记者丨刘雪莹 吴斌 编辑丨曾静娇 北京时间2月27日晚，美股三大指数集体走低，三大指数均跌超1%。 大型科技股多数下跌，截至22:42，甲骨文、赛富时跌超4%；美股科技七巨头全线飘绿，英伟达、微软 跌超2%。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | | 苹果(APPLE) | 269.160 | -1.39% | | 亚马逊(AMAZON) | 206.240 | -0.81% | | 谷歌(ALPHABET)-C | 306.280 | -0.28% | | 脸书(META PLATFORMS) | 641.605 | -2.34% | | 微软(MICROSOFT) | 393.080 | -2.15% | | 英伟达(NVIDIA) | 180.740 | -2.24% | | 特斯拉(TESLA) | 403.905 | -1.14% | 半导体股集体走低，费城半导体指数领跌市场，蓝博士半导体跌超5%，博通、格芯跌超2%。 云基础设施提供商CoreWeave跌超17%，创去年8月以来最大跌幅，巨额资本开支引发投资者担 忧。 多邻国股价一度跌22%，创下2023年2月 ...

本报记者 贺王娟 隆众资讯原油分析师吴燕对《证券日报》记者表示，美伊对峙局势是今年2月份以来推动国际油价强势反弹的重要催化 剂，霍尔木兹海峡作为全球重要的原油运输通道，市场担忧美伊冲突或将影响该运输通道，因此对油价计入了6美元至8美元的 风险溢价。 短期来看，吴燕认为，油价走势将继续由美伊局势主导，若美伊双方新一轮的谈判能达成部分临时协议，国际原油的地缘 风险溢价将回落，若协议没有达成且冲突加剧，或将继续支撑原油价格高位震荡。 受地缘冲突影响，2026年以来国际油价表现强势。Wind数据显示截至北京时间2月26日记者发稿时，NYMEX WTI原油价 格从年初57.5美元/桶的价格最高反弹至67.28美元/桶，年内最高涨幅达17%；ICE布油价格从60.86美元/桶的价格最高反弹至 72.12美元/桶，年内最高涨幅18.5%。 对于近期国际油价的强势反弹，市场普遍认为，一旦地缘扰动消退，在供需过剩的格局下油价或将重回跌势。 "今年以来，国际原油市场价格整体呈偏强走势。"卓创资讯原油分析师朱光明对《证券日报》记者表示，推动原油价格连 续反弹的核心因素在于中东局势的不断扰动，市场非常担忧局势的紧张将带来整个中东冲突 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content Core Viewpoints - The domestic commodity futures market closed mostly higher on February 25, 2026, with base metals leading the gains [1]. - The A - share market is expected to continue a mild upward trend after the Spring Festival, but the slope will be slower than in January, pricing in the warm Spring Festival consumption and technology event hotspots. The black metal and domestic bond markets may continue to fluctuate after the festival [16]. - The US economy shows a pattern of overall slowdown in expansion and structural differentiation in multiple fields. The US GDP growth rate slowed significantly in the fourth quarter, with personal consumption being the main drag, and inflation stickiness still exists [16]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Financial Market Fluctuations - **Stock Index Futures**: The CSI 300 futures, SSE 50 futures, CSI 500 futures, and CSI 1000 futures all showed varying degrees of increase on February 25, 2026, with the CSI 500 futures having a relatively large daily increase of 1.61% [2]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The 2 - year, 5 - year, 10 - year, and 30 - year treasury bond futures mostly declined on February 25, 2026, with the 30 - year treasury bond futures having a relatively large daily decline of 0.48% [2]. - **Foreign Exchange**: The US dollar index increased by 0.15% on February 25, 2026, and the US dollar mid - price decreased by 225 pips [2]. - **Interest Rates**: The 7 - day inter - bank pledged repo rate increased by 23.34 bp on February 25, 2026, and the 10 - year Chinese government bond yield increased by 1.24 bp [2]. Popular Industry Fluctuations - On February 25, 2026, most industries showed an upward trend, with non - ferrous metals, steel, and basic chemicals having relatively large daily increases of 3.53%, 4.26%, and 2.37% respectively. The consumer services and media industries declined, with decreases of 0.52% and 0.92% respectively [5]. Overseas Commodity Fluctuations - **Energy**: On February 24, 2026, NYMEX WTI crude oil decreased by 0.35%, ICE Brent crude oil decreased by 0.14%, NYMEX natural gas decreased by 2.94%, and ICE UK natural gas decreased by 4.75% [8]. - **Precious