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非洲首例!CIPS直参行落地南非人民币国际化,十五五再提速
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-22 14:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the significant breakthrough in the internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) and capital account opening, highlighted by the launch of the CIPS system by South Africa's Standard Bank, marking a milestone for RMB cross-border payment networks in Africa [1][22] - The scale of foreign entities holding domestic RMB financial assets has reached 10.4 trillion yuan, indicating a growing acceptance of RMB in the international monetary system [3][11] - The article discusses the necessity of capital account opening to enhance the international acceptance of RMB, noting that the current level of capital account convertibility is approximately 60% [5][7] Group 2 - The article outlines the dual empowerment of capital opening and internationalization, suggesting that both elements mutually reinforce each other rather than one leading the other [12][14] - It highlights the importance of a balanced approach to capital account opening during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, aiming for over 80% of projects to be classified as "basically convertible" or "convertible" [14][28] - The optimization of channels for cross-border securities investment is noted as a crucial step, with the issuance of panda bonds expected to approach 200 billion yuan in 2024, providing more options for foreign entities to hold RMB assets [16][17] Group 3 - The article emphasizes the transformation of regulatory tools from quantity control and administrative approval to more market-oriented methods, enhancing the flexibility of capital account opening [19][28] - The expansion of the CIPS system's coverage, with multiple banks globally joining, is highlighted as a key infrastructure improvement facilitating RMB use in cross-border transactions [22][30] - Market-driven factors are identified as the core motivation for RMB internationalization, with real trade and investment demands under frameworks like the Belt and Road Initiative and RCEP supporting the growth of cross-border RMB transactions [24][26]
特朗普没想到:压垮美元霸权的最后一根稻草,会从自己手中落下
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 10:04
CIPS系统这个被西方媒体刻意低调处理的金融基础设施,如今已经成为连接全球近5000家金融机构 的"金融丝绸之路"。185个国家几乎覆盖了全球绝大多数经济体。这些银行选择接入CIPS,不是因为政 治压力,而是基于最朴素的商业逻辑——谁都不想把自己的钱袋子交到别人手里任人宰割。 美元霸权的根基正在崩塌,这恐怕是华盛顿那些政客们始料未及的。中俄之间高达90%以上的本币结 算,以及中国CIPS系统连接185个国家近5000家银行的壮举,都在无声地宣告:去美元化已经从政治口 号变成了市场现实。 【人民币清算行进入俄罗斯已经8年了】 而这种局面的出现,与美国政府3年前的决定有关。2022年俄乌冲突爆发后,美国及其盟友对俄罗斯实 施的金融制裁,当时西方世界一片叫好,认为这记重拳足以让俄罗斯经济崩溃。可谁曾想,这记重拳最 终打在了美元霸权上,且效果显著。 当时,美国直接冻结了俄罗斯存放在欧美银行的3000亿美元外汇储备。欧洲银行还用这笔钱产生的利 息,给乌克兰提供军事援助,简直就是"明抢"。 就像那句话说的"欲使其灭亡,必先使其疯狂"。美国现在的做法,就像是在透支美元的最后一点信用。 当全球投资者意识到美国可能永远都还不清 ...
