未经许可，不得转载或者引用。 投资要点 为什么在2020年整车行情出现向上拐点？ 2020年起虽有疫情干扰，但指数开始向上，主要原因为行业销量同比转正；新能源渗透 率开始出现实质性的拐点，且本轮新能源浪潮带动自主品牌份额显著提升，自主整车车企分得 更多行业蛋糕。 n新能源渗透率出现核心拐点的原因主要为：特斯拉国产化后带来产业趋势 强化，Model 3迅速爬坡上量成为爆款。产业链经济性的改善带来供给端百花齐放。 几次整车指数见底向上分别发生了什么？ 21年5月：电动化逻辑仍很强势（渗透率约为10%），终端需求未减弱，缺芯阶段性缓解。 行 业缺芯问题从2021年初开始全面爆发，指数对应下跌。21年5月开始市场普遍预期7-8月供应问 题将逐步缓解（预计马来西亚芯片工厂8月将复工等），股价提前反应行业基本面改善的前 景。 22年5月：电动化逻辑较强势（渗透率约为25%），封控区复工复产，购置税补贴政策落地， 电池成本高位震荡。 22Q1上海等地由于疫情影响长三角地区供应链体系也受到较大影响，同 时电池成本飙升，指数快速调整。22年5月国常会宣布阶段性减征乘用车购置税 600 亿元，对 30 万元以下、2.0L 及以下 ...

文｜祎 依 编辑｜张 坤 在价格战反复上演、技术快速下沉、淘汰压力持续加码的背景下，2025年已经成为过去。 这一年，中国汽车产业没有出现戏剧性的逆转时刻，却在持续的高强度运行中，完成了一次重要过渡：电动化进入普及区间，智能化开始接受安全与责任 的现实检验；企业扩张的冲动被压缩，效率、治理与组织能力被推到更显眼的位置。 一些旧的竞争方式正在失效。一味依赖规模、速度和营销话语，越来越难以支撑长期增长；取而代之的，是对技术边界、产业协同和规则秩序的重新重 视。无论是反内卷治理、国企改革推进，还是出海逻辑与资本路径的变化，这些看似分散的事件，正在共同指向一个事实——中国汽车产业，正在进入一 个更重耐力、也更考验成熟度的阶段。 基于我们的观察，仅以几个关键瞬间，回顾2025年的中国汽车。 反内卷全面启动：中国汽车被拉回规则竞争 但答案不止于反内卷，更在于摒弃同质化竞争 新长安成立，央企改革这堂课有了鲜活新案例 对一个长期强调市场竞争的行业而言，这样的高强度介入并不常见，却并不令人意外。 因为以价格战为代表的内卷式恶性竞争，早已不只是企业之间的博弈问题。价格持续下探，吞噬整车企业利润的同时，也通过账期、压库和成本转嫁， ...

比亚迪在车展上展出的PHV（2025年11月、广东省广州市） 比亚迪2025年EV乘用车销量为225万辆，竞争对手特斯拉预计降至164万辆。比亚迪将远超特斯拉。不 过，与以往相比，比亚迪的增长明显放缓。尤其在中国国内，比亚迪在价格和技术两个方面与竞争对手 的差距正在缩小…… 中国汽车大企业比亚迪（BYD）按自然年计算首次跃居纯电动汽车（EV）世界销量首位已成定局。比 亚迪的2025年EV新车销量同比增长约3成，预计已超过美国EV大企业特斯拉。尽管比亚迪的新车销量 迅速增长，但在中国市场的逆风增强，也正面临增长放缓的问题。 比亚迪2025年的EV乘用车销量同比增长28%，达到225万辆。竞争对手特斯拉公布了2025年EV销量的市 场预测平均值，预计将减少8%，降至164万辆。因此，比亚迪将首次成为世界第一，而且销量大大超过 特斯拉。 除EV之外，包括插电式混合动力车（PHV）等在内的比亚迪2025年新车销量整体增长8%，达到460万 辆。比亚迪从2021年起新车销量（21年为74万辆）持续快速增长，2024年超过本田和日产。2025年也连 续5年同比增长，但与以往相比增速明显放缓。 比亚迪在中国国内销量的减速产 ...

