来源：21世纪经济报道 国际油价同步大涨，NYMEX WTI原油、ICE布油均涨4%，分别报58.4美元/桶、62.79美元/桶。 黄金、白银夜盘走势分化，现货黄金小幅收涨，逼近4490美元关口，现货白银持续下挫跌超1.6%，截 至北京时间7:00，现货白银由跌转涨重上77美元/盎司上方。 美东时间周四，美股三大指数集体低开，收盘涨跌不一，道指涨0.55%，标普500指数涨0.01%，纳指跌 0.44%。 能源股全线上涨，康菲石油涨超5%，埃克森美孚涨超3%，雪佛龙涨逾2%。标普500能源指数收涨 3.2%，创2025年4月份以来最大单日涨幅。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - Based on the gradually increasing policy expectations in China, it is recommended to emphasize the offensiveness of portfolio allocation under the "balanced allocation" strategy framework. Long - position overweight is recommended for stock indices and non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, tin). Precious metals should be standard - allocated in the short term and overweighted at low levels after volatility stabilizes. For different asset classes, the driving logics in the quarterly dimension vary: the domestic equity market is expected to strengthen driven by policy expectations and the expectation of front - loaded fiscal efforts; treasury bonds can be considered for bull - steepening opportunities under the expectation of easing, but the odds are limited, and a standard allocation is generally recommended; precious metals have high short - term volatility, and investors are advised to build positions at low levels after volatility stabilizes; non - ferrous metals perform relatively better supported by the macro and industry; black commodities return to a weak and oscillatory state after the rebound driven by winter storage; crude oil is generally oscillatory and it is recommended to stay on the sidelines [5]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Overseas and Domestic Macroeconomic Situation - **Overseas**: Trump may announce the nomination for the new Fed Chair in January. Hassett is the most popular candidate, and the interest - rate cut path may be faster in the next one to two years. The geopolitical event in Venezuela over the weekend has a relatively limited short - term positive effect on crude oil and precious metals. Venezuela has about 17% of the world's oil reserves but its actual daily output is only about 1 million barrels, accounting for 1% of the global supply [5]. - **Domestic**: Policy expectations are rising in the first quarter. The manufacturing PMI rebounded in December, with both supply and demand improving marginally. The 2026 national subsidy policy has been released, with some optimizations compared to 2025. The National Development and Reform Commission has organized and issued the list of "two important" construction projects and the central budget investment plan for 2026, totaling about 295 billion yuan, and approved or approved major infrastructure projects with a total investment of over 400 billion yuan. Coupled with the 500 billion yuan of new policy - based financial instrument funds issued at the end of October, the investment side is expected to gradually stabilize in the first quarter [5]. 3.2 Asset Views - **Stock Indices**: It is recommended to overweight. The domestic equity market is expected to strengthen driven by policy expectations and the expectation of front - loaded fiscal efforts [5]. - **Treasury Bonds**: It is recommended to maintain a standard allocation. There are opportunities for bull - steepening under the expectation of easing, but the odds are limited [5]. - **Precious Metals**: Standard - allocate in the short term due to high volatility, and overweight at low levels after volatility stabilizes. The short - term positive effect of the Venezuela event on precious metals is limited, and they may show a high - opening and falling - back trend if the conflict does not escalate [5]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: Overweight. They perform relatively better supported by the macro and industry [5]. - **Black Commodities**: After the rebound driven by winter storage, they return to a weak and oscillatory state [5]. - **Crude Oil**: Stay on the sidelines as it is generally oscillatory [5]. 3.3 View Highlights 3.3.1 Financial Sector - **Stock Index Futures**: The market is boosted by dual factors, but continuous upward movement requires waiting. The short - term judgment is oscillatory and rising, and the key point to watch is the situation of incremental funds [6]. - **Stock Index Options**: Use option covered strategies to increase returns. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key point to watch is the liquidity of the option market [6]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The sentiment at the long end is still weak. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key point to watch is the implementation of monetary policy [6]. 3.3.2 Precious Metals Sector - **Gold/Silver**: The expectation of loose liquidity is clear, and the structural shortage of silver spot persists. The short - term judgment is oscillatory and rising, and the key points to watch are the US fundamental performance, Fed monetary policy, and the trend of geopolitical conflicts [6]. 3.3.3 Shipping Sector - **Container Shipping to Europe**: The near - term is supported by pre - Spring Festival shipments, and the far - term is concerned about the risk of resumed voyages. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are the 2026 shipping company's resumption arrangements, the freight rates of long - term contracts signed at the end of the year, and the support of pre - Spring Festival shippers' shipments to freight rates [6]. 3.3.4 Black Building Materials Sector - **Steel and Iron Ore**: The cost performance is differentiated, and the market is in a weak adjustment. