Summary of Chery Automobile Conference Call Company Overview - Chery Automobile has entered a growth phase since 2022, significantly increasing its market share due to technological advancements such as Kunpeng Power and Mars Architecture, as well as export growth [2][4] Core Industry Insights - Chery maintains a dual development strategy for traditional fuel vehicles and new energy vehicles, with steady market share growth in the domestic market [2][4] - Strong sales performance from models like the Tiggo 8 series and Arrizo 7 contribute significantly to revenue [2][4] - The company has expanded its overseas market presence, achieving over 1 million units sold abroad, with Europe, Southeast Asia, and Latin America as key focus areas, particularly strong performance in the Brazilian market [2][4][6] Technological Advancements - Chery has a notable advantage in engine technology, with the Kunpeng engine achieving a thermal efficiency of 48%, placing it at a global leading level, enhancing competitiveness in fuel and hybrid vehicle segments [2][5] - The company is progressing in the smart technology sector through a 2.0 strategic partnership with Huawei, gradually applying Huawei's Intelligent Driving 4.0 solutions to its Zhijie platform, resulting in increased sales of updated Zhijie models [2][5] Future Development Strategy - Chery plans to integrate domestic operations and strengthen brand collaboration, focusing on the Fengyun and Tiggo brands for new energy transformation, with the Fengyun series targeting the Geely Galaxy [6] - The company aims to launch multiple new models based on CCDM 6.0, including the Fengyun T11 and upgraded T9L, while continuing to focus on the Arrizo and Tiggo product lines in the fuel vehicle sector [6] - The overseas market remains a crucial growth point, with plans to achieve a production capacity of 50,000 units in Europe by 2027 and 150,000 units by 2029 [6] Financial Projections and Investment Recommendations - Chery is projected to achieve a net profit of approximately 18 billion RMB in 2025, potentially reaching around 20 billion RMB in 2026, with a current valuation of about 10 times earnings [3][7] - Despite a weak beta in the overall automotive industry, the expected stable growth in overseas business and continuous iteration of the Fengyun brand, along with the potential success of the Zhijie MPV, could drive further valuation increases [7]

Core Insights - The article discusses the transformation of the automotive industry, particularly focusing on the competitive dynamics between domestic and joint venture manufacturers, highlighting the shift from a multi-model approach to a focus on winning rates in market share [1] Group 1: Growth and Market Dynamics - The company has experienced significant market share growth since 2021, driven by a rapid increase in demand and the electrification of vehicles [1] - Historical growth phases are outlined: initial reliance on low-cost small cars (2008-2012), a strategic shift towards quality improvement (2013-2016), a recovery period with successful sub-brand strategies (2017-2021), and an explosive growth phase from 2022 onwards due to technological advancements and a strong export performance [1][2] Group 2: Current Performance - The company’s current performance is supported by strong sales of traditional fuel vehicles, with notable models like the Aiyre and Ruihu series achieving good market reception [2] - The company is projected to achieve revenue of 269.9 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 65.4%, and a net profit of 14.14 billion yuan, up 18.3% year-on-year [2] Group 3: Competitive Advantages - The company has established a strong export position, with a focus on regions such as Europe, Latin America, and Southeast Asia, and is expanding production capacity in overseas factories [2][3] - Technological innovation is a key competitive advantage, with the launch of the new Kunpeng engine achieving a thermal efficiency of 48%, the highest globally, and plans to increase production capacity significantly by 2026 [2] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company plans to focus on the integration of its domestic brands and the development of its Wind and Cloud series, aiming to capture market share through technological advancements [3] - Continued growth in the domestic market is expected, with a projected increase in market share for traditional fuel vehicles over the next three years [3] Group 5: Financial Projections - The company is expected to see net profits of 17.34 billion, 21.86 billion, and 24.34 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 9.2X, 7.3X, and 6.6X, which are below the industry average [4]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongtai Securities initiates a "Buy" rating for Chery Automobile (09973), highlighting its