Huan Qiu Shi Bao
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【环时深度】超越亲疏:全球博弈中的美欧关系
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-02-03 22:57
Group 1: Core Views - The relationship between the US and Europe is increasingly characterized by hostility, necessitating greater independence for Europe [1] - The historical context of the US-Europe relationship has been shaped by military, economic, and technological power dynamics, as well as changes in the international geopolitical landscape [1][4] - External variables such as immigration issues and the rise of far-right forces are impacting the traditional alliance between the US and Europe [1][9] Group 2: Historical Context - NATO was established not only to counter the Soviet threat but also to promote European political integration and prevent the resurgence of nationalism and militarism [2] - Post-World War II, the US held a dominant position with a GDP share of over 30% globally, while European powers were significantly weakened [3] - The economic recovery and integration of Europe from the 1950s to the 1970s reduced the economic gap with the US, but military dependence on NATO persisted [3][4] Group 3: Post-Cold War Dynamics - The establishment of the European Single Market and the Euro in the 1990s enhanced Europe's economic integration and influence in international trade [4] - The end of the Cold War saw a temporary alignment of interests between the US and Europe, but strategic disagreements emerged, notably during the Iraq War [4][5] - The financial crises in the late 2000s shifted focus to internal issues for both the US and Europe, reducing cooperation [6] Group 4: Recent Developments - The year 2016 marked a significant turning point in US-Europe relations, influenced by Brexit and the election of Donald Trump, which exposed underlying structural tensions [6][7] - The technological gap has widened, with the US leading in digital economy and high-tech sectors, while Europe focuses on regulatory frameworks [6][8] - The rise of far-right parties in Europe is reshaping domestic politics and could impact the EU's relationship with the US, particularly regarding military commitments and foreign policy [10][11] Group 5: External Challenges - Immigration and refugee issues are creating political instability in Europe, complicating the EU's ability to coordinate with the US on foreign policy [9][11] - The competition between major powers, particularly regarding China and Russia, is leading to divergent strategies and priorities between the US and Europe [11][12]
特朗普公布120亿美元“金库计划”,效用有待观察
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-02-03 22:57
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. has launched a $12 billion critical mineral reserve project, named the "Treasury Plan," aimed at supporting manufacturers and reducing dependence on Chinese rare earths [1][2]. Group 1: Project Overview - The "Treasury Plan" includes approximately $2 billion in private capital and $10 billion in loans from the U.S. Export-Import Bank to help manufacturers procure and store critical minerals [1]. - The project is designed to create a 60-day emergency mineral reserve, similar to the existing Strategic Petroleum Reserve, focusing on rare earths, gallium, and cobalt [2]. Group 2: Participation and Impact - Several companies, including General Motors, Stellantis, Boeing, Corning, and Google, are already involved in the project, with commodity traders expected to handle raw material procurement [2]. - The plan allows participating manufacturers to make procurement commitments and secure inventory, shielding them from price fluctuations of critical materials [2]. Group 3: Market Dependency and Challenges - In 2024, the U.S. is projected to rely entirely on imports for 12 critical minerals, with over 50% import reliance for an additional 29 minerals [2]. - Analysts express skepticism about the plan's immediate effectiveness in reducing U.S. dependence on China, noting that the supply of rare earths is limited and the project may face procurement challenges [3]. Group 4: Future Considerations - The operational framework and mechanisms of the "Treasury Plan" are still unclear, and its long-term impact on the market and on China remains to be seen [3]. - The U.S. faces significant challenges in rebuilding its rare earth supply chain, particularly in acquiring technology and expanding production capacity, which are complex issues not easily resolved [3].
财经观察:加速“售后支持”入境,缓解本土制造难题,印度调整对华签证政策影响如何
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-02-03 22:57
【环球时报报道 记者 苑基荣】编者的话:2026年1月1日起,印度推出一项针对中国公民的新型e-B-4电 子生产投资商务签证,旨在促进设备安装、质量检测等工程技术领域的商务人士入境。《环球时报》记 者了解到,新政实施一个月以来,不少中企已经恢复向印度派遣员工。与此同时,印度也开始反思此前 针对中国的签证、投资限制政策对自身带来的反噬。 清洁能源中企纷纷开启赴印考察 环节存在问题,不愿同印度内政部打交道,进一步导致担保函审批遇阻。长期来看,印度对华签证政策 仍需调整优化。 "我们明显感受到了印度签证政策的变化。"某中资清洁能源企业的南亚区域总经理杨志成和南亚高级开 发经理张铭对《环球时报》记者表示,相比于2025年上半年,申请印度商务签证的审批流程在近期发生 了实质性改变。首先,常规商务签证的出签率显著提升,审批周期大幅缩短;其次,签证的停留期较以 往有了较大改善,能够满足长周期商务谈判的需求。"可以说印方最新优化的e-B-4签证政策,让此前长 期困扰在印中企的'有订单、无人做'问题得到一定程度的缓解。" 两人告诉《环球时报》记者,目前光伏等新能源产业是印度对华人才需求较大的领域。印度正处于工业 化和能源转型的 ...