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are the progress of special bond issuance, steel export volume, iron - making water production, overseas mine production and shipment, domestic iron - making water production, weather factors, port ore inventory changes, and policy - level dynamics [6]. - **Coke**: Four rounds of price cuts have been implemented, and the bearish sentiment still exists. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are steel mill production, coking costs, and macro sentiment [6]. - **Coking Coal**: Coal mines in the production area are gradually resuming production, but downstream procurement is still cautious. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are steel mill production, coal mine safety inspections, and macro sentiment [6]. - **Silicon Iron**: The electricity price has slightly loosened, and attention should be paid to production control trends. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are raw material costs and steel procurement [6]. - **Manganese Silicon**: The supply pressure is difficult to solve, and the upward movement of the market is blocked. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are cost prices and overseas quotes [6]. - **Glass**: The actual demand is weak, and inventory is continuously transferred. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key point to watch is the spot sales and production [6]. - **Soda Ash**: After the end of maintenance, production has recovered, and the upstream inventory has increased significantly. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key point to watch is the soda ash inventory [6]. 3.3.5 Non - ferrous and New Materials Sector - **Copper**: Inventory is continuously accumulating, and copper prices are oscillating at a high level. The short - term judgment is oscillatory and rising, and the key points to watch are supply disruptions, unexpected domestic policies, less - than - expected dovishness of the Fed, less - than - expected recovery of domestic demand, and economic recession [6]. - **Alumina**: The oversupply situation has not improved significantly, and alumina prices continue to be under pressure. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are less - than - expected resumption of ore production, more - than - expected resumption of electrolytic aluminum production, and extreme sector trends [6]. - **Aluminum**: The Mozal aluminum plant is facing shutdown, and aluminum prices are oscillating at a high level. The short - term judgment is oscillatory and rising, and the key points to watch are macro risks, supply disruptions, and less - than - expected demand [6]. - **Zinc**: The LME zinc inventory continues to increase, and the rebound space of zinc prices is limited. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are macro - turning risks and more - than - expected recovery of zinc ore supply [6]. - **Lead**: The willingness of downstream buyers to take delivery has improved, and lead prices may stop falling and stabilize. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are supply - side disruptions and slowdown in battery exports [6]. - **Nickel**: Indonesia plans to significantly reduce the RKAB of nickel mines, and nickel prices are rebounding. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are unexpected macro and geopolitical changes, Indonesian policy risks, and less - than - expected supply release [6]. - **Stainless Steel**: The rebound of nickel prices drives the stainless - steel market to rise. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are Indonesian policy risks and more - than - expected demand growth [6]. - **Tin**: Downstream rigid demand is resilient, and tin prices are oscillating strongly. The short - term judgment is oscillatory and rising, and the key points to watch are the expectations of resumption of production in Wa State and demand improvement [6]. - **Industrial Silicon**: Market sentiment fluctuates, and silicon prices are rising. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are more - than - expected resumption of supply and policy changes [6]. - **Polysilicon**: The expectation of state - reserve purchase is still fermenting, and polysilicon continues to have high volatility. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are more - than - expected resumption of supply and domestic photovoltaic policy changes [6]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: Inventory depletion slows down, and lithium prices are under oscillatory pressure. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are less - than - expected demand, supply disruptions, and new technological breakthroughs [6]. 3.3.6 Energy and Chemical Sector - **Crude Oil**: Geopolitical factors continue to disrupt, and oil prices continue to oscillate. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are OPEC+ production policies and geopolitical situations [8]. - **LPG**: The strong - reality situation is loosening, and attention should be paid to the implementation of downstream production cuts. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are the cost progress of crude oil and overseas propane [8]. - **Asphalt**: The political turmoil in Venezuela causes the asphalt futures price to rise. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key point to watch is sanctions and supply disruptions [8]. - **High - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: Support for fuel oil futures prices is gradually accumulating. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are geopolitics and crude oil prices [8]. - **Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: The low - sulfur fuel oil futures price is oscillating downward. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key point to watch is the crude oil price [8]. - **Methanol**: Overseas disruptions occur frequently, and methanol is oscillating strongly. The short - term judgment is oscillatory and rising, and the key points to watch are macro - energy and actual overseas shutdown dynamics [8]. - **Urea**: After - holiday trading is active, and urea is stable and strong. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are the coal market and the progress of commercial storage [8]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: The reduction in polyester production is gradually being realized, and the driving force of ethylene glycol is general. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are fluctuations in coal and oil prices and the rhythm of port inventory [8]. - **PX**: There is a repeated game between weak terminal demand and strong expectations, and it is consolidating at a high level. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are sharp fluctuations in crude oil, macro - level abnormalities, and disruptions in refining and chemical plants [8]. - **PTA**: The TA processing fee is at the upper end of the range, and the continuous upward space is limited. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are sharp fluctuations in crude oil, macro - level abnormalities, and insufficient support from downstream polyester loads [8]. - **Short - Fiber**: Weak terminal demand restricts price elasticity. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are the purchasing rhythm of downstream yarn mills and the demand change rhythm around the Spring Festival [8]. - **Bottle - Grade PET**: More device maintenance is scheduled in January, and the basis is firm. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are the implementation of bottle - grade PET enterprise production - cut targets and sea freight [8]. - **Propylene**: There is an expectation of reduced PDH operation, and PL is oscillating. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are oil prices and the domestic macro - situation [8]. - **PP**: Maintenance increases, and PP is oscillating. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are oil prices and domestic and overseas macro - situations [8]. - **Plastic**: The support from maintenance is limited, and plastic is considered oscillatory. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are oil prices and domestic and overseas macro - situations [8]. - **Styrene**: Driven by exports and a warm commodity atmosphere, styrene has been oscillating strongly recently. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are oil prices, macro - policies, and device dynamics [8]. - **PVC**: Overseas device shutdowns cause PVC to rebound strongly. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are expectations, costs, and supply [8]. - **Caustic Soda**: Supply and demand are under pressure, and costs are decreasing. Caustic soda is cautiously weak. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are market sentiment, operation, and demand [8]. 3.3.7 Agricultural Sector - **Oils and Fats**: The supply is expected to be loose, and oils and fats are adjusting downward. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are South American weather and Malaysian palm oil production and demand data [8]. - **Protein Meal**: The expectation of a bumper harvest in South America is strong, and the two types of meal are oscillating at a low level. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are customs policies, South American weather, the macro - situation, and Sino - US and Sino - Canadian trade wars [8]. - **Corn/Starch**: Trading is gradually resuming, and prices are oscillating within a range. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are demand, the macro - situation, and weather [8]. - **Hogs**: The sow inventory decreased in December, and the far - month futures market rebounded. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are breeding sentiment, epidemics, and policies [8]. - **Natural Rubber**: The bullish sentiment still exists, and rubber prices are oscillating at a high level. The short - term judgment is oscillatory and rising, and the key points to watch are产区 weather, raw material prices, and macro - changes [8]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: The market maintains an oscillatory trend. The short - term judgment is oscillatory and rising, and the key point to watch is sharp fluctuations in crude oil [8]. - **Cotton**: Cotton prices are rising with increasing positions. The short - term judgment is oscillatory and rising, and the key points to watch are production and demand [8]. - **Sugar**: Sugar prices are fluctuating within a narrow range and are still under pressure in the medium term. The short - term judgment is oscillatory and falling, and the key points to watch are imports and northern hemisphere production [8]. - **Pulp**: The market is driven by funds and the macro - situation, and pulp futures are oscillating repeatedly. The short - term judgment is oscillatory and rising, and the key points to watch are macro - economic changes and fluctuations in US - dollar - denominated quotes [8]. - **Offset Printing Paper**: The spot is stable, and the market is strong. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are sales and production, education policies, and paper mill operation dynamics [8]. - **Logs**: Supply and demand are both weak, and prices are oscillating within a narrow range. The short - term judgment is oscillatory, and the key points to watch are shipment volume and dispatch volume [8].

