行 业 研 究 [Table_Reportdate] 2026年01月09日 [table_invest] 标配 行 业 深 度 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 陈芯楠 S0630525090001 cxn@longone.com.cn [table_stockTrend] -15% -5% 4% 14% 24% 34% 44% 25-01 25-04 25-07 25-10 申万行业指数:汽车(0728) 沪深300 [相关研究 table_product] 1.长安汽车（000625）：2025Q3营收 同环比增长，智驾、机器人发展规划 清晰 ——公司简评报告 2.继峰股份（603997）：2025Q3归母 净利环比高增，乘用车座椅订单持续 放量——公司简评报告 3.保隆科技（603197）：2025Q3毛利 率环比修复，业绩静待Q4订单释放 ——公司简评报告 [Table_NewTitle 出海引领，链动未来：奇瑞"技术筑基 ] + 电动智能+全球突破"下的产业链重构机 遇 ——汽车行业深度报告 [table_main] 投资要点： 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM ...

Core Viewpoint - Chery Automobile's stock price surged by 4.66% to HKD 31.90, with a market capitalization of HKD 185.3 billion, reflecting positive market sentiment and a "buy" rating from Zhongtai Securities [1][3][10] Financial Performance - In the first three quarters, Chery achieved revenue of CNY 214.83 billion, a year-on-year increase of 17.94%, and a net profit of CNY 14.365 billion, up 28.01% [5] - Chery sold 2,007,768 vehicles in the first three quarters, marking a 14.5% increase year-on-year, with new energy vehicle sales reaching 587,545 units, a growth of 77.1% [5] Sales Growth - In October, Chery sold 281,161 vehicles, a 3.3% increase year-on-year, with new energy vehicle sales at 110,346 units, up 54.7%, achieving over 110,000 units in a single month for the first time [7] - From January to October, cumulative sales reached 2,288,929 vehicles, a 13% increase year-on-year, setting a record for the same period [7] Market Position and Strategy - Zhongtai Securities highlights Chery's strong export market presence and early mover advantage, anticipating simultaneous growth in volume and profit due to collaboration with Huawei and the orderly advancement of domestic new energy brands [3][9] - Chery's focus on understanding user needs beyond traditional metrics is seen as crucial for enhancing market share in a competitive landscape [9] Technological Advancements - Chery's new generation Kunpeng engine boasts a thermal efficiency of 48%, the highest globally for mass production, with production capacity expected to reach 1 million units by 2026 [19] - The company has introduced over ten leading technologies, including AI smart vehicle architecture and L4 autonomous driving capabilities, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [22] Future Outlook - Chery aims for further growth in sales, revenue, and net profit through strategies such as technology equity, model focus, export expansion, and brand collaboration [24] - The company’s sub-brands, including Jetour and iCAR, are expected to establish a foothold in the high-end personalized automotive market, potentially increasing profit margins [24]

