Core Insights - The fuel vehicle market in China is experiencing a temporary recovery despite the rising penetration of new energy vehicles (NEVs) [1][2] - Major automotive companies are adjusting their strategies, with some postponing their plans for full electrification and continuing to invest in internal combustion engine (ICE) technology [2][3] - The profitability of fuel vehicles remains significant for many automakers, influencing their strategic decisions [3][4] Group 1: Market Performance - In May, traditional fuel vehicle sales reached 854,000 units, a month-on-month increase of 2.2%, while NEV sales were 1.095 million units, accounting for 54.7% of total passenger vehicle sales [1] - Regional differences are evident, with the Northwest region showing a 68% ownership rate for fuel vehicles and hybrid models in lower-tier cities outpacing pure electric models by 20 percentage points for 18 consecutive months [1] Group 2: Strategic Adjustments by Automakers - Audi has retracted its plan to cease ICE vehicle development by 2033, reflecting a broader trend among global automakers to maintain a dual-path strategy that includes both ICE and NEV investments [2] - Companies like Great Wall Motors are also adopting a "pan-internal combustion engine strategy," focusing on both hybrid technologies and traditional engines [2] Group 3: Profitability and Cost Considerations - Volkswagen Group reported a total profit of €1.7 billion (approximately 13.4 billion RMB) in China, with over 290,000 vehicle deliveries, of which NEVs accounted for about 6.9% [3] - The supply chain for ICE vehicles is more stable and cost-effective compared to the volatile battery raw material market, which has seen significant price fluctuations [3] Group 4: Policy Environment and Future Outlook - The EU has introduced new CO2 emission regulations, aiming for zero emissions by 2035, while in China, the implementation of the National VI emission standards is still pending, allowing automakers to utilize hybrid technologies in the interim [4] - The recovery of the fuel vehicle market is partly driven by temporary policy incentives, and maintaining existing replacement subsidy policies could sustain market competitiveness, especially in the price-sensitive segment below 150,000 RMB [5]

Core Insights - The energy consumption landscape during the "May Day" holiday shows strong market performance for both electric and fuel vehicles, with a 28% year-on-year increase in electric vehicle charging at highway service areas [2] - Despite advancements in charging infrastructure, 69.3% of car buyers still prefer fuel vehicles, indicating a complex market demand [2] - Major automakers are adopting a "dual-track" technology strategy to address diverse market needs, exemplified by Great Wall Motors' "pan-internal combustion engine strategy" [2] Industry Trends - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in China reached 47.6% in 2024, a 12 percentage point increase year-on-year, yet fuel vehicles still hold significant market share due to diverse regional and usage scenarios [3] - Traditional automakers are innovating to enhance the competitiveness of fuel vehicles, with Geely's G-Power system achieving a thermal efficiency of 44.26% and Changan's new Blue Whale power platform achieving low fuel consumption [3] Technological Developments - Multinational brands are implementing differentiated technology strategies, such as Audi's integration of a 48V mild hybrid system with its EA888 Evo4 engine, reducing fuel consumption in the Q7 model [4] - Modular platforms are being developed to accommodate fuel, hybrid, and electric powertrains, allowing for a 30% reduction in single vehicle R&D costs [4] Market Dynamics - The sustained demand for fuel vehicles in China is driven by user preferences, technological complementarity, and the adaptability of the industrial base [6] - In the family first-time buyer segment, 63% of price-sensitive consumers prefer fuel vehicles due to lower purchase costs and convenience [6] - The fuel vehicle supply chain remains robust, with 75% of the 23,000 automotive parts companies focusing on fuel vehicle components [6] Global Perspective - Fuel vehicle market share remains high in regions like Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Africa, with Chinese automakers optimizing products for these markets [7] - In 2024, fuel vehicle exports from China are expected to reach 2.34 million units, a 27% year-on-year increase, with the average export price rising from $12,000 to $18,000 [7] - The market is evolving through demand segmentation, technological integration, and global expansion, indicating that the coexistence of fuel and electric vehicles will characterize the automotive industry for the next decade [7]

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