良率"陷阱"助推原材料需求，高盛锁定高端台系供应商 高盛对AI PCB/CCL潜在市场规模（TAM）进行了激进上调。 据追风交易台，高盛分析师 Chao Wang 和 Allen Chang 团队于 2026 年 1 月 6 日发布了关于中国台湾 PCB（印制电路板）及 CCL（覆铜板）行业的研报，高盛将2027年AI PCB的TAM从原先预期的174亿美 元猛增至266亿美元，CCL则从80亿美元上调至183亿美元。这一调整意味着2025-2027年间的复合年增 长率（CAGR）将分别达到惊人的140%和178%。 这种增长并非线性外推，而是基于架构变革的精准计算： "我们全球团队大幅上调AI PCB/CCL TAM的一个关键原因是，我们计入了VR200/300机架内 部新增的PCB/CCL内容。这些新内容将取代过桥线缆（从线缆转为PCB），以改善整体成 本结构并提升计算性能。" 对于密切关注 AI 硬件供应链的投资者而言，这份报告释放了一个明确信号：在英伟达GB300等新一代 架构的推动下，PCB行业正经历一场从单纯的"出货量增长"向"价值量暴涨"的质变。AI 基础设施的扩 建远未结束，且随着技术架构的演 ...

6 January 2026 | 9:57PM CST Equity Research To breakdown the AI hardware by GPU vs. ASICs, we believe the GPU PCB/CCL TAM will go up from US$2.2bn/1.2bn in 2025 to US$15.8bn/11.7bn in 2027 (167%/207% 2025-27E CAGR), while the ASIC PCB/CCL TAM will go up from US$2.4bn/1.4bn in 2025 to US$10.7bn/6.6bn in 2027 (111%/143% 2025-27E CAGR). As such, we see the GPU PCB/CCL TAM to enjoy a better growth in coming years; however, we also see more new suppliers trying to enter the GPU AI PCB/CCL market, which was only ...

6 January 2026 | 9:56PM HKT Equity Research Global PCB: Introducing TAM; AI PCB / CCL value to grow at +140% / +179% CAGR in 2025-27E; toward M9 CCL, 30+ layer PCB and 6L HDI We are introducing a new global AI PCB/ CCL TAM, based on Global Server TAM, which incorporates more in depth analysis on supply and demand. The TAM focuses on the AI computing market where high end PCB/ CCL are required: (1) Demand drivers: The TAM covers both GPU and ASIC AI servers, and the rising of high-end AI servers (e.g. Rubin, ...

Investment Rating - The report recommends a positive investment outlook for the technology sector, specifically highlighting key stocks for January 2026 [6]. Core Insights - The report identifies several key companies within the technology sector, including Eastcompeace, Jincheng Electronics, Xinyi Technology, Tax Friend, Haiguang Information, Giant Network, and Perfect World, as potential investment opportunities [6][8][9][10][11][12][13][14]. Summary by Category Electronics - **Eastcompeace**: The company is entering a growth phase driven by AI technology breakthroughs, leading to increased capital expenditure from cloud vendors and a surge in demand for data servers. The acquisition of Solstice Optoelectronics enhances its position in optical communication [8]. - **Jincheng Electronics**: The company reported a revenue of 889 million yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25.4%. The semiconductor business is expected to grow significantly, with an order backlog of approximately 1.791 billion yuan [9]. Communication - **Xinyi Technology**: As a leading manufacturer of high-speed optical modules, the company has made significant inroads with major clients like Amazon and is expected to see substantial profit growth from 2025 to 2027, with projected net profits of 94.97 million yuan, 166.16 million yuan, and 217.76 million yuan respectively [10]. - **Huafeng Technology**: The company is positioned to benefit from the high demand for AI applications and is expected to see net profits grow from 3.53 million yuan in 2025 to 8.73 million yuan by 2027 [10]. Computer - **Tax Friend**: The company is a leader in the financial IT sector, leveraging AI and big data to provide comprehensive solutions for businesses. It aims to enhance its product offerings and customer engagement through innovative AI-driven solutions [11]. - **Haiguang Information**: The company is a key player in the domestic high-end CPU market, expected to benefit from the growing demand for AI computing power. It aims to establish a comprehensive AI computing platform [12]. Media - **Giant Network**: The company is experiencing stable commercialization with new game releases and updates expected to drive user engagement and revenue growth [13]. - **Perfect World**: The company is preparing for the launch of its new game "Yihuan," which has shown strong pre-launch interest, and is also focusing on expanding its esports business [14].