32国绑定中国人民币,4.5万亿货币互换,金砖国家30%贸易绕开美元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-05 05:41
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the structural transformation of the international trade system, with China signing currency swap agreements totaling 4.5 trillion yuan with 32 countries, and 30% of cross-border trade among BRICS nations bypassing the US dollar in favor of the renminbi [1][21][24] - The dominance of the US dollar is waning, with its share in global foreign exchange reserves dropping to 56.32%, the lowest in 30 years, indicating a shift in trust mechanisms [3][8] - The rise of the renminbi is supported by substantial economic and institutional foundations, reflecting a gradual but systematic advancement in its internationalization [4][9][26] Group 2 - The renminbi's internationalization is not merely theoretical but is being actively implemented, with the CIPS system covering 189 countries and processing 90.19 trillion yuan in cross-border transactions in the first half of 2025 [11][29] - The use of digital renminbi is gaining traction, exemplified by a supplier in Guangxi reducing payment time from two days to 15 minutes and cutting transaction costs by half [13][15] - The expansion of currency swap agreements signifies strategic trust at the national level, with the agreements covering a wide geographical area, including Asia, Latin America, Africa, and Europe [17][19] Group 3 - The BRICS mechanism is deepening, with 30% of trade among member countries expected to bypass the dollar by 2025, indicating a significant shift towards local currency settlements [21][22] - The renminbi's status as a reserve currency is steadily increasing, with its share in global foreign exchange reserves reaching 2.88%, and 80 countries including it in their foreign reserve baskets [24][27] - The combination of financial technology, such as CIPS and digital renminbi, enhances the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of the renminbi in the global payment system [29][31] Group 4 - The international monetary system is evolving, with the renminbi transitioning from a payment currency to a pricing currency, and its role as a reserve currency is gradually being established [31][33] - The ongoing "Belt and Road" initiative is providing a practical pathway for expanding the renminbi's payment network across various regions [29][31] - The comparative historical context shows that while the pound relied on colonialism and the dollar on warfare, the renminbi's rise is based on win-win trade and financial openness, suggesting a more sustainable path in a decentralized world [31][33]
推进人民币国际化,央行提出持续建设跨境支付体系建设
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-10-28 23:45
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is advancing the internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) by enhancing its functions in pricing, payment, investment, financing, and reserves [1] - The PBOC has authorized Abu Dhabi First Bank to act as the RMB clearing bank in the UAE, marking it as the first regional local bank to take on this role, which will facilitate RMB clearing services and promote bilateral trade and investment between China and the UAE [1] - The PBOC plans to optimize the management system of the digital RMB and support more commercial banks to become operational entities for digital RMB services [1] Group 2 - Current global cross-border payments heavily rely on the USD clearing system, which has inefficiencies due to multiple intermediaries, indicating a significant opportunity for improvement [2] - The digital RMB platform, based on blockchain technology, offers direct peer-to-peer fund clearing, which can shorten transaction times, reduce intermediary costs, and enhance the efficiency of cross-border payments [2] Group 3 - Companies like Jingbeifang are involved in the construction of payment settlement systems for several banks, assisting clients in connecting to SWIFT and CIPS systems [3] - Sifang Jingchuang is building cross-border payment systems based on traditional frameworks like SWIFT and CIPS, as well as domestic systems like IBPS and Hong Kong's FPS [3]
人民币国际化:让这个世界上,不再有霸权能骑到别人头上
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-14 15:57
Core Viewpoint - BHP, a major Australian iron ore producer, announced it will gradually accept RMB for iron ore spot transactions, starting in Q4 2023, marking a significant milestone in the internationalization of the RMB as all four major iron ore giants now accept RMB settlement [1][7]. Group 1: Iron Ore Market Dynamics - China is heavily reliant on iron ore imports, with over 1.2 billion tons expected in 2024, 60% of which will come from Australia, highlighting the country's significant demand for high-quality iron ore [5][6]. - Despite being the largest buyer of iron ore, China has limited bargaining power due to a fragmented buyer landscape and a concentrated seller market dominated by four major companies [6][7]. - The establishment of the China Mineral Resources Group (CMRG) aims to consolidate procurement among state-owned steel enterprises to enhance bargaining power against suppliers [6][7]. Group 2: RMB Internationalization Progress - The acceptance of RMB for iron ore transactions is seen as a major step forward for RMB internationalization, especially in the context of global commodity trading [7][11]. - Recent data indicates that RMB settlements in cross-border transactions have surpassed those in USD for the first time, with over 60% of foreign trade enterprises using RMB [11][12]. - The CIPS (Cross-Border Interbank Payment System) has been developed to facilitate RMB payments, covering 189 countries and connecting 1,700 banks, processing a significant volume of cross-border RMB transactions [10][12]. Group 3: Future Prospects and Innovations - The mBridge project aims to create a digital currency platform for central banks, allowing for direct currency exchanges without intermediaries, potentially reducing reliance on the USD [16][20]. - The internationalization of RMB is not just about becoming a reserve currency but also about eliminating the dominance of the USD in global trade [21].