智利前总统宣布竞选联合国秘书长
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-02-03 22:51
现年74岁的巴切莱特是拉丁美洲的先锋人物:她曾是该地区首位女性国防部长,也是智利历史上首位民选女总统,分别于2006至2010年和2014至 2018年两度担任总统。卸任总统后,她曾担任联合国人权事务高级专员,并出任联合国妇女署首任负责人。在美国总统特朗普的第一个任期内, 巴切莱特曾批评美国的移民和种族政策,引发华盛顿的强烈谴责,并导致特朗普政府退出联合国人权理事会。 【环球时报报道 记者 周扬】据法新社报道,智利政府已正式宣布支持该国前总统米歇尔·巴切莱特竞选联合国秘书长,这一决定也获得墨西哥和 巴西的支持。即将卸任的智利总统博里奇于当地时间2月2日宣布了这一消息。 按照惯例,联合国秘书长一职在世界各地区间轮换。随着现任秘书长古特雷斯的任期即将结束,下一任秘书长应由拉丁美洲人士接任。法新社 称,联合国从未有过女性秘书长,也仅有过一位来自拉丁美洲的秘书长——秘鲁外交官哈维尔·佩雷斯·德奎利亚尔。巴切莱特的参选使她成为第二 位正式宣布参选的候选人,也是迄今为止唯一一位女性候选人。与她一同参选的还有64岁的阿根廷外交官、国际原子能机构总干事拉斐尔·格罗 西,他得到了阿根廷总统米莱的支持。 ...
美国商界团体反应不一,莫迪发文表示“诚挚感谢”,特朗普称美印达成贸易协议降关税
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-02-03 22:51
Core Viewpoint - The trade agreement between the United States and India involves a reduction of tariffs on Indian goods from 25% to 18%, effective immediately, while India will lower its tariffs and non-tariff barriers on U.S. products [1][3]. Group 1: Trade Agreement Details - The U.S. will reduce the "reciprocal tariffs" on Indian goods, and India has agreed to purchase over $500 billion worth of U.S. products, including energy, technology, and agriculture [3]. - India has committed to purchasing U.S. telecommunications and pharmaceutical products and has opened its market for certain agricultural products [3]. - The agreement includes a reduction in automobile import tariffs by India to meet U.S. demands [3]. Group 2: Economic Impact - The trade agreement is expected to strengthen economic ties between the U.S. and India, providing unprecedented opportunities for Indian farmers, small businesses, and tech workers [3][5]. - The reduction in tariffs is anticipated to enhance the price competitiveness of Indian products and help Indian exporters integrate more deeply into the U.S. supply chain [6]. - Moody's stated that the U.S. lowering tariffs on most Indian goods will inject new vitality into India's exports to the U.S. [6]. Group 3: Reactions and Concerns - The U.S. business community has mixed reactions, with some viewing the agreement as a step towards a comprehensive trade deal, while others express concerns about potential negative impacts on U.S. businesses [4]. - In India, there are concerns that the agreement may harm local farmers due to the influx of subsidized U.S. agricultural products [5]. - Indian opposition leaders have criticized the agreement, claiming it compromises the interests of Indian farmers [5].
以媒:以色列针对美伊谈判提出“三不”要求
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-02-03 22:51
Core Viewpoint - Iran's President Pezeshkian has instructed Foreign Minister Araqchi to engage in "fair and just negotiations" with the United States, emphasizing the need for a suitable environment free from threats and unreasonable expectations [1] Group 1: Negotiation Initiatives - Pezeshkian has ordered the initiation of nuclear negotiations with the U.S., with a meeting scheduled between U.S. Special Envoy Wittekopf and Araqchi in Istanbul on June 6 to discuss a potential nuclear agreement [1] - The U.S. President has expressed hope for reaching an agreement with Iran, indicating that failure to do so could lead to negative consequences [1] Group 2: Military and Political Context - U.S. Defense Secretary Esper has warned that if negotiations do not yield results, Iran will face "other options," and the U.S. military is well-prepared for such scenarios [1] - There are indications that Washington may prefer a political solution with Iran rather than a military option, raising concerns in Israel [1] Group 3: Israel's Position - The Israeli government is set to present "three no" demands to Wittekopf, which include Iran's agreement not to develop its nuclear program, refrain from ballistic missile development, and not support armed "proxies" threatening Israel [1] - The Israeli Defense Forces have conducted joint exercises with a U.S. Navy destroyer in the Red Sea, highlighting military cooperation amid rising tensions [1]
“会中文”成越南求职新趋势
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-02-03 22:51
【环球时报综合报道】在越南劳动力市场,中文人才的价值正快速攀升。越南招聘平台Joboko近日发布 的《2025年薪资报告》显示,与日文或韩文等其他外语相比,越南就业市场对于中文人才的需求大幅增 加。 Joboko称,在该平台2025年近58.2万条招聘信息中,需要会中文的职位增至1.3万个,比2024年增长近 50%,比2023年增长95%。与此同时,日文和韩文就业增长放缓。 越媒称,在越南,中文人才的招聘量已达日文人才的约2.4倍、韩文人才的约5.4倍。薪资方面的差距同 样明显,多数情况下,中文人才比同等条件下无需特定语言能力的岗位人选薪资高10%至40%,部分岗 位薪资甚至高出一倍。据统计,要求中文的通用岗月薪为1200万至1800万越南盾(1万越南盾约合2.7元 人民币),非外语通用岗月薪为 800万至1200 万越南盾,一些要求中文的技术岗月薪为1800万至4200万 越南盾,非外语岗约为1000万至1800万越南盾。 据分析,这一现象源于中国企业进驻越南及在越扩大生产规模。为顺利推进业务运营、现场管理及客户 对接工作,不管是中企还是越南企业都在高薪争抢中文人才。Joboko预测称,在至少3年内,中文 ...