Market Overview - The market is expected to experience style differentiation as it approaches the Spring Festival, maintaining a structural trend under narrow fluctuations[4] - Key focus areas include the release of December and annual economic data in late January and a concentrated period of earnings forecasts[4] Investment Strategy - The strategy emphasizes three main lines: 1. High-growth and high-elasticity sectors, including AI hardware (e.g., optical modules), energy storage, lithium batteries, and non-ferrous metals[4] 2. Market hot tracks such as commercial aerospace, robotics, and cultural tourism[4] 3. Low-position large financial sectors, focusing on high-certainty performance in brokerage, insurance, and banks with dividend expectations[4] Recommended Stocks - **Metals**: Yun Aluminum Co., Ltd. (000807.SZ) with a projected EPS of 1.87 in 2025 and a PE of 17.6[28] - **Chemicals**: Yara International (000893.SZ) with a projected EPS of 2.06 in 2025 and a PE of 23.3[28] - **New Energy**: Slin Smart Drive (301550.SZ) with a projected EPS of 1.32 in 2025 and a PE of 105.0[28] - **Machinery**: Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SH) with a projected EPS of 2.19 in 2025 and a PE of 50.2[28] - **Aerospace**: AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group (000768.SZ) with a projected EPS of 0.42 in 2025 and a PE of 60.3[28] - **Banking**: Jiangsu Bank (600919.SH) with a projected EPS of 1.76 in 2025 and a PE of 5.9[28] - **Non-Banking**: New China Life Insurance (601336.SH) with a projected EPS of 11.82 in 2025 and a PE of 5.9[28] - **Social Services**: Jin Jiang International (600754.SH) with a projected EPS of 0.89 in 2025 and a PE of 28.3[28] - **Electronics**: Dongshan Precision (002384.SZ) with a projected EPS of 0.77 in 2025 and a PE of 109.8[28] - **Telecommunications**: Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ) with a projected EPS of 9.47 in 2025 and a PE of 64.4[28] Risk Factors - Economic recovery may fall short of expectations, leading to slow growth or stagnation[34] - Significant changes in individual stock fundamentals could adversely affect performance[34]

31 December 2025 | 8:33AM HKT Equity Research 1. Accelerated AI PCB capacity expansion: The company facilitates capacity expansion of AI PCBs within a shorter period and will continue to expand its own capacity for AI demand. Besides existing product lines, Victory is also working on two new factories with larger scale in HuiYang and is expanding capacity in overseas sites incl. Thailand/ Vietnam. Management noted it is taking less time for the company to ramp up new capacity, supported by deep partnerships ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the AI industry chain and core computing hardware, with a focus on AI copper-clad boards, PCBs, semiconductor equipment, and domestic computing power benefiting from the AI sector [1][2][3]. Core Insights - The capital expenditure (CAPEX) of the four major North American cloud service providers (CSPs) continues to grow, with a positive outlook for future spending. The total CAPEX for Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta reached $97.3 billion in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 65% [1][13]. - The demand for AI computing power is expected to remain strong, driven by the increasing need for ASICs and GPUs. The global market for ASICs is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 54% from 2025 to 2029 [1][41]. - The semiconductor equipment industry is poised for growth due to the expansion of storage capacity and the push for domestic control, with significant opportunities for domestic equipment manufacturers [2][3]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Continued Optimism for the AI Industry Chain - The high CAPEX of cloud providers is expected to be sustainable, with Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta showing strong growth in capital expenditures [1][13]. - AI server demand is projected to increase significantly, with a 20% year-on-year growth expected in 2026, driven by CSP investments in AI infrastructure [1][34]. Section 2: Semiconductor Equipment Industry - The storage expansion cycle, combined with the need for domestic control, is expected to benefit the semiconductor equipment supply chain. The introduction of 3D DRAM technology and increased stacking layers in NAND will drive demand for advanced manufacturing equipment [2][3]. Section 3: Domestic Computing Power Opportunities - Domestic cloud providers have significant room for increased capital expenditure, with major players like Alibaba planning to invest $58 billion in AI hardware infrastructure over the next three years [2][3]. Section 4: AI Edge Applications and Hardware Innovations - Apple's AI strategy focuses on hardware integration and edge AI applications, with expectations for growth in AI/AR glasses and related technologies [3][3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a favorable outlook for AI copper-clad boards, PCBs, core computing hardware, semiconductor equipment, and domestic computing power, anticipating continued growth in these sectors through 2026 [3].

