Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry or Company Involved - The conference call discusses the investment outlook for various sectors in China, particularly focusing on AI, technology, new energy, and the implications of macroeconomic policies. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Investment Opportunities in H2 2025**: The domestic economy is expected to maintain a GDP growth rate above 5%, driven by strong export performance and advancements in AI and advanced manufacturing, which are seen as key to enhancing economic output and structural transformation [6][10][12]. 2. **AI Investment Outlook**: AI is viewed as a central theme in global technological innovation, with significant investments expected in AI hardware and applications. The domestic demand for AI is strong, and supply bottlenecks are gradually easing, indicating a positive trajectory for AI-related investments [20][21][22]. 3. **Technology Sector Growth**: The technology sector is anticipated to experience robust growth, particularly in semiconductors and advanced manufacturing. The potential for breakthroughs in these areas is expected to drive long-term growth and competitiveness [25][26]. 4. **New Energy and Environmental Policies**: The transition to new energy sources and the implementation of green policies are seen as critical for sustainable growth. The manufacturing sector is expected to benefit from technological upgrades and innovations aimed at reducing carbon emissions [28][36]. 5. **Consumer Behavior and Market Dynamics**: There is a shift towards quality over price in consumer preferences, which is expected to influence various industries, including real estate and consumer goods. This "anti-involution" trend is likely to reshape market competition and drive companies to focus on quality and brand value [32][35][37]. 6. **Macroeconomic Policies and Global Context**: The call highlights the importance of macroeconomic policies in shaping investment landscapes, particularly in light of ongoing geopolitical tensions and trade dynamics. The focus is on maintaining economic stability and fostering innovation [10][17][18]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Long-term Economic Confidence**: Despite short-term challenges, there is a strong belief in the long-term potential of the Chinese economy, driven by technological advancements and structural reforms [7][13][14]. 2. **Sector-Specific Insights**: Different sectors are expected to recover at varying rates, with some industries like real estate facing more significant challenges than others. The recovery in corporate earnings is anticipated to be uneven, influenced by sector-specific dynamics [9][15][18]. 3. **Investment Strategy**: The emphasis on identifying and investing in companies with strong competitive advantages and sustainable business models is highlighted as a key strategy for navigating the current market environment [8][12][19]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into the investment landscape and sectoral dynamics in China for the latter half of 2025.

Summary of Conference Call for Haoyue Care Industry Overview - The childcare subsidy policy, although limited to 3,600 yuan annually, is expected to positively impact birth rates across the country, particularly in populous provinces like Henan, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai, and Guangdong, where there is a higher willingness among migrant populations to have newborns [2][3] - The competition in the baby diaper and sanitary napkin markets is intensifying, with new entrants such as internet celebrities and companies like Three Squirrels and Dongfang Zhenxuan increasing their presence, leading to a general rise in terminal sales expenses [2][5] Company Insights - The company has not observed a significant increase in newborn numbers in 2025, contrasting with the order pressure experienced in early 2024 [3] - The introduction of the new product "Jieting" has seen increased promotion on platforms like Douyin, achieving some sales but with a lower ROI conversion rate compared to the previous year due to heightened market competition [6][8] - The company has leveraged its supply chain advantages to ensure wood pulp supply and reduce costs, enabling the rapid launch of new products by the Sibao team [7] Product Development and Market Strategy - New products are focusing on material and process innovations, with higher gross margins and average prices compared to traditional products, leading to a significant increase in order volumes [4][14] - The company has invested heavily in marketing and promotional activities to attract consumers and institutions for