strong export capabilities and first-mover advantage, with expectations for simultaneous growth in volume and profit due to orderly advancement of domestic new energy brands and deep collaboration with Huawei [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - The shift in core capabilities for automakers emphasizes demand control and the pace of electrification as critical for market share growth, moving away from traditional product cycles [2] - The competitive landscape has evolved post-2021, with domestic and joint venture brands increasing their market share through strategic adjustments [2] Group 2: Growth Review - Chery's market share has significantly increased since 2017, transitioning from reliance on low-cost small cars to a focus on quality and export growth [3] - The company has experienced a resurgence and growth phase from 2017 to 2021, marked by improved product strength and successful sub-brand strategies [3] - The current explosive growth phase (2022-present) is characterized by technological advancements and a rapid transition to new energy vehicles, leading to record sales [3] Group 3: Current Development Status - Chery's internal combustion vehicle lineup, particularly the Aiyre and Ruihu series, continues to perform well, supporting overall growth [4] - The Wind and Cloud sub-brand is beginning to show results in the new energy transition, while the Jietu and Zhijie brands are developing independently [4] - Financially, Chery is projected to achieve revenues of 269.9 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 65.4%, and a net profit of 14.14 billion yuan, up 18.3% year-on-year [4] Group 4: Core Competitiveness - Chery's first-mover advantage in exports has created a strong competitive moat, with leading engine technology and smart capabilities enhanced by Huawei [5] - The company has established a stable increase in export volumes, focusing on regions such as Europe, Latin America, and Southeast Asia, with overseas production capacity reaching approximately 1 million units [5] - The new Kunpeng engine boasts a thermal efficiency of 48%, the highest globally, with production capacity expected to double by 2026 [5] Group 5: Future Outlook - Chery plans to focus on the Wind and Cloud brands for market penetration, with significant advancements in technology and product offerings [6] - The company aims to enhance its domestic oil vehicle market share, which has increased by 4.1 percentage points over the past three years, positioning it as the second-largest among domestic brands [6] - Continued expansion in key overseas markets is anticipated to contribute positively to profits [6]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongtai Securities initiates a "Buy" rating for Chery Automobile, highlighting its strong export capabilities and first-mover advantage, with expectations for simultaneous growth in volume and profit due to orderly domestic new energy brand advancement and deep collaboration with Huawei [1] Group 1: Industry Analysis - The shift in core capabilities for automakers emphasizes demand control and the pace of electrification as critical for market share growth, moving away from traditional product cycles [2] - The competitive landscape has evolved post-2021, with domestic and joint ventures increasing market share through strategic adjustments [2] Group 2: Growth Review - Chery's market share has significantly increased since 2017, transitioning from reliance on low-cost vehicles to a focus on quality and exports, leading to record sales [3] - The company has experienced a growth phase from 2022 onwards, marked by technological advancements and a strong export performance, making it the top Chinese brand in exports [3] Group 3: Current Development - Chery's internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles continue to perform well, with the Wind and Cloud series contributing to both volume and profit growth [4] - Financially, Chery is projected to achieve revenues of 269.9 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 65.4%, and a net profit of 14.14 billion yuan, up 18.3% [4] Group 4: Competitive Advantages - Chery's first-mover advantage in exports has created a strong competitive moat, with leading engine technology and collaboration with Huawei enhancing its smart capabilities [5] - The new Kunpeng engine boasts a thermal efficiency of 48%, with production capacity expected to reach 1 million units by 2026 [5] Group 5: Future Outlook - Chery plans to focus on the Wind and Cloud brands for market capture, with significant improvements in technology and product offerings aimed at meeting consumer demands [6] - The company has seen a 4.1 percentage point increase in domestic market share for ICE vehicles over the past three years, positioning it as the second-largest domestic brand [6] - Continued