Core Insights - The article discusses the transformation of the automotive industry, particularly focusing on the competitive dynamics between domestic and joint venture manufacturers, highlighting the shift from a multi-model approach to a focus on winning rates in market share [1] Group 1: Growth and Market Dynamics - The company has experienced significant market share growth since 2021, driven by a rapid increase in demand and the electrification of vehicles [1] - Historical growth phases are outlined: initial reliance on low-cost small cars (2008-2012), a strategic shift towards quality improvement (2013-2016), a recovery period with successful sub-brand strategies (2017-2021), and an explosive growth phase from 2022 onwards due to technological advancements and a strong export performance [1][2] Group 2: Current Performance - The company’s current performance is supported by strong sales of traditional fuel vehicles, with notable models like the Aiyre and Ruihu series achieving good market reception [2] - The company is projected to achieve revenue of 269.9 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 65.4%, and a net profit of 14.14 billion yuan, up 18.3% year-on-year [2] Group 3: Competitive Advantages - The company has established a strong export position, with a focus on regions such as Europe, Latin America, and Southeast Asia, and is expanding production capacity in overseas factories [2][3] - Technological innovation is a key competitive advantage, with the launch of the new Kunpeng engine achieving a thermal efficiency of 48%, the highest globally, and plans to increase production capacity significantly by 2026 [2] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company plans to focus on the integration of its domestic brands and the development of its Wind and Cloud series, aiming to capture market share through technological advancements [3] - Continued growth in the domestic market is expected, with a projected increase in market share for traditional fuel vehicles over the next three years [3] Group 5: Financial Projections - The company is expected to see net profits of 17.34 billion, 21.86 billion, and 24.34 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 9.2X, 7.3X, and 6.6X, which are below the industry average [4]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongtai Securities initiates a "Buy" rating for Chery Automobile (09973), highlighting its strong export capabilities and first-mover advantage, with expectations for simultaneous growth in volume and profit due to orderly advancement of domestic new energy brands and deep collaboration with Huawei [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - The shift in core capabilities for automakers emphasizes demand control and the pace of electrification as critical for market share growth, moving away from traditional product cycles [2] - The competitive landscape has evolved post-2021, with domestic and joint venture brands increasing their market share through strategic adjustments [2] Group 2: Growth Review - Chery's market share has significantly increased since 2017, transitioning from reliance on low-cost small cars to a focus on quality and export growth [3] - The company has experienced a resurgence and growth phase from 2017 to 2021, marked by improved product strength and successful sub-brand strategies [3] - The current explosive growth phase (2022-present) is characterized by technological advancements and a rapid transition to new energy vehicles, leading to record sales [3] Group 3: Current Development Status - Chery's internal combustion vehicle lineup, particularly the Aiyre and Ruihu series, continues to perform well, supporting overall growth [4] - The Wind and Cloud sub-brand is beginning to show results in the new energy transition, while the Jietu and Zhijie brands are developing independently [4] - Financially, Chery is projected to achieve revenues of 269.9 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 65.4%, and a net profit of 14.14 billion yuan, up 18.3% year-on-year [4] Group 4: Core Competitiveness - Chery's first-mover advantage in exports has created a strong competitive moat, with leading engine technology and smart capabilities enhanced by Huawei [5] - The company has established a stable increase in export volumes, focusing on regions such as Europe, Latin America, and Southeast Asia, with overseas production capacity reaching approximately 1 million units [5] - The new Kunpeng engine boasts a thermal efficiency of 48%, the highest globally, with production capacity expected to double by 2026 [5] Group 5: Future Outlook - Chery plans to focus on the Wind and Cloud brands for market penetration, with significant advancements in technology and product offerings [6] - The company aims to enhance its domestic oil vehicle market share, which has increased by 4.1 percentage points over the past three years, positioning it as the second-largest among domestic brands [6] - Continued expansion in key overseas markets is anticipated to contribute positively to profits [6]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongtai Securities initiates a "Buy" rating for Chery Automobile, highlighting its strong export capabilities and first-mover advantage, with expectations for simultaneous growth in volume and profit due to orderly domestic new energy brand advancement and deep collaboration with Huawei [1] Group 1: Industry Analysis - The shift in core capabilities for automakers emphasizes demand control and the pace of electrification as critical for market share growth, moving away from traditional product cycles [2] - The competitive landscape has evolved post-2021, with domestic and joint ventures increasing market share through strategic adjustments [2] Group 2: Growth Review - Chery's market share has significantly increased since 2017, transitioning from reliance on low-cost vehicles to a focus on quality and exports, leading to record sales [3] - The company has experienced a growth phase from 2022 onwards, marked by technological advancements and a strong export performance, making it the top Chinese brand in exports [3] Group 3: Current Development - Chery's internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles continue to perform well, with the Wind and Cloud series contributing to both volume and profit growth [4] - Financially, Chery is projected to achieve revenues of 269.9 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 65.4%, and a net profit of 14.14 billion yuan, up 18.3% [4] Group 4: Competitive Advantages - Chery's first-mover advantage in exports has created a strong competitive moat, with leading engine technology and collaboration with Huawei enhancing its smart capabilities [5] - The new Kunpeng engine boasts a thermal efficiency of 48%, with production capacity expected to reach 1 million units by 2026 [5] Group 5: Future Outlook - Chery plans to focus on the Wind and Cloud brands for market capture, with significant improvements in technology and product offerings aimed at meeting consumer demands [6] - The company has seen a 4.1 percentage point increase in domestic market share for ICE vehicles over the past three years, positioning it as the second-largest domestic brand [6] - Continued expansion in key overseas markets such as Europe, Latin America, and Southeast Asia is expected to contribute to profit growth [6]