Metals**: COMEX gold decreased by 1.25% on February 24, 2026, while CONEX silver increased by 0.57% [8]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: LME copper, LME aluminum, LME zinc, LME tin, etc. showed different trends on February 24, 2026. For example, LME copper increased by 2.54% [8]. - **Agricultural Products**: CBOT soybeans, CBOT soybean oil, and other agricultural products also had different price changes on February 24, 2026. For example, CBOT soybean oil increased by 1.05% [8]. Macro Summary - **Domestic Macro**: During the Spring Festival, travel and consumption were strong, with the cross - regional passenger flow in the first 20 days of the Spring Festival travel season reaching 5.08 billion person - times, a record high. However, real estate sales were at a seasonal low, and the social financing in January started steadily. Due to the Spring Festival misalignment, the social financing data needs to be observed in combination with January - February data [16]. - **Overseas Macro**: The US economy shows a pattern of overall slowdown in expansion and structural differentiation in multiple fields. The GDP growth rate slowed significantly in the fourth quarter, personal consumption was the main drag, and inflation stickiness still exists [16]. - **Large - scale Assets**: Geopolitical uncertainties and Trump's tariff policies may support the prices of gold and silver in the short term. The crude oil market is dominated by geopolitical uncertainties, and the A - share market is expected to continue a mild upward trend after the Spring Festival. The black metal and domestic bond markets may continue to fluctuate, and the RMB may continue to strengthen in the second quarter [16]. Viewpoint Highlights - **Financial**: Stock index futures are expected to be volatile and slightly stronger; stock index options are expected to be volatile; treasury bond futures are expected to be volatile [17]. - **Precious Metals**: Gold and silver are expected to be volatile and slightly stronger [17]. - **Shipping**: The container shipping to Europe is expected to be volatile [17]. - **Black Building Materials**: Steel, iron ore, coke, etc. are all expected to be volatile [17]. - **Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials**: Many non - ferrous metals and new materials such as copper, aluminum, and nickel are expected to be volatile, with some showing a slightly stronger trend [17]. - **Energy Chemicals**: Crude oil, LPG, asphalt, etc. are expected to be volatile [19]. - **Agriculture**: Many agricultural products such as cotton, natural rubber, and soybean oil are expected to be volatile, with some showing a slightly stronger trend, while sugar is expected to be volatile and slightly weaker [19].

策略研究 · 全球大类资产配置观察 海外市场有何异动？ ——全球大类资产配置观察 2026 年 2 月 22 日 核心观点 分析师 杨超 ：010-8092-7696 ：yangchao_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130522030004 孔玥 ：kongyue_yj @chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130525100001 相关研究 2025-11-22，变局蕴机遇，聚势盈未来——2026 年 A 股 市场投资展望 2025-11-06，A 股三季报业绩有哪些看点？2025-10-23， 划重点：二十届四中全会公报对 A 股投资的启示 2025-10-26，布局消费主题投资机遇— "十五五"规划展 望系列 2025-08-20，反内卷中寻投资机会—— "十五五"规划展 望系列 2025-08-06，七部门剑指新型工业化，金融活水锚定新 质生产力 2025-07-31，8 月投资组合报告：政策预期+业绩护航 2025-07-31，7 月决议偏鹰，9 月降息窗口还在吗？ 2025-07-30，7 月政治局会议对 A 股市场的投资指引 2025-07- ...