product trials, while also updating and integrating production equipment to enhance efficiency [8][9] - The management structure post-acquisition of "Jieting" remains stable, with the original team continuing to oversee operations, ensuring continuity and stability in business operations [10] Financial Performance and Market Trends - The overseas business is expected to maintain good growth, particularly in markets like Thailand, Japan, India, Singapore, Vietnam, Canada, and the United States, with a notable increase in self-owned brand sales [11][12] - The company is focusing on offline sales, which still dominate despite the rise in online sales, and is implementing new strategies for product promotion in physical stores [15] Management and Operational Enhancements - Post-acquisition, the company has shifted its performance evaluation criteria to emphasize sales and market expansion rather than just net profit, aiming to enhance team motivation and overall performance [16]

Summary of Company and Industry Insights Company Overview - The company is involved in the bearing industry, specifically focusing on wind power bearings, precision machine tool bearings, and superhard materials and products. [2][3][4] Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - Accounts receivable is approximately 500 million yuan, showing slight growth in the first half of 2025 but facing price reduction pressures. [2] - Wind power bearing business is rapidly growing, with expected revenue of about 400 million yuan in 2024, projected to reach 700 million yuan in 2025, and potential to hit 1 billion yuan with new projects. The target for the 14th Five-Year Plan is 1.5 billion yuan. [2][3][5] Business Segments - **Superhard Materials and Products**: Managed by Zhengzhou Sanmo Research Institute, this segment is expected to generate around 580 million yuan in 2024 with a gross margin of approximately 58%. The semiconductor sector contributes 340 million yuan, while automotive and other sectors contribute 240 million yuan. The semiconductor sector has seen over 30% growth in the past three years. [2][4] - **Precision Machine Tool Bearings**: This segment is stable, with revenue around 100 million yuan last year. The company aims to enter the top tier of the high-end machine tool bearing market, currently dominated by foreign manufacturers. [2][8] - **Special Bearings**: The military industry has faced delays due to anti-corruption measures, with expectations for recovery in 2026. The company has prepared 800 to 1 billion yuan in capacity for special bearings to support growth during the 14th Five-Year Plan. [10][12] Market Trends and Opportunities - The wind power bearing market is expected to grow steadily, with domestic substitution being a significant opportunity. The company aims to increase its market share in wind power main shaft and gearbox bearings. [7][13] - The precision machine tool bearing market is characterized by high performance requirements, leading to slower domestic substitution compared to wind power bearings. [9] Future Developments - The company is investing in chemical vapor deposition (CVD) for synthetic diamond production, with expected revenue exceeding 10 million yuan in 2025. The company has invested in over 300 devices and plans to increase this to over 700. [2][6][19] - The superhard materials segment is projected to maintain a growth rate of 10% to 20%, primarily driven by the semiconductor sector. [18] Competitive Landscape - The company holds a market share of approximately 10% to 20% in the abrasive tools semiconductor sector, ranking first domestically, with major competitors being Japanese firms like Disco. [17][20] - The company plans to maintain its competitive edge through timely service and lower pricing compared to foreign competitors. [20] Strategic Initiatives - The company is exploring new opportunities in aerospace bearings and robotics, although significant contributions from these sectors are not expected during the current Five-Year Plan. [21] - The company is also considering mergers and acquisitions but acknowledges the challenges in executing such strategies. [22] Operational Insights - The company has shifted focus from shield machine bearings to wind power bearings due to profitability concerns. [23] - Emphasis on lean management, brand building, and cost control is expected to enhance overall operational efficiency. [24] Conclusion The company is strategically positioned in the bearing industry with a focus on growth in wind power and superhard materials. It faces challenges from pricing pressures and competition but is actively pursuing opportunities for innovation and market expansion.

