on-year growth [23] - The retail sales for the same period were 932,000 units, a 12% increase compared to the previous year [23] Key Companies to Watch - Recommended companies for investment include SAIC Motor, JAC Motors, BYD, Changan Automobile, and others, with specific buy ratings assigned to several of them [2][14] - The report suggests continuous monitoring of companies involved in the Huawei supply chain, humanoid robotics, and autonomous driving technology [2][14]