据美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC），截至2月17日当周，投机者所持NYMEX WTI原油净多头头寸减 少5095手合约至81219手合约。所持ICE布伦特与WTI原油净多头头寸降低至342,222手合约，创三周新 低。所持NYMEX天然气净多头头寸创四周新低。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Iran's president has ordered the initiation of nuclear negotiations with the United States, signaling a potential thaw in US-Iran relations and a decrease in expectations of military action against Iran, which has led to a significant drop in international oil prices [1][3]. Group 1 - Iran's president has officially ordered the commencement of specialized nuclear negotiations with the US, with high-level talks expected to occur in the coming days [3]. - The negotiations are anticipated to be conducted within the framework of the nuclear agreement, aiming to break a long-standing deadlock [4]. - Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson confirmed that discussions may involve direct meetings between Iranian Foreign Minister Amir-Abdollahian and US representative Robert Malley [3]. Group 2 - Iran has denied receiving any "ultimatum" from the US regarding military action, emphasizing that they are currently reviewing the overall situation and details for advancing the negotiation process [6]. - The spokesperson highlighted the importance of time in negotiations, stating that every day of reduced sanctions is considered a success [7]. - Iran's past experiences with US negotiations, including instances of betrayal and deception, will be taken into account in their decision-making process [7].

Core Viewpoint - President Trump plans to engage in dialogue with Iran, expressing hope to avoid military action, while Iran demands the U.S. to cease provocations for genuine negotiations [1][4][5]. Group 1: Trump's Statements - Trump has initiated contact with Iran and intends to continue discussions, emphasizing military readiness as leverage [5]. - He has communicated two key demands to Iran: to refrain from developing nuclear weapons and to stop suppressing protesters [5]. Group 2: Iran's Response - Iranian President Raisi stated that for genuine diplomatic talks, the U.S. must halt its provocative actions [7]. - Iranian parliamentary speaker Qalibaf expressed skepticism about trusting Trump, indicating that negotiations cannot proceed without guarantees for Iran's economic interests [9][10].

Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report Core Viewpoints - On January 22, 2026, most domestic commodity futures markets closed higher, with chemicals leading the gains [14]. - The US economy maintains a "slight to moderate" expansion, inflation continues to cool, and consumption shows a "K-shaped" characteristic [14]. - In 2025, China's consumer market scale exceeded 50 trillion yuan, with service retail sales growing faster. In 2026, consumption is expected to grow steadily [14]. - In the short term, risk assets may continue to adjust, but in the medium term, it is recommended to go long on stock indices, non - ferrous metals, gold, and silver [14]. Summary by Directory Financial Market Fluctuations - **Stock Index Futures**: On January 22, 2026, the CSI 300 futures price was 4719.4, down 0.26; the SSE 50 futures price was 3061.2, down 0.61; the CSI 500 futures price was 8400, up 0.25; the CSI 1000 futures price was 8292.6, up 0.56 [3]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The 2 - year treasury bond futures price was 102.408, down 0.02; the 5 - year was 105.835, down 0.04; the 10 - year was 108.15, down 0.04; the 30 - year was 112.17, down 0.03 [3]. - **Foreign Exchange**: The US dollar index was 98.7693, up 0.23; the US dollar central parity rate was 6.9646, down 57 pips [3]. - **Interest Rates**: The 7 - day inter - bank pledged repo rate was 1.4952%, up 0.04%; the 10 - year Chinese treasury bond yield was 1.8312%, down 0.14 bp; the 10 - year US treasury bond yield was 4.26%, down 4 bp [3]. Popular Industry Fluctuations - On January 22, 2026, industries such as national defense and military industry, steel, and petroleum and petrochemicals had relatively large daily increases, while industries such as food and beverage, non - bank finance, and banking had declines [6]. Overseas Commodity Fluctuations - **Energy**: On January 21, 2026, NYMEX WTI crude oil was at $59.52, up 0.3%; ICE Brent crude was at $64.62, up 0.67%; NYMEX natural gas was at $3.891, up 25.39%; ICE UK natural gas was at $105.29, up 12.07% [9]. - **Precious Metals**: COMEX gold was at $4769.1, up 3.78%; COMEX silver was at $94.46, up 6.69% [9]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: LME copper