Summary of the Conference Call for Sains Company Overview - Sains is the first heavy metal pollution prevention enterprise listed on A-shares, leveraging technology from Central South University and maintaining multiple national-level research platforms with a research team of nearly 200 people and over 100 patents [2][3] - The company has established long-term collaborations with various universities and research institutes, serving hundreds of non-ferrous enterprises [2][3] Core Business and Innovations - Sains specializes in the treatment and resource utilization of heavy metal wastewater and waste residues, with a focus on technological innovation and research platform development [3] - The company has expanded its business into resource recovery and new materials, including a recent acquisition of Zijin Medicine to enter the copper extraction agent sector [3][19] - Sains' revenue for 2024 is projected at 150 million yuan, with a net profit of 38 million yuan, and an expected increase in revenue for 2025 [3][20] Collaboration with Zijin Mining - Sains has a close partnership with Zijin Mining, which has invested strategically in the company and currently holds approximately 21% of its shares [2][5] - The collaboration has deepened in areas such as waste acid and wastewater treatment, with a revenue-sharing model in place to mitigate risks [5][6][12] Rhenium Extraction Progress - Sains has made significant progress in rhenium extraction, collaborating with Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum, with expected production of 8-10 tons in the next two to three years [9][10] - The recent surge in rhenium prices is attributed to market speculation and supply-demand gaps, with a long-term optimistic outlook due to increasing high-end application demand and domestic substitution policies [11] Financial Projections and Market Outlook - Sains anticipates revenue of 1.2 to 1.3 billion yuan and a net profit of 140 to 150 million yuan for 2025, driven by environmental policies and demand in the non-ferrous industry [22] - The company is focusing on higher-margin product sales and operational services, which are expected to provide sustainable income and profit [22][23] Challenges and Risks - The decline in net profit is primarily due to increased sales and R&D expenses, as well as longer collection periods for overseas business [18] - The company faces challenges in the short term due to the time required for policy implementation, although long-term prospects remain positive due to increasing governmental focus on heavy metal pollution prevention [16] Global Market Expansion - Sains has successfully expanded its business into global markets, including regions in Africa and South America, with production capacity increasing from 3,000 tons to 7,000 tons [21] Conclusion - Sains is positioned as a leader in heavy metal pollution prevention with strong technological capabilities and strategic partnerships, while also exploring new markets and product lines to drive future growth [2][3][22]

Summary of the Conference Call for Miaokelando Company Overview - **Company**: Miaokelando - **Industry**: Cheese Retail Market Key Points and Arguments Industry Dynamics - After 2022, the cheese retail market experienced a decline, but leading companies like Miaokelando increased their market share, which is currently around 30% [2][3] - Smaller brands are exiting the market due to cost pressures and insufficient R&D capabilities, raising industry barriers [2][3] Business Performance - **C-end (Consumer)**: Miaokelando is diversifying its product matrix beyond low-temperature cheese sticks to include adult cheese snacks, expanding into new channels like Hema and Sam's Club [2][4] - **B-end (Commercial)**: The company has made significant progress in sectors like Western cuisine, baking, and tea drinks, aided by resources from Mengniu and partnerships with major brands like Yum and McDonald's [2][4][12][13] Growth Potential - Miaokelando is positioned for dual growth in revenue and profit, leveraging low milk prices and deep processing to replace imported cheese, thus reducing costs [2][5] - The Chinese cheese market is expected to grow significantly, with a mid-term scale projected to reach 300-400 billion yuan and a long-term potential to exceed 1 trillion yuan [2][6] Management and Strategy - The new management team, which includes nine executives with marketing backgrounds, is focused on business-driven and diversified growth, setting ambitious revenue and profit targets for 2025-2027 [2][9] - The company has launched a stock incentive plan to boost confidence in future performance, targeting a revenue growth rate of 16% by 2026 and 20% by 2027 [9][18] Channel Expansion - Miaokelando is actively exploring new channels, including customized products for Sam's Club and Hema, and entering snack wholesale markets with smaller packaging [2][10] Marketing Innovations - The company is shifting its marketing strategy to include adult-oriented IP resources, signing contracts for IP rights worth 50 million yuan to enhance brand recognition among younger consumers [2][11] B-end Market Development - The B-end market is expected to grow