格隆汇12月30日｜华创证券研报指出，深南电路是AI PCB&封装基板领军企业，产能和技术兼备，乘 AI产业东风扬帆起航。考虑公司高端产能充裕，AI PCB/BT载板相关业务未来几年有望维持高增长， ABF载板大规模量产有望迎来拐点，预计公司25-27年归母净利润为34.63/64.74/90.09亿元。公司产品迭 代有望提升ASP和盈利能力，当前向下有估值保护，高经营杠杆下盈利弹性有望超预期，AI 应用创新 有望带动板块估值提升，参考可比公司胜宏科技、沪电股份、生益电子和景旺电子估值及其历史估值中 枢，给予26年30X目标估值，目标价为291.3元，首次覆盖，给予"强推"评级。 ...

这高居涨幅榜的"牛股"有两大特点：或是AI概念股，或是并购概念股。其中，胜宏科技是全球AI PCB 龙头厂商，鼎泰高科是PCB钻针龙头，两者均受益于AI行情的驱动。 2025年的A股市场就将迎来收官，回首全年，A股市场产生了528只翻倍股，数量是2024年的4倍多。其 中，124只个股涨幅超2倍，6只个股超5倍。 区间涨幅最高的2只个股为上纬新材（688585.SH）和天普股份（605255.SH），是按收盘价计算年内唯 二的十倍股。高居涨幅榜的"牛股"呈现出两大特点：或是AI概念股，或是并购概念股。 要么AI、要么并购 Wind数据显示，从区间涨幅来看，2025年，在统计的5176只个股（扣除年内上市新股、退市及其他风 险警示股，下同）中，有4153只个股年内股价收涨，占比80%，而2024年这个比例仅为53%，牛市之 中，上市公司股价实现了普涨。 年内，528只个股年内涨幅超过1倍，翻倍股数量是去年（125只）的4倍多。其中，124只个股涨幅超2 倍，6只个股超5倍。 2025年区间涨幅最高的2只个股为上纬新材和天普股份，区间涨幅分别达到15.6倍和13.42倍，是按收盘 价计算年内唯二的十倍股。另外，胜 ...

中银国际主要观点如下： 低介电性能是AI PCB设计的关键指标 GPU和ASIC厂商均在积极提升单芯片算力效率和机柜级解决方案的互连带宽。AI PCB在升级高多层和 小线宽线距的趋势中会面临电气性能损失、散热性能下降、信号干扰等问题。选用低介电常数(Low- Dk)和低介电损耗(Low-Df)材料制作的PCB对于降低信道损耗和保持信号完整至关重要。该行认为无论 下游GPU和ASIC竞争格局如何变化，AIInfra追求更高计算效率和更大互联带宽的趋势不会改变，对上 游低介电性能材料的技术探索会持续推进。 AI三大原材料电子布、铜箔、树脂构筑PCB介电性能核心壁垒 智通财经APP获悉，中银国际发布研报称，AI推理需求催化云厂商资本开支，计算效率和互联带宽协同 升级。AI PCB是AIInfra升级浪潮中的核心增量环节。AI PCB三大原材料电子布、铜箔、树脂则是构筑 PCB介电性能的核心壁垒。该行预计Rubin服务器上游供应链将在2026年上半年开启备货潮，届时M8.5 和M9 PCB/CCL的核心原材料有望迎来"从0→1"的关键节点。考虑到Rubin服务器将在2026年下半年量 产出货，该行认为上游供应链将在2 ...