was at $12810, up 0.44%; LME aluminum was at $3115, up 0.24%; LME zinc was at $3175, up 0.06% [9]. - **Agricultural Products**: CBOT soybeans were at $1053, down 0.45%; CBOT soybean oil was at $54.05, up 2.83%; CBOT corn was at $424, down 0.18% [9]. Domestic Commodity Fluctuations - On January 22, 2026, most domestic commodities rose. Chemicals, new energy materials, non - metal building materials, energy products, etc. all had increases, while precious metals had declines [14]. Macro Summary - **Today's Market**: Domestic commodity futures markets closed mostly higher, with chemicals leading the gains [14]. - **Overseas Macro**: The US economy maintains a "slight to moderate" expansion, inflation cools, and consumption shows a "K - shaped" characteristic. Attention should be paid to upcoming GDP and inflation data [14]. - **Domestic Macro**: In 2025, China's consumer market scale exceeded 50 trillion yuan, and in 2026, consumption is expected to grow steadily [14]. - **Asset Views**: The scenario of no interest rate cut in January is basically confirmed, and the first interest rate cut by the Fed within the year is expected to be postponed to June. Short - term risk assets may adjust, while in the medium - term, it is recommended to go long on certain assets [14]. Viewpoint Highlights - **Financial**: Stock markets continue to wait for the main line, and bond markets still have disturbing factors. The short - term judgments for stock index futures, index options, and treasury bond futures are oscillatory rise, oscillation, and oscillation respectively [15]. - **Precious Metals**: After oscillatory adjustment, they maintain an upward trend. Gold and silver are expected to rise oscillatory [15]. - **Shipping**: Pay attention to the resumption of voyages in the far - month. The short - term judgment for the container shipping European line is oscillation [15]. - **Black Building Materials**: Fundamentals are lackluster. Most varieties are expected to oscillate [15]. - **Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials**: Wait for the macro - situation to become clearer. Base metals are oscillating and consolidating. Some varieties are expected to rise oscillatory, while others are expected to oscillate [15]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: The trade tension eases slightly, but the supply - demand pattern is still under pressure. Most varieties are expected to oscillate [17]. - **Agriculture**: Sentiment warms up but trends diverge. Some varieties are expected to rise oscillatory, while others are expected to oscillate or decline oscillatory [17].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Today's domestic commodity futures market shows a general upward trend, with precious metals and non - ferrous metals rising strongly. Lithium carbonate rises over 7%, Shanghai tin over 5%, Shanghai gold over 3%, and synthetic rubber over 3%. Most black building materials decline, with glass and caustic soda falling over 2% [13]. - The US economy maintains a "light to moderate" expansion, inflation continues to cool, and the Fed maintains a cautious wait - and - see attitude, with the interest - rate cut expectation postponed to June. In China, the consumer market in 2025 exceeded 50 trillion yuan, growing by 3.7%, and consumption in 2026 is expected to grow steadily [13]. - The scenario of no interest - rate cut in January is basically confirmed, and the first interest - rate cut by the Fed within the year is expected to be postponed to June. Short - term risk assets may continue to adjust, while in the medium - term, long positions in stock indices, non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, tin), gold, and silver are still recommended [13]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Financial Market Fluctuations - **Stock Index Futures**: On January 21, 2026, the CSI 300 futures price is 4722.8, with a daily increase of 0.54; the SSE 50 futures price is 3073.6, with a daily increase of 0.09; the CSI 500 futures price is 8371, with a daily increase of 1.71; the CSI 1000 futures price is 8231, with a daily increase of 1.57 [2]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The 2 - year Treasury bond futures price is 102.43, with a daily decrease of 0.01; the 5 - year Treasury bond futures price is 105.88, with a daily increase of 0.01; the 10 - year Treasury bond futures price is 108.2, with a daily increase of 0.04; the 30 - year Treasury bond futures price is 112.25, with a daily increase of 0.75 [2]. - **Foreign Exchange**: The US dollar index is 98.5413, with a daily decrease of 0.51; the US dollar central parity rate is 6.9602, with a daily decrease of 38 [2]. - **Interest Rates**: The 7 - day inter - bank pledged repo rate is 1.4948, with a daily increase of 1.76; the 10 - year Chinese Treasury bond yield is 1.8326, with a daily decrease of 0.67; the 10 - year US Treasury bond yield is 4.3, with an increase of 12 (no daily data provided) [2]. 