关注 「电动车公社」 和我们一起重新思考汽车 新的一年已经到来，先祝大家2026年新年快乐！ 随着新年钟声敲响，各家车企也迎来一整年的完美收官。新能源汽车整体渗透率同步登上高位，一次次刷新月销量成绩单，最终拿出了优异的年终总结。 话不多说，让我们一起来看看12月份各家的表现吧~ 比亚迪12月乘用车销量414784台 12月，比亚迪乘用车销量414784台。其中方程豹50868台，腾势18139台。比亚迪乘用车全年累计销量4545423台。 1、 今年比亚迪平均单月销量超过37万辆， 再度成为不用加定语的自主品牌销冠， 保持着新能源领域的断崖式领先。值得关注的还有比亚迪12月份 出口量大幅增 长，全年出口量突 破100万辆。 最近 一段时间比亚迪各个子品牌销量全线上升，钛系列的飞速增长让方程豹成为最大惊喜。相信在未来很长一段时间，比亚 迪依然会保持销量上的领先。 2、 吉利汽车12月新能源销量154264台 吉利汽车12月总销量236817台，其中新能源销量154264台。细分品牌方面，银河品牌100694台，领克品牌33751台， 极氪品牌30267台。吉利汽车全年销量 3024567台。 "持续向前"是吉利 ...

公司电动化转型正在加速，高性价比产品策略取得成效，在各个主流价格区间都有市场认可的产品。公 司汽车业务整合后有望降低采购成本、共享技术，产品整体竞争力有望提升。2026 年汽车补贴延续， 汽车市场有望维持景气度，公司销量增长可期。根据公司11 月18 日公告，公司完成对极氪的私有化 后，将进行股份回购，总金额不超过23 亿港元，预计对股价有提振作用。我们预计公司2025/2026/2027 年净利润分别至170.6/218.5/281.8 亿元，扣除一次性收益的影响， YOY 分别为+80%/+28%/+29% ， EPS 分别为1.59/2.04/2.62 元。当前股价对应P/E 分别为9.6/7.5/5.8 倍，建议"买进"。 机构：群益证券(香港) 研究员：沈嘉婕 结论与建议： 12 月22 日，公司发布公告，宣布完成极氪私有化并于纽交所退市。公司通过发行股份（占70.8%）和 支付现金（占29.2%）完成此项交易。合并后公司汽车业务在研发、营销、采购等方面将进一步整合， 运营效率有望提升。 极氪完成私有化，运营效率有望提升：12 月22 日，公司发布公告，宣布完成极氪私有化并于纽交所退 市，极氪将成为 ...

群益证券主要观点如下： 公司电动化转型正在加速，高性价比产品策略取得成效，在各个主流价格区间都有市场认可的产品 公司汽车业务整合后有望降低采购成本、共享技术，产品整体竞争力有望提升。2026年汽车补贴延续， 汽车市场有望维持景气度，公司销量增长可期。根据公司11月18日公告，公司完成对极氪的私有化后， 将进行股份回购，总金额不超过23亿港元，预计对股价有提振作用。该行预计公司2025/2026/2027年净 利润分别至170.6/218.5/281.8亿元，扣除一次性收益的影响，YOY分别为+80%/+28%/+29%，EPS分别为 1.59/2.04/2.62元。当前股价对应P/E分别为9.6/7.5/5.8倍，建议"买进"。 群益证券发布研报称，12月22日，吉利汽车(00175)发布公告，宣布完成极氪私有化并于纽交所退市。 公司通过发行股份(占70.8%)和支付现金(占29.2%)完成此项交易。合并后公司汽车业务在研发、营销、 采购等方面将进一步整合，运营效率有望提升。建议买进。 公司电动化加速，2026年产品矩阵将进一步完善 2025年公司电动化进程加速，1-11月公司累计销售汽车278.78万辆，Y ...