德媒:挪威或再次讨论加入欧盟问题
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-02-03 20:33
挪威反对党保守党计划在2月份的党代会上讨论可能举行的"入欧"公投。"我们应该尽快跟随冰岛的进 程,"一位保守党发言人表示:"加入欧盟的公投日期应在下次选举前确定。" 但是,挪威要加入欧盟仍有许多障碍。挪威首相斯特勒领导的工党内部仍然存在分歧。就连党内亲欧盟 派也对新的"入欧"公投避而不谈。他们担心公投再次失败,并导致政治极化。 挪威经济学院的经济学教授多佩尔霍费尔近日提出了一种可能的解决方案。他设想,即使挪威不加入欧 盟,挪威克朗也可以与欧元挂钩。他对挪威广播公司表示:"我相信挪威央行或财政部已经在考虑这种 可能性了。" 【环球时报驻德国特约记者 青木】德国《商报》2日称,俄乌冲突、地缘政治格局重组以及特朗普政府 强夺格陵兰岛的企图,正促使挪威再次讨论加入欧盟的问题。 挪威在1972年和1994年曾两次举行"入欧"全民公投,但均以"否决"告终。此后,挪威在欧洲经济区 (EEA)内似乎一直处于一个舒适的中间位置:经济上与欧盟紧密一体化,政治上则保持主权。但这种 确定性目前正在瓦解。 ...
美国经济学家彼得·阿特沃特接受《环球时报》独家专访:美顶层与底层“信心鸿沟”日益加深
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-02-02 23:05
环球时报: 您是怎样注意到并且推广"K型经济"这个概念的? 【环球时报报道 记者 杨沙沙】编者的话:"美国人的生活正在'K型经济'中高度分化""'K型经济'2025年 占据主导,2026年仍将持续""对越来越多的美国家庭而言,经济压力如同凛冽寒风般袭来"……美国 《财富》杂志、美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)等媒体这样报道本国"富者愈富、穷者愈穷"的社会现状。 美国经济学家、咨询公司财经睿见创始人彼得·阿特沃特是"K型经济"这个概念的核心推广者,该概念指 经济复苏或增长过程中,不同群体、行业或区域呈现两极分化趋势的现象:一部分快速上升,另一部分 持续低迷,形成类似字母"K"的走势。曾预测疫情后美国经济呈现"K型"复苏的阿特沃特,日前在中国 推出新书《投资的信心——如何从混乱走向清晰》。他近日在接受《环球时报》记者专访时,谈及美国 选民心态、航空公司机舱座位、文化等层面的变化,并从中捕捉到危险的经济信号。阿特沃特警告称, 美国经济顶层与底层群体间的"信心鸿沟"正日益加深,将影响到美国的未来发展。 当泰勒 · 斯威夫特被击败 环球时报: 从您2020年提出并推广"K型经济"概念到现在,美国经济"K型分化"是越来越明显 ...
近地轨道拥挤程度将是现在的100倍,SpaceX“百万AI卫星”计划引争议
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-02-02 23:01
SpaceX表示:"摆脱了地面部署的限制,几年之内,在太空中生成AI计算的成本将最低。"这将使AI大模型以"前所未有的速度和规模"取得进步。 【环球时报特约记者 晨阳 环球时报记者 马俊】美国亿万富豪、太空探索技术公司(SpaceX)首席执行官马斯克多次警告称,耗能巨大的计算中心对于电力 的无止境需求,让电力供应成为未来人工智能(AI)发展的终极障碍。作为解决方案,SpaceX正计划建造一个由多达100万颗卫星组成的规模空前的星座, 用于支持"轨道数据中心"。然而此举可能引发的众多风险成为业内专家议论的焦点。 充分利用太阳能? 英国广播公司(BBC)2月1日称,马斯克旗下的SpaceX已申请向地球轨道发射100万颗卫星,以支持AI应用。该申请声称"轨道数据中心"是满足日益增长的 AI计算能力需求的最经济、最节能的方式。报道称,传统上,这类计算中心是装满强大计算机的大型仓库,用于处理和存储数据。SpaceX声称,由于AI的 广泛应用,处理需求已经超过了"地面处理能力"。 美国"太空新闻"网站2月1日称,在1月30日提交给美国联邦通信委员会(FCC)的一份文件中,SpaceX提议在地球轨道部署多达100万颗卫星, ...