3.2 Popular Industry Fluctuations - On January 21, 2026, among various industries, non - ferrous metals have a daily increase of 2.91%, basic chemicals 1.08%, steel 1.06%, and so on. Industries with a decline include agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery with a daily decrease of 0.74%, defense and military industry 0.02%, and so on [5]. 3.3 Overseas Commodity Fluctuations - **Energy**: On January 20, 2026, NYMEX WTI crude oil price is 59.52, with a daily increase of 0.3; ICE Brent crude oil has a daily increase of 0.09; NYMEX natural gas price is 3.891, with a daily increase of 25.39; ICE UK natural gas price is 90.58, with a daily decrease of 1.48 [8]. - **Precious Metals**: COMEX gold price is 4769.1, with a daily increase of 3.78; COMEX silver price is 94.46, with a daily increase of 6.69 [8]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: LME copper price is 12753.5, with a daily decrease of 1.64; LME aluminum price is 3107.5, with a daily decrease of 1.61; LME zinc price is 3175, with a daily decrease of 1.44 [8]. - **Agricultural Products**: CBOT soybeans price is 1053, with a daily decrease of 0.45; CBOT corn price is 424, with a daily decrease of 0.18; CBOT wheat price is 510.5, with a daily decrease of 1.45 [8]. 3.4 Domestic Commodity Fluctuations - **Shipping**: The container shipping price on the European route is 1222.29, with a daily increase of 1.12 [11]. - **Precious Metals**: Gold price is 1092.94, with a daily increase of 3.06; silver price is 23112.13, with a daily increase of 0.31 [11]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: Stainless steel price is 14707.87, with a daily increase of 2.36; aluminum price is 17119.84, with a daily decrease of 0.62 [11]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: Fuel oil price is 2535.35, with a daily increase of 1.17; low - sulfur fuel oil price is 3083.07, with a daily increase of 0.32 [11]. - **Black Building Materials**: Rebar price is 3121.39, with a daily decrease of 0.48; glass price is 1046.05, with a daily decrease of 1.61 [11]. - **Agricultural Products**: Soybean price is 4309.61, with a daily decrease of 0.62; palm oil price is 8824.72, with a daily increase of 0.95 [11]. 3.5 Macro Highlights - **Domestic Market**: Domestic commodity futures market shows an upward trend, with precious metals and non - ferrous metals rising strongly, and black building materials mostly falling [13]. - **Overseas Macro**: The US economy maintains a "light to moderate" expansion, inflation cools, consumption shows a "K - shaped" feature, industrial production rebounds unexpectedly, and the Fed postpones the interest - rate cut expectation to June [13]. - **Domestic Macro**: In 2025, China's consumer market scale exceeded 50 trillion yuan, growing by 3.7%, and consumption in 2026 is expected to grow steadily [13]. - **Asset Views**: Short - term risk assets may continue to adjust, while in the medium - term, long positions in stock indices, non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, tin), gold, and silver are recommended [13]. 3.6 Viewpoint Highlights - **Stock Index Futures**: The market is boosted by dual factors, but continuous upward movement awaits incremental funds, with a short - term judgment of volatile upward movement [14]. - **Options**: Option market liquidity is a concern for option - covered增厚 strategies, with a short - term judgment of volatility [14]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: There are still disturbing factors in the bond market, and the long - end sentiment is weak, with a short - term judgment of volatility [14]. - **Precious Metals**: Gold and silver are expected to show a volatile upward trend, affected by factors such as liquidity expectations, geopolitical conflicts, and the US fundamentals [14]. - **Shipping**: The container shipping on the European route is supported by pre - Spring Festival shipments in the near - term, and the resumption of shipping in the far - term needs attention, with a short - term judgment of volatility [14]. - **Steel and Related Products**: Steel products, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are expected to show a volatile trend, affected