expansion in key overseas markets such as Europe, Latin America, and Southeast Asia is expected to contribute to profit growth [6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Chery Automobile (09973.HK) for the first time [2]. Core Insights - Chery has demonstrated significant growth in both domestic and export markets, with a focus on electric and intelligent vehicle integration. The company has successfully transitioned from a low-cost strategy to enhancing product quality and brand value, leading to a substantial increase in market share [5][21]. - The financial forecasts indicate a strong revenue growth trajectory, with projected revenues of CNY 269.9 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 65.4%, and a net profit of CNY 14.1 billion, up 18.3% year-on-year [5][32]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Chery's total share capital is approximately 5.81 billion shares, with a market capitalization of around HKD 175.77 billion as of November 25, 2025 [2]. Financial Performance - Revenue projections for Chery are as follows: - 2023: CNY 163.2 billion - 2024: CNY 269.9 billion (up 65%) - 2025: CNY 289.7 billion (up 7%) - 2026: CNY 325.1 billion (up 12%) - 2027: CNY 359.1 billion (up 10%) [2][78]. - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: CNY 11.95 billion - 2024: CNY 14.1 billion (up 18%) - 2025: CNY 17.3 billion (up 23%) - 2026: CNY 21.9 billion (up 26%) - 2027: CNY 24.3 billion (up 11%) [2][78]. Market Position and Strategy - Chery has established itself as a leader in exports, with a focus on enhancing its product lineup and expanding into new markets, particularly in Europe, Latin America, and Southeast Asia. The company has also made significant advancements in engine technology, with the new Kunpeng engine achieving a thermal efficiency of 48%, the highest globally [5][44][68]. - The company is integrating its various brands, including the high-end brand Starway and the electric brand Windcloud, to streamline operations and enhance market competitiveness [5][50]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates continued growth in Chery's market share, particularly in the fuel vehicle segment, with a projected increase in sales driven by the successful launch of new models and ongoing improvements in engine technology [5][62]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong focus on electric vehicle development, with the Windcloud brand positioned to capture market share in the competitive landscape [5][52]. Valuation and Investment Recommendation - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for Chery from 2025 to 2027 are 9.2X, 7.3X, and 6.6X, respectively, which are below the industry average, reinforcing the "Buy" rating [2][82].

Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for several companies in the automotive sector, indicating a positive outlook for their future performance [7]. Core Insights - The 2025 Hong Kong International Automotive and Supply Chain Expo showcased multiple flying cars and right-hand drive models, highlighting the globalization upgrade of China's automotive supply chain [2][3]. - The event serves as a strategic platform for Chinese automakers to accelerate the internationalization of technology standards and adapt to right-hand drive markets [2]. - The development of low-altitude economy is being supported by regulatory initiatives in Hong Kong, which includes the establishment of a regulatory sandbox to foster innovation and commercialization [2]. - China's automotive exports are projected to reach 6.41 million units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 23%, with a total export value of $117.4 billion [2]. - The report notes that nearly 40 automotive supply chain and technology companies participated in the expo, indicating a shift towards smart and electric vehicle exports [2]. - Leading automotive manufacturers are increasingly pursuing listings in Hong Kong to diversify risks and enhance supply chain resilience [2]. Summary by Sections Automotive Industry Overview - The report discusses the participation of major Chinese automotive manufacturers at the Hong Kong Auto Expo, including brands like BYD, Chery, and Xpeng, showcasing innovations in electric and flying vehicles [2][3]. Technological Advancements - The introduction of flying cars, such as GAC's GOVY AirCab and Xpeng's "Land Carrier," reflects the industry's push towards low-altitude transportation solutions [2][3]. Export Trends - The report highlights a significant increase in China's automotive exports, particularly in the electric vehicle segment, with 2 million units expected to be exported in 2024 [2]. Market Dynamics - The report emphasizes the trend of Chinese automotive companies listing in Hong Kong to attract international capital and optimize global production networks [2].