Core Insights - The sales of fuel vehicles in China exceeded 902,000 units in August, marking a year-on-year increase of 13.5%, with total sales for the first eight months reaching 8.747 million units, nearly matching last year's total [1] - The resurgence of fuel vehicles is seen as counterintuitive, as the market was expected to shift towards new energy vehicles focused on carbon neutrality [2][6] - The preference for fuel vehicles varies by region, with specific models gaining popularity in different areas, indicating a regional bias in consumer behavior [5][40] Sales Trends - Fuel vehicle sales have rebounded, with a nearly 5% year-on-year increase in the third quarter, while the growth rate of new energy vehicles has slowed for the first time [22] - The increase in fuel vehicle sales is attributed to practical considerations, such as the challenges of charging infrastructure for electric vehicles [58][67] Consumer Behavior - Consumers are increasingly purchasing fuel vehicles due to the difficulties associated with charging electric vehicles, including long wait times and high installation costs for home charging stations [10][14] - The emotional connection to fuel vehicles is highlighted, with many consumers expressing a preference for the reliability and simplicity of fuel vehicles over the complexities of electric vehicles [19][38] Regional Preferences - Different regions exhibit distinct preferences for fuel vehicles, influenced by local conditions and consumer needs, such as climate and terrain [40][50] - In areas with extreme weather conditions, fuel vehicles are favored for their reliability, while in urban settings, the practicality of fuel vehicles is emphasized [67][68] Market Dynamics - The fuel vehicle market is evolving, with manufacturers adapting to consumer demands for reliability and cost-effectiveness, while also integrating advanced technologies to remain competitive [61][63] - The perception of fuel vehicles is shifting from being seen as outdated to being recognized for their practicality in specific scenarios, indicating a nuanced market landscape [69][70]

Core Viewpoint - Chery Automobile officially listed on the Hong Kong capital market on September 25, 2023, with an opening price of HKD 34.2 per share, an increase of 11.22% from the issue price [2][4]. Group 1: Company Overview - Chery Automobile, founded in 1997, has become the second largest independent brand car manufacturer in China and the eleventh globally, with projected global sales exceeding 2.295 million units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 49.4% [5]. - From 2022 to 2024, Chery's revenue surged from CNY 92.6 billion to CNY 269.9 billion, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 70.7%, while net profit increased from CNY 5.8 billion to CNY 14.3 billion, with a CAGR of 57.1% [5][6]. Group 2: Growth Model - Chery's unique "four-track" growth model allows it to achieve strong growth across fuel vehicles, new energy vehicles, domestic markets, and overseas markets simultaneously, providing a diversified revenue source and reducing risks associated with single market dependence [6][10]. - The IPO was oversubscribed by approximately 10 times, indicating strong market demand, with the final issue price set at HKD 30.75 per share, resulting in a market capitalization of HKD 177.34 billion [6][11]. Group 3: New Energy Transition - Chery's transition to new energy vehicles is gaining momentum, with a projected year-on-year sales increase of over 265% in 2024, reflecting its commitment to becoming a leading player in the new energy sector [7][10]. - The company employs a multi-technology approach, including pure electric, plug-in hybrid, and range-extended technologies, addressing market concerns such as range anxiety [10]. Group 4: Globalization Strategy - Chery has maintained its position as the top exporter of Chinese independent brand passenger vehicles for 22 consecutive years, with over 3,169 overseas dealerships and sales exceeding 13 million vehicles globally [12][14]. - The company has established local R&D centers in various countries, enhancing its ability to provide customized products and services that meet local market demands [14][15]. - Chery's overseas revenue accounted for 32.8% to 38.5% of total revenue from 2022 to Q1 2025, showcasing its ability to mitigate regional market fluctuations and benefit from both emerging and developed markets [15].

Core Insights - Chery Automobile has successfully completed its IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising HKD 91.4 billion, marking the largest IPO for a car company in the Hong Kong market this year [1][2] - The company plans to allocate the net proceeds from the IPO to various strategic initiatives, including R&D for new vehicle models, advanced technology, international market expansion, and facility upgrades [1][2] Financial Performance - Chery's projected global sales for 2024 are over 2.295 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 49.4% [2] - The average selling price of Chery's passenger vehicles is expected to increase by 33.5% in 2024 compared to 2022, with domestic and international price growth rates of 37.0% and 19.4%, respectively [2] - Revenue and net profit have shown consistent growth, with revenues of CNY 926.18 billion, CNY 1,632.05 billion, CNY 2,698.97 billion, and CNY 682.23 billion for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and Q1 2025, respectively [2] Market Position and Strategy - Chery is focusing on enhancing its capabilities in the fields of new energy and intelligent vehicles, which require significant funding for R&D [3][4] - The revenue share from Chery's new energy vehicles is gradually increasing, with projections showing a rise from 4.9% in 2023 to 21.9% in 2024 [4] Investment and Shareholder Structure - The company has introduced 13 cornerstone investors, including various investment funds and asset management companies, which reflects a broad market recognition of Chery's potential [5] - Following the IPO, Chery's major shareholders include Wuhu Investment Holding, Ruichuang, and Luxshare, indicating a diversified ownership structure [5] Organizational Changes - Chery has restructured its organizational framework to align with strategic goals, creating four business units focused on different vehicle segments [6] - The company has also partnered with Huawei to enhance its R&D capabilities, committing over CNY 10 billion to develop smart vehicle technologies [6] Historical Context - Chery's journey to IPO has spanned 21 years, with various attempts and strategic shifts along the way, including a significant restructuring in 2019 to facilitate its public offering [7][8][9] - The current market conditions for electric vehicles are favorable, providing a timely opportunity for Chery to secure funding and enhance its market position [10]