3、央行货币政策委员会召开第四季度例会，研究下阶段货币政策主要思路，建议发挥增量政策和存量 政策集成效应，综合运用多种工具，加强货币政策调控，根据国内外经济金融形势和金融市场运行情 况，把握好政策实施的力度、节奏和时机。促进社会综合融资成本低位运行。会议再次强调维护资本市 场稳定，但未提及房地产市场。 4、外汇市场迎来标志性时刻。12月25日，离岸人民币对美元盘中升破"7"整数关口，为15个月来首次， 最高触及6.9985。与此同时，在岸人民币对美元逼近"7"关口，最高触及7.0053，创15个月新高。 5、美国总统特朗普发帖称，希望接替鲍威尔的下一任美联储主席在经济和市场表现良好时降息，而不 是因通胀担忧提前"扼杀行情"。他批评当前市场逻辑已变成"好消息反而利空股市"，强调低利率有助于 推动股市上涨、提振经济和改善住房负担，说股市上涨可能推动美国的GDP一年增长10个、15个甚至20 个或是更多的百分点。 市场回顾 一、期货市场 | | 本周涨跌幅 | 本月涨跌幅 | | 今年以来涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ICE布油 | | 0.47 | -2.80 | ...

智通财经12月30日讯（编辑 史正丞）昨夜今晨，随着今年获利颇丰的贵金属交易员挥洒筹码，美股市 场在科技蓝筹萎靡不振的影响下走弱。国际油价则在乌克兰问题谈判仍显分歧的背景中走强，成为昨夜 为数不多上涨的大宗商品。 在芝商所提高黄金、白银、铂金、钯金等热门金属期货保证金要求的背景下，贵金属期货周一的异动下 跌成为市场焦点。根据统计，现货黄金日内最多下跌5%，是自10月21日以来的最大日内跌幅，白银跌 幅一度下挫接近11%，为自2020年9月以来的最大日内跌幅。 当交易所提高保证金要求时，交易者必须拿出更多现金来维持持仓。一些投机者没有额外资金，只能被 迫缩减或平仓。 | 标的 | 周一涨跌 | | --- | --- | | ICE布油 | 1.66% | | COMEX黄金 | -4. 45% | | 伦敦金现 | -4. 42% | | 伦敦银现 | -9.08% | | NYMEX铂金 | -14. 52% | | NYMEX知金 | -15. 79% | | LME铜 | 0. 21% | | CBOT大豆 | -0. 82% | | CBOT玉米 | -1.67% | | CBOT小麦 | -1. 2 ...