浙江稠州商业银行以“无界跨境”之姿链动全球金融新未来
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-14 08:55
Core Viewpoint - The Zhejiang Chouzhou Commercial Bank showcased its innovative capabilities in cross-border finance at the Sibos conference, emphasizing its commitment to global connectivity and collaboration in the financial sector [1][3][7]. Group 1: Global Financial Cooperation - The bank has established a cooperative network with 973 banks across over 100 countries, enabling direct settlement in 21 currencies, including those of Belt and Road Initiative countries [1]. - At Sibos, the bank engaged in deep discussions with major international financial institutions like Citibank, Barclays, Standard Chartered, and JPMorgan, enhancing its multi-currency clearing system [3][6]. - The introduction of the CIPS system to numerous banks further promotes the cross-border use of the Renminbi, receiving high recognition from international peers [3]. Group 2: Cross-Border Service Enhancement - The bank is driving business implementation and technological innovation, optimizing local remittance paths in collaboration with major international banks [3]. - It is exploring the integration of digital technology with cross-border financial scenarios to provide more convenient and secure services for global clients [3]. Group 3: International Development Pathways - As the only Chinese city commercial bank with an independent exhibition at Sibos, the bank is setting a benchmark for internationalization among city commercial banks [6]. - The bank's focus on cross-border niche scenarios and technological innovation demonstrates that local banks can also secure a place on the global financial stage without relying solely on scale advantages [6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The Sibos event marks a significant milestone in the bank's globalization strategy, reinforcing its "boundless cross-border, linking the world" philosophy [7]. - The bank aims to continue innovating and enhancing its global service network while deepening cross-border financial products and technological innovations [7].
全球货币支付格局生变:美元跌破47%,欧元突破25%,人民币稳居第6
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 16:45
Core Insights - The global currency payment market is experiencing a quiet shift in power, with the US dollar's share in global payments declining to 46.94% by August 2025, a decrease of 1 percentage point, while the euro's share increased by 2.5 percentage points to 25.61% [1][3] - Despite the dollar's continued dominance, its leading position is being eroded by a trend towards de-dollarization, with many countries seeking alternative payment solutions [3] - The eurozone's performance is notable, achieving a recent high of 25.61% in payment share, indicating economic resilience, while traditional currencies like the British pound and Japanese yen show limited growth [3] - The international status of the renminbi is steadily rising, being the only emerging market currency among the top six active currencies globally, facing competition from the euro [3] - The renminbi's cross-border payment system has reached 189 countries and regions, with the CIPS system processing 90.19 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025, indicating significant internationalization progress [5] - Recent currency swap agreements totaling 540 billion yuan with the European Central Bank, Switzerland, and Hungary further demonstrate the renminbi's growing international appeal [5] Summary by Category Currency Market Dynamics - The US dollar's share in global payments has decreased to 46.94%, while the euro's share has increased to 25.61% [1][3] - The trend of de-dollarization is accelerating, with countries exploring alternative payment methods [3] Eurozone Performance - The eurozone has achieved a payment share of 25.61%, marking a recent high and showcasing economic resilience [3] Renminbi Internationalization - The renminbi is the only emerging market currency among the top six active currencies, with a cross-border payment system covering 189 countries [3][5] - CIPS processed 90.19 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025, indicating robust internationalization [5] - Recent currency swap agreements totaling 540 billion yuan highlight the renminbi's increasing attractiveness [5]
中国大胜?美债35年最大危机,人民币大涨4000点,CIPS结算再破纪录
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 17:51
Core Insights - The internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) is rapidly advancing, challenging the dominance of the US dollar in the global financial system [1][3][4] Group 1: RMB Internationalization Progress - In the first half of 2025, the China International Payment System (CIPS) processed an amount of 90.91 trillion RMB, nearing the total for 2024, indicating a significant growth trend [3] - The RMB's share in global payments rose to 5.8% in 2024, while the US dollar's share fell to 58.4%, the lowest in 25 years [4] - By 2024, CIPS expanded its reach to 185 countries, processing cross-border RMB payments amounting to 175 trillion RMB, a 43% increase year-on-year [6] Group 2: Currency Performance and Market Confidence - The RMB exchange rate strengthened significantly, rising from 7.428 to around 7.1 by the end of 2025, an increase of over 4000 basis points [5] - Foreign investors showed increased confidence in the Chinese market, with foreign holdings of Chinese bonds reaching approximately 4.6 trillion RMB by August 2024, a 0.3 percentage point increase from the end of 2023 [7] Group 3: Global De-dollarization Trends - The trend of de-dollarization is accelerating globally, with the US dollar's share in foreign exchange reserves dropping from 66% in 2015 to below 58% by the third quarter of 2024 [8] - China has signed bilateral currency swap agreements with over 40 countries, enhancing the global RMB clearing network [8] Group 4: RMB in Trade and Investment - The RMB's role in