Core Viewpoint - Chery Automobile has successfully completed its IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising HKD 9.14 billion, marking the largest IPO for a car company in the Hong Kong market this year [1][5]. Company Overview - Chery issued approximately 297 million H-shares, with 10% allocated for public sale in Hong Kong and 90% for international sale, including a 15% over-allotment option [5]. - The company plans to allocate 35% of the net proceeds for research and development of various passenger car models, 25% for next-generation vehicles and advanced technology, 20% for expanding overseas markets, and 10% each for enhancing production facilities and general corporate purposes [5]. Financial Performance - Chery's projected global sales for 2024 are over 2.295 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 49.4% [6]. - The average selling price of Chery's passenger cars is expected to increase by 33.5% in 2024 compared to 2022, with domestic and international price growth rates of 37.0% and 19.4%, respectively [6]. - Chery's revenue and net profit have shown consistent growth, with revenues of CNY 926.18 billion, CNY 1,632.05 billion, CNY 2,698.97 billion, and CNY 682.23 billion for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and Q1 2025, respectively [6]. Market Position and Strategy - Chery is focusing on enhancing its capabilities in the fields of new energy and intelligent vehicles, which require significant funding for development [8]. - The revenue share from Chery's new energy vehicles is gradually increasing, with projections showing a rise from 4.9% in 2023 to 21.9% in 2024 [8]. - The company has undergone structural adjustments, including the introduction of a new organizational framework to better align with strategic goals [11]. Investment and Partnerships - Chery has attracted 13 cornerstone investors, raising approximately USD 587 million (around HKD 4.573 billion), which includes various types of investment entities [10]. - The partnership with Huawei aims to invest over CNY 10 billion to establish a dedicated R&D team, enhancing Chery's technological capabilities [13]. Historical Context - Chery's journey to IPO has spanned 21 years, with various attempts and strategic shifts, including a significant restructuring in 2019 to facilitate its public offering [14][16]. - The current market conditions for electric vehicles are favorable, providing a timely opportunity for Chery to secure funding and enhance its market position [16].

Core Viewpoint - Chery Automobile, with a cumulative global sales of 13 million vehicles and an annual revenue of approximately 270 billion yuan, is set to launch its IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to raise between 1.5 billion to 2 billion USD, potentially becoming the largest IPO for a car company in Hong Kong this year [2][5][8] Group 1: Company Background - Founded in 1997 in Wuhu, Anhui, Chery started as a parts manufacturer and gradually expanded into complete vehicle production, covering entry-level to mid-high-end markets over the past 20 years [4] - Chery has become the second-largest domestic independent automotive brand in China by 2024, and ranks as the 11th largest passenger car company globally [5][6] Group 2: Financial Performance - From 2022 to 2024, Chery's revenue is projected to grow from 92.6 billion yuan to 269.9 billion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 70.7%, while net profit is expected to rise from 5.8 billion yuan to 14.3 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 57.1% [6][12] - In Q1 of this year, Chery's revenue grew by 24.2% year-on-year to 68.2 billion yuan, and net profit surged by 90.9% to 4.7 billion yuan [6] Group 3: Market Position and Strategy - Chery has maintained a strong presence in the fuel vehicle market, contributing approximately 70% of its revenue, while also experiencing significant growth in its electric vehicle segment [6][12] - The company has exported vehicles to over 100 countries, achieving an overseas sales volume of 1.145 million vehicles in 2024, which accounts for 37.4% of its total revenue [8][12] Group 4: Future Plans and Innovations - Chery plans to utilize IPO proceeds to enhance its electric vehicle lineup, invest in electric technology, expand overseas markets, and upgrade production facilities [15] - The company aims to launch over eight new electric vehicle models by the second half of 2025, targeting annual sales of over 400,000 units [15][16] - Chery is also focusing on developing advanced autonomous driving technologies and plans to recruit over 25,000 R&D personnel to support its innovation efforts [17]