大宗商品方面，贵金属遭遇重挫。截至北京时间12月30日5:50，伦敦银现跌8.99%，伦敦金现跌4.33%。 当地时间12月29日，美国三大股指全线收跌，道指跌0.51%，标普500指数跌0.35%，纳指跌0.5%。美国科技七巨头指数跌0.60%，特斯拉跌超3%，英伟达 跌超1%。 美股三大股指全线收跌 当地时间12月29日，截至收盘，道指跌0.51%，标普500指数跌0.35%，纳指跌0.5%。 美股大型科技股多数下跌，美国科技七巨头指数跌0.6%。个股方面，特斯拉跌超3%，英伟达跌超1%，亚马逊跌0.19%。 | 伦敦金现 | 伦敦银现 | COMEX黄金 | | --- | --- | --- | | 4331.668 | 72.200 | 4349.6 | | -200.742 -4.43% | -7.129 -8.99% | -203.1 -4.46% | | COMEX白银 | SHFE黄金 | SHFE白银 | | 71.600 | 975.80 | 17237 | | -5.596 -7.25% | -40.66 -4.00% | -1650 -8.74% | | 能源化工 ビ | | | | ...

重要信息点评 1、国家统计局公布数据显示，11月份，全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长4.8%，服务业生产指数同比 增长4.2%，社会消费品零售总额同比增长1.3%。1-11月份，全国固定资产投资同比下降2.6%，其中， 制造业投资增长1.9%，房地产开发投资下降15.9%。11月全国城镇调查失业率持平于5.1%。 2、美国劳工统计局公布数据显示，美国11月非农就业人口增加6.4万人，高于市场预期的5万人；但失 业率却意外升至4.6%，创下2021年9月以来的新高。另外，10月非农就业大幅减少10.5万人，远超预期 的下降2.5万人；8月和9月也合计下修3.3万人。11月平均时薪同比增长3.5%，为2021年5月以来最低增 速。 3、美国11月核心CPI同比上涨2.6%，创下2021年初以来最慢增速，低于市场预期的3%。整体CPI同比上 涨2.7%，低于预期的3.1%。不过，由于数据采集受到联邦政府停摆的严重干扰，这份通胀报告的可靠 性受到市场质疑。 4、商务部、央行、金融监管总局发布《关于加强商务和金融协同更大力度提振消费的通知》，针对深 化商务和金融系统协作、加大消费重点领域金融支持、扩大政金企对接合作三个方 ...

重要信息点评 1、海关总署发布数据显示，2025年前11个月，我国货物贸易进出口总值41.21万亿元人民币，同比增长 3.6%。其中，出口24.46万亿元，增长6.2%；进口16.75万亿元，增长0.2%。11月份，我国货物贸易增速 回升，进出口总值3.9万亿元，增长4.1%。其中，出口2.35万亿元，增长5.7%；进口1.55万亿元，增长 1.7%。 2、美联储货币政策委员会FOMC会后公布，降息25个基点，将联邦基金利率目标区间下调至3.50%– 3.75%。这是美联储继9月17日、10月29日降息后年内的第三次降息，幅度均为25个基点。会议投票为9 票赞成、3票反对，部分委员主张维持利率不变或更大降幅。会议声明指出经济温和扩张，就业增长放 缓、失业率小幅上升，通胀仍处高位，委员会关注双重使命的双向风险。为维持银行体系流动性充足， 自12月12日起启动每月约400亿美元的短期国债购买计划。美联储点阵图预测显示在2026年和2027年各 有一次25个基点的降息。 3、美联储主席鲍威尔在新闻发布会上表示，货币政策无预设路径，将逐次会议依据数据决策。通胀仍 偏高，但非关税驱动的核心通胀已显著改善，若无新关税，商 ...