by factors such as inventory, production, and policies [14]. - **Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials**: Non - ferrous metals are expected to show a volatile trend, with factors such as inventory, supply, and demand affecting their prices [14]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: Most energy and chemical products are expected to show a volatile trend, affected by factors such as supply and demand, costs, and policies [16]. - **Agriculture**: Agricultural products show a mixed trend, with some products expected to show a volatile upward trend and some a volatile downward trend, affected by factors such as weather, supply and demand, and policies [16].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - This week, precious metals, Brent crude oil, and ChiNext Index led the gains, showing a pattern of rapid upward movement in the first half - week and oscillatory decline in the second half. The short - term risk assets may continue to adjust, but in the medium - term, long positions in stock indices, non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, tin), gold, and silver are recommended [15]. - For different sectors and varieties, the short - term judgments are mainly "oscillatory", with some showing "oscillatory upward" or "oscillatory downward" trends [16][18]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Financial Market Fluctuations - **Stock Index Futures**: The CSI 300 futures price was 4728.6, with a daily increase of 0.17, a weekly increase of 0.11, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 2.8. The SSE 50 futures price was 3077.6, with a daily decrease of 0.08, a weekly decrease of 0.22, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 1.74. The CSI 500 futures price was 8266, with a daily increase of 1.11, a weekly increase of 0.68, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 12.27. The CSI 1000 futures price was 8186.6, with a daily increase of 0.49, a weekly increase of 0.09, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 10.09 [2]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The 2 - year Treasury bond futures price was 102.4, with no daily change, no weekly change, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual decrease of 0.05. The 5 - year Treasury bond futures price was 105.785, with a daily decrease of 0.03, a weekly decrease of 0.02, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 0.02. The 10 - year Treasury bond futures price was 108.04, with a daily decrease of 0.02, a weekly decrease of 0.02, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 0.17. The 30 - year Treasury bond futures price was 110.92, with a daily decrease of 0.23, a weekly decrease of 0.22, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual decrease of 0.44 [2]. - **Foreign Exchange**: The US dollar index was 99.3691, with a daily increase of 0.03, a weekly increase of 0.23, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 1.12. The US dollar mid - price was 6.9703 pips, with a daily increase of 32, a weekly decrease of 80, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual decrease of 187 [2]. - **Interest Rates**: The 7 - day inter - bank pledged repo rate was 1.443 bp, with a daily decrease of 5.94, a weekly decrease of 2.97, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual decrease of 53.91. The 10 - year Chinese Treasury bond yield was 1.8424 bp, with a daily decrease of 1.2, a weekly decrease of 3.58, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual decrease of 0.49. The 10 - year US Treasury bond yield was 4.24 bp, with a daily increase of 7 [2]. Popular Industry Fluctuations - Industries such as national defense and military industry, basic chemicals, and consumer services had relatively high daily and weekly increases, while industries like computer, telecommunications, and non - banking finance had declines [5]. Overseas Commodity Fluctuations - **Energy**: NYMEX WTI crude oil price was 59.22, with a daily increase of 0.08, a weekly increase of 0.75, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 3.15. ICE Brent crude oil price was 64.2, with a daily increase of 0.69, a weekly increase of 1.87, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 5.4. NYMEX natural gas price was 3.109, with a daily decrease of 1.11, a weekly decrease of 1.02, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual decrease of 16.22. ICE UK natural gas price was 98.39, with a daily increase of 13.42, a weekly increase of 33.88, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 31.87 [8]. - **Precious Metals**: COMEX gold price was 4601.1, with a daily decrease of 0.49, a weekly increase of 1.83, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 6.21. COMEX silver price was 89.945, with a daily decrease of 2.6, a weekly increase of 12.73, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 26.72 [8]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: LME copper price was 12803, with a daily decrease of 2.31, a weekly decrease of 1.5, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 2.45. LME aluminum price was 3134, with a daily decrease of 1.06, a weekly decrease of 0.06, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 4.57. LME zinc price was 3209, with a daily decrease of 3.18, a weekly increase of 1.76, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 2.66 [8]. - **Agricultural Products**: CBOT soybean price was 1056.25, with a daily increase of 0.31, a weekly decrease of 0.61, and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 0.86. CBOT soybean oil price was 52.51, with a daily decrease of 0.87, no weekly change, a monthly decrease of 3.24, and a quarterly and annual increase of 8.16 [8]. Domestic Commodity Fluctuations - **Energy and Chemicals**: Crude oil price was 439.25, with a daily and weekly decrease of 0.22 and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 1.47. Fuel oil price was 2526.6, with a daily and weekly increase of 0.38 and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 3.11 [12]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: Copper price was 101196.42, with a daily and weekly increase of 0.32 and a monthly, quarterly, and annual increase of 2.94. Aluminum price was affected by the potential shutdown of Mozal aluminum plant, with the price oscillating at a high level [12]. - **Black Building Materials**: Steel prices such as rebar and hot - rolled coil showed different trends, with rebar price decreasing and hot - rolled coil price having a certain increase in some periods. Iron ore price increased slightly, and coke and coking coal prices also had their own trends [12]. - **Agricultural Products**: Prices of products such as soybeans, soybean oil, and palm oil had different degrees of fluctuations [12]. Macro Summary - **Today's Market**: This week, precious metals, Brent crude oil, and ChiNext Index led the gains, showing a pattern of rapid upward movement in the first half - week and oscillatory decline in the second half. The first half - week was driven by factors such as the weakening of the Fed's independence and better - than - expected US inflation data, while the second half - week was dragged down by factors such as the alleviation of concerns about key mineral tariffs, the easing of the US - Iran geopolitical situation, and the strengthening of the US dollar due to initial jobless claims data [15]. - **Overseas Macro**: The US economy maintained a "light to moderate" expansion, inflation continued to cool down, consumer spending showed a "K - shaped" characteristic, and industrial production rebounded unexpectedly. The Fed maintained a cautious wait - and - see attitude, and the interest rate cut expectation was postponed to June [15]. - **Domestic Macro**: Policy support focused on new fields, exports showed unexpected resilience, social financing data showed strong corporate loan and bond financing, and inflation improvement clues were clear [15]. - **Asset Views**: The short - term risk assets may continue to adjust, but in the medium - term, long positions in stock indices, non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, tin), gold, and silver are recommended [15]. Viewpoints Summary - **Financial**: Stock index futures are expected to oscillate upward, stock index options to oscillate, and Treasury bond futures to oscillate [16]. - **Precious Metals**: Gold and silver are expected to oscillate upward [16]. - **Shipping**: The container shipping route to Europe is expected to oscillate [16]. - **Black Building Materials**: Products such as steel, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are expected to oscillate [16]. - **Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials**: Most non - ferrous metal products are expected to oscillate, with some showing oscillatory upward trends [16]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: Most energy and chemical products are expected to oscillate, with some showing oscillatory downward trends [18]. - **Agriculture**: Agricultural products show different trends, with some oscillating upward, some oscillating downward, and most oscillating [18].