international trade is growing, with cross-border RMB settlement for major commodities reaching 1.5 trillion RMB in the first eight months of 2024, a 22.7% increase [6] - The issuance of RMB-denominated bonds by foreign entities, such as Saudi Arabia and Brazil, indicates a shift towards RMB in international financing [9] Group 5: Policy Support and Market Development - The Chinese government is actively promoting RMB internationalization through policies aimed at facilitating trade and investment, as well as enhancing the offshore RMB market [20][21] - The People's Bank of China is deepening financial cooperation with foreign central banks, which is crucial for the RMB's internationalization [21] Group 6: Structural Changes in Global Finance - The global financial landscape is undergoing significant changes, with emerging markets increasingly issuing local currency bonds and diversifying away from the US dollar [22] - The stability of the RMB against commodities like gold and oil is enhancing its attractiveness for global trade [23]
美国霸权并非无解!专家:世界可以离开美元,但却离不开中国制造
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 03:01
Core Viewpoint - The global economic landscape is shifting, with the decline of the dollar's dominance becoming increasingly evident due to the U.S. economic structure and the rise of China's manufacturing capabilities [1][3][12] Group 1: Dollar's Decline - The foundation of dollar hegemony relies on the U.S.'s comprehensive strength and international credibility, which are weakening as the economy becomes more financialized and manufacturing moves abroad [1][3] - The U.S. has been able to exchange printed dollars for global resources without relying heavily on domestic industries, leading to a growing trade deficit, particularly with China [3][5] - Experts highlight three critical flaws in dollar hegemony: the spillover effects of Federal Reserve policies causing global financial instability, the frequent weaponization of the dollar disrupting international settlements, and the ability of the U.S. to transfer its crises to other countries [5][9] Group 2: China's Role - China is actively promoting the internationalization of the renminbi, covering 109 countries and regions through the CIPS system, handling about 38% of global renminbi cross-border payments [7][11] - The BRICS nations are working on a new currency basket to reduce reliance on the dollar, with countries like Saudi Arabia considering oil transactions in renminbi [7][11] - China's manufacturing dominance is increasingly critical, as U.S. consumers rely heavily on Chinese products, making it difficult for the U.S. to maintain living standards without these imports [7][12] Group 3: Global Economic Shifts - The sanctions against Russia have backfired, leading to an energy crisis in Europe and highlighting the vulnerabilities of U.S. hegemony, which relies on military support and alliances [9][11] - The trend towards de-dollarization is becoming clearer, with expectations that gold prices may exceed $3,500 per ounce by mid-2025, indicating declining confidence in the dollar [9][12] - Emerging economies are increasingly seeking alternatives to the dollar, moving towards a new model of equitable exchange that does not depend on the traditional "dollar-manufactured goods" framework [11][12]
降至2.12%,全球外汇储备中,人民币跌至第六!那前五名是谁呢?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 13:19
Core Viewpoint - The internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) faces significant challenges, with its global reserve amount projected to decrease to 246.31 billion USD by the first quarter of 2025, representing only 2.12% of total global allocated foreign reserves [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections Current Status of RMB Internationalization - As of the first quarter of 2025, the RMB ranks sixth among global reserve currencies, with a total reserve of 246.31 billion USD, following the US dollar, euro, pound, yen, and Canadian dollar [2][3]. - The RMB's share in global allocated foreign reserves is significantly lower than that of the leading currencies, indicating a need for improvement in its international status [3]. Challenges to RMB Internationalization - The depth and breadth of China's financial markets are insufficient compared to major reserve currency issuers, limiting foreign investors' willingness to hold RMB assets [4]. - The RMB lacks sufficient influence in international payment and settlement systems, relying heavily on the SWIFT system, while its own CIPS system requires further development [4]. - Policy coordination and institutional guarantees are inadequate, with China's financial market lacking the maturity and transparency found in other major economies [4][6]. Future Strategies for RMB Internationalization - Deepening financial market reforms is essential, including enhancing the transparency and legal framework of RMB financial assets and expanding access for foreign investors [7][9]. - Improving the infrastructure for cross-border RMB usage, such as accelerating the development of the CIPS system and establishing local clearing arrangements with countries along the Belt and Road Initiative [7][9]. - Cultivating a RMB-denominated asset system by encouraging domestic companies to issue RMB-denominated bonds abroad and promoting RMB settlement in commodity trading [9]. - Strengthening international monetary cooperation, particularly with emerging economies, to enhance bilateral currency swap agreements and regional currency coordination [9][10]. - Gradually advancing capital account convertibility while ensuring macro-prudential management to prevent systemic financial risks [10][12]. Conclusion - The internationalization of the RMB is a complex process that requires a proactive approach, including open financial markets, improved infrastructure, and innovative financial products, to establish the RMB as a necessary global currency [12].