significantly, with the Western fast food market projected to reach approximately 300 billion yuan by 2024, and the tea and coffee market exceeding 500 billion yuan in 2023 [12][14] Support from Mengniu - Mengniu's acquisition of Miaokelando has provided substantial support, including supply chain advantages that help reduce raw material costs and enhance competitiveness [15][16] Cost Structure and Profitability - The cost of domestically produced cheese is now 80-90% of imported cheese, with potential reductions to 70% through better raw milk procurement [17] - This shift is expected to improve gross margins, particularly in the B-end market where cost sensitivity is higher [17] Future Outlook - Miaokelando aims for a net profit margin comparable to international leaders, with a vision to achieve over 10 billion yuan in revenue by 2030 [18] - The company anticipates a doubling of profits and a double-digit revenue growth in 2025, with a projected net profit of 38 to 63 million yuan for Q2 [18][19] Valuation Concerns - There are concerns regarding the high valuation of Miaokelando, with a current P/E ratio of 60, expected to normalize to around 30 by 2027 [20][21] - Despite this, the company is viewed positively due to its unique position in the cheese market and the anticipated profit growth [20][21] Additional Important Insights - The cheese consumption per capita in China is significantly lower than in Japan, South Korea, and Western countries, indicating substantial growth potential in the market [6] - The management's focus on innovation and market expansion is expected to drive future growth and profitability [7][8]

Q&A 摘要 Nor Flash 价格上涨主要受服务器、AI 耳机和眼镜等高景气度产品需求 增加及供给有限影响，客户库存消化完毕也推动价格上涨。建议关注兆 易创新、普冉股份、东芯股份和恒烁股份。 茂莱光学专注于工业级精密光学零部件，业务涵盖半导体检测、生物识 别等领域，与下游头部玩家深度绑定，产品分为器件、镜头和系统三大 类。 茂莱光学收入结构逐步优化，半导体领域占比从 30%提升至 50%，成 为最大下游应用领域，受益于国产化进程，服务于国内外半导体企业。 茂莱光学采取与细分赛道龙头厂商深度绑定策略，财务表现稳健，收入 同比增长率约为 20-30%，研发费用率较高，海外收入占比较大但国内 收入占比提升。 全球工业级精密光学市场规模约 100 多亿人民币，生命科学和半导体占 据接近一半市场份额。茂莱公司在半导体和生命科学领域都有显著业务 布局，当前更多精力集中于半导体领域。 茂莱光学 20250731 近期存储市场的主要变化是什么？ 最近存储市场的主要变化是 Nor Flash 产品线在第三季度开始全线涨价，预计 第四季度也将持续上涨。涨价产品包括中大容量和小容量产品，涉及台湾的华 邦、旺宏以及国内的兆易创新 ...

Summary of Zhongwang Software Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Zhongwang Software - **Industry**: CAD Software Development Key Points and Arguments 1. **Intellectual Property Defense**: Zhongwang Software asserts that its CAD products do not infringe on third-party codes and has applied for dozens of core technology patents. The company has maintained a strict source code management system for over ten years and is confident in resolving misunderstandings with Autodesk through communication or legal means [2][3][4]. 2. **Litigation Response Team**: A specialized task force has been established, comprising executives, R&D, legal, and international lawyers, to actively respond to the lawsuit. The company is open to a code comparison in a fair environment to clarify facts and seek mutually beneficial solutions [2][3][5]. 3. **Sales Continuity**: During the litigation, Zhongwang's CAD products can continue to be sold, and partnerships with distributors and ecosystem partners remain unaffected. The company believes that honest communication and legal means are effective methods for resolving disputes [2][6][9]. 4. **Market Impact**: While sales are not restricted, the lawsuit may affect customer confidence. The company has initiated marketing activities to communicate with customers and mitigate negative impacts. Domestic market recognition is high, and overseas distributors are generally accepting of the situation [2][10]. 5. **Differentiation Strategy**: Zhongwang Software emphasizes a market-oriented and international strategy, adhering to international legal rules. The company has increased R&D investment and is committed to a differentiation strategy to minimize the likelihood of similar disputes in the future [4][11]. 6. **Long-term Outlook**: The company believes that through open communication and legal means, the dispute can be resolved effectively. They are confident that the absence of large-scale code plagiarism will lead to a smoother resolution [6][10]. 7. **Potential Future Litigation**: Although Autodesk has only filed a lawsuit regarding the 2D CAD product, Zhongwang does not rule out the possibility of future litigation concerning 3D CAD products. The company has taken measures to strengthen intellectual property protection [4][11]. 8. **Sales and Financial Stability**: Zhongwang Software is aware of the potential for competitors to use litigation to undermine sales and financial health. However, they maintain that their products are distinct from Autodesk's and have no intention of infringing on third-party intellectual property [12][13]. Additional Important Content - **Customer Communication**: The company is actively engaging with customers to alleviate concerns stemming from the lawsuit, emphasizing the importance of maintaining trust and transparency [9][10]. - **Legal Preparedness**: Zhongwang Software is prepared for a potentially lengthy legal process, drawing on past experiences with similar lawsuits, and is committed to protecting its rights and interests [10][12].