Group 1 - Hainan Free Trade Port officially launched its island-wide customs closure operation on December 18, expanding the range of "zero tariff" goods to over 6,600 items, enhancing consumer experience for travel and shopping [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is strengthening capacity regulation in the photovoltaic industry, with predictions of potential negative growth in installed capacity by 2026, indicating challenges such as overcapacity [2] - The State Council issued a document to comprehensively crack down on illegal activities related to tobacco, emphasizing stricter regulation of e-cigarettes and similar products [2] Group 2 - The extended New Year's holiday is expected to boost cultural and tourism consumption, with domestic flight ticket bookings exceeding 1.76 million, a year-on-year increase of approximately 46% [3] - Recent speculation in the market has led to significant price increases for certain funds, with the price of Guotou Ruijin Fund's secondary market exceeding its net asset value by over 40%, prompting multiple risk warnings from the fund company [3] Group 3 - Guojun Venture Capital and Zhejiang Chint New Energy have established a green private equity investment fund with a total investment of 700 million yuan, focusing on equity investment and asset management [5] - The Bank of Japan announced a 25 basis point interest rate hike to 0.75%, marking a 30-year high, in line with market expectations [6] - Global fund managers' cash holdings have reached a 26-year low, with an average cash holding rate dropping from 3.7% to 3.3%, indicating a shift towards equities and commodities [6] Group 4 - Recent trends in global stock markets show mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly up by 0.03% and the Hang Seng Index down by 1.1% [7] - In the bond market, yields on 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year Chinese government bonds have decreased by 4.22 basis points, 2.78 basis points, and 1.17 basis points respectively [10] Group 5 - In the commodity market, precious metals have continued to strengthen, with COMEX gold rising by 0.93% and COMEX silver by 8.69%, while international oil prices have decreased by 1.14% [13] - The recent week saw a significant dominance of fixed-income plus funds in bank financing products, with 363 such funds accounting for 53.23% of the total number of products [14][15]

Market Overview - On December 17, U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.47%, S&P 500 down 1.16%, and Nasdaq down 1.81% [1] - Major technology stocks experienced significant declines, with Oracle dropping over 5%, Tesla down over 4%, and Nvidia down nearly 4%, resulting in a market value loss of $164.8 billion (approximately 1160.8 billion RMB) [2][3] Sector Performance - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell by 3.78%, with notable declines in ASML, ARM, AMD, Broadcom, TSMC, and Intel, all dropping over 3% [2] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index decreased by 0.73%, with individual stocks like Huya down over 4% and several others, including NIO and Li Auto, down over 3% [3] Commodity Market - WTI crude oil prices surged, with an increase of over 3% during trading, closing up more than 2.9% due to geopolitical concerns following U.S. sanctions on Venezuelan oil tankers [4] - Silver reached a new historical high at $66 per ounce, while gold was reported at $4338 per ounce [5] Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market saw a collective decline, with Bitcoin dropping to $86,104 per coin, reflecting a decrease of 1.87% [6] - Over the past 24 hours, more than 150,000 traders experienced liquidation in the crypto market [5][7] Economic Indicators - According to CME data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January is 24.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 75.6% [7]

Market Overview - On December 17, U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.47%, S&P 500 down 1.16%, and Nasdaq down 1.81% [1] - Major technology stocks experienced significant declines, with Oracle dropping over 5%, Tesla down over 4%, and Nvidia falling nearly 4%, resulting in a total market value loss of $164.8 billion (approximately 1160.8 billion RMB) [2] Sector Performance - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell by 3.78%, with notable declines in stocks such as ASML, ARM, and AMD, each dropping over 5%, while Broadcom fell over 4% and TSMC and Intel dropped more than 3% [2] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index decreased by 0.73%, with individual stocks like Huya down over 4% and several others, including NIO and Li Auto, down over 3% [3] Commodity Market - WTI crude oil prices surged, with an increase of over 3% during the day, closing up more than 2.9% due to geopolitical concerns following U.S. President Trump's order to block all sanctioned oil tankers from entering Venezuela [4] - Silver reached a new historical high at $66 per ounce, while gold was reported at $4338 per ounce [4] Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market saw a collective decline, with Bitcoin dropping to $86104 per coin, reflecting a decrease of 1.87% [5] - Over the past 24 hours, more than 154,000 traders experienced liquidation, totaling $526 million in losses [5] Federal Reserve Outlook - According to CME's FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January is 24.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 75.6% [5]