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如何看待房地产指数的脉冲式行情?产业赛道与主题投资风向标
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-07-27 09:13
Group 1 - The report highlights that the long-term excess returns of the real estate index are correlated with trends in sales growth and price growth, indicating a cyclical nature in the market [2][7][10] - In the past year, the real estate index has shown a pulsing zigzag pattern characterized by short cycles, high volatility, and strong policy correlation, driven mainly by short-term stimulus policies rather than fundamental recovery [2][10][11] - The average excess return during the last six upward phases of the index reached 13%, with an average duration of 18 days, suggesting potential for new upward movements if positive signals are released from upcoming policy meetings [2][10][11] Group 2 - The report discusses the "anti-involution" theme, emphasizing the orderly exit of backward production capacity to achieve high-quality industry development, with a focus on sectors like steel, pig farming, and cement [30] - The construction of the Yarlung Zangbo River downstream hydropower project, with an investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is expected to create opportunities in related sectors such as cement, steel materials, and hydropower equipment [33] - The AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) sector is projected to experience high growth driven by policy and demand resonance, with a target market scale exceeding 280 billion yuan by 2028, indicating strong investment potential in AI infrastructure [37][41]
【美股盘前】AMD将重启对华出口AI芯片;中概股普涨,理想汽车涨近7%;台积电预计今年销售额将增长约30%;特朗普插手可口可乐配方
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-17 11:34
④【AMD将重启对华出口AI芯片】7月17日,据央视新闻援引多家外媒报道,美芯片公司AMD称,将 很快恢复向中国市场交付其人工智能芯片MI308。此前,美国对英伟达一款芯片作出了类似决定。报道 称,AMD发言人7月15日表示,美国商务部告知该公司,MI308产品的许可申请将进入审查程序。美国 芯片行业近期集体呼吁美国政府放宽出口管制,并警告称对华限制将导致收入受损。今年4月,AMD 称,针对MI308芯片的出口限制将使该公司损失约8亿美元。截至发稿,AMD涨0.5%,英伟达涨0.7%。 ⑤【阿斯麦盘前跌近3%,Q2业绩超预期但下调业绩指引】阿斯麦盘前跌近3%。消息面上,阿斯麦2025 年第二季度交出了一份全面超预期的答卷。当季净订单达55亿欧元,环比大增41%,同比持平,显著高 于市场共识。但该公司同时下调了第三季度业绩指引,预计第三季度营业收入为74亿至79亿欧元,市场 预期值为82.6亿欧元。此外,阿斯麦还下调了2025财年业绩指引,预计2025财年的营业收入为325亿欧 元,市场预期为373.9亿欧元。 ①【三大期指涨跌互现】截至发稿,道指期货跌0.12%、标普500指数期货涨0.06%、纳指期货涨 0 ...
7.17犀牛财经早报:首批10只科创债ETF今日上市 年内公募高管变更超230人
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 01:36
Group 1 - The first batch of 10 Sci-Tech Innovation Bond ETFs was listed on July 17, showcasing the market's strong interest in this product [1] - Active equity funds have seen a significant recovery in performance since 2025, with over 200 funds achieving annual returns exceeding 30% [1][2] - The public fund industry has experienced a high turnover of executives, with over 230 changes reported this year, indicating a trend of talent mobility [2][3] Group 2 - As of July 15, 775 companies in the Shenzhen market have disclosed their half-year performance forecasts, with nearly 60% expecting profit growth [3] - The mobile panel market is maintaining price stability in July, with different technology routes showing significant supply-demand dynamics [4] - Anker Innovations is exploring overseas share issuance to enhance its global strategy and brand image [7] Group 3 - Kingmed Diagnostics is expected to report its first half-year loss since its listing, primarily due to high accounts receivable and significant credit impairment losses [7] - The U.S. stock market saw all three major indices close higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.53% and the Nasdaq reaching a new closing high [8][9]
A股特别提示(7-17):黄仁勋链博首秀表示中国的开源AI催化全球革命,机器人浪潮重塑未来工厂
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 00:03
Group 1 - The third China International Supply Chain Promotion Expo opened in Beijing, emphasizing China's role in global supply chains and its commitment to digital, intelligent, and green transformation [1] - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang highlighted the significance of open-source AI in driving global progress and mentioned the upcoming wave of robotics systems powered by AI [1] - The State Council of China is focusing on strengthening domestic circulation policies and regulating the competition order in the new energy vehicle industry [2] Group 2 - The Ministry of Commerce of China is promoting high-level opening-up to expand modernization and enhance quality development [2] - A notice was issued regarding tax incentives for foreign investors, encouraging them to increase investments in China [2] - The Ministry of Public Security is intensifying efforts to combat intellectual property crimes to support high-quality development [2] Group 3 - The State Administration for Market Regulation is piloting the delegation of administrative approval for national secondary standard substances to provincial departments, aiming to reduce approval times and costs for enterprises [3] - China and Australia signed a memorandum to implement and review the China-Australia Free Trade Agreement, enhancing trade and investment facilitation [3] - Concerns were raised by the EU-China Chamber of Commerce regarding potential trade tensions affecting the EU's policy direction towards China [3] Group 4 - The A-share market experienced fluctuations, with the lithium mining index declining and the overall trading volume decreasing compared to the previous day [4] - Hong Kong's asset management industry saw a significant increase in total assets, highlighting a strong recovery in the financial center [5] - The National Energy Administration reported a record high in national electricity load, surpassing 1.5 billion kilowatts [6] Group 5 - The retail market for passenger vehicles in China showed a year-on-year increase, particularly in the new energy vehicle sector [6] - The silver economy in China is thriving, with significant growth in various elderly care services [6] - Shanghai is implementing a plan to develop a world-class modern shipbuilding base by 2027 [6] Group 6 - The China Chain Store and Franchise Association reported a substantial increase in online retail sales, with instant retail emerging as a key growth area [7] - Citigroup is considering issuing stablecoins to enhance digital payments and exploring crypto asset custody services [7] - The U.S. semiconductor company AMD is undergoing a license review for AI chips to restart exports to China [9] Group 7 - Tesla's new Model Y L has been listed in the latest vehicle catalog, indicating ongoing product development in China [9] - The U.S. Trade Representative's office has initiated an investigation into Brazil's trade practices [11] - The U.K. reported an increase in the annual CPI, which may impact the Bank of England's interest rate decisions [12]