Core Viewpoint - Geely Automobile has completed the privatization of Zeekr and will delist from the New York Stock Exchange, aiming to enhance operational efficiency through integration of its automotive business [1][3] Group 1: Privatization and Integration - The privatization of Zeekr was completed on December 22, with approximately 70.8% of shareholders opting for stock exchange and 29.2% for cash compensation, resulting in a cash payment of $701 million [1][3] - Following the merger, the company expects to reduce R&D investment by 10% to 20%, lower BOM costs by 5% to 8%, and improve capacity utilization by 3% to 5% [3] Group 2: Electric Vehicle Strategy - The company is accelerating its electrification process, with total vehicle sales reaching 2.7878 million units from January to November, a year-on-year increase of 41.8%, and new energy vehicle sales reaching 1.5335 million units, up 97% [4] - The company plans to launch multiple new models in 2026, including three SUVs and two sedans under the Galaxy brand, and aims to strengthen its export of new energy vehicles, expecting a 50% year-on-year increase [4] Group 3: Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 17.06 billion, 21.85 billion, and 28.18 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 80%, 28%, and 29% [2][5] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 9.6, 7.5, and 5.8 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a recommendation to "buy" [2][5]

Group 1 - The core topic of the article discusses the characteristics and target demographics of pure electric small cars, particularly focusing on urban transportation models [1] - The MG4 model has achieved significant sales success, with a sales share of 70% [3] - Current policy incentives include a manufacturer subsidy of 3000, interest-free loans of 50000 for two years, lifetime warranty on the battery, motor, and electronic systems, and home charging solutions [4] Group 2 - The customer base for MG4 consists of 80% repeat buyers and 80% from the working class, with key considerations being range and space, preferring compact and easy-to-park vehicles [4] - Customers also value the smart features of the car, requiring smooth operation and responsive controls, with MG4 meeting these demands [5] - Main competitors include Xingyuan, Jihu T1, Bingguo S, and Haiou, with MG4 having advantages in configuration and motor power [6][7] Group 3 - In a local third-tier city, the BYD Haiou model has maintained stable sales, with discounts ranging from 6000 to 7000, and a "super replacement" subsidy of 3000 [10] - The target demographic for small cars includes families, particularly for commuting and child transportation, with price being the primary concern for buyers [10] - The main competitors are the Geely Xingyuan and Wuling Bingguo, with the brand reputation of BYD providing a competitive edge [10] Group 4 - The Xingyuan model is described as extremely popular, consistently ranking first in sales, with a current discount of 3000 [13] - The majority of Xingyuan buyers are women, with purchasing decisions based on aesthetics, sales performance, build quality, brand reputation, and after-sales service [15] - The main competitors for Xingyuan have shifted to include MG4 and Jihu T1, which present challenges due to their larger size and longer range [15] Group 5 - The Jihu T1 model has seen a decline in sales after an initial surge, with current discounts of 1000 for full payment and 2000 for financing [17] - The primary demographic for Jihu T1 consists of individuals aged 25-40, focusing on appearance, space, and price [17] - The main competitor for Jihu T1 is Geely Xingyuan, which has a strong brand presence and ongoing popularity [17]