Summary of the Conference Call for Shunluo Electronics Company Overview - **Company**: Shunluo Electronics - **Industry**: Consumer Electronics, Automotive Electronics, Data Center Solutions Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Shunluo Electronics achieved revenue of **3.224 billion yuan**, with Q2 alone reaching **1.763 billion yuan**, marking a historical high for the company, surpassing the previous record of **1.7 billion yuan** in Q2 2024 [4][5][24] - The company expects a gross margin for the entire year of **35% to 37%** [5][19] Business Segments Performance - **Consumer Electronics**: Growth driven by mobile phone business, particularly in signal processing and power management, with notable performance in integrated inductors and NR power inductors [2][5][6] - **Automotive Electronics**: Recent demand improvement, with an optimistic growth outlook for the year despite a slowdown in year-on-year growth. New automotive projects are expected to contribute to revenue post-2026 [2][9][10] - **Data Center Business**: Orders have reached last year's total, primarily driven by two power inductor product lines [2][6] - **Tantalum Capacitors**: Continuous investment with a goal to exceed **100 million yuan** in revenue by 2026, focusing on high-end consumer electronics [2][11] Market Trends and Outlook - The company does not foresee significant impacts from export issues or national subsidies on overall demand, as its mobile phone business is primarily domestic [7] - For Q3 2025, the company anticipates stable trends in downstream demand, particularly from domestic Android phone clients [8] - The automotive business is expected to maintain its annual targets despite recent demand fluctuations [9] Research and Development - Increased R&D investment is focused on automotive and tantalum capacitor projects, with plans to expand research in materials, processes, and assembly [13][15] - The company is exploring new applications in the robotics market, currently in the research phase [25] Inventory and Capital Expenditure - Inventory increased in Q2 due to preparations for the peak demand season in the automotive and layered business sectors [12] - Capital expenditure for 2025 is expected to remain similar to 2024 levels, with potential for significant investments in high-return projects [21][28] Governance and Management - The chairman's recent share reduction is attributed to personal financial needs and does not affect the company's operations or governance structure [30] Competitive Landscape - The tantalum capacitor market is highly concentrated, with the top four players holding over **90%** market share. Shunluo aims to capture more of this market, particularly in high-end applications [31] - The company is also focusing on expanding its market share with major clients like Samsung, Huawei, and Xiaomi, with varying degrees of success [22] Future Growth Potential - The AI server business is projected to exceed **100 million yuan** in revenue for 2025, driven by overseas clients [17][26] - The automotive product profit margins are expected to remain stable, with a target of maintaining above **35%** [35] Additional Important Insights - The company is transitioning its development focus from technology-driven to market-driven, aligning R&D and production with customer needs [27] - The market for tantalum capacitors in AI servers could reach tens of billions, indicating significant growth potential [34]

Summary of UBTech Robotics Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: UBTech Robotics - **Industry**: Humanoid Robotics - **Location**: Shenzhen, China - **Rating**: Overweight (OW) with a price target of HK$135 by December 2026, implying approximately 50% potential upside based on a P/S methodology reflecting the industry's early stage and high growth potential [2][11][29] Key Points Industry Insights - The global humanoid robot industry is characterized as a disruptive technology with vast growth potential, projected to unlock a total addressable market (TAM) of 5 billion units over the next decade [6][13] - Growth will be driven by technological advancements and penetration into industrial, logistics, and household applications within an 8-year horizon [6] - The humanoid robot market is expected to mirror the success of the electric vehicle (EV) and smartphone sectors, with significant expansion anticipated due to government support and labor shortages [13][56] UBTech's Position - UBTech is positioned as a front runner in the humanoid robot industry, benefiting from a robust customer base including over 10 clients in trial runs or confirmed orders, such as BYD, Dongfeng Liuzhou Motor, and Foxconn [2][8][12] - The company's strategic location in Shenzhen provides access to a sophisticated manufacturing supply chain and a supportive policy environment, enhancing growth prospects [6][12] - Revenue growth estimates indicate a projected 260% CAGR for UBTech's humanoid robot revenue from FY25 to FY27E, with overall revenue expected to reach Rmb5 billion by FY27E [6][7] Financial Projections - Financial estimates for UBTech include: - FY24 Revenue: Rmb1,305 million - FY25 Revenue: Rmb1,865 million - FY26 Revenue: Rmb3,334 million - FY27 Revenue: Rmb5,262 million - Expected breakeven in 2H27E [7][26] - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to improve from a loss of Rmb1,069 million in FY24 to a profit of Rmb142 million in FY27E [7] Risks and Challenges - Potential risks include increased competition from new entrants and reliance on key customers like BYD, which may present challenges as the market evolves [6][14] - The company faces inherent risks associated with the nascent stage of humanoid robot technology, which may impact its ability to maintain leadership [14] Market Performance - UBTech's share price has shown significant volatility, with a year-to-date increase of 67% as of July 28, 2025, compared to a 26% increase in the HSCEI index [32][38] - The company has experienced fluctuations in share price due to factors such as IPO lock-up expirations and market sentiment towards the humanoid robot theme [34][36] Strategic Partnerships and Product Offerings - UBTech's diverse product offerings include Education Smart robotics, Logistics Smart robotics, and Consumer-level robots, with advanced features like mapping and facial recognition [12] - The company has established strategic partnerships that enhance its R&D capabilities and market presence, including collaborations with Baidu and FAW Volkswagen [43] Future Outlook - The humanoid robot industry is expected to see exponential growth, with UBTech positioned to capitalize on significant market opportunities [13][44] - The projected global demand for humanoid robots suggests a potential 1:1 ratio with the human population in the long run, with applications extending across various industries and domestic settings [62][63] Conclusion UBTech Robotics is strategically positioned in a high-growth industry with substantial market opportunities. While the company faces risks associated with competition and reliance on key customers, its strong partnerships, innovative product offerings, and favorable market dynamics suggest a promising outlook for future growth.

Summary of the Conference Call for Tigermed (泰格医药) Industry Overview - The clinical CRO (Contract Research Organization) industry is expected to maintain a double-digit growth rate of 10%-15% during the new recovery cycle after experiencing a slowdown in growth from 2023 to 2024, driven by policy support, increased local investment from multinational pharmaceutical companies, and record-high license-out transactions by domestic biopharmaceutical companies [2][5][13]. Company Positioning - Tigermed, as the leading player in China's clinical CRO market, has increased its market share from 8% in 2019 to 13% in 2023, benefiting from the strong performance of top-tier companies and the development of the SMO (Site Management Organization) industry [2][5]. - The company is actively expanding its international presence in regions such as Asia-Pacific, Europe, and the Americas, and has acquired a Japanese imaging analysis company to enhance its capabilities [2][6]. Key Trends and Changes - The supply side of the clinical CRO industry is showing signs of consolidation, with the number of sponsors decreasing by approximately 64% and the number of clinical trials declining by 72% compared to the peak in 2022 [3][7]. - Despite a relatively flat primary market in recent years, the demand for innovative drugs and equity cooperation is gradually filling the financing gap, leading to more opportunities for clinical CROs [3][13]. Impact of Multinational Companies - Multinational pharmaceutical companies are becoming significant payers in the clinical CRO industry, with 24% of phase III clinical trials in 2024 being sponsored by these companies, and the proportion of projects conducted by local CROs increasing from 23% in 2020 to 32% in 2024 [8][7]. License-Out Transactions - License-out transactions in the Chinese pharmaceutical sector have grown rapidly, with 94 transactions totaling $51.9 billion in 2024, primarily involving the U.S. as the main recipient [9]. Technological Advancements - Tigermed is embracing AI technology and remote intelligent clinical solutions to improve data quality, efficiency, and reduce costs, which is expected to enhance profitability [4][17]. Financial Performance - Tigermed's revenue and profit growth from 2023 to 2024 have been impacted by declining clinical operation order prices and some order cancellations, but the overall order prices are expected to stabilize in 2025 [28][33]. - New order growth remains positive, with a 20% year-on-year increase in new orders in the first quarter of 2025 [29]. Future Outlook - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the recovery of domestic demand and the ongoing trend of Chinese innovative drugs going global, which will drive incremental demand for Tigermed's services [18][33]. - The focus on emerging treatment areas such as cell and gene therapy (CGT) and the expansion of its service capabilities through acquisitions are expected to support sustainable growth [25][20]. Conclusion - Tigermed's strategic initiatives, including international expansion, technological innovation, and a strong market position, are expected to drive its growth in the recovering clinical CRO industry, with optimism for future performance as market conditions improve [14][33].