Group 1 - The report highlights that Xingfa Group's Q3 net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 16.17% year-on-year, driven by rising prices of glyphosate and other products, with a total revenue of 91.61 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting a 5.96% year-on-year growth [3][4][9] - The report indicates that the average price of glyphosate reached 26,530 yuan per ton in Q3 2025, up 5% year-on-year, while the average price of phosphate rock remained high at 1,020 yuan per ton [4][6] - The acquisition of a 50% stake in Qiaogou Mining is expected to enhance the company's phosphate resource advantages, increasing its phosphate resource reserves from 3.95 billion tons to 5.80 billion tons [7][8] Group 2 - The report notes that Leap Motor's Q3 revenue surged by 97.3% year-on-year to 194.5 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 14.5%, marking a significant improvement [11][12] - The company is expanding its product lineup with the introduction of the D19 flagship model and the upcoming A10 model, which is expected to enhance its market position [13] - Leap Motor's export volume reached 17,000 units in Q3 2025, leading among new car manufacturers, and the company plans to accelerate its global localization strategy [14] Group 3 - Geely Automobile reported a Q3 revenue of 891.9 billion yuan, a 27% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 38.2 billion yuan, reflecting a 59% year-on-year growth [16][17] - The company has adjusted its annual sales target to 3 million units, with significant contributions from its Galaxy series of vehicles [18] - Geely's export volume reached 112,000 units in Q3 2025, indicating strong overseas demand and competitive positioning [19] Group 4 - The report on Lianqi Technology emphasizes its leadership in memory interconnect chips, with a revenue of 6.33 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a 57.83% year-on-year increase [21][22] - The global AI server shipment is projected to grow significantly, with Lianqi expected to capture a 36.8% market share in the memory interconnect chip market by 2024 [22][23] - The company has launched new products based on CXL technology, which are anticipated to drive future growth [23] Group 5 - The report indicates that Xinyang's Q3 revenue reached 387 million yuan, with a significant increase in beauty treatment service revenue, which grew by 304.6% year-on-year [25][26] - The company plans to expand its offline medical beauty stores to 50 by the end of the year, enhancing its market presence [25] - Despite a net loss in Q3, the company expects profitability improvements in Q4 due to seasonal demand recovery [26] Group 6 - Trip.com Group reported a Q3 net operating revenue of 18.3 billion yuan, a 16% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 19.9 billion yuan, reflecting a 194% year-on-year growth [29][30] - The company is benefiting from resilient domestic travel demand and strong growth in international business, particularly in cross-border travel [30][31] - The report anticipates continued growth in the global OTA business, with significant contributions from the Asia-Pacific region [31][32] Group 7 - Pinduoduo's Q3 revenue reached 108.3 billion yuan, a 9% year-on-year increase, with a Non-GAAP net profit of 31.4 billion yuan, up 14% year-on-year [39][40] - The report highlights a slowdown in advertising revenue growth, while transaction commission revenue continues to show steady performance [41] - The company is focusing on long-term value creation through increased investments in merchant support and platform development [42]

Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated strong performance in Q3 2025, with significant revenue growth and improved core net profit, indicating a positive outlook for future quarters [4][5]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company's total revenue increased by 26.5% year-on-year to 239.48 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 16.5%, up by 0.3 percentage points [4]. - For Q3 2025, total revenue reached 89.19 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 26.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.7% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 0.8% year-on-year to 13.11 billion yuan, while the core net profit rose by 59% to 10.62 billion yuan [4]. Group 2: Sales and Market Share - The company's total sales volume in the first three quarters of 2025 increased by 45.7% year-on-year to 2.17 million units, with new energy vehicle sales accounting for 53.8% of total sales, up by 17.2 percentage points [5]. - In Q3 2025, total sales volume was 761,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 42.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.9% [5]. - The company’s market share reached 10.2% in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by strong sales of the Galaxy series [5]. Group 3: Strategic Developments - The privatization of Zeekr is progressing smoothly, with the merger with Geely expected to be completed by the end of 2025, which aligns with the company's strategy to optimize resources and enhance efficiency [6]. - The company is accelerating its global expansion, with plans to exceed 1,000 overseas sales networks by 2026 and aims for export sales to reach one million units by 2027 [6]. - The company is focusing on high-end intelligent vehicles, with the Zeekr 9X featuring advanced driving capabilities, and 80% of pre-sale orders coming from customers of luxury brands [6].